The Preliminary Specifications 13th Module, Artificial Intelligence (AI)
With People, Ideas & Objects, our user community and their service provider organizations we have a powerful combination of proposed capacities and capabilities available for the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry and producers. Assuming our budget is financed at some point in the future. Which I can only conclude at this time will occur as long as the associated difficulties in oil and gas persist. And therefore our funding is a certainty. When we add to this the incomprehensible list of capacities and capabilities of the products and services of Oracle Corporation. Add to these the models and markets that are built upon the use of the Joint Operating Committee in the Preliminary Specification. We will have a strong foundation in which to begin the resolution of industry issues and ensure that real profitability is earned everywhere and always throughout North America. I dare ask what the bureaucrats are offering? And will the cost of their option be any less than the trillions of dollars irretrievably lost so far?
People, Ideas & Objects have chosen our distinct competitive advantages to be our user community, Intellectual Property and research as the three areas of our domain to focus upon. These are how we earn our profits. We are a commercial operation and we will always be one as we’ve learned, as has everyone else in oil and gas, what the meaning and value of real profitability is. Without real profitability there is nothing. Within the Preliminary Specification there is the Security & Access Control module that sets out the necessary security and data access to those in the industry. Providing access to the right information at the right time to the right people with the right authority at the right location. Two other modules are the Performance Evaluation for the Joint Operating Committee and the Analytics & Statistics module for the producer firm. These modules are tools that build upon the basic data within the greater Preliminary Specification and Oracle applications in order to provide value to users. Organizing this data in an integrated matter and permitting two different perspectives of that same data. One perspective from the point of view of the Joint Operating Committee, accessible by each of the members of that committee. And the other perspective of the producer overseeing their entire proprietary accounting and administrative data.
Recently we announced that People, Ideas & Objects would be developing as part of the Preliminary Specification, our own data model as a core part of our Intellectual Property. Our data model will be unique to our user communities needs and accommodate the data models used within the Oracle ERP Cloud products. In addition, another aspect of People, Ideas & Objects is the Technological Vision we set out on August 26, 2006 of this blog. It has four components that are in place today, and we feel they provide us with significant differentiation of our product and service offering and will provide real value to the oil and gas industry and producers, enhancing their profitability once implemented. These four technologies consist of Java, Wireless Networks, IPv6 and the application of what we describe as Asynchronous Process Management. A term that we developed that we won’t be getting into today, but will soon. We are wirelessly capable today with both WiFi and Cellular networks. Soon we’ll have the addition of space based networks such as Elon Musk's SpaceX StarLink network. As background these four technologies enable the Internet of Things (IoT) in an industry that is based on the earth sciences and the applied science of engineering. Where the chemical components of oil and gas are measured and monitored in terms of pressure and temperature. The capacity and capability to monitor and control an unlimited means of devices throughout the producers domain. Java and IPv6 enable the addressing capabilities to ensure that the device that is being sought to monitor and control, is the precise device that is being accessed. Java is a typed language which doesn’t confuse itself as to which variable is which, etc. IPv6 networks may appear as if they’ve not been implemented, but that is not the case. They are available through Oracle’s ERP Cloud offering. And the most significant IPv6 implementation to date has to be the cellular phone networks since 4G or LTE. Cellular phones such as Apple and Android devices are IPv6 based devices accessing network voice and data over an IPv6 network.
Therefore it is here we will have the total data set of the historical and proprietary data for the producer firm. The historical data of each Joint Operating Committee. Analytical tools to enhance the meaning of that data and generate the necessary ad-hoc information that the producer may find of value for their unique competitive advantages of their land and asset base, earth science and engineering capabilities. Although these will be used in ways that are unique and value generating in each of the producer firms. And within each of the members of the Joint Operating Committee. There will be a base infrastructure that’ll be prepared and provided to each of the producers on a continuous basis through the People, Ideas & Objects et al infrastructure that I’ve defined here.
