To: The Board of Directors, Our RFP Response (Markets), Part IX
Although many may not have seen the overall vision of the Preliminary Specification before, this series is bringing a few more of the pieces into the picture for people. We could probably spend a few more posts just on the Joint Operating Committee as the move of the compliance and governance frameworks to its seven frameworks has a dramatic effect on everything that is done in the industry today. Is there a need for that level of change? It may be consolidated mega-corp would satisfy everyone with everything and always. That there’s excitement in the industry may be more attributable to the covid release from lockdown and economic freedom. What is not being realized is that the issues in oil and gas have been prevalent for many decades. The financial destruction was complete prior to the lockdowns. Our approach is to establish the necessary organizational structures that will support a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer, industry and supporting service industries. What we’ve discussed in this series are the organizational structures recognized, defined and supported within the Preliminary Specification which include the expansion of specialization and division of labor, Intellectual Property, the Joint Operating Committee and today we’ll discuss the adoption of markets as a framework that defines and supports both the producer and secondary service industries.
We have three modules in the Preliminary Specification that are “market” modules. The Petroleum Lease Marketplace, Resource Marketplace and Financial Marketplace modules. Each establishes marketplaces where producers can engage in the markets which they need to function. To suggest these are B2B’s or exchanges as have been the traditional “solution” would undermine their functionality and purpose. These marketplace modules emulate the markets that producers participate in and are designed to deal with the day to day activities of each of the producers, service industry and others. Supporting them with the contractual, transaction processing and other capabilities of our ERP system. Reading these modules definitions to capture their purpose and approach is necessary as it is impossible for me to do so in a simple post or two. Speaking generically we can discuss the larger issue of our approach vs consolidated mega-corp’s in terms of the reliance on markets vs firms. How we are using disintermediation, with its reliance on larger decentralized capabilities enabled by the Internet, establishes far greater opportunities, speed and performance in the organizations that adopt them.
The economic principles of markets and price discovery are two of the mechanisms by which North America has advanced its overall quality of life. Adoption of these within the oil and gas industry are therefore a necessity and the Preliminary Specification has done so as part of the structures that define and support these industries. Our decentralized production models price maker strategy relies on the principle of oil and gas commodities being priced based on the price maker principle. The need for producers to produce only profitable production, after full consideration of all of their costs on a timely and accurate basis, is how they’ll operate under our ERP system and service provider offerings. Using all of the information contained within the commodity markets price, (production, inventory, consumption, reserves) to determine profitability and ultimately what will and will not be produced. It is the same mechanisms that are involved in every transaction involved in a free market.
From the Preliminary Specifications Resource Marketplace module we quote from a paper written by Professors Richard Langlois and Nicholas J. Foss entitled “Capabilities and Governance: the Rebirth of Production in the Theory of Economic Organization.” they note.
AndThe organizational question is whether new capabilities are best acquired through the market, through internal learning, or through some hybrid organizational form. And the answer will depend on (A) the already existing structure of capabilities and (B) the nature of the economic change involved. p. 21
If by contrast, the old configuration of capabilities lies within large vertically integrated organizations, creative destruction may well take the form of markets superseding firms. History offers many examples of both. p. 21”
And
Either way it boils down to the same common-sense recognition, namely that individuals - and organizations - are necessarily limited in what they know how to do well. Indeed, the main interest of capabilities view is to understand what is distinctive about firms as unitary, historical organizations of cooperating individuals. p. 17
We first need to discuss two components of how I see one of the marketplaces in oil and gas. The reliance on the field service industry providers to extend the producers capabilities and capacities into their regions of interest. To own and operate their field infrastructure would otherwise be an impossible impediment and constraint towards progress. The second component is the history of abuse and disrespect that producers have displayed and presented to the service industry over the past forty years. And particularly since 2015 when the producers recognized their financial difficulties were amplifying. The assumption that oil and gas is a boom / bust industry has been accepted over the long term by these producer bureaucrats. All other industries sought to work these issues out of their businesses and industries many years ago. It is this continuing acceptance that has left us with a legacy of maybe five good years out of the past thirty five. Bureaucrats don’t understand this point as they’ve experienced thirty five years of excellent compensation. Producers assumed the service industry would need to adjust to the boom / bust trend in lock step with the producers. There is an implied assumption that the service industry, like the oil and gas industry itself, enjoys revenues as a primary industry and therefore continues business as usual during the bust cycles. The diversity of the service industry offerings, and their coverage across the various regions of their operations throughout North America spreads them relatively thinly. As secondary industry participants they are not as resilient as the producers believe them to be. The collapse of their revenue streams into the low teens in terms of percentages has been devastating.
