It's Time For Change

People, Ideas & Objects is looking forwards to a very active year in 2015. With the decline in the oil prices in the last quarter of 2014. And the further decline in natural gas prices in the month of December, our time has come. The Preliminary Specification decentralized production model deals specifically with the commodity prices and enables the producers to enact “price maker” strategies. Nothing could be more timely. But its not just the decentralized production model that we provide as solutions for the industry. By using the Joint Operating Committee as the key organizational construct of the dynamic, innovative and profitable oil and gas producer. We are able to provide solutions to the current and future issues and opportunities of the producers administrative, accounting and operational domains. That is the real value of the Preliminary Specification, beyond how it resolves today’s problems.

However today’s problems are problematic for all producers. Year end has now begun for the majority of producers based on the oil and gas prices that were in play at the end of the year. Operational losses of material scope will be announced in the next few months. Additional write downs of assets to the commodity prices will also be carried out by the audit firms. This is perceived by many in the industry as being of a non cash item and therefore not of concern. Producers would be wise to remember that this was your investors money and is evidence that it is worth less than what it was when it was given to you. I expect to see a bloodbath.

Its not that there has been any real discussion of the issue of how the industry will deal with low commodity prices. Any strategic or tactical plans, or any discussion at all, appears to be missing from the discussion of lower oil and gas prices. CEO’s and CFO’s seem to have their heads firmly placed in the sand and are unavailable for comment. In consideration of their situation, its not that they can do anything about it. Their business model is completely inflexible in terms of its operating strategy and full production is the only methodology. Their only alternative was to talk to me and adopt the Preliminary Specification with its decentralized production model as an alternative operating model.

That was yesterday. Review of this blog’s calendar feature shows that we began writing this in late 2005. We published the proposal for the Preliminary Research Report which offered to research the idea of using the Joint Operating Committee as the key organizational construct of the innovative oil and gas producer in August of 2003. If you look at anyone of the entries in this blog it is regarding how we can build systems for oil and gas based on the Joint Operating Committee. At anytime during this eleven and half years you would have thought this research and discussion would have obtained an audience. I can tell you that it certainly has. And the bureaucracy has engaged me at every opportunity that they could. The highlights were on three occasions where they hired three other groups in attempts to steal the Intellectual Property that makes up either the Preliminary Specification or earlier work. This was, in my opinion, so that they could lay claim to it and shut it down, not to use it for its appropriate purpose of building something constructive.

It has been throughout this past decade that there has been a theme in all of my writing. That is that all economic growth can be attributed to enhanced organization through specialization and the division of labor. Our society today requires software to define and support any enhanced version of specialization and division of labor. People, Ideas & Objects software and our software development capabilities are therefore critical capabilities of the oil and gas industries future growth. Some of these attributes were discovered in the Preliminary Research Report and published in May 2004. The bureaucracy have twisted this to their benefit by never acting to change their systems, therefore their franchise will never be challenged. Understanding that economic benefits were at stake their franchise was more important. This was in addition to the value that was available from the decentralized production model in the last five years from low natural gas prices. The bureaucracy therefore can not be trusted. They have refused to deal with me and therefore have proven unable and unwilling to use these tools to the betterment of society. Now with losses growing in a material way its time for change and I am unwilling to work with them.

Did Steve Jobs need the assistance of the record store managers in the development of iTunes? He offered a clear alternative without the legacy constraints of the past. I don't want to compromise with the bureaucracy on their legacy needs and losing ways. We offer a viable alternative with the Preliminary Specification, our software development capability, our user community and service providers. This is a remove and replace strategy based on the greater force of economic change, creative destruction. The bureaucracy have begun their role in this process, its time the investors find the will to step up and direct the payments be made to us to begin these developments and for us to begin our work.

The Preliminary Specification and user community provides the oil and gas producer with the most dynamic, innovative and profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don't forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

Our Focus

We enter 2015 as the beginning of our second full year of user community developments. These developments are the primary focus at People, Ideas & Objects. Being user community based software developments is the only software that is useful and worthwhile, in my opinion. There is too much that the user is involved in that is not captured in most ERP systems that render them ineffective in today’s environment. I think that software in the future will be much different. If it is not crafted by the user for the user, it will not be used. Therefore we have set about making our priority the developments of our user community. A step that in most ERP integrations is skipped due to the time and costs of having the user involved in the developments, and is therefore the first thing that is cut. People, Ideas & Objects however have the time and have made the budget commitments to their development.

