This One's Nuclear, Part IV
People, Ideas & Objects observed North American oil & gas producers exhibiting disconcerting behavior. In October and November 2023, I highlighted how natural gas mismanagement and lost market development opportunities impacted pricing. Prices plummeted in July 2007 from a 6 to 1 ratio against oil to as much as 40 to 1 in 2023. We discussed how producers lacked production discipline. Suffered from chronic and systemic overproduction, and could resolve these issues through our Preliminary Specification. Since November 2023, the natural gas crisis has worsened. Reaching a magnitude of over $4 trillion in lost revenue during that 16 year period. A critical shortfall in LNG contracts is hindering producers' ability to stabilize the market for the foreseeable future. Their sole solution is to implement the Preliminary Specification's decentralized production model's price maker strategy. Enforcing production discipline based on the only fair and reasonable basis, profitability of the Joint Operating Committee. It is necessary for them to adopt People, Ideas & Objects, our user community and their service providers drive towards preservation, performance and profitability.
Oil & gas prices in North America have worsened because of chronic overproduction. Adopting our decentralized production model will introduce the most equitable means of production discipline available to producers. If the Joint Operating Committee earns a “real” profit, then it produces; if not, it’s shut in for these business benefits:
- Shutting in unprofitable properties prevents the dilution of a producer's profitable properties' performance, leading to their highest corporate profitability.
Reserves, safeguarding the firm's assets is a role of officers and directors.
- Producers keep their reserves in order to produce them profitably at a later date.
- Producers reduce operating and storage costs by leaving overproduction of oil & gas as reserves.
- Reserves do not need to cover the additional costs from prior losses.
Deployment of their strategic competitive advantages of their earth science & engineering capacities and capabilities.
- While shutting in a property, producers will work to innovatively restore the properties profitability.
Performance & Profitability.
- Making independent business decisions based on actual, factual, standard and objective accounting which determines a Joint Operating Committees profitability. Does not constitute collusion, despite what officers and directors suggest.
- North American producers benefit when they produce all their properties with marginal prices.
- Prices will reflect the replacement value of production. Price makers only initiate new production when profitable.
- Markets provide one thing: the price, which incorporates all information buyers and sellers need to make effective decisions.
- Producers with profitable operations will have their capital repeatedly returned when recognizing depletion in the price of the commodity. Investors in effect were subsidizing the consumer's energy consumption by paying the capital costs of the commodity.
Overhead burden is reduced, shared and made variable, based on profitable production.
- Our Cloud Administration & Accounting for Oil & gas Software & Service will be a shared resource for all producers administrative and accounting needs.
- Reduces the need for each producer to build redundant, unshared and unshareable administrative and accounting capabilities.
- With the Preliminary Specification, shutting in production results in a null operation. All producer costs, including overheads, become variable based on profitability.
- Producers recoup overhead costs as cash in the subsequent month when they include these costs in the commodity sales price. In today's producer business model overhead is capitalized and cash is recovered over a twenty year period.
- Creating the dependence on outside sources of capital.
Future capital needs will exceed any expectation that the past “investor-funded model” could finance. The Preliminary Specification provides the financial resources to support dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil & gas producers.
It’s crucial for producers to broaden their competitive scope in capital markets, leveraging innovative strategies outlined in the Preliminary Specification. Investors have alternatives in other industries, and oil & gas must offer competitive returns.
- Competing in capital markets will foster the production discipline necessary across the industry.
- Producers who continue to neglect profitable production, dilute earnings with incurred losses. Continuing to fail to compete in the broader capital market and against peers.
- Why continue to lose money when significant capital demands are on the horizon.
- Profitability drives value creation, supplying the financial resources necessary for the producers.
- But also generating value in the secondary and tertiary industries that support oil & gas.
- Businesses and industries operate on profitable business models.
- Oil & gas producers have relied on investors to generate the cash they needed.
- Investors were deceived by the specious financial reporting that were conducted for several decades throughout the industry.
- That’s over, they need to admit that and realize that profitable operations will provide them with all the money they need.
- However, today we can state unequivocally that the culture doesn’t know how, where or what that would involve for their organization to begin to earn profits.
- Operations of the industry on this basis, for four decades, has diminished the assets performance criteria to well below standard.
People, Ideas & Objects, our user community and their service providers enable producers to restore oil & gas market prices and capture replacement costs as cash for reinvestment, dividends, and debt reduction—consistently and repeatedly. Only then can they tackle the next 25 years, a period that will be the most challenging in the industry's history. Instituting a new culture based on the seven Organizational Constructs of the Preliminary Specification.