Now in 2021 the consequences of this downturn have destroyed much of the service industries capacities and capabilities that were once available to producers. This decline in support since 2015 on top of the cumulative difficulties administered by oil and gas producers has created the situation where it will be difficult for many of them to survive. The largest service industry providers have left the continent as a result of the abusive treatment they’ve received. Therefore working out the boom / bust cycle through our price maker strategy will go a long way to rectifying this issue in the long run by providing a stable environment, or constant level of demand for which the service industry can prosper. However, investors in the service industry have had it for the remainder of this millennium. They invested in good faith and were abused by the producer firms. They’ve witnessed the equipment they invested in being cut up for scrap metal to pay the light bill and taxes on the shop. This was primarily due to the producer bureaucrats determining they could get away with leveraging additional field activity by not paying their bills for 18 months after the jobs were completed. The dilemma today is who’s going to provide the financial resources for the service industry to recapitalize itself and reestablish the capacities and capabilities that will be necessary for a self-sufficient and profitable oil and gas industry?
This is what’s known and understood in the market today, it’s not news. Consolidated mega-corp will expect the service industry to dance for their dollars just as they’ve always done. If People, Ideas & Objects are correct and no one’s going to play that game, what would be the result. I would point to the example of the history of the ERP providers in oil and gas over the past thirty years. I can report there is still no consideration whatsoever of a second chance these first tier ERP providers will be riding to the rescue of the producer firms. Why, they feel the industry is too complex, too costly and there are not enough producers to be able to negotiate their sales prices fairly. The last two ERP providers left in 2000 and 2005, as documented on page 17 of our White Paper, due to the inability of producer bureaucrats to pay for their software development in advance. Producers have never paid for any ERP systems anyways, so why start? Producers have had eight years to invest in the Preliminary Specification to make their organizations profitable and to avoid this inevitable, predictable and disastrous outcome but didn’t do it. Not a penny has been spent on People, Ideas & Objects at any point. Therefore producers will be paying for all of the costs of the Preliminary Specifications development and user community in advance. The need for skin in the game is the apt approach when so many investors and vendors have been betrayed so comprehensively.
As the producers sit upon the primary industries revenues they so enjoy. (And mostly for enhanced, innovative, executive compensation. I do question what's in those capitalized overhead accounts we never see.) They will show a thumbs down to this idea as if People, Ideas & Objects is the only vendor they’ll be faced with who has this ludicrous idea. Bureaucratic actions have consequences which have been wholly detrimental to everyone else in the industry. Bureaucrats will no doubt argue, rightly, this does not remind them of what markets and price discovery should look like. Correct, it's what’s necessary after the destruction of the markets they’ve caused. These facts on the ground are what bureaucrats refuse to consider or admit. Until they do the industry will be plagued with problems. And they’ll never admit this, what they will do instead is they’ll just leave which is the historical action other bureaucrats have taken in other industries. These issues need to be dealt with and I am unaware of any other solution. The need to rebuild these industries brick by brick and stick by stick must be financed by the only means now available. The primary industry revenues of the oil and gas industry. Facilitated through the Preliminary Specifications decentralized production models price maker strategy. Granted there will be those within the service industry that will continue to scrounge for the pennies falling from the bureaucrats pockets. However, that does not create the dynamic, innovative, accountable, profitable and self-sufficient oil and gas industry that we need does it?
The only solution as it stands today, from a creative destruction and disintermediation point of view, is People, Ideas & Objects, our user community and their service provider organizations implementation of the Preliminary Specification. The natural forces of disintermediation and creative destruction are being obstructed through the diversion of industry revenues away from the development of initiatives such as the Preliminary Specification. And therefore are unnecessarily directly supporting the status quo behaviors that have been proven to be disastrous.
The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations, everywhere and always. Setting the foundation for profitable North American energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects have published a white paper “Profitable, North American Energy Independence -- Through the Commercialization of Shale.” that captures the vision of the Preliminary Specification and our actions. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. We’ve joined GETTR and can be reached there. Anyone can contact me at 713-965-6720 in Houston or 587-735-2302 in Calgary, or email me here.