Research Into the Underlying Sciences
Our discussion of the Research & Capabilities “Research Budget Allocation Interface” offers the innovative oil & gas producer the opportunity to control the costs of research and innovation conducted within their firm. Professor Giovanni Dosi asserts that businesses commit to innovation due to both exogenous scientific factors and endogenous accumulated capabilities developed by their firms. We have discussed in detail how capabilities are handled in the Research & Capabilities module of the Preliminary Specification. We'll now discuss how the research end of the module is managed.
With the “Research Budget Allocation Interface” we can provide a global view of the firm's capabilities under development. As was mentioned, this interface will provide the user with the ability to see areas that might otherwise fall through the cracks. What is needed now is a similar interface that would give a view of the research being undertaken in the scientific arenas. This would enable the producer to “commit to innovation due to exogenous scientific factors.”
It would be worthwhile to quickly recall the major processes managed in the Research & Capabilities module. We have the “Ideas Marketplace Blog” providing an environment where the service industry actively develops original and innovative products and services with input from producers. We have the “Dynamic Capabilities Interface” where the firm documents what it can achieve. These capabilities are deployed through the “Planning & Deployment Interface” in the Research & Capabilities or Knowledge & Learning modules and lastly we have the “Research Budget Allocation Interface.” There are more processes under management in the Research & Capabilities module, but I only wanted to highlight the pertinent ones for the discussion that follows here on the scientific nature of the business.
Professor Dosi concludes that scientific input into the innovation process is evidence of the importance of factors exogenous to competitive forces among private economically motivated actors. This is subject to two critical qualifications.
- First, the link between science and technology runs also from the latter to the former. It has been noted, for example, that the development of scientific instruments has exerted a major impact on subsequent scientific progress. In general, however, the scope, timing, and channels of influence of technological advances on science have a different nature from the more direct influence of scientific discoveries on technological opportunities.
- Second, scientific advances play a major direct role, especially at an early phase of development of new technological paradigms. p. 1136.
These points support Dosi’s (1988) assertion that “general scientific knowledge yields a widening pool of potential technological paradigms,” where the greatest value is attained in the earlier stages.” Professor Dosi analyzes the specific mechanisms through which a few of these potential paradigms are actually developed economically, applied, and become dominant in their industry. The process of selection depends on the following factors.
- The nature and interests of the bridging institutions between pure research and economic applications. (p. 1136).
- Institutional factors such as public agencies (e.g., the military) (p. 1137).
- The selection criteria of markets and / or techno-economic requirements of early users. (NASA, and the Pentagon in the early days of integrated circuits, FDA requirements in the case of bioengineering, and the technical needs of the American Navy in the case of Nuclear Reactors.) (p. 1137).
- The trial and error mechanisms of exploration of the new technologies, often associated with Schumpeterian entrepreneurship. p. 1137.
There is not a doubt that we need an interface here. An interface similar to the “Research Budget Allocation Interface” would be appropriate. And maybe we only need a second “page” within that interface. One for internal or endogenous budget items and one for exogenous budget items. The key here is to note that the greatest value is attained in the early stages.
Innovating on the Science
Continuing our discussion of the “Research Budget Allocation Interface” and the two-page format. It is expected that one page would be for the endogenous developed capabilities and the other for the exogenous scientific findings. The process that the user of this interface will document is the capabilities of the research being conducted within the firm and the broader scientific community. By way of the football analogy we raised earlier, I want to show how this documentation would be done.
Ultimately the objective of the “Research Budget Allocation Interface” is to augment the firm's “Dynamic Capabilities Interface” or to enhance the firm's overall capabilities. The Dynamic Capabilities Interface documents what the firm is capable of. Then based on geological zones or other applicable criteria the user selects, the pertinent criteria are used to populate these capabilities to the appropriate Joint Operating Committees through the Knowledge & Learning module. The football analogy would come into play here in that the design of a play is committed to writing in which the team studies it, and each team member learns their role, and then executes the play in the manner in which it was designed.
As the firm continues, research from the endogenous and exogenous areas develops into innovations that populate the “Dynamic Capabilities Interface". These innovations in turn populate the various Joint Operating Committees. Professor Dosi (1988) asserts that much of a firm's innovativeness is dependent on technology more than science, and has several implications.
First, the specificity, cumulativeness, and tacitness of part of the technological knowledge imply that both the realized opportunities of innovation and the capabilities for pursuing them are to an extent local and firm specific. Second, the opportunity for technological advances in any one economic activity can also be expected to, and constrained by, the characteristics of each technological paradigm and its degree of maturity. Moreover, the innovative opportunities in each economic sector will be influenced by the degree to which it can draw from the knowledge base and the technological advances made by suppliers and customers. (p. 1137).
In the third paragraph of the previous section we documented that we have three processes that deal with these variables under management in the Research & Capabilities module.
In addition, we learned that copying another firm's ideas or capabilities has little to no value. In contrast, copying others' capabilities can be as challenging as building their own. We now learn that innovation depends on the firm's technology. Thus, technology facilitates or constrains a producer's innovations. Therefore copying capabilities, without a foundation or base of technology and capabilities to support what is being reproduced, is useless. And if you have that innovative and technological base, copying would not be productive or motivating. We need to consider the time frame necessary to maintain these capabilities in the near future. What level of idea generation will be necessary to maintain and generate value in oil & gas? The value of the capability and its iterative pace of change will be endogenous, unique and most likely confusing to those attempting to copy them. Professor Dosi notes.
New paradigms reshape the patterns of opportunities of technical progress in terms of both the scope of potential innovations and ease with which they are achieved. p. 1138.
The technology of a producer includes ERP systems used within an organization. As the petroleum industry is science-based, it would be in the producer's interest to remain open and flexible in both their scientific and business approaches. This is the strategic position a producer can maintain with the People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specification.
Highlighting the speed at which a producer firm can implement innovations. From the research and discovery, to the actual implementation of the innovation there is little in terms of time or bureaucracy standing in the way of the proven innovation being implemented across the firm. When the time comes for people to use the latest developed, tested, procedurally complete, approved and authorized processes in terms of what innovation they should adopt, there will be no ambiguity as to what is authorized in terms of the most recent approved capabilities to use in the Knowledge & Learning module.
To review the process, we have the firm conducting a variety of studies or research through Work Orders and AFE’s to enhance their capabilities. The progress of these studies and research is monitored in the “Research Budget Allocation Interface." This interface also has a page that monitors the scientific community's research. When these studies and research are concluded and capabilities are enhanced they are published to the “Dynamic Capabilities Interface” of the Research & Capabilities module. Then they are populated with all the information necessary to document and implement the capability. We have drawn a football analogy here in order to illustrate the playbook of a football team. A team member only needs to look at the playbook (the Planning & Deployment Interface) to determine what their role is during any play. The “Dynamic Capabilities Interface” is sorted through a variety of different attributes with geological formation being one of them. In the Knowledge & Learning module any Joint Operating Committee that produces from xyz formation (or other pertinent attributes tagged in the Research & Capabilities module) will therefore have access to xyz capabilities in the “Dynamic Capabilities Interface.”
The key limiting factor in terms of time is the amount of effort necessary to take the research or study from its raw form and turn it into a usable capability. The Joint Operating Committee is doing two things. Executing operations and making operational decisions. They are not field testing experiments as lab rats. It's imperative that this distinction be made and the proper documentation be handed off from the research and study to those that will implement it. Once the capability is documented, tested, proven and procedurally implemented it will be available to be implemented the next time the operation is conducted. This is anywhere it is pertinent within the producer firms' Joint Operating Committees. We'll discuss this point in the Knowledge & Learning module.
With this process in mind, we note that Professor Giovanni Dosi suggests two separate phenomena are observed:
- First, new technological paradigms have continuously brought forward new opportunities for product development and productivity increases. p. 1138.
- Second, a rather uniform characteristic of the observed technological trajectories is their wide scope for mechanization, specialization and division of labor within and among plants and industries. p. 1138.
Considering the complexity of processes as described here, this brings to mind the Research & Capabilities module would be insufficient from the point of view of feedback from the Joint Operating Committees. Particularly because of the first phenomenon noted above. Therefore we need to open a third “page” in the “Research Budget Allocation Interface” that is a window on the “Lessons Learned” from the Knowledge & Learning module. That way what is being learned on a day to day basis in the Joint Operating Committees can “bring forward new opportunities for product development and productivity increases.”
The individual user(s) of the Research Budget Allocation Interface of the Research & Capabilities module will be at the forefront of innovation within the producer firm. Having windows on the research developing within the firm, within the scientific community, the lessons learned in the Joint Operating Committees, and let's not forget the “Ideas Marketplace Blog” and “Supplier Collaborative Interface” are not far away either. Providing a rich understanding of the service industry state of affairs. (For emphasis I quote again from Dosi (1988), as above "to which it can draw from the knowledge base and the technological advances of its suppliers and customers.") Theirs will be a rich medium of information of what is happening in the innovative oil & gas industry. The concern that many will have is that this information is then codified into further capabilities which are subsequently published through to the various relevant Joint Operating Committees. They will have these capabilities available to other members of the Joint Operating Committees. They will be able to see and use the capabilities, which will include participants of other producer firms. Professor Dosi (1988) notes a study conducted by Richard Levin et al 1984.
Call appropriability those properties of technological knowledge and technical artifacts, of markets, and of the legal environment that permit innovations and protect them, to varying degrees, as rent-yielding assets against competitors' imitation.
Appropriability conditions differ among industries and among technologies: Levin et al. (1984) study the varying empirical significance of appropriability devices of (a) patents, (b) secrecy, (c) lead times, (d) costs and time required for duplication, (e) learning curve effects, and (f) superior sales and service efforts.
Levin et al. (1984) find that for most industries, "lead times and learning curve advantages, combined with complementary marketing efforts appear to be the principal mechanisms of appropriating returns for product innovations" (p.33). Learning curves, secrecy and lead times are also the major appropriation mechanisms for process innovations. Patenting often appears to be a complementary mechanism which, however, does not seem to be the central one, with some exceptions (e.g., chemicals and pharmaceutical products).(p. 1139).
Oil and gas producers focus on process innovations. Dosi observed that "lead times, secrecy and learning curves are relatively more effective ways of protecting them.” Which brings up a valid point. Assume that one of the capabilities published through the Knowledge & Learning module was the capability to fracture shale. Just because it is published doesn't mean it can be copied. Through experience and "learning curves," the "team" has developed the capability. Just because a football team sees the design of other teams' plays does not mean they can implement the same plays and win the Super Bowl. They will have to work on building the right talent and practice implementing the capabilities necessary to execute that capability. This is before they can successfully complete it. The same would be the case for anyone observing another producer's capabilities in a Joint Operating Committee. They’ll understand the explicit knowledge of the other producers. As that will be all that can be captured. Tacit knowledge, learning from doing, can’t be captured in any medium and is inherent in the producer firm's resources. It is the successful deployment of tacit knowledge that producers should seek to provide to their Joint Operating Committees.
Professor Dosi notes that Levin states that “whereby the control of complementary technologies becomes a rent-earning firm-specific asset.”
In general, it must be noticed that the partly tacit nature of innovative knowledge and its characteristics of partial private appropriability makes imitation as well as innovation, a creative process, which involves search, which is not wholly distinct from the search for “new” development, and which is economically expensive - sometimes even more expensive than the original innovation (for evidence on the cost of imitation relative to innovation, see Mansfield, Mark Schwartz, and Samuel Wagner 1981; Mansfield 1984 and Levin et al. 1984). This applies to both patented and non-patented innovations.” (p. 1140).
With the fast changing science and technological paradigms and steep trajectories of the industry, the need to have the capability to innovate is required by each producer to develop on their own. If the costs of duplication are as steep as the costs of developing internal capabilities, producers should rely on internal process innovations to carry their firm. What are the alternatives? Sitting on your advanced innovations and not using them, for fear of copying?
However, this deployment of capabilities to the Joint Operating Committee also implies greater co-dependency exists. Partners on the Joint Operating Committee will have other specialized resources available to commit to the projects, and suppliers will contribute as well. As the Preliminary Specification seeks to eliminate the current overbuilt, redundant, unshared, unshareable and unspecialized capabilities within each siloed corporation. The proposed alternative in the Preliminary Specification is to rely on the advanced specialized contributions of the partnerships. This is to bring the most innovative solutions to the Joint Operating Committee.
When we discuss the Research Budget Allocation Interface of the Research & Capabilities module it feels that we are at the heart of the innovative oil & gas producer. Professor Giovanni Dosi’s 1988 paper “Sources, Procedures and Microeconomic Effects of Innovation" clearly identified the key factors that make a firm innovative. By instilling his work within the modules of the People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specification, the innovative oil & gas producer can have a quantifiable and replicable innovation process within their domain. Something necessary in the difficult energy era we find ourselves in today.
The vision laid out in the Preliminary Specification provides a coherent way to operate in this difficult energy era. These processes support the innovative oil & gas producer and are based on research conducted here at People, Ideas & Objects. What is also clear from the research is that the lack of processes that identify and support innovation will lead to no innovation at all. A producer originally constructed in the easy energy era. An era that focused on cost control cannot function in the innovative and difficult energy era that is here, or just around the corner. The difficulty in managing these oil & gas concerns, with conflicting constructs and demands will only intensify.
Recently I stated that the people operating on the Joint Operating Committee are not experimental lab rats. That leaving a capability that was untested and untried for them to sort out was counter to the purpose of the “Dynamic Capabilities Interface,” the Knowledge & Learning module and the Joint Operating Committee. They are there for execution and not for the purpose of developing concepts or experiments. To use the football analogy the Joint Operating Committee is game day, and what the research and study area needs is a metaphorical practice field. One in which the opportunity to explore failure is welcome and where a producer can gain a learning experience to the ultimate solution or capability.
Our next interface is the “Experiments Interface". This will list the number of experiments and document the type and expected results of any and all experiments being conducted by the firm. This will be a comprehensive interface, much like the “Research Budget Allocation Interface” in that it will also have many similarities to a project management interface. This allows users to manage a project from start to finish. Where capabilities can be developed as expected by the firm. Both interfaces will allow users to control and manage the firm's development at the speed of market and science.
I am not asserting that past efforts were not innovative or moved science substantially. The issue People, Ideas & Objects is raising is that the pace and speed of science's development in the near to midterm, and particularly in the long term, will accelerate based on the fact that, globally, reserve replacement continues to be progressively more challenging, and the prices realized for commodities have begun to reflect these challenges. Bureaucracies cannot handle the workload. Professor Dosi concludes.
Finally, the evolution of the economic environment in the longer term, is instrumental in the selection of new technological paradigms, and, thus in the long term selection of the fundamental directions and procedures of innovative search. p. 1142
A dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil & gas producer must therefore be tuned to the market and science.