Professor Giovanni Dosi on Innovation Part III
Where and How Innovation is Implemented
In this section we want to reinforce the point that innovation will develop from the interactions and collaborations in the “Planning & Deployment Interface.” We noted that the people assigned to the project would discuss the project and raise any issues that they may have and innovation would stem from these interactions. This process that is captured in the “Planning & Deployment Interface” is how the Preliminary Specification reduces innovation to a defined and replicable process.Professor Dosi notes that innovation is developed through the interactions between the “capabilities and stimuli” and “broader causes external to the individual industries such as the state of science.” These are captured in the “Planning & Deployment Interface” (capabilities and stimuli) and the Work Order system (state of science) of the Research & Capabilities module of the Preliminary Specification. As time passes the producer augments their capabilities with the findings from their research undertaken in the various Work Orders that are issued. Capabilities are then implemented in the day to day activities that the Joint Operating Committee is involved in. It is the interaction within the producer firm and JOC, and the broader causes that create the innovations.
We take the concept of a trajectory, define it, and apply it to oil and gas. The definition of a technological trajectory is the activity of technological process along the economic and technological trade offs defined by a paradigm. Dosi (1988) states “Trade-offs being defined as the compromise, and the technical capabilities that define horsepower, gross takeoff weight, cruise speed, wing load and cruise range in civilian and military aircraft.” People, Ideas & Objects assumes the technical trade-off in oil and gas is accurately reflected in the commodity pricing. Higher commodity prices finance enhanced innovation. These “trade-offs” are very much an engineering approach and therefore I want to reiterate the point that they are “defined as the compromise, and the technical capabilities.”
These trade-offs facilitate the ability for industries to innovate on the changing technical and scientific paradigms. Crucial to the facilitation of these trade-offs is a fundamental component that spurs the change and is usually abundant and available at low costs. For innovation to occur in oil and gas, People, Ideas & Objects would assert that the ability to seek and find knowledge, and to collaborate are two “commodities” that are abundant today. With their inherent low direct costs, knowledge and collaboration are the triggers for a number of technical paradigms which will provide companies with fundamental innovations.
Therefore the ability to collaborate in the “Planning & Deployment Interface,” and elsewhere, of the Research & Capabilities module is critical to the innovativeness of the producer firm. And by extension, this would also apply to the Joint Operating Committee through the “Planning & Deployment Interface” in the Knowledge & Learning module. Innovation is as much an engineering discipline as it is anything else. That is how we can reduce it to a defined and replicable process.
Every organization has to deal with the two distinct and differing types of work that need to be done. Simply the two types of work are the need to execute and the need to develop the firm's capabilities for the future. These two roles have been separated in the Preliminary Specification with the Knowledge & Learning module, or Joint Operating Committee, concerning itself with execution. And the Research & Capabilities module, or producer firm concerned with developing its capabilities. This division of labor and specialization regarding these two types of work is the topic of this discussion.
We have noted that innovation was in many ways an engineering approach to problem identification and resolution. We however want to focus these innovation efforts in one area of the firm. Making sure that they are concentrated where they are most useful and the least harmful. And that is in the “Dynamic & Capabilities Interface” of the Research & Capabilities module. It is at that location that the focus can be on innovation without the impact affecting the day to day operations of the Joint Operating Committees. Only when an innovation is proven to be worthwhile should it be written up as a new capability in the Dynamic Capabilities Interface, and therefore available to be populated into the Knowledge & Learning module for use in the day to day of the Joint Operating Committees. Professor Giovanni Dosi notes;
Organizational routines and higher level procedures to alter them in response to environmental changes and / or to failures in performance embody a continuous tension between efforts to improve the capabilities of doing existing things, monitor existing contracts, allocate given resources, on the one hand, and the development of capabilities for doing new things or old things in new ways. This tension is complicated by the intrinsically uncertain nature of innovative activities, notwithstanding their increasing institutionalization within business firms. p. 1133
These support the “how to do things” (the JOC) and “how to improve them” (the producer firm). This dichotomy reflects the challenge of improving the processes and products through trial and error, with heavy emphasis on the error. The ability to accurately predict the success or failure of a new idea contains inherent high risks and hence high rewards. This is one of the constraining factors in implementing innovative thinking, in that no one wants to be proven wrong. Whereas, even if the idea fails to test the theory, the failure may ultimately lead to and may be one of the keys to discovery.
By containing the innovation within the producer firm in the manner that the Research & Capabilities “Planning & Deployment Interface” does. Limits the contamination that might occur if innovation were attempted in the areas where execution is expected. This division of labor is necessary between the oil and gas firm and the Joint Operating Committee. As well, we know there are two types of people, those who are able to function best in either of these two environments. Any time these people are asked to operate in the environment that they are not oriented to, they feel uncomfortable and perform poorly.
This maybe shows a contradiction in the People, Ideas & Objects software. We assert that the software aligns the Joint Operating Committees legal, financial, operational decision making, cultural, communication, strategic and innovation frameworks. This claim that the innovation framework is part of the Joint Operating Committee is consistent with the fact that once the producer has proven the innovation is valid, then the Joint Operating Committee is the means in which it is implemented and executed throughout the producer firm through the “Planning & Deployment Interface” in the Knowledge & Learning module.