The scope and scale of the Preliminary Specification involves the entire oil and gas industry. Within this specification there are thousands of individual jobs that take months to learn. This learning is based on years of experience, education, knowledge and understanding. Turning to our software developers they will be very good but to assimilate that knowledge and understanding without access to the people that make up those thousands of positions. Garbage in, garbage out. That is why we have budgeted 2,000 man years of user community time in determining what is required to make the Preliminary Specification exactly what you need. We expect to access this information from a population of approximately 3,000 users. None of this is permanent full time work for any of the users, however there are significant opportunities for users in the People, Ideas & Objects environment.

Specifically user community participants are those that we look too to form the service provider firms that will manage the administrative and accounting processes on behalf of the oil and gas producers. In the decentralized production model all the administrative and accounting resources of the producer are stripped out and reorganized into service providers who are focused on one process and bill the individual Joint Operating Committees for their services. It will be these service providers that will replace the G&A expenses that are currently incurred by the oil and gas producers. Creating a revenue stream for the service providers in the range of $40 to 60 billion for the North American marketplace. A significant business opportunity for the user community participant. The ability of the service provider / user community participant to then have changes to the process that they manage can be easily accommodated through the software development capability provided by People, Ideas & Objects. Providing a constantly improving process based on improved specialization and division of labor efficiency, changes to the underlying business model, or other necessary business changes to the software. Providing the oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations.

It is the user community participant that is the source of the quality of our software offering and the services that are provided. We are all focused on providing the producer firm with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations as our key competitive advantage. A stark contrast to the current regimes chronic losses and self interested, self dealing. If this business opportunity is of interest to you then you should read our user community vision and follow the processes that are provided there.

Information Technology is disintermediating all industries. We are the oil and gas solution. The bureaucracy will be around for a while longer and will provide its own opportunities. If your comfortable there and you have plans to retire, or technology is not your cup of tea, then we might be the wrong choice for you. In fact I know we will. We expect that our users will all have high levels of Information Technology education that includes up to five or six university level course in Java and Relational Databases. If you don't have those, now is the time to register as there is plenty of time to get these behind you. You'll need them no matter what you do in the future. Its just becoming a different world in which to work.

The Preliminary Specification and user community provides the oil and gas producer with the most dynamic, innovative and profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don't forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

Where we Stand Today

We're heading into the Christmas season and a new year will be upon us soon. Its time to look back on 2014 and see what it is that we have accomplished, where it is that we are headed and what our plans are for 2015. Final editing of the Preliminary Specification was completed on December 20, 2013 so it is timely to say happy first birthday to our completed product. We started first thing in January of 2014 to begin the development of our user community. Therefore it is reasonable to state that we have now completed the first year of our three year plan to put the user community in place for the development of the Preliminary Specification. People, Ideas & Objects are committed to user based software developments. This commitment should be starting to show.

With respect to the development of the user community we were able to specify and publish our development budget. Although the budget details a range of what our costs will be. It has been determined that we will only commence developments with the full budget of $4 billion in place. It terms of the character of the user community we were able to determine a variety of specific positions within our leadership team. These positions number upwards of thirty and we have been actively recruiting for these positions throughout the year. Stay tuned for more information on these. If you have an interest in any of these positions please contact me through any of the contact information below. We have also seen a number of people that are interested in participating in the user community begin to make their presence known. These people do not have the desire to be part of the leadership team, however are interested in the work that we are doing and / or are interested in the work of the service providers. Lastly we were able to publish a user community vision that identifies the reason that this user community is not what has typically been a software development user community. And we will continue to build on these developments throughout 2015.

These efforts have to be undertaken and would be our priority even if we had the development resources in place. Our approach is different and therefore we have to educate the market to this difference. Therefore we are already incurring time and energy in efforts that would need to be incurred during our development. And as a result we are not wasting anytime as long as we stay focused and committed to our primary objective of developing the user community. It is important to note that we are not constrained in the development of our software deliverables by physics or anything tangible. It is the development of the user community and the ideas that will be generated within that domain that are our primary constraint. The abilities and capabilities of the user community are the constraints that we must live within. And those constraints are limited in the physical world by the speed of electrons. Therefore the need to start this work now is critical to the success of our entire initiative. Since we are working on that, it is therefore reasonable to state that we are in development.

People, Ideas & Objects have become very lucky as our decentralized production model has driven our value proposition into the stratosphere. And that was before Opec stepped in. I’ll be recalculating our value proposition in the new year but its probably safe to just start saying that its valued in the trillions. The downside of this is its just one issue. We provide so much more value for the dynamic, innovative and profitable oil and gas producer beyond just enabling them to be price makers. On top of all that the Preliminary Specification does do. We enable them to become organizationally flexible to address the future issues that will need to be addressed in similar ways through organizational changes in either the industry, producer or Joint Operating Committee. Something that they will be able to address through participation in the user community and its vision.

As we have discussed we'll be looking in early 2015 to the possibility that we can get some attention in terms of our solution in the marketplace. Attention that could enable our budget to be funded by the investors in the oil and gas industry directing their producer firms to fund our budget. This is an opportunity as the short, medium and long term commodity prices look terrible in North America and the bureaucrats think they are in the catbird seat. We need to at least get the attention of these investors to let them know that there are alternatives to the bureaucrats and they don't necessarily have to take the continued losses that they provide. This opportunity might provide us with the ability to reduce our development time by one year. Therefore it is something that we will make a reasonable attempt at. Otherwise we are sticking with our plan of developing the user community up to January 2017. At which time expect that the user community leadership team will be able to prove to the investors that we offer a viable alternative to the existing bureaucracy and our budget can be funded at that time.

In an earlier posting I noted that I would be taking six weeks off returning January 12, 2015. 2014 was a very good year for us. I think 2015 will be even better, so we'll see you then.

The Preliminary Specification and user community provides the oil and gas producer with the most dynamic, innovative and profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don't forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

No Posting Today

In recognition of the American Thanksgiving holiday.

What is the Long Term Outlook for Commodity Prices?

Oil and gas commodity prices continue to disappoint those within the industry. What we have currently is a situation where prices are depressed on both sides of the business. Creating difficulties for the North American producers. It has traditionally been the case that either oil or gas have been healthy enough to carry the other side of the business in terms of financial performance. It has been very rare that both sides are suffering at the same time as they are now.

Natural gas prices have declined and found a new pricing structure around 20 to 1 in terms of its valuation to oil. This is as a result of the shale gas production that began in 2008 and has flooded the market with almost 38 bcf / day in current production. That’s just in six years. Producers continue to develop the shale gas fields, and with their prolific production flood the market with new sources of natural gas. We should expect that this increase in shale gas production to continue as there has been no characteristic change in the behavior of the producers.

Oil prices began to decline in the summer as a result of Opec not wishing to continue to be subject to the loss of indirect market share from the U.S. shale oil producers. Saudi Arabia began to identify the U.S. specifically as the issue in terms of their justification for continued over production. If the U.S. shale producers can produce unprofitably at capacity, so can Opec.

So now we have a situation where the U.S. producers will see their fourth quarter financial results showing losses on all of their operations. The response to this situation by the bureaucrats that operate the producers is the classic shrug. Who is going to do anything about it. And they're right, without People, Ideas & Objects, the user community and the service providers the investors in the industry would have to sit and listen to this garbage.

If we advance this oil and gas pricing scenario forward any material amount of time, what happens? On the natural gas pricing side of the business the bureaucrats were granted their prayers with a cold winter in 2013 / 2014 that caused the prices to perk up a bit. However the shale gas producers have been able to reestablish those storage volumes during the 2014 summer season and now are producing more than ever. Assuming we get through the winter with a balanced supply and demand situation what will happen when the storage volumes don’t require the rebuilding that they traditionally need and the market is well supplied? Will the natural gas prices find a new market pricing structure around 35 to 1? What is the long term outcome of the natural gas producers strategy of producing at 100% capacity?

Pushing forward the oil and gas pricing scenario on the oil side sees a similar outcome. Recently the producers were found to be stating that they could continue to produce at much lower prices in the face of stiff Saudi opposition. Such is the need of the bureaucrat to ensure that they are seen as superior. Maybe I should have more respect for our potential customers as opposed to calling them fools and foolish. But they are fools for thinking that they can sit there and taunt the Saudis by saying they can make money at lower prices. The only people you are scaring are your investors. They have seen this behavior before when the natural gas business went under, they don't want to see the oil business go the same direction. The point being that continuing to lose money on production when you are producing at capacity is a fools game.

In both the oil and gas situation the market looks like more of the same to me. And the bureaucrats think that the situation is too difficult to change so they will remain in the position of power for the foreseeable future. Certainly long enough to complete that expansion on the cottage. “So why bother with anything, its not our money, lets just keep the show moving.”

This is why the investors need to read the Preliminary Specification. Become familiar with the user community and the service providers. They should be particularly interested in our value proposition and how we provide the oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations.

The Preliminary Specification and user community provides the oil and gas producer with the most dynamic, innovative and profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don't forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

A Foolish Consistency

“A foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds.”

Ralph Waldo Emerson

That is what comes to mind when I read so many comments from oil and gas bureaucrats regarding how they perceive the decline in oil and gas commodity prices. Each of their responses are the same “that we are still making profits” and nothing has changed. My first argument concerning these comments is that the net proceeds from the field are not profits, they're margins. When you take the revenues less royalties, production and transportation costs that is the margin that the property is providing the producer. There are significant additional costs included in determining the profit of that property. Such as what it cost to drill the well which needs to be depreciated and the reserves depleted. Additional costs include an allocation of all of those thousands of people you employ in the head office. Then maybe you will begin to determine what “profit” really is.

As I have stated before it is detrimental to the industry to display that the bureaucrats have such a poor financial understanding. If they do not comprehend the business from a level in which they can articulate the situation to the financial community. In a way that is consistent with financial expectations then they should find someone who can or just be quiet. Right now all this talk of continuing to be profitable is setting up expectations that they are still profitable. And we all know that if the producers are operating on skinny margins in the oil sector, they are losing money after the deduction of the capital costs of current production and the associated overhead. Adding the losses on the oil side to the known losses on the natural gas side of the business and these bureaucrats will be reporting big losses in April and May of 2015 for the fiscal year of 2014. So why set yourself up for angry and disappointed investors that will believe you deceived them?

One producer was quoted in World Oil as stating...

“They're not shutting in because that’s all ‘sunk costs,’” he said of U.S. shale producers, “So you're not going to get a lot of producers stopping at 75 buck oil.”

This logic is a holdover from the 17th century. In the 21st century the dynamic, innovative and profitable oil and gas producer will use People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specification. Which will enable them to use the decentralized production model and agree among the Joint Operating Committee to shut-in their unprofitable properties. And by doing so they will be able to remove the excess production from the marketplace, increasing the price of the commodity. Save their reserves for the day when they can be produced profitably. And reduce the unprofitable property from their inventory of producer properties, therefore increasing their firms overall current profits. Again this would be a more constructive posture than applying confusing messages to the investment community and applying 17th century thinking to the current situation. However, I am on record as being on the outside of the industry due to the bureaucracies dislike of my ideas. Therefore I am liberated in my application of criticism of their performance, or lack of it.

Does anyone believe that these bureaucrats would, could, wanted to, are capable of, or are willing to change? I think the investors are beginning to see the extent of the little minds that are at play in the bureaucracy of the oil and gas industry. I see the commodity price issues as being a severe challenge to many of the oil and gas producers. There however seems to be an ongoing orchestrated discussion regarding climate change, carbon capture, carbon tax, carbon exchanges and the like by the CEO’s of the major producers. Why, it should be asked, would they discuss the potential losses they're incurring? This situation is fascinating to me. It will soon be time for the investors to act and direct their producer firms to fund People, Ideas & Objects and begin a new way of operations in the oil and gas industry.

The Preliminary Specification and user community provides the oil and gas producer with the most dynamic, innovative and profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don't forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

What it is that we are doing.

