OCI Request for Proposal, Part IV
Specialization & the Division of Labor
Since 1776 the only basis for increased value generation has been the expanded definition and use of specialization and the division of labor. Adam Smith proved in his research that by reorganizing a pin factory around specialization and the division of labor between individual workers, augmented through proficiency, automation and mechanical advantage, the factory output increased 240 fold. Today the opposite is true. Software and most particularly ERP software has sealed organizations to a definition that is unchangeable through any means other than changing the software process definition. This aids producers' status quo configuration when they don’t sponsor or initiate any change in ERP software. Instead, focus on engineering tasks such as cost cutting to generate business value. If we are to meet consumer energy demands in the 21st century it will be the result of an “all of the above” energy strategy. For the next several generations the largest component of energy makeup will be oil & gas. Therefore, dealing with these issues and opportunities demands that we increase the industry's throughput substantially in order to meet the increasing demands of the North American marketplace.
It is therefore necessary to ensure that we proceed from this point forward with the defined capability and capacity to enhance the ERP software used in North American oil & gas. And to do so to facilitate an increased level of specialization and division of labor that is iterative and constantly evolving. People, Ideas & Objects provide for this and are configured specifically to ensure this. Our business model depends on change. We generate revenues from software development changes initiated by our user communities interactions with industry. Our user community will be available everywhere and always on a part-time basis to work with our developers to make the changes they’ve identified while working in their service provider operations. These service providers will be configured to deliver the explicit knowledge captured in our software and the tacit knowledge provided by their services. Our user community members are therefore on the ground in the industry on a day to day basis in the administration and accounting of producer firms. They are the exclusive, licensed individuals authorized to change the software's Intellectual Property. Our developers know of no one else providing input. In other words, our user community members have the power necessary to ensure that the processes they manage ensure the most profitable means of oil & gas operations everywhere and always. Only our user community members own and operate service providers. If anyone in the industry wants to know who they need to resolve their issue, they only need to contact the relevant user community member. Who do they call today, or at SAP if our suspicions of the officers and directors' actions are correct and they're selecting their solution?
People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specification brings significant advantages to all producers. This is a solution that should be used by all producers in the North American industry. Whether that is Exxon or the producer firm that originated at breakfast. This also applies to any and all other types of secondary and tertiary industry firms involved in the greater oil & gas economy, no matter their size. While we provide advantages to junior and startup oil & gas producers, we put their organizations in a position to succeed and grow. They’ll have distinct competitive advantages over today's business model methods of organization. These are brought about through the reorganization of producer firms' administrative and accounting resources into our user communities service provider organizations. And the implementation of our Cloud Administration & Accounting for Oil & Gas service provided by them.
The producer organizations that we define and support in the Preliminary Specification employs and deploys higher levels of specialization and division of labor. We feel the overhead costs of producers demand these be dealt with by making organizations more efficient through the application of advanced, and continually advancing, specialization and division of labor. We also turn their overhead costs from a fixed, producer based capacity and capability, into a variable, industry based capacity and capability, their variable behavior being decided upon a Joint Operating Committee's ability to produce profitable production. One of the reasons for the high overhead costs of each producer (up to 20% of revenues, not the 1 to 6% reported on financial statements) is that all of their capacities and capabilities are replicated within each producer firm in an unshared and unshareable form. Today these accounting and administrative capabilities and capacities are purpose built within each producer organization to meet the demands of the various stakeholders. They also meet tax and regulatory requirements. It is these high overhead costs that are the secondary cause of oil & gas profitability problems. Overhead costs do not constitute a producer's distinct competitive advantage.
Preliminary Specifications support a reallocation of the producers' administrative and accounting resources into individual service providers headed by members of our user community. Our user community and their service providers are independent businesses that specialize in one administrative or accounting process. They conduct that process on behalf of the entire industry as their client base. If a Joint Operating Committee produced that month, under our decentralized production model price maker strategy, we can reasonably assume it is profitable. Upon production the processes administered by each service provider will be invoked through our task and transfer network. The processes undertaken and their associated billings will be charged directly to their Joint Operating Committees. If it’s not profitable, the property would be shut-in and none of the service providers would receive any data from our task and transfer network. Therefore, no processes will be conducted and no service provider billings will be rendered. The shut-in property does not incur a profit or loss, but is a null operation. Under either scenario, overhead costs will be covered in the current period through profitable operations or by the fact that costs will be variable under the Preliminary Specification. Meaning they won't be incurred when a property is shut-in.
Producers can benefit from beginning operations in this manner. First they will reach their optimum profitability when losses stop diluting profitable properties. Whether that is at 25% or 100% of the producer's capacity. When all costs are variable, production will be profitable at any volume of their production profile. This will preserve their oil & gas reserves for a time when they can be produced profitably. Those reserves will no longer have to carry the incremental costs of losses otherwise incurred if they continued to produce unprofitably. Keeping the commodity as reserves can be seen as an affordable means of storage where the subsequent costs of production and storage are zero. Commodity markets will find their marginal price when unprofitable production is removed from the marketplace. Increasing the value of all producers' production by realizing marginal prices across their production profiles. Producer officers and directors assert this is collusion. If making independent business decisions based on detailed actual, factual, standard and objective accounting information that determines profitability is collusion, it is no wonder producers are incapable of profitability?
During 2017 officers and directors realized their collusion claims were moot; they stated unequivocally that they could never shut-in any production, it would cause the formation to “fold over on itself” or other specious arguments. That is until they ran the oil price down to negative $40 in April 2020. The refineries had to tell them they wouldn’t take anymore, forcing production to be shut-in. After resumption of over 25% of global shut-in production, formations showed no damage. These are just some of the many reasons for the Preliminary Specification implementation. Oil & gas commodities are price makers, not price takers as the officers and directors assumed they were for all these decades. One critical aspect of a price maker is that they only bring on new production when it’s profitable. The method we’ve developed is detailed in the Preliminary Specifications Preamble.
Our decentralized production models price maker strategy engages North American oil & gas producers in disciplined production. Achieving maximum profitability can only be achieved when unprofitable properties stop diluting corporate earnings. Therefore the need to ensure they are fulfilling their primary task of maximizing profitability becomes the predominant method of production discipline. Competing on the capital markets of the 21st century, it will be much different than previous years. With technology and other industries providing growth opportunities, for oil & gas companies to continue to assert they are in a growth mode precludes them from that competition. They are a primary industry with commodities subject to price maker principles. An industry where shale reserves have changed the game from scarcity to abundance. This will also affect producer capital allocation and capital discipline. Capital investments will only be made assuming or demanding they will be immediately profitable. Why would they invest in them if they cannot meet that criteria? This implies a very different approach to what is done in the industry. We can cast the foolishness of “building balance sheets” and the like on the scrap heap. Balance sheets are the fallout consequences of business management, not an objective or target.
Cash demands in the industry are presently one of producers' pressing concerns. A consistent theme that defines a cultural dependence on annual outside capital infusions. This is due to all producer costs outside of operations being more or less capitalized and then recognized as depletion over several decades. This includes capitalizing large percentages on overhead and interest. By not recognizing overhead costs in the current period producers can more easily declare specious profitability. However, the cash consumed in those overhead costs is not returned in the current period in the commodity prices charged to the consumer. These overhead costs will sit as assets on the balance sheet in property, plant and equipment, or as we call them “the unrecognized capital costs of prior production,” for the next few decades before they’ll be realized as depletion and returned as cash. Therefore the search for new cash each month to replenish the cash float has been the producers' issue for decades. When investors were willing, this was not an issue with the annual top up of investors' dollars being priced to cover these costs. Now the reality of their specious accounting haunts them daily as they try to find new cash sources to cover their basic overhead costs, each and every month. Working capital has been and will continue to be a crisis in the industry under the current business model. No matter what commodity price is offered.
Basic cash management would have indicated this to officers and directors many decades ago. I wonder why they never changed these methods? (I’m sure they had their reasons! Other interested parties should ask these probing, and revealing questions.) With the Preliminary Specification recognizing overhead in the current period as part of the operation, capturing that in the price charged to the consumer, return of the cash to the producer will occur within that production month. That however assumes profitable operations are conducted and all costs are accounted for appropriately. I’m on record, and allege that hasn’t happened. Calling the producers' accounting specious and deliberately misleading. I do sometimes wonder what costs are contained in capitalized overhead that no one appears to know or question? Both in terms of their size and composition. I do know each account never breaches the level of materiality during the annual audit, but outside of that these state secrets seem to me to be the reason that officers and directors have never changed these methods despite the negative consequences they cause and the Preliminary Specifications availability since August 2012.
Our user community and their service providers are involved in the delivery of the explicit knowledge captured in our ERP software and the tacit knowledge of individuals within each service provider firm. Fulfilling the accounting and administrative needs of producers with variable, industry-based accounting and administrative capacity and capability. We are delivering these in what we’re calling Cloud Administration & Accounting for Oil & Gas. Building and leveraging the same principles of specialization and division of labor that deliver cloud computing's extreme value proposition.
With the clear objective of rebuilding the industry brick by brick, and stick by stick. This is in a style of rebuilding that involves a dynamic industry based on a decentralized, connected environment such as the Internet provides. People, Ideas & Objects et al don’t have to break down oil & gas to rebuild it. The rebuilding is necessary due to the damage and destruction the chronic mistreatment industry has experienced at the hands of the officers and directors of the producer firms. Hierarchical strata of advanced paper shufflers define future failure. To bring about an ERP system for the industry such as the Preliminary Specification provides, we must consider the opportunity of disintermediation. And People, Ideas & Objects, our user community and their service provider organizations abide.
The nature of this rebuilding process is the cannibalization of the processes that have occurred since investors sent their dissatisfaction message to producers in 2015. Being solely dependent upon investor cash meant organization cuts were necessary. This was when the producers' sole source of value generation, the investors' annual injection of additional capital, was no longer available. Keeping production processes in place was the priority and those processes involved in the early stages of oil & gas development were subject to layoffs. Assuming that the situation is alleviated in the following year and any resources recalled. Since the inactivity and abstinence of the officers and directors has continued for eight years, we can assume that the process management has been cut well into the eighth year of the development cycle. Therefore either way, through People, Ideas & Objects or SAP, the processes will need to be redefined and rebuilt. And if a producer chooses SAP as their current system, it should be final. People, Ideas & Objects will not build on SAP's proprietary and custom implementation. Producer firms must realize the Preliminary Specification is an oil & gas implementation based on its Intellectual Property. We are not looking to support or recreate any past failed policies and procedures no matter how inert they may appear. People, Ideas & Objects expect the same from SAP in terms of respecting our Intellectual Property. In the Preliminary Research Report I think we aptly stated the "SAP is the bureaucracy."
However, bringing one of the most complex systems, Oracle Cloud ERP, into one of the most complex industries into the environment of the small and startup, or any producer, is a risky proposition to consider. How could that ever be a commercial software product? Or be provided to a commercially viable small or junior oil & gas producer? And that is the fact of the issue we are facing today as a result of the officers and directors “consolidation as a solution” or with SAP as alternatives. We need to ensure the future of the industry is in the hands of oil & gas men and women. They will knock down the barriers that stand in their way, just as so many have done before. The constraints and reality of regulatory, compliance and investment demands are real impediments to these needs. That is, if producers could not access the kind of systems necessary to operate in that environment, no matter their size, capital markets would remain forever closed. Today, this is an untenable barrier, and it will be even more so in the near future. Investors have explicitly requested Tier 1 ERP systems be implemented. Therefore all producers need to understand that the production discipline provided by the Preliminary Specification is necessary across all classifications of producer firms.
Under the Preliminary Specification a startup or junior producer would no longer need to establish the point where they’ll have to generate the full $3 to $5 million of free cash flow necessary to offset the annual base overhead of the producer firm. For administrative and accounting purposes, they will only incur the variable overhead costs of the service providers fees that they use. In addition, they will incur the costs of software development assessment by People, Ideas & Objects each year. As we noted earlier, not only are these overhead costs variable, but if they’re charged, that denotes profitable production. This indicates these costs are covered. In contrast, if the property is not producing it does not incur any overhead costs. And there are more attributes of our system that benefit the new oil & gas industry we are rebuilding.
