I Thought This Was Just an Investor Problem? Part I

 The case for producers pursuing clean energy was unauthorized from the point of view that it’s not what their shareholders invested in. Approval for the diverting oil and gas revenues to other businesses was not sought or approved in any of the firms that I’ve noticed. These diversions appear to me to be designed to avoid looking at what it is they’ve been doing these past decades. The renouncement of their ability to commercially produce shale was the precursor to their shift to clean energy. The effect of these decisions have now potentially been realized in looming shortages of oil and gas this winter. Subjecting us to the whim of our offshore competitors and freezing in the dark. Who were these producer bureaucrats to have made these decisions to cut off our use of oil and gas by replacing it with unavailable and unattainable clean energy for what they deemed to be better for the planet? Did we ask for this? Was that their role and responsibility? Why are we not making these decisions for ourselves? It is these bureaucrats who I’ve been arguing destroyed the financial and operational structure of the industry for their own personal financial gain. It is they who used their power to enrich themselves at the expense of everyone else. It was they who had the opportunity to choose otherwise with the building and implementation of the Preliminary Specification as the solution and they chose not to. It’s not that I haven’t been providing them with a full understanding of what the fallout of a lack of profitability would be, as it seemed they needed to be told. It was their use of power that made the decision to move to clean energy in an unauthorized manner. And it is that power in their hands that we reap the consequences of these looming energy shortages and high energy prices. I look forward to what it is they have in store for us next. Who’s to say that next they won’t see an opening to actively compete with WalMart and Amazon? From the point of view of their responsibility to have produced profitable oil and gas everywhere and always, their shift to clean energy was just as irresponsible as an unapproved movement into retail would have been. 

With repeated and express requests from their shareholders to address their profitability, accountability and ERP systems. Producers repeatedly chose to pass. We documented the total lack of concern or desire on their behalf when on August 31, 2021 the board of directors of these producers refused to consider the necessary investment in the Preliminary Specification. An investment from the point of view that the value proposition realized would more than offset the cost. Choosing to stay with ERP systems from providers they’ve driven into the ground through a lack of financial resources. Producers efforts in maintaining their hold on power being secured through their ERP providers being kept alive on life support. They can now invest in clean energy and no one would know the details, performance or outcome of what was occurring other than the absolute failure they were experiencing. Undaunted in their quest, they would continue in their heroic effort to “save the planet” which is none other than their currently developed, innovative, business principle. We’ve seen that investors have always been the driving force of action in the industry. I have difficulty in qualifying these and can’t determine if they're an excuse, blaming or viable scapegoat, for the justification of all forms of various initiatives in the past decades. Investors demanded that Encana split into an oil firm and a gas firm. Investors demanded oil and gas producers no longer produce oil and gas. Investors demanded producers focus on clean energy. Indicating that the bureaucrats are mere serfs of their betters. Yet we’ve never seen any action in the primary role of the corporation to deal with the two driving issues that have led to their financial destruction. Profitability and accountability deficiencies have driven investors' participation to be withheld for the past seven years. Maybe there’s a long list of investor demands the bureaucrats are doing their best to get to. Or… 

Clean energy was necessary as shale was declared non commercial. Just as conventional oil and gas was declared non commercial and led to shale. Which was after the frenzy in heavy oil, which followed Steam Assisted Gravity Drainage (SAGD) which followed any other fly by night trend that struck the bureaucrats fancy. Never accepting that they were not profitable. Cash flow does not represent incremental value, necessarily. For four decades they sustained themselves on the good graces of their investors who were lied to and cheated out of their money each and every year to make up for their inevitable spendaholic shortfalls. "Building balance sheets" is not cheap. Soon we’re going to be hearing the excuse that their audit firms signed off on their financial statements! Yes they did, didn’t they. Which of course absolves them of all responsibility, guilt or culpability. Not. 

I commented recently that if prices do hit $600 / barrel it won’t be enough to fix the producer firm's issues. They're far too damaged to survive any future outcome. Which is probably their motivation in the current scenario. Just as China begins to implode on their debt bomb they’ll have many opportunities in a controlled economy to try new innovations to fix it. Shutting down payments to foreigners would be considered a possible innovation worth trying. We’ll see in about three weeks. Nonetheless financial issues have a tendency to become too big to deal with. We made it out of the 2008 financial crisis however the cost of doing so is still being tallied and it’s only getting worse. Oil and gas went through that same point in the early 1990’s, after the collapse of oil prices in 1986, and remedial efforts have yet to be acknowledged. Bureaucrats believed “putting cash in the ground” was one of their innovative business principles and I think they remain proud of the concept today. The deception that the investors were operating under, fueled by producer financial statements that literally record every cost as an asset for decades, was realized in 2015 and certainly nothing is going to change producer bureaucrats' position today. During 2021 producers have doubled down on their specious accounting methods and doubled the number of years they’ll deplete their assets. But that was the situation in the second quarter, they have the last half of the year to “build their balance sheet” further on these old tricks. The point to consider here is for every dollar of equity there was any equal or slightly larger amount of debt that was obtained by the producer firm. Over these decades the amount of debt of the producers on a relative basis is stratospheric in my opinion. Fueled by equity infusions and low interest rates for two decades, no one could spend fast enough could they. It’s my opinion that the declaration of clean energy initiatives is the realization of the music stopping in the game of musical chairs. The problem is there is no safe place and nowhere to sit. 

I’ve written before how I have a severe allergy to commodity price hedging. Even thinking about it makes me nauseous. If you want to have a performance based organization the last thing you would ever do is hedge the commodity prices. “Hey, they sold all the production forward for x years, we’re profitable (in the terms they understand), we’re a utility, no need to put any effort in now as it will make no difference other than to make a possible mistake.” And therefore hedging of commodities has always been the method that is used to hedge any profits in the industry. Producers had a special accounting trick for this too. It’s called non-GAAP reporting. GAAP requires the company to report hedging losses, non-GAAP doesn’t. If they lose on hedges no one will know as the media only quotes the press release which always quotes non-GAAP earnings. However in the fourth quarter of 2021 the reporting of non-GAAP earnings will no longer be possible if they materially misstate the producer earnings. Which I believe they do. Nonetheless the commodity prices being realized on some of the producers production is not the commodity prices that are driving the industry frenzy. Losses in the third and fourth quarter due to profit hedges will be interesting. I noted in the second quarter the profit hedges, as I call them, were material for our sample of producers at $8.1 billion. But that was more than 5 days ago!

Lets not forget they’re unable to produce the profits that are necessary to sustain their operations. If you’ve never seen a “real” profit, what does it look like, how did you earn it and can you repeat it? If your organization was built in the past four decades from a culture where “real” profitability was never understood or discussed, what can be done today? I don’t know isn’t an answer for these purposes. Destroyed and damaged organizations need excuses and diversions to pursue and obfuscate the issues they’ve caused. Only to create the larger issues for us now and the coming winter months. If only we could have contained this when it was just an investor problem. It’s only going to get better as we progress down this road with these people. They’ve created a disaster and crisis that will be one for the history books. But sure, let’s give them another chance and see how they’ll do. Count me out. When a difficulty such as oil prices collapse as in 1986 or whenever. It's time to deal with issues. Oil and gas is a capital intensive industry where the return of capital invested is done in the form of cash flow. The cash flows were initially strong enough to maintain the facade of viability. Then investors were needed to augment that. Now the capital invested is inadequate, there's no investors to cheat, the debt remains and the cash flows are too weak to maintain anything but the powers that be in the lifestyle of their choosing. Clean energy never looked so good.

On the other hand we have no shortage of work to do. Much needs to be done in the next few years. The Preliminary Specification needs to be built. The engineering and geological explicit knowledge needs to be captured as Intellectual Property and developed. New oil and gas firms need to be formed, capitalized and organized. Assets need to be transferred to these new producers in innovative, strategic and tactical ways. In this process we’ll all be helping the current producers to travel faster down their chosen journey to clean energy by disposing of dirty oil. This transition to the Preliminary Specification is something that must be done to deal with the financial difficulties the industry is plagued with from the current administration. This also needs to be done as preparation for the future. And to learn from the experience of this transition as we’ll be faced repeatedly with situations that share this same scope and scale of change in the near future of this business. We’ll therefore be somewhat prepared and experienced in challenges of this nature. Please review our Production Rights to see how everyone can participate in making this new oil and gas industry happen. An industry where it will be less important who you know, but what you know and what you're capable of delivering, what the value proposition is that you’re offering?

Those interested in joining our user community are People, Ideas & Objects priority and focus. The Preliminary Specification, our user community and their service provider organizations provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations, everywhere and always. Setting the foundation for profitable North American energy independence, everywhere and always. In addition, our software organizes the Intellectual Property of the exploration and production processes owned by the engineers and geologists. Enabling them to monetize their IP for a new oil & gas industry to begin with a means to be dynamic, innovative and performance oriented. Providing a new investment opportunity for those who see a bright future in the industry. A place where their administrative, accounting, exploration and production can be handled for the 21st century. People, Ideas & Objects have joined GETTR and can be reached there. Anyone can contact me at 713-965-6720 in Houston or 587-735-2302 in Calgary, or email me here. 

Who's Got the Script?

 A quarter century is a reasonably long period of time. We could accomplish many things in those years if we looked at oil and gas from the perspective of how we need to make North America energy independent, and most of all profitable, everywhere and always. This is not a desire but a desperate need. It will be the most powerful economy in the world that has the largest consumption of energy in all of its forms. This can not be accomplished in the unprofitable form of today’s producers. The U.S. has a balanced production / consumption of oil & gas and Canada is in surplus at this time. In 2020 the EIA states the makeup of energy in the U.S. from oil was at 24.68% with an additional 6.8% from NGLs and 36.33% in natural gas. In 2045 these values are estimated to be 23.86, 7.03 and 37.53%. The transition of the U.S. energy makeup will involve minor tinkering on the edges where coal, nuclear and hydro are replaced in part by renewables. Renewables will go from 4.58% today to 13.22% in 2045. Which is not that remarkable when we understand the volume of oil and gas revenues that will be driving the investment in renewable, clean energy. Describing and defining in full the failure being orchestrated today.

Shale is what makes profitable, energy independence possible. It provides for this opportunity and ensures these objectives are achieved. Without the support of investors, bankers and the service industry it will not happen though. Although what has been achieved is remarkable considering the economic fallout that has struck the industry. Without shale, today’s tragedy would have been surreal. Shale is now the dirty oil and gas project that is considered a commercial failure in the industry and therefore abandoned by its authors to move on to clean energy and the harvesting of algae. So we’re told. Shale’s characteristics will never fit in a business model that was conceived in an era of energy scarcity. With its significant costs, high flush production and rapid decline curve. But we should also include the high costs of additional frac’s and laterals in reworking the well. It is these costs that are attributable to the failure of the commercialization of shale. These are the costs that are on display in each of the producer's property, plant and equipment account and will remain there until at least 2045. The era of abundance that shale has brought about demands new business models in order to deal with the difficulties of chronic overproduction, unacceptable financial performance, highly competitive capital and dynamic commodity markets.

People, Ideas & Objects, our user community and the service providers are preparing that solution in the form of the vision presented in the Preliminary Specification. One that provides for profitable energy independence everywhere and always. And to do so in the shale era of abundance with the appropriate business model that deals with the specific issues presented. The only source of capital large enough to approach the demands of the industry in the next generation is to ensure that profitable operations are conducted throughout the continent always. The demand by industry for capital is too incomprehensibly large for the investment or banking communities to undertake. In a capital intensive industry it is reasonable to expect that the product costs that are passed to the consumer will also contain capital intensive costs. Such as the capital that’s listed, stored, admired and collected on today’s producers' balance sheets in property, plant and equipment. Originally producers claimed not to want to see their costs escalate to the point where renewable resources were viable. Now they actively seek to divert oil and gas revenues to develop these clean energy initiatives. And do so in an unauthorized manner. And as we see above, this diversion establishes their initiatives in clean energy will be a success from the point of view of creating unaccountable losses as part of the need to save the planet. Who could ever argue with that? 

The compelling case that Greta Thornburg has put forward has captivated the CEO’s and CFO’s of this industry. She was wise to use Biden’s favorite strawberry shampoo when she met with him. This is not our business. This is not our concern. If the consumer believes in the environmental degradation or not they can act as individuals to do their bit to resolve the issue. I feel if it should ever become a trillion dollar industry it will be resolved. And not an industry based on subsidies and passing paper around that represents value in the form of taxation or regulatory credits. Consumers are the net benefactors of each barrel of oil consumed. Each barrel is currently generating 23,200 man hours of mechanical labor equivalent. It is the source of our advanced society, standard of living and the reason we’ve advanced as we did in the past era of energy availability. We can expect that factor of man hours to probably double in the period to 2045 as it has doubled many times before. We can also expect the 21st century to be an era in which intellectual thought is leveraged on top of the mechanical leverage of the last century. So we’ll need to explain to Greta’s gang and the consumers who choose not to believe her, that by standing with the status quo clean energy focused oil and gas producers, why we're shutting this highly productive energy future and lucrative standard of living off from them. A future where the 7 - 8 billion people who depend on that mechanical leverage for their food and the like will need to be told to rationally stop fighting over it. Tell these people why these producers, who diverted oil and gas revenues to clean energy, had the right to make these decisions on behalf of the planet and to circumvent everyone's choices of how they’ll consume energy. Or we can get on with our business at hand, start making a profit so that consumers can enjoy what we produce. Or not, it’s the consumers choice. Our role is to produce profitably. These environmental issues will be resolved by the trillions of individual consumer choices based on science from real scientists, markets, prices and on the opinions and concerns of each individual consumer as it affects their own personal domain. That’s how these things are solved. Until then let's stop scaring the kids for no reason.

Producers otherwise have lost the script. How we became so convoluted, confused and conflicted is unknown to me. Amusements and distractions have certainly entertained but nothing has generated any value in the past three decades of the oil and gas industry, in my opinion. Even today it does not have a viable business model, plan or vision. If oil should reach $600.00 / barrel, I don’t see this industry being viable with its current configuration, business model or administration. Where will the trust, integrity and confidence or the reconstitution of these attributes come from? Maybe I’m wrong and the only concern is the money, which is true, but there is no money there, and won’t be in any configuration of their future. Throughout my writings I’ve established these producers are headed by those that don’t necessarily have a script that’s legible, intelligible or in existence. They’ve foolishly believed they were building balance sheets and balancing markets, along with a litany of other specious business principles. What I see now is it’s time for a decision to be made between which vision is the appropriate one. The Preliminary Specification or theirs. I believe I’ve made the case for the Preliminary Specification, our user community and their service provider organizations and am looking for the financial support necessary to build and implement our solution for the industry to execute these necessary changes. The only thing I see coming about as a result of these current producers, no matter the price of oil or gas, is that bottom feeders are getting fat and happy off these fools and their money. Or is that your money?

On the other hand we have no shortage of work to do. Much needs to be done in the next few years. The Preliminary Specification needs to be built. The engineering and geological explicit knowledge needs to be captured as Intellectual Property and developed. New oil and gas firms need to be formed, capitalized and organized. Assets need to be transferred to these new producers in innovative, strategic and tactical ways. In this process we’ll all be helping the current producers to travel faster down their chosen journey to clean energy by disposing of dirty oil. This transition to the Preliminary Specification is something that must be done to deal with the financial difficulties the industry is plagued with from the current administration. This also needs to be done as preparation for the future. And to learn from the experience of this transition as we’ll be faced repeatedly with situations that share this same scope and scale of change in the near future of this business. We’ll therefore be somewhat prepared and experienced in challenges of this nature. Please review our Production Rights to see how everyone can participate in making this new oil and gas industry happen. An industry where it will be less important who you know, but what you know and what you're capable of delivering, what the value proposition is that you’re offering?

Those interested in joining our user community are People, Ideas & Objects priority and focus. The Preliminary Specification, our user community and their service provider organizations provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations, everywhere and always. Setting the foundation for profitable North American energy independence, everywhere and always. In addition, our software organizes the Intellectual Property of the exploration and production processes owned by the engineers and geologists. Enabling them to monetize their IP for a new oil & gas industry to begin with a means to be dynamic, innovative and performance oriented. Providing a new investment opportunity for those who see a bright future in the industry. A place where their administrative, accounting, exploration and production can be handled for the 21st century. People, Ideas & Objects have joined GETTR and can be reached there. Anyone can contact me at 713-965-6720 in Houston or 587-735-2302 in Calgary, or email me here. 

Is It Really Covid and the Service Industry?

 People, Ideas & Objects are in the process of documenting the justification to decide for an industry wide transition to the vision of the Preliminary Specification, our user community and their service provider organizations. We find in this changing global business environment of today, that money is now on the table of the oil and gas industry, for the first time in probably a decade. The potential boom in the boom / bust cycle. Are we satisfied with the status quo’s performance and history? Does that provide for the future of what’s necessary, or should we make a change? Have we had enough of the lack of performance, excuses, blaming and viable scapegoats from those that have had the authority and responsibility to make these changes. Yet have always chosen to do nothing but reap the personal benefits of their position. WorldOil has an interesting article entitled “Record operating costs are slowing the U.S. shale drilling revival” that mentions the difficulties that producers are having sourcing the necessary resources, from roughnecks to engineers, to deal with their demands. They attribute the lack of the availability of these people to the covid virus. From World Oil. 

Hiring has become a big headache for oilfield service companies trying to meet increased demand from explorers. Of those reporting difficulties in attracting workers, 70% blamed it on a lack of qualified applicants. Wages are up 20%, and companies are poaching employees from competitors, according to an unidentified survey respondent.

“Labor is causing major problems,” the person said. “We are finding it difficult to increase prices to match our increase in costs.”

I don’t know about the rest of the industry, but I’ve seen enough. In terms of making the decision as to which group you would want to leave the industry's management to I choose the People, Ideas & Objects user community and their service provider organizations, these two paragraphs reflect everything we need to know. The implied and stated reasons for these difficulties is the virus and wouldn’t you know it, those dastardly service industry representatives again. Increasing the producers' costs, cutting their capacity and making their life difficult. First let's cut the excuses, blaming and viable scapegoating that we’ve heard nothing but from these bureaucrats. They obviously won’t stop doing it so let's stop them by following People, Ideas & Objects plan to implement the Preliminary Specification. Next is the virus which is only 18 months old, which I only mention as the difficulties of the producers do exceed this 18 month time frame by several decades. And I don’t understand their concern, why do they care about oil and gas, they’re in the clean energy industry now? Understanding the holistic nature of the difficulties, their approach is not preparing a solid foundation for innovation to be fostered or developed.

If we want 25 more years of this management style we’re being treated to it here today in all its glory. Nothing will change from here. The second quote above is from an “unidentified survey respondent” in the service industry. Isn’t it interesting that producer firms are once again squeezing vendors for discounts and not allowing any of the service industry's costs to be passed through. It’s as if the service industry is an enemy and not an extension of the producer firm. On the one hand they can’t get the suppliers, on the other hand they’re unwilling to pay the market rates. Sounds to me like there's more to the producer's actions here. Looking for a political scapegoat as to why they can’t increase production. Let’s not look back and review why a secondary industry, such as the service industry, suffered over the past six years and three decades when the primary oil and gas industry it operated exclusively for unilaterally slashed their capacity requirements by 75%, demanded 50% discounts and expected 18 months to pay the bills. Snapping fingers and barking out orders when there’s no one in the room is not effective. 

Back in December 2013 when the Preliminary Specification was published I was told many times that profits don’t matter. It’s cash flow. Therefore they weren’t interested in what I was selling. Profits being their excuse at that time, what they could blame and use as their scapegoat at that time. Capacities and capabilities are an inherent part of the Preliminary Specification, particularly in areas such as the Research & Capabilities module. When the financial destruction of any industry continues, it’s well known in the business community that this will quickly move to deprecate organizational and industry wide capabilities and diminish throughput capacities. In addition to the profits that were always missing as a result of specious accounting, People, Ideas & Objects discussed these topics of capabilities and capacities as a warning to the producer bureaucrats as to what would happen if things continued on their downward financial trajectory. These weren’t argued or addressed in any way. Could it be that they didn’t understand?

Now that producers are faced with the overnight existence of these issues. We should now believe, because they’ve stated the obvious, that these are in fact the difficulties they face. Do we want those that caused these minor problems to become manifest in this crisis to be the ones who resolve them? Those that possibly feigned they didn’t understand, for their own vested interests. The need for profitability is always a concern and without it leads to a decline in capabilities and capacities. Leaving the issues in the hands of those that authored this seems just as irresponsible, particularly with the new found financial resources that will be generated and diverted to at best “clean energy” initiatives and unaccounted for failures.

The issues that I see today are time. Which includes the acceleration of time in our current and future business environment. The lack of time in terms of producers pace in plodding along and muddling through by our now consolidated good friends. And finally the producers lack of preparation in terms of their plans for any oil and gas, or clean energy future. Bumping into critical issues a decade after the fact is not how the management of a primary industry of this scope and scale can be operated. Bureaucrats only actively research new excuses, reasons to blame and possible viable scapegoats to use. In our last post I asked if the producers had made changes to their strategy to adopt the economic principle of price maker in their operations. I think today we find the answer to that question in their chronic inability to manage the business. 

Of all the labor shortages that are wreaking havoc on the U.S. economy -- from cashiers to chefs -- few are as thorny or potentially as permanent as the one that has a grip on the oil sector. Thousands of roughnecks and engineers are wary of returning to jobs like the ones they lost when the pandemic sent the price of crude oil crashing last year.

The mortgage needs to be paid next year and the kids will be hungry then too. What guarantee is there that the job will exist then? None, no record of performance exists. No admission of their responsibility in the demise of the industry. And no change in behavior. Status quo begets status quo. 

On the other hand we have no shortage of work to do. Much needs to be done in the next few years. The Preliminary Specification needs to be built. The engineering and geological explicit knowledge needs to be captured as Intellectual Property and developed. New oil and gas firms need to be formed, capitalized and organized. Assets need to be transferred to these new producers in innovative, strategic and tactical ways. In this process we’ll all be helping the current producers to travel faster down their chosen journey to clean energy by disposing of dirty oil. This transition to the Preliminary Specification is something that must be done to deal with the financial difficulties the industry is plagued with from the current administration. This also needs to be done as preparation for the future. And to learn from the experience of this transition as we’ll be faced repeatedly with situations that share this same scope and scale of change in the near future of this business. We’ll therefore be somewhat prepared and experienced in challenges of this nature. Please review our Production Rights to see how everyone can participate in making this new oil and gas industry happen. An industry where it will be less important who you know, but what you know and what you're capable of delivering, what the value proposition is that you’re offering?

Those interested in joining our user community are People, Ideas & Objects priority and focus. The Preliminary Specification, our user community and their service provider organizations provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations, everywhere and always. Setting the foundation for profitable North American energy independence, everywhere and always. In addition, our software organizes the Intellectual Property of the exploration and production processes owned by the engineers and geologists. Enabling them to monetize their IP for a new oil & gas industry to begin with a means to be dynamic, innovative and performance oriented. Providing a new investment opportunity for those who see a bright future in the industry. A place where their administrative, accounting, exploration and production can be handled for the 21st century. People, Ideas & Objects have joined GETTR and can be reached there. Anyone can contact me at 713-965-6720 in Houston or 587-735-2302 in Calgary, or email me here. 

Priority One in North American Oil and Gas

 Is it possible the bureaucrats have taken the advice inherent in the Preliminary Specification to heart? Accepting oil and gas commodities are economic price makers and that North American producers' chronic overproduction has caused these prices to collapse over the past number of decades. Have they now determined that this may be the key to a new level of prosperity for them if they were to adopt their own price maker mechanism in some form as their strategy? What I stated in Tuesday’s blog post is valid and understandable by most people, “you can’t get blood from a rock.” Which is possibly the most common saying but there’s many others. No one’s interested, unless they occupy that obscure group known as auditors, in metaphorically kicking dead horses. With signs of life being evident in the price of oil and gas. I would have to say that it’s primarily driven by a renewed belief that clean energy is not going to carry the freight and we’ve all maybe misunderstood, as consumers, the real value of oil and gas. The Texas snow storm was the beginning of this realization. California is always a leader in such things and Europe, who has been one of the largest proponents of clean energy these past decades, are each experiencing their folly and consequences of their prior bad decisions. And it’s only September. I’ve quoted this specific quote of Winston Churchill’s a number of times before. It may be appropriate to review it again.

In Churchill’s speech we may be reminded of certain human characteristics which have not changed after all these years: “There is nothing new in the story….It falls into that long, dismal catalogue of the fruitlessness of experience and the confirmed unteachability of mankind. Want of foresight, unwillingness to act when action would be simple and effective, lack of clear thinking, confusion of counsel until the emergency comes, until self-preservation strikes its jarring gong—these are the features which constitute the endless repetition of history.”

The more important point to make is that instead of being the lost cause and everybody’s second cousin that you don’t necessarily have to talk to. Oil and gas is now everyone’s favorite son. There’s value being seen again and the potential for an alleged amount of free cash flow being generated. This has two detrimental effects for our good friends, the bureaucrats. The first, which they may not have foreseen, will have them reflecting positively on the times where oil sold for negative $40. This first effect is the new level of expectations the capital markets have already placed on producers. They’re going to have to perform now. Where is the upside in investing in the firm? If a stock offering were to be prepared, who would be interested in paying these higher share prices? And they’ll need to be accountable for that performance with the expectation that they’ll meet or exceed the capital market returns available from other industries. Unfortunately they’re now on record as of August 31, 2021, just one month ago, with their decision that proves they can’t, won’t and will not ever make the changes to commence the effort to begin to account for their actions. That leaves them relying on their legacy and historical record of performance as to how they’ll manage the future of their enterprises. And their shareholders can take that to their virtual bank accounts.

The second point is the money itself. And more importantly who outside the bureaucrats will ever see it. Will oil and gas continue to provide these persistent bureaucrats with the means to continue expanding their wealth. Knowing how to avoid disintermediation has turned out to be a far more valuable business for them. Or will producer firms begin to be rebuilt by the investors in the vision of a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable footing as offered in the Preliminary Specification? I have documented the specious nature of the oil and gas producers earnings that were reported. With this alleged money now on the table the fight will begin in earnest. The two combatants positions are well defined and could not be in further opposition with one another. On one side is the oil and gas investor, who on a wholesale basis suspended their support of the producers starting in 2015. Banks are of a similar mind. And the producer firms themselves who have done nothing to remediate any of their past actions, performance or accountability, they’d muddle through as their holistic strategy. Who are now on record to not be seeking heightened accountability as their response to the direct request from their investors. Producers who have turned their back on oil and gas when they were no longer able to provide a future vision that was viable and commercial under their management. And in unauthorized fashion shifted the focus of their firm's to the “clean energy” industry. These are the positions of these two adversaries and the acceptance or rejection of either will be sorted in the short term. And I would suggest the resolution of this point will be the industry's first order of business. 

As background we have an industry that is operated on the basis of ERP systems that are designed, mostly through financial neglect that is deliberate on the producer bureaucrats behalf, to be part of their overall opaque accountability. Systems that are not provided by tier 1 ERP systems providers or developed within the past few decades of this century. It has been an expressed request by the investors that the producers adopt a tier 1 ERP system such as Oracle Cloud ERP, the base of the Preliminary Specification, to begin managing their operations and to make them accountable. Producers' choice to keep the existing ERP systems providers on a starvation diet since 2005 has been effective. Therefore never creating any competing capability or capacity to their franchise. Yet there has been a technological revolution that is leading to new, innovative and dynamic business models that are transforming primary and secondary industries throughout North America. Disintermediation is resisted by the status quo in all of these industries that are subject to its principles. Resistance to disintermediation can best be achieved through the budget process to solidify the ERP’s systems support of the bureaucracy. Organizational change therefore is otherwise impossible.

We have a record of performance in oil and gas that is well below sub par and wholly misrepresented in the financial statements of the producer firms. This misrepresentation continues with a cover up being obscured through the lack of appropriate systems development. My competitors have done remarkable work without even scraps being thrown their way. Now we have two well defined visions of the next generation of oil and gas. One involving continued unaccountably, poor performance and an abandonment of the primary business of oil and gas for the pursuit of a new industry in which producers have no capability or capacity. That being their commitment to clean energy. Where failure will somehow happen daily but never discourage those who are committed to saving the environment. Who will argue with that? The other being the Preliminary Specification which is designed for the commercialization of North American energy independence, which includes shale. Has a defined value proposition that deals with these issues and sets the industry on an appropriate course of action. Does anyone in the industry argue that profits are what are needed and the lack of profits are what have brought us to this disaster?

There’s going to be an ever growing stack of money being made by someone. If we expect those that have authored the damage and destruction of the industry to this point. Who have shifted their focus to clean energy in hopes of sealing a future of absolute unaccountability. Who have violently, from my perspective, resisted the opportunity to orchestrate the change voluntarily and set the industry on an appropriate trajectory. If you believe the producers, then there’s good news, you’ll no longer have to read anything that I write. If you believe the hype coming from the boom birds who’ve brought these claims to us before and then only invoked the excuse, blaming and viable scapegoats as to why it failed. That could be sooner than you think. This will be the 146th declared boom from these people in the time that I’m aware of. Theirs has worked before, I hope for everyone's sake that we don’t get fooled again.

On the other hand we have no shortage of work to do. Much needs to be done in the next few years. The Preliminary Specification needs to be built. The engineering and geological explicit knowledge needs to be captured as Intellectual Property and developed. New oil and gas firms need to be formed, capitalized and organized. Assets need to be transferred to these new producers in innovative, strategic and tactical ways. In this process we’ll all be helping the current producers to travel faster down their chosen journey to clean energy by disposing of dirty oil. This transition to the Preliminary Specification is something that must be done to deal with the financial difficulties the industry is plagued with from the current administration. This also needs to be done as preparation for the future. And to learn from the experience of this transition as we’ll be faced repeatedly with situations that share this same scope and scale of change in the near future of this business. We’ll therefore be somewhat prepared and experienced in challenges of this nature. Please review our Production Rights to see how everyone can participate in making this new oil and gas industry happen. An industry where it will be less important who you know, but what you know and what you're capable of delivering, what the value proposition is that you’re offering?

Those interested in joining our user community are People, Ideas & Objects priority and focus. The Preliminary Specification, our user community and their service provider organizations provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations, everywhere and always. Setting the foundation for profitable North American energy independence, everywhere and always. In addition, our software organizes the Intellectual Property of the exploration and production processes owned by the engineers and geologists. Enabling them to monetize their IP for a new oil & gas industry to begin with a means to be dynamic, innovative and performance oriented. Providing a new investment opportunity for those who see a bright future in the industry. A place where their administrative, accounting, exploration and production can be handled for the 21st century. People, Ideas & Objects have joined GETTR and can be reached there. Anyone can contact me at 713-965-6720 in Houston or 587-735-2302 in Calgary, or email me here. 

What's the Definition of a Mirage?

 Something illusory and unattainable.

Synonyms include delusion, illusion and hallucination. I would suggest Merriam Webster add oil and gas profits. And so it begins again, the carnival barkers can be heard throughout the industry calling to get on the bus and don’t be late. At the time of this writing our sample of producers stock over the course of the third quarter were up 3.47%. The question that I have is. If we do have a good year in oil and gas, making for a grand total of six good years out of the past thirty six. Does that mean we're in for another run of five bad years right afterwards?