Producers firms' officers and directors have not engaged in any material or exceptional activity in retirements or resignations. It’s important to note that People, Ideas & Objects received no contact from the producers about our product since raising the LNG issue in November 2023. Clearly, they feel in control and will continue with their regular operations, despite facing a serious existential crisis with no support for their capital structure. Operational field capacities are at best one third of prior years and diminishing. From the eia.gov
They see consolidation as the solution to their unidentified and unexpressed issue. They have a culture that does not generate value, no plans or vision, or understanding of how to generate profit. They only mock those such as People, Ideas & Objects and now Reuters for raising trillion-dollar issues. And when issues materialize, officers and directors will “muddle through.” What will “muddle through” do with the higher cash flows necessary to meet the future capital needs? Will they begin using them prudently or revert to their cultural propensities?
Eighteen months ago, producers renounced shale's commercial viability for their clean energy adventures, only to be corrected. And in late 2023, finding that $4.0 trillion in natural gas revenues passed through their fingers. That non-participants of the oil & gas industry in fact have realized their revenues. Revenues that were available to them since August 2012 through the publication and development of People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specification. A decade lost! What will they say in their defence?
Or perhaps officers and directors realized they can’t leave now. If they do, their officers and directors insurance will be null and void as a result of not doing anything. The threat existed and now it’s real, and without the Preliminary Specification it will be lost on a prospective basis. The warning was being made on this blog and our Preliminary Research Report since May 2004. They can not say they were unaware. If they did, their officers and directors insurance wouldn’t cover them. Their fiduciary duty assumes they knew of the risk. And would therefore be subject to having their personal assets used to compensate investors.
People, Ideas & Objects rewrote the Preliminary Specification in 2023. I adhere to the U.S. dollar budget requirements detailed in the Profitable Production Rights model. If industry wishes to engage, People, Ideas & Objects is keeping the following option open until February 16, 2024.
- Industry will need to send a non refundable option of $30 million U.S. to extend the offer until April 12, 2025. In time for the Annual Report season.
- Then pay the development funds by April 12, 2025. These funds support the development of the Preliminary Specification.
- If they miss either of these deadlines, they’ll face consequences by holding themselves personally accountable for the destruction we warned about, has manifested and they’ve disregarded for nearly two decades.
- Accountability demands they do something to correct this.
- None of that means anything to them. However, if they don’t they’ll only make their personal situation more complicated. It's the officers and directors' decision.
- If they miss the February 16, 2024 deadline, we will reinstate the full Profitable Production Rights funding method.
- Officers and directors will then need to explain to their shareholders the loss of an extra 5% or more in future revenues through that method of software development financing.
- Consistent with the Preliminary Specifications value proposition. Reuters stated that $2.6 trillion in incremental revenue is on the table in the next few years. This demands action from those who have the responsibility, accountability and resources necessary to deal with it.
People, Ideas & Objects deadlines are structured to deal with the sense of urgency necessary for industry to resolve its issues and realize its opportunities. Time is of the essence. Our value proposition of $25.7 to $45.7 trillion dollars over the next 25 years is now recognized elsewhere, is valid and available through development and implementation of the Preliminary Specification. The argument we’ve put across in support of our business model has been met with consistent lies, blaming and what we call viable scapegoats from the officers and directors of the producer firms. They thought we were seeking attention by putting out ridiculous numbers to gain attention to what we were doing. On the contrary we were doing our job and had a clear handle on the scope and scale of what was not being managed appropriately. Today the oil & gas and service industry are in shambles. An active rebuilding is necessary on an all hands basis. Any rebuild, particularly one in the 21st century, needs to be organized first and foremost. And doing so outside of an ERP system would fail. This development needs to be outside the control of the current officers and directors for two reasons.
- To avoid their cultural influences and establish the seven Organizational Constructs of the Preliminary Specification as the replacement culture.
- It appears since the LNG contracts and the opportunity to remedy the prices in the past decade were missed. Officers and directors did not know or understand the issue.
- If they don’t understand the issue, how will they solve it?
- If they have to avoid the Intellectual Property of People, Ideas & Objects what will they use?
- Who will conduct the research over the next decade to build that business model?
I’ve been seeking to resolve this since the July 1986 oil price collapse. Organizing my first approach in May 1991. Undertaking the necessary and difficult decade of research to resolve the issues and exploit the opportunities in oil & gas. A task that has not been undertaken by producers or any of People, Ideas & Objects competitors.
Please contact, and join me in making North American oil & gas producers dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable. Only through profitability can the industry continue and obtain the preservation, performance and profitability we need from these two critical products. Everyone in oil & gas clearly understands why profits are necessary and what happens when they’re not earned. Oil & gas has its most challenging and demanding future ahead of it. It will demand the best of everyone and no one can be left out of this rebuilding process. If someone is looking for urgent, challenging and important work they’ll need to look no further than here.