And Just Like That, Everything Changes, Again
Oracle CloudWorld 2023
Generative Artificial Intelligence was the technological theme of the Oracle CloudWorld 2023 conference. Oracle has now entrenched their entire product line into these tools with Larry Ellison stating “Generative AI is transformational.” North American producers need to be careful not to become the technically illiterate, second cousin of the S&P 500. What we see in Oracle's examples throughout the conference is. Generative AI is a productivity tool that enhances automation and supports the user with their dynamic needs of how to employ their systems efficiently. Wikipedia defines Generative AI.
Generative artificial intelligence is artificial intelligence capable of generating text, images, or other media, using generative models. Generative AI models learn the patterns and structure of their input training data and then generate new data that has similar characteristics. Wikipedia
In terms of the Oracle CloudWorld 2023 conference, I see the introduction of Generative AI into Oracle Cloud ERP to be of similar significance to last year's conference. Hence the title of this post. Taking advanced automation introduced at Oracle CloudWorld 2022 and building upon that with Generative AI. Which I see as providing the capability for users to implement and deploy automation as needed based on users' needs and input. The reduction of low-level work that consumes endless hours of today's time. Journal preparation, account reconciliation, management and financial reporting narratives. However, it's more than that. It includes a series of dependent tasks executed in serial and parallel methods that are generated dynamically based on user input.
Another example of Oracle’s use of these technologies is their application of Machine Learning in the development of Oracle's Autonomous Database. A fully automated database that learns from itself what it needs to manage itself. It requires substantially less Database Administrators and relieves these resources to pursue higher value work loads. There are Generative AI frameworks as that is the most apt analogy for me. These frameworks are prepared in all disciplines by independent companies across the United States. These include the legal and medical disciplines. Adoption of one of these will introduce the framework's training data and when applied, will enhance the understanding of the individual Oracle Cloud ERP data and information. Clay Magouyrk keynote presentation demonstrated the benefits of such frameworks training on data in an ERP context. His video is highlighted below and the section noted is between 53 and 59 minutes.
Applying this to an oil & gas scenario. I would see members of a Joint Operating Committee engaged with their property resolving issues and opportunities. Individuals not involved in accounting and administrative disciplines. Based on the systems and data that have been prepared, they will be able to ensure the data they use is compliant and meets the needs of all stakeholders. Making sense of accounting information by asking natural language questions and then formulating new questions based on the output. Using that data to make decisions based on reliable, actual and factual accounting information.
People, Ideas & Objects provides a vision that encourages a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil & gas producer. This is to achieve the most profitable means of oil & gas operations. Accounting and administration are not competitive advantages for North American producers. But what should be clear is that the environment described in Oracle CloudWorld 2023 and in our Preliminary Specification does not provide oil & gas producers with a competitive advantage. However, a producer that is unable to function in a technological environment such as what is detailed in these offerings will have obtained a distinct competitive disadvantage.
These keynote presentations may be of interest. I highly recommend them to anyone interested in People, Ideas & Objects.
Oracle’s vision for the future - Larry Ellison Keynote
Putting customer success at the heart of everything - Safra Catz Keynote
Building the cloud's intelligent future - Clay Magouyrk Keynote
Achieving lasting success with Oracle Fusion Applications - Steve Miranda Keynote
I thought I would share some of my thoughts on how Oracle continues to push the boundaries of ERP systems. What I am consistently surprised by is the pursuit of very similar objectives and features of both Oracle and the People, Ideas & Objects products. For example, one of the presenters noted that Generative AI training eliminated the need for each firm to employ these costs independently. This is Professor Paul Romer's New Growth Theory, or the sharing of non-rival costs, which is one of the seven Organizational Constructs of our Preliminary Specification. Another similarity is the marriage of their Analytics applications with Generative AI.
Generative AI, Machine Learning and all of these facilities are a complete waste of time and energy if an oil & gas producer's data and information remains in the state it currently resides in. Without organizing ERP related data and information, none of these technologies are useful. These are part of the work done through our initiatives to organize, standardize and ensure objective data and information is generated and used across North America. The amount of work to organize this data, gain an understanding throughout the industry, and build ERP systems that capture, process, manage and present the data is far more extensive than what one producer firm can handle. If a producer attempted to do so it would be questionable if they could finish. In the case of one individual producer, the value of this process is minimal and it is unknown if they would still be in business after such an experience. This is an area where the sharing of these non-rival software development costs across the industry, as proposed by People, Ideas & Objects, will make the required time and cost incidental to each producer. In contrast, the benefits will provide reliable, understandable results for the user. It is as Larry Ellison stated in his keynote address that standardization is necessary for automation. Automation is necessary for Generative AI. None of this is viable or available without reliable, organized data and an understanding of what that data is. To begin this journey as a lone producer would be futile.
It was during Oracle CloudWorld 2022 that the theme of high levels of automation became a significant change in the way business conducts business. The two alternatives were battalions of green shaded and pocket protected people asking “what” as they squinted back at their questioner. Or, we could use these technologies. The J.P. Morgan Chase credit card example I cited from last year's keynote has now been adopted by both HSBC and Mastercard. These developments are generic business automations distributed to all of Oracle's global customers in all industries. We should expect further development of this type of automation in Oracle Cloud ERP. People, Ideas & Objects implement similar features for North American oil & gas producers. In Oracle Cloud ERP, we offer oil & gas "additions" on top of these Oracle business features.
Producers that continue without data and information organized, presented and understood will find their business environment costly and difficult. Accelerating business speed will accelerate confusion and misunderstanding. Automation reduces costs through human error reduction. If the data is unknown, confused but automated, what will it provide? Production data sourced from field data captured through the Internet of Things (IoT) will reduce costs. If we have a fully reconciled volumetric balance as the People, Ideas & Objects Material Balance Report proposes, and the automations from that data as proposed. Applying the scenario of what Generative AI might provide a Joint Operating Committee through a balanced and reconciled Material Balance Report may show new perspectives on this data. And in an environment where only profitable production is produced. Producers having all of their production in a system wide Material Balance Report might identify opportunities to save costs, increase production or build value.
However in this situation without the data managed appropriately, the Joint Operating Committee as the key Organizational Construct throughout the oil & gas and service industries will only lead to further confusion and accelerate issues on a logarithmic scale. To state that we’re not there yet is obvious. That however is where Oracle is today and People, Ideas & Objects are with their Preliminary Specification vision and business model. We have focused and expressed concern regarding the poor quality of the oil & gas administrative and accounting data. Data is where this journey must begin.
The effect this will have on our service providers is substantial. They will be in the middle of the hurricane in terms of data, process, management and control of the producer's administrative and accounting software and services. Their service and support must be there. They’ll also be equipped with the tools to accommodate changes through their owner and operator. This being one of our user community members.
SAP
These comments regarding SAP are a result of the SAP for Oil, Gas and Energy conference held in Dallas between September 13 - 15, 2023. A conference that I did not attend, and these are the comments of Carolyn Dolezal who is the Chief Operating Officer of ASUG, SAP’s user community. The conference focused on industry issues, however Carolyn listed only digital transformation, data analytics, and sustainability topics. A strong technological focus that meets ESG requirements. And noted SAP oil & gas leadership that made keynote presentations at the conference and the scattershot discussion of what energy needed. From how to invest in renewables, or “how to assess the near-term and long-term benefits of significant competing priorities?” The last paragraph noted SAP leadership even mentioned “value” and “profitability” at one point. A marked improvement on prior company talking points.
What was evident, however, was that with all the great minds there was no vision or plan for what to do. How will they make money and build value for oil & gas producers? This is nothing more than a reflection of the oil & gas industry itself. No one can or will do anything about anything and as a result there is nothing to be done by anyone. Do what you can and make it look good. I’m not seeing the sense of urgency or the focus on what should concern those at the SAP conference.
As many producers have taken SAP as the first step in implementing Tier 1 ERP solutions. It is a technical solution to an unidentified existential issue. I would suggest that the process of implementing SAP is being undertaken at the behest of producers' investors who demand Tier 1 ERP systems. We would note that the oil & gas industry's existential issue is officers and directors' inability to accept appropriate profitability and accountability criteria. People, Ideas & Objects' focus throughout this period has been to use the Joint Operating Committee as one of seven Organizational Constructs to enhance “real” producer profitability. A vision we began with in August 2004, and even more valid today. I don’t think there could be two choices with more distance between them.