It may be the consequences of Europe’s pursuit of clean energy over the past decades. Maybe it’s the fact of the completion of the Russian / Chinese pipeline that became operational in December 2019 drawing down Russian storage volumes to critical levels this summer. Maybe it’s that Russia is more concerned about ensuring their people are supplied with natural gas during this winter. And have temporarily suspended some shipments to Europe until November 1, 2021. Leaving Europeans scrambling for natural gas supplies to meet their clean energy shortfalls in today’s relatively mild September and October weather, as opposed to cutting them off during December and January freezing conditions. I’ve read some projections of gas prices topping $100 in some areas. Oddly enough the chants that this time it’s different and prayers for a cold winter have begun. I’m not suggesting this is like the last declared booms that did or did not occur in oil and gas. Clearly, today’s date is different. Could of, would of, should of… Instead I suggest we see some financial and operational performance over a sustained period. Performance that shows its meaning has been accepted and understood by those that have refused to do so in the past. Projections of oil and gas nirvana are the mirage that they are. Without any facts or plans, relying on if, maybe, might or the next snow storm are possibly…  

Bureaucrats may have believed that the Russians, like the Saudi’s they’ve belittled over the past decades, could learn a thing or two from them. And neither have learned anything about how to “manage” an enterprise, or conduct any serious level of damage or destruction to their industries. In this latest example of the Russians we see both theirs and the Saudi’s propensity to put the horse ahead of the cart in their business approach. Establishing markets for their products. Building pipelines to those markets, filling those pipelines over a short contractual period of a few years while they develop the actual oil or gas to fill them. Ludicrous isn’t it! That’s not the way you destroy money and if they refuse to learn what good is it trying to teach them?

Producers may have believed they survived the difficulties of covid and the self-inflicted investors strike, the downturns of the past seven years in oil and twelve in natural gas. They’re unauthorized manner of diverting oil and gas revenues to clean energy “investments” is just another way to facilitate another generation of their unaccountable methods. Alternatively they may want to hold on for the real fight. It's not that People, Ideas & Objects will be offering up that fight. We’re done fighting, it’s only sport now that I point out their deficiencies. We’ve asserted our solution and user community to these difficulties and proven our case. We have our responsibilities to build the Preliminary Specification and all that has been detailed below. When there’s money on the table, or Free Cash Flow as they’re calling it today, that’s when the weapons are sharpened, bullets are loaded and the fight begins in earnest. Producers have been in the sights of those that have consistently expressed their distaste with their methods. Only to be ignored and abused further. Producers have a legacy of audited financial reports and continued accounting methods that reflect a financial performance that did not and is not occuring. They are wholesale misrepresentations. It is these same audited financial reports that reflect the past four decades of their administrations were spent destroying all of the value, faith, goodwill and trust within their organizations. It might be appropriate for me to suggest it was less than a month ago that the boards of directors, who represent the shareholders, did not consider the opportunity of implementing the Preliminary Specification to enhance their profitability and accountability. Their best plan at this point might be to think of an answer to when their shareholders' begin asking why? Their shareholders have two things they did not have before. A plan on how their solution in the form of the Preliminary Specification and associated communities can be brought to market. And the unimpeachable knowledge that producers' behavior has not, can not and will not ever change. 

On the other hand we have no shortage of work to do. Much needs to be done in the next few years. The Preliminary Specification needs to be built. The engineering and geological explicit knowledge needs to be captured as Intellectual Property and developed. New oil and gas firms need to be formed, capitalized and organized. Assets need to be transferred to these new producers in innovative, strategic and tactical ways. We’ll all be helping current producers to travel faster down their chosen journey to clean energy. This transition to the Preliminary Specification is something that must be done to deal with the financial difficulties the industry is plagued with from the current administration. This also needs to be done as preparation for the future. And to learn from the experience of this transition as we’ll be faced repeatedly with situations that share this same scope and scale of change in the near future of this business. We’ll therefore be somewhat prepared and experienced in challenges of this nature. Please review our Production Rights to see how everyone can participate in making this new oil and gas industry happen. An industry where it will be less important who you know, but what you know and what you're capable of delivering, what the value proposition is that you’re offering?

Those interested in joining our user community are People, Ideas & Objects priority and focus. The Preliminary Specification, our user community and their service provider organizations provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations, everywhere and always. Setting the foundation for profitable North American energy independence, everywhere and always. In addition, our software organizes the Intellectual Property of the exploration and production processes owned by the engineers and geologists. Enabling them to monetize their IP for a new oil & gas industry to begin with a means to be dynamic, innovative and performance oriented. Providing a new investment opportunity for those who see a bright future in the industry. A place where their administrative, accounting, exploration and production can be handled for the 21st century. People, Ideas & Objects have joined GETTR and can be reached there. Anyone can contact me at 713-965-6720 in Houston or 587-735-2302 in Calgary, or email me here. 

Production Rights Announcement

 People, Ideas & Objects have been busy these past few months transitioning our initiative to a more sustainable foundation. One that will be more viable as a business concern and not dependent on the existing producers' good faith. We began this transition in late June 2021 with a series we carried until the end of July that documented how we would respond to an RFP (Request for Proposal) if we were ever asked for one. We of course never were expecting to receive one, however this exercise sought to differentiate our solution from the competition in the identification and support of the five primary Organizational Constructs inherent in the Preliminary Specification. In summary these consisted of the Joint Operating Committee, Markets, Intellectual Property, Information Technology and the support and expansion of Specialization and the Division of Labor. To name just the highlights. I directed the RFP at the producers Boards of Directors as they’re the ones that ultimately make such material decisions such as which ERP system the firm will use. I then placed tight deadlines on the producers knowing full well they would never comply with the logic and common sense of our RFP or the Preliminary Specification and we would then be able to disengage from them in terms of any obligation of having to work with them. Our legacy has been the thirty years of trying to do exactly that to resolve the issues that have fundamentally destroyed the financial, operational and political foundations of the industry during their watch. Issues that have been evident and present on the global stage since 1986, with our Preliminary Specification addressing them specifically and itself being published December 2013. We did not see placing strict timelines on these boards as unreasonable. In our opinion they’ve had many decades to contemplate such decisions.

Our writings then moved on to expressing the consequences of not moving forward with the Preliminary Specification from the perspective of People, Ideas & Objects. It was this perspective of mine, born of frustration and disbelief at the cumulative damage and destruction that has been caused, that possibly jaded the marketing aspect of what I was selling in those August 2021 blog posts. I then detailed our new plan, which is not fundamentally different from the old plan except for the one critical difference that was identified. It still consisted of our user community driven software development, conducting the industry wide structural changes of moving from the producers fixed cost accounting and administrative capability and capacity, to an industry based, variable cost, accounting and administrative capability and capacity. Managed by the user communities service providers through the 13 modules the Preliminary Specification. 

The change in our plan is the method these developments are funded and what those who were funding them gained in return. We first documented the beginning of the idea of “Permission Rights” in our Initial Coin Offering in an appropriately named blog post on September 11 of 2017. What the Coin was designed to do was to enable its holders the exclusive right to access the Preliminary Specification of People, Ideas & Objects and the services of the service providers to have their accounting and administration managed by the systems they were financing. The advantages of doing so were comprehensive and built value for the prospective coin holders in the following manner. The commodity price differentials between what the status quo producers have accepted throughout the past 35 years they’ve been operating their firms and what the real costs of oil and gas production are, is well documented in their published financial statements. They’re past acceptance of these is the precursor to future behaviors. Therefore we can establish a base case of what was and would be accepted by them vs. what the market prices for oil and gas will be as a result of the operational Preliminary Specifications decentralized production models price maker strategy would provide. That commodity price differential is also called People, Ideas & Objects et al value proposition that would have in turn financed a fee paid to the coin holder by the producers to access our software and services. We were attempting to monetize our value proposition through access rights to our solution. The coin holders would be granted the rights to produce x boe / day. Therefore the existing producers would need to aggregate the necessary “Processing Rights” to have access to the system and services which made them profitable. The assumption at the time was producers would not want to be asked by their shareholders why they were not profitable.

