Agreement to Withhold Capacity
We can accurately tell what the costs of reserves and production costs are and there are many times when these exceed the prices that are received in the marketplace. The North American natural gas marketplace is a very good example of this situation. Selling at a loss may fuel the short term cash flow situation however, it is at the long term expense of reserve replacements. In a highly innovative oil and gas marketplace, the costs of innovation are being funded by the commodity prices. However, these costs may exceed the temporary fluctuations in the market prices for the commodities. Is it wise for the producer to continue to produce at capacity?
What if the agreement that governs the Joint Operating Committee has the partnership agreeing to shut-in production when the price of the commodity drops below x value. The situation would help to mitigate the loss of earnings on the reserves and not materially affect the cash flow of the producer if they were using the Preliminary Specifications decentralized production model. The global implications of many producers implementing this type of price based production profile would put a floor on the commodity prices. A floor based on the marginal costs of reserve replacement.
Recall the decentralized production model was best defined by Professor Richard Langlois as.
In a world of decentralized production, most costs are variable costs; so, when variations or interruptions in product flow interfere with output, costs decline more or less in line with revenues. But when high-throughput production is accomplished by means of high-fixed-cost machinery and organization, variations and interruptions leave significant overheads uncovered. p. 58
In the Preliminary Specification the typical producer is reduced to the C class executives, the earth science and engineering resources, the land and legal, and some support staff. The remainder of the producers resources are reorganized across the industry into service providers that are focused on a process and who use the industry as their client base. Therefore resources such as production accountants might be located within a geographic region where there are a number of gas plants, and provide production accounting to the Joint Operating Committees that have production at those facilities. That way each month the Joint Operating Committee will receive a billing from the production accounting service provider for their services. If however there is no production, there is no production accounting service provider billings, or any billings from any of the other service providers, and as a result those Joint Operating Committees will have no revenues, no operating costs, no administration or accounting costs, and as a result report no profits and no losses on operations.
The decentralized production model moves the fixed administrative and accounting capabilities of the producer to be the variable administrative and accounting capabilities of the industry. Charging the Joint Operating Committee directly for the service fees of the service providers ensures the industry gets an exact accounting of the costs of operations. No more administrative overheads will be charged to the Joint Operating Committees. By employing the decentralized production model the industry, the producer and the Joint Operating Committee gain a number of key advantages. First it enables producers to match costs to revenues on a monthly basis. Second it eliminates all losses on operations in oil and gas, and these losses are not added to the costs of the reserves. Third it saves the reserves that have been shut-in for a time in which they can be produced profitably. And fourth, it removes the marginal production from the marketplace, putting a floor on commodity prices. For the 2012 calendar year People, Ideas & Objects calculated the opportunity costs of not using the decentralized production model at $94 billion.
The Preliminary Specification provides the oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy.