OCI Operations Management, Part II
Oracle Supply Chain Management
As mentioned earlier, the underlying use of Oracle’s Joint Venture Management solution will form the basis of what we develop in the overall Preliminary Specification. Each module of the Preliminary Specification outlines significant elements of the Oracle Cloud ERP suite of applications. These elements provide the starting point for the work we’ll do for oil & gas. We are not recreating the wheel, only building upon it. And leveraging Oracle’s defined method of development architecture that uses their Oracle Cloud Fusion Applications and Fusion Middleware as the tools to enhance our additions and not through individual stand alone applications. We can accept this architecture as Intellectual Property is one of People, Ideas & Objects' three competitive advantages. Our proprietary content is published and protected. In the Operations Management module, we'll use Oracle Supply Chain Management as the primary base offering. In addition, we'll incorporate many other Oracle applications and features incorporated through connections with other modules in the Preliminary Specification.
To understand Oracle Supply Chain Management offering, review the following YouTube videos.
Oracle developed their cloud-based Supply Chain Management solution through the development and integration of their enterprise hardware manufacturing business purchased from Sun Microsystems. This development brings Supply Chain Management capability into Oracle Fusion Middleware and ERP Applications. These were and are the sources of Oracle Cloud ERP today. One of the unique characteristics of Oracle’s hardware manufacturing process is that each order is "Configure to Order (CTO)" and delivery is made to 156 countries. Approaching the development of their Supply Chain Management module in this manner is consistent with Oracle’s past methodologies. What is commonly referred to in the software development industry as “eating your own dog food,” or using software you develop yourself, Oracle Cloud ERP is used throughout Oracle’s organization.
At People, Ideas & Objects our user community provides the most profitable means of oil & gas operations, everywhere and always. That is the motivation behind what we do. Can producer profits from a "real" perspective motivate our user community to keep their focus and commitment throughout the development, implementation, service and maintenance of the oil & gas industry? I believe they’ll only need to reflect back on this period. They'll understand that the disaster that is oil & gas, the service and tertiary industries, and what will become of the industry in the next decade is a result. This catastrophe is entirely attributable to producers' lack of "real" profitability. When producers create real wealth and prosperity. It demands that the greater oil & gas economic structure participates in that creation, its wealth and prosperity too. Contrast this to today where only producers, officers and directors are satisfied. Therefore it is reasonable to suggest that our user community is motivated. But there’s more. Our user community are the only people licensed to prepare derivative works to the Preliminary Specification software and services. They are the principles of the service provider organizations they own and operate. These organizations service and support producer firms with People, Ideas & Objects software.
Innovation is one of our major initiatives and one of the seven Organizational Constructs of the Preliminary Specification. Innovation needs to be structured and developed within an organization before its realization. Therefore much of the design and development of People, Ideas, & Objects is focused on the innovation demands of an organization for both the producer and the greater oil & gas industry. Dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable producers will approach the dichotomy of their profitability vs affordable, abundant and reliable energy they'll innovatively provide to the consumer.
It is here in innovativeness that Oracle presents a previously unrealized and otherwise unavailable benefit of Oracle Cloud ERP. Oracle Cloud ERP quarterly upgrade cycle is a feature. A feature in which People, Ideas & Objects have architected the Preliminary Specification and oil & gas producers will fully realize. Innovation is iteration and user involvement working hand in hand to progress forward.
In Sources, Procedures & Macroeconomic Effects of Innovation by Professor Giovanni Dosi, we learned.
… the conditions controlling occupational and geographical mobility and or consumer promptness / resistance to change, market conditions, financial facilities and capabilities and the criteria used to allocate funds. Microeconomic trends in the effects on changes in relative prices of inputs and outputs, including public policy. (regulations, tax codes, patent and trademark laws and public procurement.) p. 1121.
As Dosi notes, enhanced financial facilities provide real value for producers in the 21st century. Iteration on the integrated and aligned business, operations and technical ends of the producer and Joint Operating Committee is where the Operations Management module seeks to bring the disparate elements of the Preliminary Specification together for active management and control.
This next point ties into our earlier quote from Safra Catz regarding now is the time to be bold. The Operations Management module is an innovative type of application being envisioned that is a necessity when the Internet of Things (IoT) enables and begins comprehensive automation. What People, Ideas & Objects traditionally call the ability to monitor and control devices. We now prefer to use Oracle’s classifications of “Pull of Data” and “Push of Instruction.” This is a world of exponential data and complexity, risk and uncertainty with unimaginable rewards and opportunities. As the slide title states it is a journey not a destination. The journey begins with Operations Management and continues with the assistance of People, Ideas & Objects, our user community and their service provider organizations and Oracle established as a permanent ERP software development and integration capacity and capability within the oil & gas and tertiary industries.
The nature of unanticipated and foreseeable catastrophes is documented on the next slide. To the far right is the anticipated frequency of these and the time necessary to prepare for the catastrophic event. I’m unable to categorize the oil & gas industry into any of these situations. A four decade run of destruction, fueled by investor capital sourced through specious means and no action reflects to me that this industry has been built on the basis of catastrophes (boom / bust cycles) where the culture has accepted and accommodated a “hair on fire” situation as normal. However, when we review the financial statements of producers. A random sample of 10 or more producers. Can anyone point out the heroes and which ones are the zero’s? Over the course of a decade try to determine from these financial statements what the state of the industry is in? Was it a boom or bust and did the company win or lose?
People, Ideas & Objects have painted a radically different vision of how administrative and accounting processes are managed throughout North American oil & gas. Turning overhead cost structures from fixed to variable based on profitable production. Enabling producers to shut-in any unprofitable production and reap substantial value from our software and service provider organizations.
The question becomes how is this opportunity realized? Will a strategy of “muddle through” get us there? Or do these need to be undertaken purposefully? In the way that the fourteen modules of the Preliminary Specification establish and enhance Oracle Cloud ERP.
People, Ideas & Objects acknowledges the broader Oracle community of developers and users in the Oracle Cloud ERP, Oracle Autonomous Database and Java environments. This is a resource pool we can draw upon during our development, implementation and operations. This will provide further value and performance for North American oil & gas producers. We hope to contribute to this community through the challenges we face and need to resolve during this process. And the overall task of seeing an industry rebuild itself on performance and profitability.
Enabling Technologies
Internet of Things (IOT)
There are three inherent characteristics of the IoT that mark the changes in “what and how” the Internet is operated. The first is the ability to acquire unique individual addresses through IPv6, the next Internet iteration. Enabling an addressable range of 2 to the power of 128. Which is a sizable volume higher than the current IPv4 addressing capability of 2 to the power of 32. As a result, each device on the Internet can have its own unique identifiable location. Therefore it is identifiable and accessed by that one specific device in that one location in that one factory in that country… There are current workarounds being offered where IPv4 masks IPv6 addressing which is adequate for some purposes, however for IoT it is inadequate. IPv4 addressing is quickly running out of unique addressing and the cost to acquire an address reflects its rarity. The second and third enabling capabilities of IoT are the capacity for monitoring, or as Oracle describes “Pull of Data” and control, or Oracle’s term of “Push of Instruction” those devices that are connected and easily identified, and hence only that device, through their unique addressing.
The Internet has changed business in remarkable ways that today appear quite advanced from the prehistoric age of only a decade ago. Yet the corporate implementation of Information Technology is poor as the maturation of the underlying technologies have come of age. What appear to be dramatic developments and improvements have little effect on organizations' productivity and performance. Issues and opportunities that existed then remain unresolved and unrealized today. Information Technology has never been realized and business has false expectations. Having the latest version of the Windows operating system will not increase productivity. It is the application of Information Technology through the business model, the business strategy and making it work for us beyond the install script. This is where the value proposition lies. IT is not the solution but a tool to prepare the business solution.
In saying that, this next phase of the Internet will be difficult to ignore in my opinion. The Internet of Things (IoT) is one of three underlying technologies that provide oil & gas with People, Ideas & Objects Operations Management module opportunities. With the disparate nature of geographical regions and locations, process-based manufacturing demands a highly sophisticated infrastructure. This complexity and control has been well managed to this point by the producer firms. Questioning its continued management is reasonable when the service industry's capacities and capabilities have suffered such severe destruction. The recent strategy of the producers to focus on clean energy is disconcerting and reflects the uncaring nature of its officers and directors in approaching the oil & gas business.
Applying IoT to the business model of the Preliminary Specification where the Joint Operating Committee is the key organizational construct. One of seven distinct Organizational Constructs that form the oil & gas industry culture we're building. It’s the natural consequence of a reasonable approach due to the value gained. Automation, specialization and the division of labor would need to be redefined by optimizing these three enabling technologies in the Operations Management module. A process that we’ve proposed and applied throughout our development. It would be redundant to undertake the process of developing the Preliminary Specification only to immediately return upon its completion to implement the IoT opportunity. Therefore it is within our budget that we are undertaking the Operations Management module at the discretion of our user communities and during our initial development.
Communications
Starlink
Technology has recently become available to enable this Operations Management Module. Elon Musk’s Starlink is a product launched by SpaceX. Although operational with 4,487 satellites, (7/2023) it has not fully deployed its planned 42,000 satellites. What we are witnessing is the deployment of new technology that enables the Internet to be available anywhere within the domain of our proposed North American marketplace. The speed at which this technology is deployed is remarkable.
Currently there are a variety of ways to connect to the Internet. With North America being the domain of People, Ideas & Objects, we are addressing a large geographical area. Producers will have remote operations and may have a variety of methods to connect to the Internet at some of their operations. None of these will be standard across the continent. With SpaceX, People, Ideas & Objects, will standardize the connectivity of all locations. In addition, we will enhance all producers' data and reporting capabilities through our Cloud Administration & Accounting for Oil & Gas. The advantages of doing so are substantial and they fall within the objectives of what we seek to achieve here in the Preliminary Specification. Although complex in its makeup, the Operations Management module is a contributor to the producer's automation, innovation and profitability.
Swarm
LOW COST GLOBAL DATA FOR IOT
Swarm provides low-bandwidth satellite connectivity for only $5/month using ultra-small satellites in low orbit. Swarm satellites cover every point on Earth, enabling IoT devices to affordably operate in any location.
In direct response to Starlink's high cost, SpaceX purchased a dedicated IoT network provider. The Swarm network is a configuration of 160 low orbit satellites. Although the bandwidth is lower than Starlink's, that is not an issue for the Internet of Things. Whether the need to capture small numbers of data variables on a real time basis throughout the day, or to gain the real advantage of IoT, which is the ability to “Pull of Data” and “Push of Instruction” devices. Network requirements are substantially less demanding than typical users' data requirements. No one will watch videos or browse the web on Swarm. The Swarm network is the means by which Starlink offers text-based cellular phone coverage in areas without it.
The cost of Swarm compared to Starlink is telling. Starlink is $2,500 for the equipment and $500 / month for the service. Swarm can bring these costs down by 96%. To have each Joint Operating Committee connected, no matter how remote, which is what I believe would be the requirement, would be far less costly to achieve a full implementation of IoT through SpaceX’ Swarm network. As an incidental cost, it would cost $100 for the hardware and $5 monthly for the service. What this purchase includes in terms of network configuration and IP addresses is unknown.
As an example of the use of the Swarm network’s use in the Preliminary Specification and its application of IoT. People, Ideas & Objects have expanded the functions and process management of the Material Balance Report to the highly engineered document that it always should have been. The issue has always been that the value generated for one company is limited compared to the significant costs to engineer it appropriately. With our budget aggregation and distribution of the application across the industry, this value add is a critical feature of the Preliminary Specification. Information Technology has now matured to undertake a task of this nature. As originally written in 2012, the Material Balance Report used monthly production numbers. Now with IoT and the Swarm network the ability to capture daily production volumes and re-engineer the field data capture process away from SCADA would be attainable. This would not only be possible but an advantage. It’s not that daily production volumes are used for financial calculations today. They could be used in the Material Balance Report to calculate next month's revenue and royalty accruals. This is based on the reported daily volumes, on the known characteristics of production and the prices of those products. Increasing the accuracy of accrual with no man hours incurred in any aspect of the accrual process.
The use and value of IoT, both Starlink and Swarm networks will be determined through our user communities' innovativeness and their interactions with the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil & gas producer firms. Any suggestion other than this obvious accounting accrual possibility limits the value of the IoT in terms of the Preliminary Specification. In terms of what the engineering possibilities are is certainly unknown to me. We can only assume that better information on a timely basis with remote Pull of Data and Push of Instruction is a benefit to that discipline. As a result, I am confident that there would be much more that our user community could generate in terms of value.
Joint Operating Committees subscribe to the Swarm network. The issue with defining the allocation of nodes to the Swarm network is the monthly demand for data. The network's maximum monthly use is limited to 600 kb, or .6 MB or 300 pages of text. Reflecting that only small packets of data are transported across the network. Whether that is Pull of Data or Push of Instruction, the IoT device, it is reasonable to assume that a small Joint Operating Committee would only demand one node and distribute the service to a number of addresses, whereas larger ones would need several to accommodate higher bandwidth requirements. Standardization and deployment of these technologies across the industry would create an infrastructure for innovation. When it becomes standard practice, a part of the business and available at reasonable costs through our user communities and service providers, the industry would be operational at a higher throughput capacity.
A proof of concept of the Swarm network, and an endorsement of its much lower cost model, is the fact that Swarm networks are currently deployed in oil & gas.
Moving to the key Organizational Construct of the Joint Operating Committee we’ve made a fundamental change in recognizing and aligning administrative and accounting to the operational culture, Using these three enabling technologies, IoT, Swarm network, and Oracle, we foresee dramatic increases in data, processes, and the number of service industry firms that producers use and opportunities. Much the same as our user community service providers will leverage such value from their work.