This went over like a lead balloon in the producer firms. And for reasons other than the coins viability we pulled it in March 2020 due to the crypto currency market and covid induced collapse of the producers. There is a nugget of logic contained within the basic idea that could be used to finance not only the much needed development of the software and user community. It would also enable those who acquired what we are now calling “Production Rights'' the ability to process their accounting and administration through the software and services they funded, but also manage their production and exploration processes in a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable way, everywhere and always. In turn earning the Production Rights holder, not just a fee from the differential, as with the former Permission Right, but the entire differential from the price of the accepted status quo producers behavior and the market price under the Preliminary Specifications price maker strategy. This may be achieved through the leverage provided by the Production Rights to exercise the movement of the existing producers' poorly performing assets to their own ownership, under substantially different financial conditions. Theirs being profitable where in essence the entire $25.7 to $45.7 trillion People, Ideas & Objects value proposition over the next 25 year period of operation would be earned by these new asset owners, the Production Rights holders that evolved into the new oil and gas producers. 

The behavior of past producers is evident today in their giddy approach to the news of their staunch efforts and the hard work they’ve undertaken to better manage their firms, or is it just the market conditions temporarily raising the price of oil and gas again. Soon we’ll also see their response, which may miraculously look much like their response was in the past. Is consolidation the workable solution for them to strengthen their self interest and enable their hold on power, or will we see something else? Nonetheless it’s on to clean energy all the time now and Shell has proven that by selling the one premium asset that drove the industry off the cliff last time. The Permian. We discussed a number of new and innovative possibilities as to how the “Production Rights” holders could begin these asset transfers in the discussion of our blog series “Oddly Enough, That’s Not Much Different Than the Old Plan” this September. Starting with non-operated participation in Joint Operating Committees. Understanding how banks are so pleased with their loans performance, what motivation would induce them to move the assets to a more profitable ownership. The sky’s the limit in terms of what’s possible to transfer these assets in my opinion. 

In terms of adding exploration and production aspects of a producer firm to the list of administrative and accounting, this isn’t anything new to anyone who may have read the Preliminary Specification in detail. There was only one change made in that blog post series that was not in the specification and that was detailed and identified. The E in ERP stands for enterprise and if you're only handling a part of a firm you’re not ERP in my opinion. The problem we discussed in that series was none other than the looming shortage of engineers and geologists that is well known and discussed throughout the industry. The only solution to this is what People, Ideas & Objects have proposed in the Preliminary Specification and is resolved through the use of the Intellectual Property construct of developing the explicit science and technological knowledge of the industry. A knowledge base that has been ignored and left to atrophy for reasons that are documented there. One in which is open to the engineers and geologists to acquire themselves and establish their own producer firms, IP operations and service organizations to deliver the tacit knowledge associated with the explicit knowledge they’ve documented that forms their IP. People, Ideas & Objects hopes to have motivated the further breakdown in the technical resource base of the existing producers. Both from the point of view of the Intellectual Property and as the motivation and commitment of the engineers and geologists to conduct these IP related activities. And therefore would form the science and technological resources of the new oil and gas industry we’re constructing. 

I believe that People, Ideas & Objects, our user community and their service provider organizations have taken a balanced approach to the industry to ensure the industry is provided with the most dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas operations everywhere and always. Profits are what make the industry prosperous and healthy, and profitability from a reasonable, timely and accurate accounting basis. Without these profits the greater oil and gas economy suffers unnecessarily and that only leads to greater issues. There would be no one outside of the self interested bureaucrats that would argue that “real” profitability is what has been missing and must be restored immediately. Profits are the only source of funding the industry will have to resurrect itself. The credibility, ethical nature and trust that has been destroyed over the past decades will take at least a decade of prudent management by our good friends to prove otherwise. They’ve chosen not to be concerned with profitability and they’ve not responded in any way to the demand for more accountability from their shareholders. What is it that we’re expecting? Or are we to play the fool again in two years by giving them one more chance today?

At the same time People, Ideas & Objects plays in a number of critical dialectic activities. To ensure the consumers are provided with an abundance of energy at affordable prices. Oil and gas is the reason that the mechanical leverage we prosper from is possible. It will be the most powerful economy in the world that will also be the largest consumer of energy. Therefore our obligation to ensure profitable energy independence needs to be considered as part of what we’re undertaking. This demands that innovation on the science and technology of engineering and geology be at the forefront of the activities of those involved. Structured innovation within the industry and structuring it within the firm are the critical means in which innovation comes about. To suggest that it just springs out of air is foolhardy in the extreme. Controlling and guiding it, ensuring that it isn’t pursued over and over again with the associated redundancies and cost drain. Where those that work the hardest for the biggest developments are rewarded and recognized for their achievements. Not robbed and castigated as they are by today’s bureaucrats. These are how People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers are undertaking to solve the difficult issues of oil and gas. Please review our Production Rights to see how everyone can participate in making this new oil and gas industry happen. An industry where it will be less important who you know, but what you know and what you're capable of delivering, what the value proposition is that you’re offering?

People, Ideas & Objects have determined that these Production Rights are sold on the basis of our revenue. The value earned is in the differential and the leverage provided. We’ve identified that the target market for those that could participate are all of those that fall outside of the current producers bureaucratic clique. Outside of these points we have not decided on anything and would need to know what it is that others see as possible. As soon as we’re able to generate revenue the quicker we’ll begin these developments. Please contact me through the means that are provided below. 

Those interested in joining our user community are People, Ideas & Objects priority and focus. The Preliminary Specification, our user community and their service provider organizations provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations, everywhere and always. Setting the foundation for profitable North American energy independence, everywhere and always. In addition, our software organizes the Intellectual Property of the exploration and production processes owned by the engineers and geologists. Enabling them to monetize their IP for a new oil & gas industry to begin with a means to be dynamic, innovative and performance oriented. Providing a new investment opportunity for those who see a bright future in the industry. A place where their administrative, accounting, exploration and production can be handled for the 21st century. People, Ideas & Objects have joined GETTR and can be reached there. Anyone can contact me at 713-965-6720 in Houston or 587-735-2302 in Calgary, or email me here. 

Where's the Problem? Part IV

 On Monday we reviewed the first major process of innovation in the Preliminary Specification. It consisted of the producer's deployment of its capabilities and capacities in an environment where the demand for the technical resources were projected to outstrip supply. The development of Intellectual Property in the hands of those individual technical resources. Providing these technical resources with the motivation to develop the underlying science, applied science and their technologies of oil and gas. And to play on the sciences and technologies interaction and inter development. The second major process of innovation in the Preliminary Specification is the topic of discussion today. 

These individual technical resources are not an island upon themselves. Just as producers have tried to wall in the capabilities and capacities of the entire administrative, accounting, regulatory, engineering and geological domain completely within their four walls. This brings about a limited application of the science and technology of exploration and production. These domains have far exceeded the capacity of one individual or one producer many decades ago. A more holistic approach is going to be necessary for the development of these sciences and technologies if we are to expand the capacity and capabilities of the always profitable everywhere North American deliverability, and achieve energy independence for the lowest possible cost for the consumers. To continue to think otherwise is ludicrous, but then we have the destruction we have today. 

Specialization and the division of labor is the means in which to resolve these issues and expand our horizons across the 21st century. Without the ERP software such as the Preliminary Specification to define and support the organizations within the North American petroleum marketplace, this will never occur. In addition, without the software development capabilities of People, Ideas & Objects and our user community being established as a permanent facility in the North American market, we are only solving the issues of the day. Subjecting ourselves to the inability to act in a constructive manner to the future changes and their demands in the oil and gas industry. The Organizational Constructs of the Preliminary Specification play an important role in enabling these to be maintained and to follow the principles that have been established in the U.S. Constitution, the capitalist system and are the reason the U.S. is the dominant economy. Bureaucracies didn’t make it on that list.

Therefore in terms of the second major process of innovation that is established in the Preliminary Specification we need to ensure that the industry as a whole provides an environment that fosters an open and collaborative marketplace where ideas dominate. Where ideas are what get the competitive juices flowing to push the sciences and technologies forward. The key to this is the establishment of a new document process within the modules of our software that we call the Work Order. We have noted that there are two major processes that are managed by the Work Order and discussed one of them at length in the Organizational Constructs wiki page. In summary it seeks to enable the ability to charge these technical resources time to the various overhead accounts, AFE’s, leases etc. It works across the industry, therefore establishing the second source of revenue for the small and start-up producers to begin their firm and allow the engineers and geologists a means to capture their time and efforts through an efficient and effective interface to the industries Joint Operating Committees. It will have the appropriate billing and management facilities to control costs or conversely manage revenues. A sizable feature set more than what is available today. The second set of features of the Work Order is where we’ll be able to establish the foundation of the industry to expand on the science and technology of oil and gas and enable the Organizational Constructs to contribute innovatively to benefit from them. 

Professor Giovanni Dosi said it best in his paper “Sources, Procedures, and Microeconomic Effects of Innovation.” Journal of Economic Literature Vol. 26, No. 3 (Sep., 1988), pp. 1120-1171 (52 pages). I am including some relevant quotes of Professor Dosi’s with limited commentary to acquire a sense of the understanding of what is needed within the greater oil and gas industry in order to facilitate the developments of the sciences and technologies of engineering and geology. 

Thus, I shall discuss the sources of innovation opportunities, the role of markets in allocating resources to the exploration of these opportunities and in determining the rates and directions of technological advances, the characteristics of the processes of innovative search, and the nature of the incentives driving private agents to commit themselves to innovation.

• The search, development and adoption of new processes and products in market economies are the outcome of the interaction between:
• Capabilities and stimuli generated with each firm and within the industry of which they complete.
• Broader causes external to the individual industries, such as the state of science in different branches, the facilities for the communication of knowledge, the supply of technical capabilities, skills, engineers etc.
• Additional issues include the conditions controlling occupational and geographical mobility and or consumer promptness / resistance to change, market conditions, financial facilities and capabilities and the criteria used to allocate funds. Microeconomic trends in the effects on changes in relative prices of inputs and outputs, including public policy. (regulation, tax codes, patent and trademark laws and public procurement.)

However, even in the case of “normal” technical search (as opposed to the “extraordinary” exploration associated with the quest for new paradigms) strong uncertainty is present. Even when the fundamental knowledge base and the expected directions of advance are fairly well known, it is still often the case that one must first engage in exploratory research, development, and design before knowing what the outcome will be (what the properties of a new chemical compound will be, what an effective design will look like, etc.) and what some manageable results will cost, or, indeed, whether very useful results will emerge. 

In general, each organizational arrangement of a firm embodies procedures for resource allocation to particular activities (in our case, innovative activities), and for the efficient use of these resources in the search for new products, new processes, and procedures for improvements in existing routines; however, the specific nature of these procedures differs across firms and sectors. For example, the typical degrees of commitment of resources vary by industry and so do the rates at which learning occurs. I now turn to the interpretation of these phenomena.

general scientific knowledge yields a widening pool of potential technological paradigms,

• The nature and interests of the bridging institutions between pure research and economic applications. (p. 1136)
• Institutional factors that drive the technology or science, such as (the military) (p. 1137)
• The selection criteria of markets and or techno-economic requirements of early users. (p. 1137) (NASA, Pentagon, the FDA and Nuclear Reactors for the Navy.)
• Trial and error mechanisms of exploration of the new technologies often associated with Schumpterian entrepreneurship. (p.1137)

With respect to the engineers and geologists Intellectual Property and its development. There is this interesting aspect noted in Professor Dosi’s research. He notes that Levin states that the control of complementary technologies becomes a “rent-earning firm-specific asset.” Dosi states 

in general, it must be noticed that the partly tacit nature of innovative knowledge and its characteristics of partial private appropriability makes imitation a creative process, which involves search, which is not wholly distinct from the search for new development, and which is economically expensive - sometimes even more expensive than the original innovation, and applies to both patented and non-patented innovations. (p. 1140)

And finally in terms of the relevant quotes from the paper.

Market structure and technological performance are endogenously generated by three underlying sets of determinants.”

• The structure of demand.
• The nature and strength of opportunities for technological advancement. 
• The ability of firms to appropriate the returns from private investment in research and development.

I recommend everyone download Professor Dosi’s document (paywall) it is a tragically difficult document to read as it is comprehensive and thorough. Professor Dosi is well established in the innovation field and has contributed greatly. 

The Work Order of the Preliminary Specification in this second role of expanding the industry base of knowledge and understanding is an important element of the future. The Work Order feature that I’m highlighting is the ability to create ad-hoc working groups for research and study between producers with / without having any prior established relationship, agreement, interactions or transactions in the past. Unlike an AFE or lease that are derived from the Joint Operating Committees working interest distribution. These working groups may be established with others outside of the producer's usual domain of partners, service industry representatives, universities and other institutions that have resources of interest that are available to be committed to a working group for the purposes of what Dr. Dosi has described. These working groups are able to be accommodated in the current ERP systems through the normal process of accounting, however, are a logistical and financial nightmare due to the structure that the producers are operational under. These working groups may have contributions in the form of cash, intellectual resources, Intellectual Property and other resources beyond the normal understanding of a business relationship in oil and gas. Therefore they have been avoided as they’re too difficult to administer and those that initiate them are usually holding the line with mitigating the difficulties and misinterpretation of what was happening and who was obligated for what in order to earn which. The sense of collaboration and pursuit of the science and technology that was evident in these working groups in the 1960s is no longer present today. As they are more or less unused and unusable. 

The issue therefore is the point of where we’re at where we need to be in terms of the science and technology of oil and gas. It is clear these need to be reestablished to sponsor an overall direction and collaborative leadership position within the industry in terms of its innovation, research and development. And to do so, not with the level of participation that was done in the 1960s, but a quantum, exponential and logarithmic scale larger than what could be conceived of by the producer firms today. The Work Order system is the means in which to do so. It provides the interface necessary to capture the structure of the understanding of the purpose of the working group, the contribution of the participants and the distribution of any findings. Usually in the form of ownership of the Intellectual Property, which expresses the desire and motivation to have these working groups and to participate freely. Everyone sitting alone in their office downtown or at home isn’t going to do anything spectacular in terms of bringing about profitable, energy independence on the continent at the lowest possible cost to the consumers for the remainder of this century, and to do so for at least that long. 

Please review our page to see how everyone can participate in making this new oil and gas industry happen. An industry where it will be less important who you know, but what you know and what you're capable of delivering, what the value proposition is that you’re offering?

Those interested in joining our user community are People, Ideas & Objects priority and focus. The Preliminary Specification, our user community and their service provider organizations provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations, everywhere and always. Setting the foundation for profitable North American energy independence, everywhere and always. In addition, our software organizes the Intellectual Property of the exploration and production processes owned by the engineers and geologists. Enabling them to monetize their IP for a new oil & gas industry to begin with a means to be dynamic, innovative and performance oriented. Providing a new investment opportunity for those who see a bright future in the industry. A place where their administrative, accounting, exploration and production can be handled for the 21st century. People, Ideas & Objects have joined GETTR and can be reached there. Anyone can contact me at 713-965-6720 in Houston or 587-735-2302 in Calgary, or email me here. 

Where's the Problem? Part III

 Related to the innovation that we discussed in last Thursday’s post. There’s an issue in the industry that has actually been clearly identified by producers over the past decade. It’s not that they’ve sought to resolve it in any way. They’ve actually made it much worse and still failed to address it. Yet I think if we asked anyone in industry about the looming shortage of engineers and geologists they would all know and understand the protracted mess we’re in with respect to the critical shortages of these key resources. University faculties for engineering and geology, related to oil and gas, are all but empty thanks to the chronic, boom / bust induced layoffs in those disciplines. And the retirement of the brain trust is ongoing. 

The Preliminary Specification uses five Organizational Constructs consisting of the Joint Operating Committee, Specialization and the Division of Labor, Intellectual Property, Information Technology and Markets to organize the industry and producer firm to enable them to operate in the 21st century. By using the Joint Operating Committee we move the compliance and governance frameworks into alignment with the legal, financial, operational decision making, cultural, communication, innovation and strategic frameworks of the industry. To these constructs and frameworks we could add accurate and timely accounting, business and common sense, logic in addition to a myriad of others but I’d only be piling on. When there’s issues to resolve the first step in resolving them is to organize and that is what the Preliminary Specification seeks to do. But there’s more. Since January 2014 People, Ideas & Objects have dedicated our primary focus to building our key competitive advantage of our user community. To have quality, usable ERP software it must be driven by a high level of user involvement. Seven years of community effort, based on the structure we’ve given that community, has mitigated much of the time required in organizing these critical resources to develop quality software. Now we’re adding the customers necessary to fuel these developments' financial needs.

Secondly software and more specifically ERP software is the only means in which to organize continental and global markets. Serendipity and spontaneous order are redundant in the 21st century as software defines and supports organizations. Unfortunately without a software development capability such as what People, Ideas & Objects and our user community propose, software will only constrain organizations in proverbial cement. Organizational change can only be orchestrated through changes in the software first. Without a permanent and dedicated ERP software development capability and capacity, oil and gas will be repeatedly faced with the type of critical issues such as what its current unchanging environment provides. The type of situation we’ve labeled a modern day software bug. We’re in a critical situation in oil and gas. As we’ve detailed in the September 2021 section of our Implementation / Budgets wiki page. It’s no longer good enough to just own the oil and gas asset anymore. Producers will also have to have access to the ERP software that makes the oil and gas asset profitable. That is the Preliminary Specification and we are seeking from our customers, the future oil and gas producers and others, the financial resources necessary to build this software and community. In exchange we are granting the access rights to the software being developed and associated communities in order to earn the substantial value proposition between our vision and the status quo. 

The issue of the shortages of engineers and geologists is resolved in the Preliminary Specification in the following manner. Looking at the producers designation as operator is a requirement that demands producers have the requisite engineering and geological expertise, skills, capacities and capabilities necessary to deal just-in-time with the inventory of properties they own. In order to achieve these capabilities and capacities a producer, as operator, needs to have a surplus capacity of these resources available for the many times when their throughput demands them. In addition, as these sciences and technologies expand their specializations the associated division of labor increases. We believe the demand for more resources within each producer in order to cover off the diverse specialized needs of all of the operated processes of production and exploration will become problematic. People, Ideas & Objects feel that the operatorship role will demand an ever increasing surplus capacity of these resources be available, are not shared or shareable outside of the producer firm, other than through their Joint Operating Committees, and therefore we estimate these to be operational at 75% in terms of their utilization rate across the industry. Furthermore as specialization and the division of labor begin to expand further as it is the most viable solution to the shortfall in these resources. The industry's current organizational configurations operational utilization rate will drop due to the greater diversity of these resources demanded through specialization. We also believe the population shortage of these key resources, this diversity of their demands from specialization and their low utilization rate will quickly escalate as issues to cause each and every producer seeking these capabilities to move outside of the commercial realm. Today we believe that in addition to the wall of fixed overhead that each small and startup producer is faced with overcoming. What we have listed as their primary challenge. The dearth of these technical resources available to the junior sector, their costs and the diverse nature even today put these resources beyond the scope of the small and startup producers. These two issues are what we believe to be the primary and secondary reasons these small producers are currently travelling down the road to extinction. 

This is either the downfall of specialization and the division of labor or the hoarding of resources by the producers which has occurred in order to achieve the just in time, robust capability needed by each and every one of the operating producers. The upside of specialization is it has been the sole reason for the creation of any and all value experienced in the world since the late 1700’s. Deployment of these technical resources in a hierarchical strata within the producer organization, as it was so effectively done in the 1950’s may have ceased to function. The Internet and other Information Technologies such as ERP software are available to expand the role of specialization and better deploy these resources in markets, but also to substantially increase their productivity as we’ve defined our solution in the Preliminary Specification with our user community. Making up for any shortfall from their looming shortages from the universities and retirements. How effective can specialization and the division of labor be? Adam Smith who developed the theory in the late 1700’s researched their effect on the productivity output of a pin factory. As a result of breaking down the process of manufacturing of pins he was able to yield a 240 fold increase in the factory's output. The elimination of the current and anticipated surplus capacities in the producers, and the manner in which People, Ideas & Objects have employed innovation in the Preliminary Specification to reduce the redundancy of attempting the same failed “innovative” experiments at each location each and every year, or having the current producers designated innovative staff consumed with how better to be building balance sheets. To name just a few of the methods we’ve employed. These are three elements that make up some of how we’ve proposed to resolve these issues.

Therefore in conclusion, over these past two posts that summarize the first major process of innovation in the Preliminary Specification. We see that our focus on profitability will enable producer firms to turn to innovative solutions to their unprofitable, and looming unprofitable properties. Profitability being a real issue to People, Ideas & Objects we have incurred the persecution for such thinking in oil and gas, but survived. Elimination of the redundancy of the copycat providers that are fed the Intellectual Property from other vendors by the producers has done nothing but caused what can only be called an absolutely regressive status quo. Only the Haliburtons and Schlumberger's were able to prosper, all others were serially abused and its good luck now finding the field capacity and capability for the future. Even those two mentioned have left the North American market. Such is the damage that is experienced throughout. Intellectual Property provides the organizational construct in which to reestablish the appropriate means to rebuild the key resources of the engineers and geological capacity and capabilities in oil and gas but also in the service industry. IP will focus, advance and eliminate the redundancy that is inherent and encouraged in the current producer administrations. It just so happens that it’s also the law and the power that a primary industry has abused with its bureaucrats dictating to its critical resources to take it my way or the highway, is over. The world of oil and gas will be dominated by the prosperous, brain busted innovators who will command premiums for their service with no fear of being pirated by lackeys at the old producer firms. They’ll be welcomed by the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable producers being rebuilt. We’re all in this together and producer profitability is what’s going to be necessary to pay competitive dividends, service debt and rebuild all of these industries in the greater oil and gas economy with the faith and trust that’s been… Well no one has come up with a word that’s adequate for the depth of destruction we’ve all experienced. 

Developing this engineering and geological Intellectual Property, making it available within the greater oil and gas market for those to discover is one of the steps of this first major process of innovation in the Preliminary Specification. This IP is then available for others to see and understand how their ideas may fit in to solve other problems which generates more IP, products, services and subsequently profitable oil and gas production. This IP is listed in the Preliminary Specifications Research & Capabilities module which is then focused by classification and categorization into the Knowledge & Learning module. In other words, it's a marketing forum for their ideas and services as well as means for producers to learn what is available. It’s within our Resource Marketplace module that enables our new producers to find these ideas at their beginning and encourage them to develop with some of those primary industry revenue streams they’ll earn as a result of the efforts of all these people throughout the greater oil and gas economy. Why will producers be spending on service industry development? The simple answer is there’s no one else that’s going to. Prior investors in the service industry have vivid memories of investing millions of dollars in drilling rigs that were subsequently cut up for scrap metal to pay the back taxes and overheads to survive. It will be the only means for producers to rebuild the capacity and capabilities the previous administration frittered and wasted thinking it was nothing, had nothing to do with them and wasn’t their problem.

Please review our Wiki page to see how everyone can participate in making this new oil and gas industry happen. An industry where it will be less important who you know, but what you know and what you're capable of delivering, what the value proposition is that you’re offering?

Those interested in joining our user community are People, Ideas & Objects priority and focus. The Preliminary Specification, our user community and their service provider organizations provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations, everywhere and always. Setting the foundation for profitable North American energy independence, everywhere and always. In addition, our software organizes the Intellectual Property of the exploration and production processes owned by the engineers and geologists. Enabling them to monetize their IP for a new oil & gas industry to begin with a means to be dynamic, innovative and performance oriented. Providing a new investment opportunity for those who see a bright future in the industry. A place where their administrative, accounting, exploration and production can be handled for the 21st century. People, Ideas & Objects have joined GETTR and can be reached there. Anyone can contact me at 713-965-6720 in Houston or 587-735-2302 in Calgary, or email me here.