We are moving to provide the organizational structure, software and industry infrastructure for the producer firm to achieve the most dynamic, innovative and profitable means of oil and gas operations. This is done through an innovative business model that is defined and supported in the People, Ideas & Objects ERP software. The innovative business model is built around the industry standard Joint Operating Committee the legal, financial, operational decision making, cultural, communication, strategic and innovative framework of the industry. By adopting these frameworks in our software and aligning them with the hierarchies compliance and governance frameworks. We achieve a speed, innovativeness, accountability and profitability in our producer firms.

We are user community based software developments. We have developed a unique revenue model and used it as the basis of our user community vision. A vision that empowers the user community with the capabilities to enact change within the industry. Creating a change dynamic in the organizational structure of the dynamic, innovative and profitable oil and gas producer. Software is the cement that holds organizations together in the 21st century. Once the software is operational in your organization it is also the biggest constraint to any future changes. Without an empowered and capable user community these constraints will disable the oil and gas producer to make any changes in their tactical or strategic operations. Much as what we see today in their response to the decline in natural gas prices and will see in response to the oil price declines. Without the enabled and capable user communities ability to foresee the difficulty in the producer firms. Determine the correct changes that need to be made to the software to enable the producer firms to avoid the negative situations. We will see the negative behaviors continue on in a never ending cycle of failure. Much as we have seen in the continued operation of the natural gas business since the collapse of the commodity prices.

The user community has been empowered with the level of capabilities and power that they need in order to make these types of changes in the oil and gas industry. Without the user community vision they would be just any other user group that people would participate in and push some paper around. That is not the type of user community that we are developing here at People, Ideas & Objects. First of all through the revenue model the user community will be provided with the resources to undertake the substantial work that we are discussing. Secondly they are the go-to group in terms of the changes that are needed by the producers. People, Ideas & Objects are committed to the user community in terms of listening only to them in terms of what to develop. We engage in no Service Level Agreements with producers and have no direct relationship with them other than the license agreement that they use our Intellectual Property for and we generate our fees from. If they need something it is the user community they need to turn to. Thirdly, under license from myself the user community is in control of the Intellectual Property that makes up the software. Therefore they are able to prepare derivative works and provide the solutions that are necessary to meet the industries needs today and tomorrow.

By using the Joint Operating Committee in the Preliminary Specification we have shown that its use is able to deal with the administrative and accounting issues of the industry. But what is more important is that it is able to solve the operational issues as well. And particularly the way that the decentralized production model would solve today’s problem regarding low oil and gas commodity prices. As well as other operational difficulties. Use of the Joint Operating Committee is a powerful tool for a software developer. And in the hands of a user community it will provide extensive value beyond the trillions of dollars that we can already quantify today.

The Preliminary Specification and user community provides the oil and gas producer with the most dynamic, innovative and profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don't forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.

"The Big Crew Change" and Our User Community

Some have begun calling the issue of the turnover in the earth science and engineering disciplines over the next few years “The Big Crew Change.” The difficulty of course is that it is expected that upwards of 50% of the existing technical resources will be retiring in the short term. This of course can’t be handled by the universities as there are only so many people that are oriented to petroleum geology and engineering and it takes at least ten years to effectively train an individual. Therefore the industry has a clearly identified issue however, with the bureaucracy, they are clearly able to see the issue, as in low commodity prices, but unable to think of anything to do about them or implement any plan to deal with the issue. This post deals with the Preliminary Specifications method of dealing with the “Big Crew Change” and the user communities involvement during development.

Simply in the case of technical resource restrictions of the like that the industry is faced with. The only method of dealing with the issue is through specialization and the division of labor. If we look at the configuration of the oil and gas producers as they are today we see that each and every producer is developing their earth science and engineering capabilities to deal with every contingency that they are responsible for as operator of the properties. Therefore they have to build in contingent resources in order to ensure that they are able to deal with the ability to meet the demands of what the makeup of their properties might require. This surplus capacity leads to unused and unusable surplus capacity that the producer incurs on a day to day basis in their earth science and engineering resources.

If we aggregate the unused and unusable surplus capacity of the industry we have a sizeable amount of resources that are made available to us if we reorganize the industry. If we dispatch the concept of operatorship to the scrap heap. And introduce the idea of pooling of the technical resources within the partnership represented in the Joint Operating Committee. We can effectively eliminate the unused and unusable surplus capacity within the industry.

In addition we can have the individual producer firm focus on areas of specialization and further provide a division of labor in the earth science and engineering disciplines that will enable us to deal with the “Big Crew Change.” If we assume that these technical disciplines continue with their current progress. The status quo requirement of a producer will require each producer to cover off each of these new technical specializations themselves. Rendering the producer firm uncommercial in the marketplace due to the overhead caused by the expanded earth science and engineering resource requirements. Approaching this issue in the pooling fashion of the Preliminary Specification, where each producer specializes and then pools with their partners, is the only reasonable manner in which to deal with the “Big Crew Change.”

The user community has a distinct role in the development of this solution. The pooling of these technical resources is handled in the Research & Capabilities and Knowledge & Learning modules of the Preliminary Specification. It will be there that the specifics of the producers capabilities are listed and promoted between the members of the Joint Operating Committee in order to be selected as the key member to deal with the specific technical demands as they occur. The software developments in these modules will need to have the know how and understanding of how to create and enable these new and innovative interfaces in the oil and gas industry and that will come from the user community.

It is the resolution of the big issues that the industry faces that the user community is addressing in the developments of their software. That is the importance of this user community in the industry. They are the ones that are able to make the changes in the makeup of the industry. To reorganize the resources in different ways in order to solve the problems that we face. And that is the power that is provided to you the user community through the user community vision. And this must be how the oil and gas industry develops from this point forward. As we can see the bureaucracy is failing on all major elements of the industries needs. And through People, Ideas & Objects, the user community and our service providers the bureaucracy needs to be removed and replaced.

The Preliminary Specification and user community provides the oil and gas producer with the most dynamic, innovative and profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don't forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

The Speed Limits on Change, Have Been Erased

We are about to move into the Christmas season and all will slow down for the next couple of months. I think that it will be an appropriate time for people to assess the situation in terms of the future of the oil and gas industry and which side they want to be on. The bureaucracy, or to be with People, Ideas & Objects user community. I would suggest that each individual in the oil and gas industry has to make this decision at some point in the next few years. You're either with us, or against us, there is no common ground with the bureaucracy. Theirs is a form of organization and means of operation that is finished. I think the writing is on the wall with both oil and gas prices falling now, incurring financial losses and producers having no ability to deal with the problems.

Bureaucracies can't, won't and don't change. The level of change necessary within the industry to address the issues presented by the drop in these commodity prices. Require such high levels of organizational and structural change that the time, energy and capabilities to complete these changes are beyond what can be expected of these bureaucracies. Or, they have the choice in which they could implement the Preliminary Specification. Which they won’t do because it is effectively suicide for their like and its way of life. They have had almost a decade to deal with me. They have chosen at each opportunity to not deal with me. I now chose not to deal with them. Theirs is a value proposition and opportunity without any future. We would only be dragged down into a death spiral with them.

That is to say that for an individual to be choosing to stay with the bureaucracy is not an irrational choice. For personal reasons someone may be at the end of their career and looking to top out of their pension plan. Who could argue with that. Some may feel that we are to much change. Which they are uncomfortable with and therefore will stick with what they know. There are many reasons that people will reasonably choose to stay with the bureaucracy. There is a job that needs to be done while we are in our software developments and it will be up to somebody to do it while we are otherwise busy. The bureaucracy will be around for a while longer and these people can finish out their careers there.

In terms of the choice of moving to People, Ideas & Objects I can only assure you that it will be interesting and it is probably best to think of it as an adventure. I don't think anything of this scope and scale has ever been undertaken in the industry before. We won't be boring. I think it is evident that the demand for industry level change is in the air and we can leverage that to have our budget funded. I don't expect anyone to have to make any financial sacrifice in order to participate in these software developments. There is career risk however, that is something that will be within your control. And what exactly is the bureaucracy offering you in the future with their flawed business model?

In 2015 the speed of “things” is going to become an order of magnitude faster. The future will belong to those that are prepared. That will be the only manner in which to earn a living. Being prepared for what’s next. If you sit and wait for things to involve you, I think you’ll be living in the poor house and subject to the negative consequences of change. Information Technology driven change in commercial enterprises will be the trend in the next 20 years that will not stop. People, Ideas & Objects is configured to be that change driven agent in oil and gas. Your participation with us is your choice. The fact of the matter is that 2015 will be the year that people will look back and consider that that was the year that it all started to happen. That’s when Information Technologies in all industries began to make the economy more productive and businesses more profitable. That’s when things really began to change.

The Preliminary Specification and user community provides the oil and gas producer with the most dynamic, innovative and profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don't forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

General Comment on the "Shaky" Economy

From time to time I have made my views known on the state of the general economy. This is an important issue to People, Ideas & Objects, the user community and the service providers as the economic trend that began in 2008 works its way through the economy. I recently posted that I saw things beginning to look a bit “shaky” again. I think we can now put some definite facts on that “shaky” hypothesis. If you select the Perez label from this blog you will find the posts that discuss Professor Carlota Perez’ theories on Information Technology based change. She has been one of the leading researchers in the area of economic change as a result of innovations. Her analysis shows the phases that economies progress through in order to implement the type of changes necessary to accept a new technology. For the oil and gas industry to accept People, Ideas & Objects, the user community and the service providers a higher level of general economic pain would be necessary in her model. Once this occurs we can reach the highly productive, highly rewarding new economy that awaits us. Much like the industrial revolution which her theories are based upon.

In my last post regarding the general economy I suggested that the best description that I have heard about why the great depression occurred was that it was the failure of governments. Since 2008 we have seen the heightened role of governments in the general economy of all countries. Possibly Japan is the best example of this as they have been in a poor economic situation since 1992. And it was in 1992 that they had a remarkably high level of government involvement of 30% of GDP in their economy. And today that is at an unbelievably high level of 40%. Whether its Japan, Europe, the U.S., or China it seems that the news regarding the economy is usually directed by the government. The reliance on markets is something that got us into the difficulties of 2008, is the thinking. And markets is what needs to be regulated out of the system. We are so far from being a capitalist or free system that it is frightening to think how far we have come. Canada should be held out as the last good hope.

Of course the ability to deal with the problem is not being addressed by these governments. Addressing the debt of these countries is the issue. In a zero interest rate environment no one has reduced their debt or balanced their budget. Each country continues on in an unsustainable manner borrowing, or now printing, their way out of the difficulties they face. European debt commands less of a discount rate than the U.S. This is only evidence that its a confidence game. Are you really going to buy that European paper? Japan has now fallen into a recession. The U.S. dollar is surging as there is probably an ongoing flight to quality.

However, one of the most effective economic indexes in these trying times has become the Baltic Dry Index. The cost to move freight collapsed in 2008 as there became an overcapacity of container ships. You can’t idle containerships. Their hull’s will become infested with mussels and can become unusable due to the high fuel costs needed to propel them. Therefore they are deployed for just the fuel costs. Hence the Baltic Dry Index will drop in times of low economic activity. The Baltic Dry Index collapsed in 2008 and hasn't really recovered. It is once again under stress. Governments can’t control the microeconomic levels of supply and demand of individuals and businesses. And therefore we could be heading into another downturn.

What tools are at the government's disposal to fight another downturn? In a word, nothing. All the bullets have been fired that can be. At some point the market will do what it thinks is in its best interests. If that involves an individual cashing in that bond then that is what it will do and the government, if it still exists, will pay the owner what its worth, or what it can.

This will go down as the next big example of the failure of centralization. The movement to markets will be the solution and decentralized decision making within those markets the answer. Centralization and bureaucracies are both failures. Why we have to turn to them is something that we just seem to do. Once they fail however we seem to make the right choice and turn to the marketplace as the solution. The Preliminary Specification has three marketplaces, the decentralized production model, and provides the oil and gas producer with the most dynamic, innovative and profitable means of oil and gas operations.

The Preliminary Specification and user community provides the oil and gas producer with the most dynamic, innovative and profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don't forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.