Uncertainty and Risk in Innovation
Continuing on with our innovation review of the Research & Capabilities module of the Preliminary Specification. We note that the “Dynamic Capabilities Interface” enabled the innovative oil and gas producer to isolate the innovation activities within one area in their firm. This enabled the various Joint Operating Committees to focus on execution of what was known, which of course included what was proven new and innovative. We now want to talk about the uncertainty and risk associated with innovative search. Something that I think that most producers are familiar with, however, something that will become more commonplace as the demand for innovation by the producer increases.What is clear to me is the role that software will play in the enabling of innovation within the oil and gas firm. Throughout this discussion in the Preliminary Specification it is evident that software plays a critical role in the future oil and gas firm. Software is able to define and support the quantifiable and replicable processes of innovation. For the oil and gas industry to conduct any level of innovation without having the software, as defined here by People, Ideas & Objects, will be leaving the innovations outcome to chance. Such is the nature of software in the 21st century.
Whether it is geological or engineering in nature, the pursuit of these sciences bring to the oil and gas business certain elements of risk and uncertainty. Add to this the commercial nature of the oil and gas business and you have an atmosphere where innovation is for those who can take the heat. Professor Dosi suggest this is the appropriate environment for innovation.
I suggest that, in general, innovative search is characterized by strong uncertainty. This applies, in primis to those phases of technical change that could be called pre-paradigmatic: During these highly exploratory periods one faces a double uncertainty regarding both the practical outcomes of the innovative search and also the scientific and technological principles and the problem-solving procedures on which technological advances could be based. When a technological paradigm is established, it brings with it a reduction of uncertainty, in the sense that it focuses the directions of search and forms the grounds for formatting technological and market expectations more surely. (In this respect, technological trajectories are not only the ex post description of the patterns of technical change, but also, as mentioned, the basis of heuristics asking “where do we go from here?”) p. 1134
Let's be clear, the uncertainty resides in both the scientific and business realms. I am not of the opinion that the two can be separated, as is done in other systems such as SAP. This is maybe why the industry has been poorly served, in my opinion, by the business systems that operate today. They don’t recognize the innovative and scientific basis of the business and therefore are unable to support an innovative oil and gas industry. If the commodity prices are allocating the financial resources to fuel innovation. The industry will need to have the systems and procedures installed in order to manage the innovation. Systems such as what are described in the Preliminary Specification. With the low costs of knowledge and collaboration being the two commodities that affect the technological trajectories, having interfaces such as the “Planning & Deployment Interface” of the Research & Capabilities module will be a necessity.
However, even in the case of “normal” technical search (as opposed to the “extraordinary” exploration associated with the quest for new paradigms) strong uncertainty is present. Even when the fundamental knowledge base and the expected directions of advance are fairly well known, it is still often the case that one must first engage in exploratory research, development, and design before knowing what the outcome will be (what the properties of a new chemical compound will be, what an effective design will look like, etc.) and what some manageable results will cost, or, indeed, whether very useful results will emerge. p. 1135
We now turn to the research area of the Research & Capabilities module in the Preliminary Specification. What we are particularly interested in, is to take control of the financial costs of the innovative activities that are being conducted within the producer firm. A firm of any size would have a variety of projects being conducted. With the volume becoming unmanageable quite quickly if there was no control over the amount spent and the type of activity. There are cost controls that are set in place in the People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specification such as AFE’s and Work Orders, and these will control the research undertaken in the firm. The interface that we are talking about does not replace those, it only centralizes the information for a clearer understanding of the activity and its funding.
Your firm may become involved in many projects that seek to find new knowledge and capabilities regarding the oil and gas business. Some of these activities may be rather large and will certainly be the focus of the firm and will have no difficulty in attracting the attention of the firm. Some however may be small and will be important from the perspective that the capability is just as pertinent to the firm, but don’t attract the attention. Nonetheless, these capabilities needs to be included in the day to day of each and every operation of your firm, and as such needs to be documented in the “Dynamic Capabilities Interface.” How does the firm manage the various projects within a firm to ensure that the money spent and all of the projects are documented within the capabilities of the firm?
Within the Research & Capabilities module we will have the “Research Budget Allocation Interface” that will assist in dealing with the costs of innovation and the volumes of projects the firm is involved in. If an AFE is raised with some element of the costs including the partnership doing some joint research or innovative activity, this activity should be populated in the “Research Budget Allocation Interface.” Or, if a Work Order is raised to conduct some study, that too will be populated into the “Research Budget Allocation Interface.” The purpose of this interface is to ensure that there is no duplication of the research undertaken, if there is then the costs could be saved. It is also to document the ongoing status of the project. And ensure that the results of the project are documented within the “Dynamic Capabilities Interface” of the Research & Capabilities module.
In general, each organizational arrangement of a firm embodies procedures for resource allocation to particular activities (in our case, innovative activities), and for the efficient use of these resources in the search for new products, new processes, and procedures for improvements in existing routines; however, the specific nature of these procedures differs across firms and sectors. For example, the typical degrees of commitment of resources vary by industry and so do the rates at which learning occurs. I now turn to the interpretation of these phenomena. p. 1135
Although this may appear like a simple interface, in the proper hands it would be a very powerful tool. It would provide a global view of the firms activities in the area of innovation and show the overall progress that the firm was making. It would also show where unrelated innovations might occur. Lastly it might show where some opportunities lay. Professor Dosi (1988) states that profit motivated agents must involve both “the perception of some sort of opportunity and an effective set of incentives.” (p. 1135) Professor Dosi introduces the theory of Schmookler (1966) and asked “are the observed inter-sectoral differences in innovative investment the outcome of different incentive structures, different opportunities or both”? (p. 1135) Schmookler believed in differing degrees of economic activity derived from the same innovate inputs.
The “Research Budget Allocation Interface” would provide a window on both the “different incentive structures and different opportunities within the producer firm. Making for a powerful tool in terms of guiding the innovative oil and gas producer.
The Preliminary Specification provides the oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy.