Our Oil and Gas White Paper, Part XXVI
The donut shop analogy has a new operation opening in the local strip mall. The new owner recently retired from oil and gas and has brought the culture of that industry with him. When the doors are opened business is good and the operation is declared a success based on the financial statements that are produced. Understanding that only some of the territory that could be covered by the donut shop the owner purchases new donut making capacity that triples the output of the operation. He does this with investors money based on the strength of the financial statements he produced. The new donuts are made at double the throughput and at twice the pace of the previous capacity. Creating somewhat of an issue with surplus donuts. As business continues to expand the owner thinks this is a temporary situation that will remedy itself in time and he should let the market rebalance itself. Therefore these surplus donuts are stored in the parking lot. As a result of the changes to the operation the owner is very pleased with the performance of the donut shop as a result of the most recent financial statements. Clearly the operation continues to perform and has much more room to expand. Therefore he goes to the financial market once again to raise money to purchase more donut making capacity and also additional parking space to store the surplus donuts while he waits for the market to rebalance. Investors make their investments and the operation increases its capacity and begins to produce triple the number of donuts that it had just recently. Luckily the foresight of the owner had purchased the land for the extra donut storage.
Soon it’s realized that the operation is not generating the cash that a successful business would be expected to be producing. The banks are asked to provide some funding to help wait out the period of time while the market rebalances. Upon the bankers review they see some anomalies with the last financial statements that were produced. All the donuts that are stored in the parking lots are capitalized as goodwill in building the business. In addition all the labor, oil and flour are capitalized too, making for a very well capitalized operation. The only costs that are expensed are the utilities and the rent on the store. Something that the owner adamantly disagrees with as he feels they should be capitalized too.
Oil and gas bureaucrats find this analogy insulting, as they should. They feel that the oil and gas business is different and the amounts that are invested and capitalized are supported by the reserves that are discovered. Their understanding of accounting is that it should emulate the value that is being generated as a result of their activity. The activity of drilling and cementing casing are all intangible costs. They can not be retrieved just as the oil and flour is irretrievable at the donut operation. What they fail to understand is that accounting is about performance, not about assigning value to the organization. If it was about assigning value then the donut shop in its current configuration could eventually challenge Apple and Amazon as a trillion dollar company. Eventually they will spend that much just on land. Therefore since the end result of the oil and gas producers accounting emulates approximately the value of the firm, what’s the issue? The issue is that there’s no financial performance in terms of the money that has been invested. It has reported large profits but never earned them. Cash became an issue and the donut shop was closed as a result of being unable to pay its bills. Even though they were building their balance sheets!
We now turn to the second analogy that provides evidence that the valuation of the producer firm is supported by the market value of the properties. The other end of the strip mall has the pizza shop that has been in operation for a few years. It has successfully provided the owner with the opportunity to work sixteen hour days and feed his family a steady diet of pizza. Nonetheless for a variety of reasons he feels that now is the time to sell the operation and retire. What’s the value? There are the financial statements, however he does not believe they accurately reflect the market value of the operation. Therefore he lists the property on the following basis. Most of the money that he makes is in the sale and delivery of pizzas. Each pizza sold averages $2.00 profit. He also has 450,000 pizza boxes in storage. Therefore he lists the property at $900,000 which is for this example the present value of those earnings.
We have an example of a sale of an oil and gas producer and the financial statements that had been produced over the past number of decades. It is important to note that People, Ideas & Objects assertion is that the attempt of producers is to reflect the market value in the accounting reports. It is not about performance. Building balance sheets is the name of the game, where capitalizing most of the costs and recognizing very few of them is the art and science of oil and gas accounting. Therefore what we see in Anadarko’s financial statements is the net capital assets total $28 billion. Just $10 billion short of Occidentals offer. In terms of accounting that has to be considered fairly accurate accounting since they’re just about one quarter short of the actual offer. What this clearly represents is that Anadarko has operated on the basis of an attempt to emulate the market value of the assets. However, the equity of the company is only $8.9 billion of which $695 million are the retained earnings. Debt is $31.46 billion. Anadarko’s market cap is $36.84 billion closely emulating Occidentals offer. Therefore at the end of the day Occidental will have paid $68.3 billion dollars for assets that have produced a cumulative lifetime earnings of $695 million. Whereas these earnings were also based on the recognition that few actual costs were ever recognized, only capitalized, reflecting the bloating of the balance sheet and the bloating of earnings, sort of. This makes the pizza box analogy valid, the donut shop analogy is seen as valid when Anadarko had $6 billion in cash in the second quarter of 2017 and they now have a working capital deficiency of {$1.32} billion. The only thing I can say is that’s a lot of pizza boxes.
The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for profitable North American energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in our future Initial Coin Offering (ICO) that will fund these user defined software developments. It is through the process of issuing our ICO that we are leading the way in which creative destruction can be implemented within the oil and gas industry. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.