It’s highly inappropriate and somewhat unreasonable to criticize an industry's leadership for their performance over the past decades. People, Ideas & Objects have squarely placed the blame for the industry's difficulties on the producers, officers, and directors. Time will assess People, Ideas & Objects' methods, which appear to be either outright lunacy or rare and exceptional practicality.
If the lunacy should happen to fall to the officers and directors, it is rare and exceptional when individual investors consider a corporation’s investments no longer viable and decide that walking away is their best choice. However, that is not the case in North American oil and gas. The rare and exceptional element of the oil and gas producers is that the industry has been deemed unworthy of continued support.
Investors remain as shareholders to capture some of their investments through dividends. Liquidation of their positions is generally considered untenable due to their size. They expect to realize some value and gain some financial advantage over time if management is successful in rehabilitating their organization.
This level of action exercised against an industry on a wholesale basis is evidently a non-event. When investors signaled their discontent over a decade ago, that’s just history. But not a single producer firm did anything about it? The following question becomes the determinant as to the lunacy label: Which is worse, the investors' signal in 2015, or the subsequent decade of “muddle through.” Readers' choice, as I’d be biased in my answer.
Profits
The lack of “real” profitability is more or less the investors' issue. Profitability is at the heart of the steady decline of the industry's activities, financial liquidity, capacities, and capabilities. Unwilling to limit the damages to themselves, producers made sure to draw in the service industry and take them down harder and faster, betraying them and extinguishing any trust, faith, or goodwill they had in the producers. If anyone needs to understand why profits are so necessary in the industry, they can return to this point in time and realize this is what it’s like without them.
EIA, IEA, and OPEC are all in general disagreement as to the speed and severity of both conventional and shale-based volumetric declines over the next few years. Mark me surprised as they say it’s conventional and global in nature. I’ve always assumed it’s just North American shale volumes that were at risk, making it a continental issue that could be focused and driven. Now, as much as the “muddle through” crowd would like to think investors will rush back in (they weren’t), they’ll rush in elsewhere.
Producers have proven they don’t understand business to the level necessary to be profitable. They are stubbornly persistent about their lack of understanding and are unwilling to accept it and change. Absolutely nothing has happened or will happen until the investors show up at the party and start throwing cash around again.
September 30, 2025 Reporting
I am not aware of any reporting by producers about their need to inform investors of their impact from lost natural gas revenues since at least 2009. Their interpretation of the issue is unknown, and I find it odd their only action involves ghost banning my X account. They may be far smarter than the rest of us; after all, who would have thought we’d be here in 2025 with the industry in this condition?