Let's talk about that data. The reason there is no production discipline in the oil and gas industry is that every producer is a spending machine focused on the “great science experiment” as I call it. Therefore it’s not a business and never will be a business with business objectives as long as the bureaucrats remain in place. Production discipline could be imposed by forming a North American cartel, (illegal) government production mandates where no one is ever satisfied with their allocation or implementing the Preliminary Specification. Only the Preliminary Specifications method of production allocation based on “real” profitability provides for fair and equitable means of production discipline. If the property continues to produce a profit then it continues to produce. Otherwise why would you continue to produce if a properties loss reduces the overall profitability of the producer firm, effectively destroying the value of the properties reserves, adding the cost of the ongoing incremental losses to the costs of the reserves and removing the marginal, or unprofitable, production from the commodities market so that they may find their marginal prices. Marginal prices not just for the unprofitable property but all properties across the North American continent. Markets provide one thing and only one thing, their price and bureaucrats refuse to listen to prices even when it's negative $40. They claim our method of production allocation is collusion which is laughable. If making independent business decisions based on detailed, actual, factual accounting that determines the state of the properties profitability is collusion, then bureaucrats belong back in the former Soviet Union.
It is our user communities service provider organizations that provide the means to instill the production discipline across the North American oil and gas producers. Service providers are a reallocation of the existing producers administrative and accounting resources into approximately 3,000 individual companies. There the service provider will focus on one process and apply that process across the entire industry's data set. It will be at each of the service providers where the application of the individual process will be conducted on a standard, objective, actual and factual basis across the industry. This will be done as a result of each of these processes will be highly engineered during the development of the Preliminary Specification and continuously improved by the user community members in order to meet the requirements of the industry, regulators and all other stakeholders. And of course the producers and Joint Operating Committees needs. Therefore when the time comes to review the Joint Operating Committees individual, complete and comprehensive financial statements for the month, a feature of the Preliminary Specification. And they find that a property, for whatever reason, is no longer profitable they can confidently conclude the property needs to be shut-in. They’ll know that every other property in the industry has been assessed on the same objective, standard, actual and factual accounting basis and as a result each producer can accept that the accounting treatment they received on that property was no different in terms of being better or worse than any other property of theirs or any other producers. And therefore knowing that the focus of the producer is to maximize profits everywhere and always, any unprofitable properties only dilute their overall corporate profitability as well as collapse the commodity prices across their production profile and therefore will appreciate the value of this objective accounting information. They will be able to move the property to their inventory of shut-in properties where their earth science and engineering capabilities can be innovatively applied to rehabilitate the property in some manner to bring it back to profitability. All net positives for the producer and industry overall.
In summary once again this infrastructure we’re building is to provide the North American oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas production, everywhere and always. As discussed, on top of this data we have two modules, the Performance Evaluation, and Analytics & Statistics modules that will provide enhanced tools to analyze this framework for their competitive advantage. The Preliminary Specifications thirteenth module that we’re announcing today is to simply enhance this ERP framework with Artificial Intelligence and that is the name we will be applying to our thirteenth module. Why would producers and the industry be satisfied to continue with low grade and failing ERP systems and specious accounting practices? Each producer as a single entity has nowhere near the resources, capabilities or capacity in which they need to be able to begin developing the automation of their business processes, specialization and demands of this environment. An environment that will be a given from a technological architecture point of view. However, we do know bureaucrats are more than capable of muddling through these technical changes. Maintaining poor quality systems and specious accounting have fulfilled their purpose in oil and gas. Allowing the bureaucrats to continue with their charade will only take the industry into further jeopardy.
The structure of our user community is the means in which the producer firms enhance their ERP software. If they want or need changes to their existing systems, who do they go to in today’s environment, who has authority at the producer, who has authority at the software vendor? Good luck with that question. In the Preliminary Specification people will only need to speak to the relevant user community member(s). Only the user community is licensed to make changes and prepare derivative works of the Intellectual Property of the Preliminary Specification and any additions. Our developers are licensed to take directions only from user community members in terms of what to develop. They are blind, deaf and dumb to all others. User community members population is approximately the same as the service provider organizations they lead. They are focused on their area of expertise and are applying their specialization, division of labor, quality, automation, innovation, integration, leadership, issue identification and resolution, creativity, collaboration, ideas, design, planning, thinking, negotiating, compromising and using conflict and contradictions to get to the source of the issues as their key competitive advantages throughout their organization. User community members are the principles of the service providers whose role it is to provide their tacit knowledge as a service, in addition to the explicit knowledge that is captured in the People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specifications software, by the user community member, of which their service providers are using and providing to the industry.
This user community and their service provider organizations are the intellectual framework of the oil and gas industry in terms of accounting and administration. It would be my hope, my anticipation and expectation that one day this would provide the industry with the software and services that anticipated the needs, issues and opportunities that oil and gas would face. The Preliminary Specifications software would be dealing with what it is that’s concerning the industry. Taking a leadership role in the development of the administrative and accounting of the industry. Therefore leveraging this framework as I described it earlier would be a natural extension of what it could, but most importantly should be doing. Moving the Artificial Intelligence for ERP domain within the user community and service provider domain therefore is a natural and necessary fit. My thinking on this began as a result of the announcement by Mr. Thomas Siebel and his Artificial Intelligence firm C3.ai Inc. Thomas Siebel sold Siebel Systems to Oracle Corporation a number of years ago. The purpose behind C3.ai Inc is consistent with the theme that is present in the ERP marketplace. Individual companies can spend vast amounts of money and time internally on ERP systems or Artificial Intelligence with no benefit, wasted investment and unnecessary demand on critical AI and ERP resources. Mr. Siebel suggests that there is a 99% failure rate of internal corporate AI initiatives. We’ve seen this in oil and gas with their announced AI initiatives of a number of years ago being applied at the time to their chronic lack of profitability. The results of those initiatives are forthcoming, I guess.
Centralizing the resources of the industry into Artificial Intelligence based ERP developments which will be developed and deployed through the People, Ideas & Objects et al framework that I’ve described in this post. Is an efficiency that is consistent with the theme of ERP developments. The demands of software development are no longer a capability that can be attained in-house in order to ensure the full scope of the organizations needs are covered. The same applies to AI. Therefore the Preliminary Specifications consolidation of the industries resources on one focused development in an objective, standard and compliant manner offers better functionality and capability at considerably less cost. Oracle has AI initiatives with their Oracle ERP Cloud, the base of our solution, and we will therefore be adopting those tools. I believe that the addition of the thirteenth modules AI capabilities is a natural extension of our user community and their service provider organizations and an efficient use of industry resources. Enabling producers to focus on their key competitive advantages of their land and asset base, earth science and engineering capabilities profitably. Incurring the time and energy to build the capacity and capability of ERP based AI once, and sharing the cost and this initiatives success across the industry. But there's more, the demand on the AI resources in terms of the practitioners would be too high to ensure that any producer was able to attain any level of AI competitive advantage or even competency in the industry in ERP based AI. It would also be duplicating the capability of the user community in this area. Just asking for a friend, why is there that 99% failure rate? What’s that saying; garbage in, garbage out.
One of the aspects of the Preliminary Specification is that the administrative and accounting burden of each individual producer is substantially reduced as a result of the changes we will be instituting. These changes are a result of the burden of the producers' fixed, unshared and unshareable, administrative and accounting capabilities are reallocated to the variable and shared administrative and accounting capabilities of the industry. Variable based on production. Another key attribute that we’re using to reduce the costs of administrative and accounting, yet increase the performance and quality of our offering is by using specialization and the division of labor to be distributed across our service providers. These two elements of the Preliminary Specification will work to enhance the cost performance of the producers as we believe that overhead costs are substantial, and are one of the reasons responsible for their chronic unprofitability. Specialization increases the performance trajectory of the service providers administrative and accounting resources by increasing their capacity with the same or even fewer resources. We also apply this principle in the area of software development. More importantly is the unshared nature of the current, bureaucratic and redundant spending of the same overhead costs within each siloed producer organization in areas that are not distinct competitive advantages of the producers.
A key difference between what People, Ideas & Objects have proposed is the Artificial Intelligence module is properly constructed after the models, markets, architecture, infrastructure, functionality, organization and data is assembled. Bureaucrats have been using Artificial Intelligence to enhance their thinking for the past number of years. It has provided no results that we can see or are aware of. In fact it seems to People, Ideas & Objects that AI may have just been another viable scapegoat at the time to ensure their investors knew the bureaucrats were on the job. Except they haven’t any data that is usable. Without that data being organized and managed appropriately what purpose is AI? Oracle has recently stated that IoT may increase the volumes of data five fold by the year 2025. It may be a good time for the industry to start concerning themselves with such petty and annoying things like data and profits, but then I’m biased. Secondly each producer running around spending money on a new initiative that is the next great thing is consistent with the phenomenon we’ve seen repeatedly in the industry and have tagged with the “Keystone Cops” label.
The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations, everywhere and always. Setting the foundation for profitable North American energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects have published a white paper “Profitable, North American Energy Independence -- Through the Commercialization of Shale.” that captures the vision of the Preliminary Specification and our actions. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. Anyone can contact me at 713-965-6720 in Houston or 587-735-2302 in Calgary, or email me here.