The Preliminary Specification also implements specialization and the division of labor across the producer firms, particularly in the earth science & engineering capabilities and capacities. As a first step in our solution for startups and junior producers, we listed this as the first step. These capacities and capabilities are becoming increasingly burdensome to each producer firm due to their unshared and unshareable nature. However, they are for different reasons than the administrative and accounting difficulties mentioned. The costs incurred to maintain these capabilities are growing as a result of the advancement of their science and technological development. This requires further specialization of the producers' capabilities, and critical competitive advantages. We believe that all producers have reached the point where the demands to maintain these capacities and capabilities have expanded beyond the usable population of these technical resources. Or will soon. With the retirement of the brain trust of the industry, and the universities not producing anywhere near the replacement number necessary, a critical shortage will soon demand that these technical resources will become too rare, too costly and too unavailable to maintain, not to mention, expand the deliverability of the North America-based industry.
Consolidated producers will have particular difficulty managing this technical resource when entrepreneurs see the startup opportunities we’re defining here. That is, if only there was an ERP system that provided a solution for oil & gas startups to deal with the compliance, governance and regulatory environment. This would enable them to access funding! In addition to this limited technical resource supply we also believe that producers' firms are reaching a point where the costs of their scientific engineering and geology needs are beyond their commercial grasp and necessary to maintain their just-in-time operator status. Even so, a higher level of specialization and division of labor will be needed in earth science & engineering. It is the unshared and unshareable characteristics of these capabilities that we find the nascent difficulties to overcome. As operators, producers require these technical resources for a variety of just-in-time purposes. If we assume that across the industry the utilization rate of these technical resources is 75% due to organizational inefficiencies. Then by releasing that other 25% and deploying that unused and unusable capability more effectively we’ll have what I believe to be the second aspect of the solution to these pending and most certainly future difficulties. A one-third increase in capacity with higher output from enhanced specialization and division of labor, providing a good start to solving this pending critical resource shortfall.
Instead of letting another issue manifest itself as a crisis level issue, People, Ideas & Objects et al have implemented a variety of changes within the Preliminary Specification. As soon as the Preliminary Specification becomes operational, the producer firm will have two revenue streams. Their oil & gas sales are augmented by their earth science & engineering capabilities being deployed and used for revenue generation. The individuals can consult with one of the producers' own Joint Operating Committees or with other producers / Joint Operating Committees, as their clients. Due to the specialization and division of labor demands producers will need to choose to specialize or acquire specific capabilities and competitive advantages. These producer revenues will then offset engineering and geological costs incurred and charged to Joint Operating Committees or other producer clients. And through this enhanced specialization and division of labor, we achieve the same benefits of the 240 fold increase in productivity that Adam Smith experienced in his pin factory.
The second source of revenue should be seen as the starting point of oil and gas industry startup revenues. The startup's capabilities and competitive advantage will be less specialized than those of more advanced companies. The additional costs of head office operations not considered in the administrative and accounting category will be offset by these revenues. And this will apply to all producers no matter their production profile. When producers specialize in their distinct competitive advantages, and all producers including Exxon, Shell and Chevron will need to do so, the demand for outside technical resources will be required to augment their needs.
In a world where software defines and supports organizations. This is some of the what, how and why we can provide when the Preliminary Specification is delivered to all producers in the North American industry. Instead of being mere serfs as the officers and directors wish to continue treating the engineers and geologists, they’ll be able to take control of their careers from this point forward. The facility most responsible for this capability of making direct labor charges to the Joint Operating Committee is what we are implementing in the industry. This is our Work Order. Officers and directors may claim that charging labor directly is already available through their systems. Which is true, they can allocate some of these labor costs to the field. However, some are assumed to be captured in overhead allowances which the Preliminary Specification eliminates the use of. However their methods do not provide the necessary features of raising it to the point of making it a defined revenue stream for the firm. Its ability to interact throughout the industry is also a benefit. Allowing for interactions between resources and where they need them. Subject to appropriate approvals and governance. Theirs does not enable the second purpose of our Work Order system, which promotes industry-wide innovation through the establishment of working groups etc. Our Work Order system bills its costs at all times to corporate overhead, Joint Operating Committee overhead, an AFE or to a lease. Therefore the billable time of the individual engineer or geologist should be deployed within the producer 100% of the time or not be working for the producer. A fundamental component of this is requiring these people to establish their own producer firms. These firms are based on their earth science and engineering competencies, capabilities, and Intellectual Property. An industry where it will be less about who you know, but what you know and what you're capable of delivering, what is the value proposition that you’re offering? Preliminary Specification facilitates dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil & gas producers, whether they are startups, juniors, intermediates, seniors, or multinational companies.