OCI Executive Summary, Part I
People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specification has the dual, opposing and conflicting objectives of ensuring profitable oil & gas operations everywhere and always. In addition, it ensures consumers have abundant, secure, reliable and affordable energy. Today our advanced society mechanically leverages each barrel of oil produced by 10 to 25 thousand man hours of equivalent labor. A value proposition consumers cannot live without. Despite this, North American producer firms ignore their responsibility and accountability in ensuring consumers are adequately supplied in their dual roles of profitability and innovation. Their irresponsibility is now reflected in the financial destruction they’ve caused to their own firms, the industry itself and most importantly the service industry they’re wholly reliant upon as the source of their capabilities and capacities. Nevertheless, the producers' officers and directors are fine and thank you for asking.
There are seven Organizational Constructs that define the overall architecture of how profitability and innovation are structurally and organizationally defined in our Preliminary Specification. These constructs are supported by our user community and service provider organizations. These seven include specialization and the division of labor, Intellectual Property, Innovation, Information Technology, markets, sharing of costs and infrastructure and the key organizational construct is the Joint Operating Committee. Which is the legal, financial, operational decision making, cultural, communication, innovation and strategic frameworks of the oil & gas industry. By moving the compliance and governance frameworks of the hierarchy into alignment with these seven frameworks of the Joint Operational Committee, we’ll be able to achieve the speed, innovation, accountability and profitability necessary for at least the next twenty five years.
What People, Ideas & Objects can state unequivocally, and would gain resonance throughout the broader oil & gas economy, is that nothing will exist for the long term without profitable operations. Real profitable operations, not the specious claims made by producers over the past four decades. These claims are detailed elsewhere in the Preliminary Specification. We offer a value proposition that contrasts with the status quo. Our claims are $25.7 to $45.7 trillion in incremental value earned over the next 25 years of Preliminary Specification operation. This is not a magic solution, but rather a measure of structural incompetence and mismanagement by officers and directors. This plagues North American producers. Theirs has become an industry-wide culture of self-serving, lucrative administrations that haven't concerned themselves with business.
One aspect of their culture is their fundamental belief that oil & gas are price takers for economic definition purposes. With our Preliminary Specifications decentralized production model, we ensure profitable production everywhere and always. The original publication of this specification was on August 9, 2012. This is a decade and producers have done nothing. The question of what could have been is reasonable when producers pushed oil & gas commodities into negative pricing conditions. What could have been if they had listened to their investors' demands for change beginning in 2015? They’ve had the opportunity to make the necessary changes by adopting the Preliminary Specification yet chose to silence and ridicule our solution. They’ve had the demand from their investors, and more importantly, the destruction that we've consistently pointed out to them during this decade has been obvious and evident everywhere in the North American producer population, yet not one productive thing has been done to deal with it during this decade?
There are other developments evident throughout the global economy that are reflected and implemented in the Preliminary Specification. Disintermediation offers all industries with new business models that compete directly with hierarchical organizations' inefficiencies. People, Ideas & Objects et al disintermediate the oil & gas industry. The conflict that has been generated since disintermediation began with the music industry. The number of industries disintermediated is extensive. This has provided those that have not been with better tools and understandings of how to resist these forces. This has helped them maintain their hold for longer periods. Leaving the inefficiencies that should have been worked out in the industry to continue. In addition, senior management methods survive by cannibalizing prior established values as they cannot create value. The loss of serendipity, spontaneity and creative destruction are unintended consequences when organizations are defined and supported by software. People, Ideas & Objects is therefore establishing a permanent software development capability to accommodate changes within the industry in the future and to reinstate these economic principles.
Cloud Administration & Accounting for Oil & Gas are a feature of our user communities and service providers. An extension of the Cloud Computing paradigm that has inherent business value. Eliminating the need for each producer to incur the costs of building and maintaining the unshared and unshareable, non-competitive advantage of their administrative and accounting capabilities. To offer these services as a variable cost, charged directly to the Joint Operating Committee. This enables accurate and detailed financial statements for each property. Therefore if it is profitable it will continue to produce, if not, it will be shut-in to incur a null operation, no profit or loss. People, Ideas & Objects et al will make all producers' costs variable, based on production.
The Preliminary Specification is a fourteen module ERP (Enterprise Resource Planning) software system designed for the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil & gas producers. Built within Oracle Cloud ERP tier 1 offering, this executive summary will touch on some of the value-added aspects of how producer firms will profitably be configured to meet and exceed the energy challenges of the next many decades. As you review the Preliminary Specification, remember that People, Ideas & Objects propose the most profitable method of oil & gas production as our competitive advantage. And we do this in the following fundamental ways.
Specialization and Division of Labor
The Preliminary Specification shows clearly a defined industry restructuring throughout all modules. The oil & gas producer is a stripped down version of itself that has C class executives, earth science and engineering resources, land, legal, and minor support staff. And that’s it. The rest of the producers' administrative and accounting resources are reallocated and provided instead by the People, Ideas & Objects user communities service provider organizations. Each of these service providers focuses on one process, or one element of a process using the entire industry as its client base. So for example there may be one royalty payment processor that handles all of the industries royalty payments. Where the cost of the royalty payment, and the billing for the royalty payment service provider is billed directly to the appropriate Joint Operating Committee, not the individual producer. We are moving from producers' fixed cost administrative and accounting capabilities. To the industries variable cost administrative and accounting capabilities available through our Cloud Administration for Oil & Gas software and service. Variable based on profitable production.
The advantages of moving to a system and methodology like this are lower cost and efficiency. The costs associated with a royalty payment processor would be a small percentage of what is incurred collectively by the industry today. By focusing on the most efficient way to process royalty payments, and only royalty payments, the service provider would become specialized. This would reduce the time and effort required to perform these tasks to a small component of today's costs. Around 1776, in Adam Smith’s pin factory, his research yielded a 240 fold increase in productivity from the changes he made to the pin making process. Having the royalty payment process, and particularly the administrative and accounting processes of the North American oil & gas industry subjected to this type of analysis, complete with the software development capability as defined by People, Ideas & Objects, similar productivity results would be attained. All economic growth since the late 1700’s can be attributed to enhanced organization through specialization and division of labor. Society today requires software to define and support enhanced specialization and division of labor. People, Ideas & Objects software and our permanent software development capabilities are therefore critical for the oil & gas industries future performance and growth.
Professor Paul Romer’s Non-Rival Costs
The naming of this initiative People, Ideas & Objects is a derivative twist on Professor Paul Romer’s “Endogenous Technical Change” paper published in October 1990. (And earned him the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2018.) A paper published in The Journal of Political Economy Vol. 98, No. 5, Part 2: The Problem of Development: A Conference of the Institute for the Study of Free Enterprise Systems Oct. 1990, pp. S71 - S102, and downloadable here.
And best understood through this Reason Magazine article. Accessed January 25, 2003.
Endogenous technical change or new growth theory suggests that economic growth from investments in transportation, communications and financial services was diminishing in its effectiveness. And being replaced by an alternative dynamic in terms of how economic growth could or would be achieved. Summarized in this Reason Magazine article by Professor Romer as people, ideas and things we amended his summary to reflect that we are object-based developers to come up with our name.
From the interview in Reason Magazine.
As one of the chief architects of "New Growth Theory," Paul Romer has had a massive and profound impact on modern economic thinking and policymaking. "New Growth Theory" shows that economic growth doesn't arise just from adding more labor to more capital, but from new and better ideas expressed as technological progress. Along the way, it transforms economics from a "dismal science" that describes a world of scarcity and diminishing returns into a discipline that reveals a path toward constant improvement and unlimited potential. Ideas, in Romer's formulation, really do have consequences. Big ones.
In the Reason article Professor Romer applies his theory to the example of standardizing the lid of a small, medium and large coffee cup. Instead of producing, inventorying and handling three different sizes the efficiency of sharing one size is intuitive, inherent and most of all substantial in terms of its cost savings over the long term. Through the Preliminary Specification we have applied this principle in a number of different ways. We will see this principle used throughout our user community and service provider organizations.
Academic criticism of Professor Romer's theory is that it's unquantifiable. And in a way, that's true if we see the economics profession as a science. Of which I no longer do due to the 2008 financial crisis. Science would have warned of the difficulties and resolved them. Only Nouriel Roubini raised warnings. All the others were too busy checking the dashboard dials to notice the brick wall they were heading into at high speed.
One example highlighted from our discussion in the Specialization and Division of Labor section above is the massive cost savings oil & gas will realize from the Preliminary Specification. Specifically the reallocation, identification and support of producers' administrative and accounting resources to service provider firms. This value is incremental and attributable to both specialization and Professor Romers' New Growth Theory. Cloud computing introduces a paradigm based on the principle of sharing the large capital costs of building and maintaining a large, fixed capacity technical infrastructure. This is necessary to meet their customers' needs. And replace it with unlimited capacity available at variable cost. Key to the paradigm is the associated reduction in a firm's demand to have the technical capacity and capabilities for non-competitive attributes such as database, network and operating system specialists with the skills to maintain operations. A relief of customers' budgets and ability to refocus on productive and competitive activities. The two attributes of specialization and division of labor.
It is the sharing of this technical infrastructure that creates incremental value from cloud computing. Romer's' theory of endogenous growth, cost sharing is a non-rival cost. From the Journal of Political Economy pp. S73 - S74.
A purely rival good has the property that its use by one firm or person precludes its use by another; a purely nonrival good has the property that its use by one firm or person does not limit its use by another.
And it is here that People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specifications user community service provider organizations implement our software and service we call Cloud Administration & Accounting for Oil & Gas. The elements of our user communities and ERP software development capability and capacities are permanent. Alleviating each producer firm from maintaining the specific skills and attributes necessary to achieve these requirements internally. Accessing them on a highly specialized and shared basis will provide them with higher quality products and services at lower variable costs, based on profitable production.
In October 2022 Oracle announced at their CloudWorld 2022 conference that they too were picking up on Professor Romer's theory of non-rival costs. They have established partnerships with other service providers such as Fedex and J.P. Morgan Chase to deliver software that advances individual processes automation to high levels. J.P. Morgan Chase's example is revealing since it manages employee expense account charges through its credit card. The employee then designates the destination of the charge, and Oracle verifies the charge is within the policies and budget. A tedious and laborious expense reporting process for the employee, their managers, accounting, etc., is reduced to a few milliseconds.
Capability to Remove Marginal Production and Become Price Makers
Exploration and production costs are high, particularly in shale operations. What is surprising is that producers have done nothing to mitigate the chronic and systemic overproduction that has caused the decline in oil & natural gas prices. Chronic overproduction is caused by producers having to generate revenues to cover overheads. This is in what is called the “high throughput production” model they employ. In this model the producer firm's overhead costs are incurred whether production occurs or not. As a result, their operation is expensive even at full production. Lower production volumes mean lower company earnings and disproportionately higher overhead costs.
In the Preliminary Specification we have employed the “decentralized production” model. The service provider charges directly to the Joint Operating Committee for accounting or administrative services. If the property is shut-in due to low deliverability, high costs or other reason for its lack of profitability then there is no charge incurred for the overhead item by any of the individual service providers as they will have conducted no work on that property, and neither the producer nor the Joint Operating Committee are incurring any of the accounting or administrative overhead during times of shut-in production. Therefore the only costs not covered during times of shut-in production are capital. The producer can therefore shut-in unprofitable production based on accurate, detailed accounting and attain the highest level of corporate profitability by not diluting their profitable properties. Save their petroleum reserves for a time when they can be produced profitably. Those reserves will not have to carry the incremental costs of subsequent monthly losses that would need to be recovered in the future if the property continued to produce unprofitably. Cut oil & gas inventory and storage costs by holding them as reserves. And finally, by keeping that unprofitable production off the market those commodities will find their marginal price.
If producers across the industry followed this process, oil & gas prices would not have declined in recent decades. If the downswing in oil & natural gas prices were averted by a reduction in unprofitable production volumes, the total revenues and profits of the industry would provide for profitable operations everywhere and always. Stabilizing the industry by removing the boom / bust cycle and its destructive force throughout the general oil & gas economy. People, Ideas & Objects believe we have a responsibility to use oil & gas resources effectively. This implies that we should be able to produce them profitably on an appropriate accounting basis. We owe this and the passing of a viable and profitable industry to future generations. Producer officers and directors claim this is collusion and have used that as an excuse to lose effective control of the industry's financial, operational and political frameworks. They will not listen to the fact that making effective, independent business decisions at the property level, based on actual, factual accounting that determines profitability is not collusion. As a result they have destroyed the industry and the service industry. After decades of operation by this method producers are unable to provide an alternative strategy or plan to deal with their issues and opportunities.
Innovation for Profits
In our fourth element of competitive advantage, we establish the foundation for innovation to enhance producer profitability and ensure consumer energy costs are as low as possible. The 21st century oil & gas producer must innovate for profit, using science. Innovation processes are identified and supported within the Preliminary Specification DNA. From Professor Giovanni Dosi.
In the most general terms, private profit-seeking agents will plausibly allocate resources to the exploration and development of new products and new techniques of production if they know, or believe in, the existence of some sort of yet unexploited scientific and technical opportunities; if they expect that there will be a market for their new products and processes; and finally, if they expect some economic benefit, net of the incurred costs, deriving from the innovations.
With an inventory of non-producing oil & gas assets. The dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil & gas producer will have readily available properties to focus their innovative efforts on.
Lower Costs of Exploration & Development
The oil & gas industry needs a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable service industry to be dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable. In the brief moments of “good times” in the industry, producer firms have accused the service industry of being greedy and lazy. This is due to high field costs. Today the service industry has seen activity levels slashed and accounts receivable extended for up to 18 months by producers. A situation that puts their organization, unnecessarily, in jeopardy. There is a substantial conflict between what’s required and what exists. We do not believe this is an appropriate posture for the industry's future if it is to fulfill its objectives. The Preliminary Specification works to mitigate this conflict by addressing the issue of how the producer firm deals with the generation and management of ideas in the service industry. Producers ignore and abuse vendors' rights and ideas. And as time has passed, the number of companies that have introduced innovations, products, services and competition has dwindled. Leading to the situation where producers have a limited number of very large service industry participants who have pricing power on their side. This is during the alleged one or two “good times” these past decades.
Producers respect, sponsor and support service industry ideas through the Preliminary Specification. Oil & gas producers do not compete on drill bit manufacturing technologies. By respecting the service industry's Intellectual Property, representatives can respond with creative and innovative products, services, and competition. Through a variety of interfaces in the Resource Marketplace and Research & Capabilities modules, producers can participate and lead the creation of enhanced products and services. This is done by clearly expressing their needs and allowing the service industry to respond.
When the oil & gas industry has a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable service industry supporting the oil & gas industry, the profitability of the oil & gas producer will be enhanced, further contrasting the People, Ideas & Objects business model to what the current bureaucracies may use today.
Earth Science and Engineering Resources
We recognize and support oil & gas producers' competitive advantages in terms of their land & asset base, as well as their engineering & earth science capabilities. Innovation, specialization and the division of labor maximize the availability of earth science and engineering resources. As mentioned above, innovation investments return profits. Innovation in oil & gas sciences is part of producers' competitive advantages. Therefore, they serve the express purpose of the modules within the People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specification.
In terms of specialization and division of labor, the producer firm must approach the issue of limited resources in the area of earth science and engineering capacities and capabilities. Pending due to the retirement of the industry brain trust, the lack of qualified hires from the universities, the expected throughput increases in North America and the ever increasing demand for geology and engineering with each incremental barrel produced. With the People, Ideas & Objects pooling concept, underutilized and unusable surplus capacities trapped within producer silos can be eliminated. We have also reorganized certain skills within these professions into service providers who can specialize in these skills through specialization and division of labor. Engineers' and geologists' demands will be more manageable through pooling, specialization and division of labor. This organizational structure is identified and supported throughout the Preliminary Specification.
These are a summary of some of our competitive offerings for the oil & gas industry. Designed to provide a profitable and innovative operating base for the 21st century, they offer producers and the industry the opportunity to move forward profitably and innovatively.