An Alternative is Proposed
I naturally want to spend some time evaluating this alternative and compare it to People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specification. First I want to clarify the point regarding Mr. Dell’s comment about overhead and administrative costs. In oil and gas these costs are high. In most of the producers overhead, administration and interest are capitalized to property, plant and equipment to make it appear as if these costs are low in terms of their percentage of revenue. I am not aware of Occidental’s policies on overhead capitalization, however, in 2016 their total G&A was 20.86% of revenues. With this high percentage of G&A it may be assumed that they’re not capitalizing anything and this amount would therefore be representative of the amount of actual costs incurred to administer the industry. Anadarko who are a pure upstream operation also have G&A of 18.3% for 2016. Others have 1.48%. The second point I would make is to reiterate what I said yesterday regarding the capitalization policies of producers. There has been an accounting deception which has been perpetrated on the investors which has distorted the industries performance and created the overinvestment, and hence the overproduction that is the issue of the day. I believe this would be the case even without shale based reservoirs, however, shale has certainly aggravated the point.
A third issue I would raise with Mr. Dell is the systemic and cultural manner in which the oil and gas industry is operated. It is a technical industry and those without the requisite knowledge and understanding of engineering and geology, just don’t understand. This attitude is systemic as I suggested and is the reason that the CFO’s are so quiet in the industry today. No one within the producer firm listens to them. This is also the attitude that is present in the dealings with investors and bankers. And as the article later states by Buddy Clark, an oilfield transactions attorney at Haynes & Boone in Houston “Each management team thinks they have the secret sauce.” One of my son’s is an engineer and he has adopted this attitude too. By consolidating the producers into Super E&P’s, I believe, you’ll only concentrate the cultural forces aligned against investors and administrators, enabling these issues that have caused the overproduction to be more entrenched. Investors will have smaller interests in larger producers where it will be more difficult for them to influence. And bureaucrats will be empowered to a greater extent than they are now.
What we learned through our research phase was that organizations were defined and supported by the software that the organization uses. The behaviors that are present in the industry will continue until such time as the software in the industry is changed. Whether that is with the current producers or with the Super E&P I see the software change as the most effective first step in dealing with these issues. People, Ideas & Objects provide the Preliminary Specification to deal with these issues specifically and a dedicated software development capability in which the industry will be able to ensure that future issues are not metastasized to cause similar value loss. Without the Preliminary Specification and the software development capability of People, Ideas & Objects providing industry with the solution, any other solution will be temporary as the industry will ultimately regress back to the cultural norm defined in its existing software.
It has been ten years that the natural gas prices have been depressed and three for oil. Ample time for the producers to have acted in their investors and everyone’s best interest. Review of this blog and our research shows that our publications began in 2003 and this blog in late 2005. Our solution has been available for them to have acted in a timely manner to resolve these issues. This complacency and inaction are the result of a bureaucratic overhang that I believe will only become more protracted with the Super E&P’s.
Saving the best arguments for last, it is also an accounting issue. None of the producers know with any accuracy whatsoever what the performance on any specific property is. None. The accounting is not detailed enough to provide an understanding of what properties are bringing home the bacon and which ones are dragging them under. They therefore produce everything in the hopes that the net will provide enough to pay for the overhead. The current cash crisis reflects that the current business model has failed. Until the accounting is structured on the Joint Operating Committee as the Preliminary Specification does, the granularity necessary to determine the actual profitability of each property will continue to evade producers.
Lastly the Super E&P’s do not implement the Preliminary Specifications decentralized production model’s price maker strategy. Our software defines and supports a reorganization of the producer and industry on the following basis. By extracting the accounting and administrative resources out of each producer and reorganizing them into service providers, focused on a single process and using the entire industry as their client base. We are able to convert the fixed overhead costs of the producer into the variable overhead costs of the industry. Each service provider will work through our task and transfer network to conduct their work for each property. Each month a billing will be presented based on the work conducted by the service provider. Therefore, If a Joint Operating Committee shows that it is unprofitable it is shut-in until such time innovations can be brought about to increase revenues, decrease costs or expand the reserves and return the property to profitability. While the property is shut-in no information is generated and none will be transferred to the service providers in the task and transfer network. Creating in the producer firm a null operation for that property. No profit, but also no loss. By shutting in unprofitable production, producers will no longer have their profitable production diluted by their unprofitable production. Reserves will be saved for a time when they can be produced profitably, those reserves will also not have to carry the incremental costs of each years subsequent losses. And finally the marginal production is removed from the commodity markets. Enabling them to find the marginal price. Service providers are undertaking the risks associated with the overhead costs of the oil and gas industry. Yet they can budget and plan for contingencies that may impair their revenues by upto 15% or more, depending on the volume of oil and gas that is shut-in, at any time. Providing an effective control for the oil and gas industry over its overhead costs.
Our price maker strategy is not part of the Super E&P producers. We have asserted our business model to the industry for over a decade. Their resistance is a classic case of disintermediation in which the bureaucrats have the power to avoid their elimination. Their power will only be further entrenched in the Super E&P. Therefore I believe that the first step the industry needs to take is the implementation of the Preliminary Specification. Then the appropriate corporate structure can be supported and ensured that they will be provided with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. In the article Mr. Dell is quoted as saying.
When oil prices go up, these guys spend like drunken sailors, he said. When oil prices go down, they turn around and say, Look, it’s not my fault the oil price went down. I can’t be expected to manage this commodity.
We need to change the culture and reorganize the industry on the basis of profitability. It has been four decades that the industry has been operated in the manner that it is today. Generations of oil and gas workers know no difference. To break this cultural inertia we need to build the software that will define and support the organization and culture that we desire. That is the Preliminary Specification. Changing deck chairs on the Titanic will not save anyone.
The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in our future Initial Coin Offering (ICO) that will fund these user defined software developments. It is through the process of issuing our ICO that we are leading the way in which creative destruction can be implemented within the oil and gas industry. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.