Range Bound

Oil and gas producers need to come up with a business model that deals specifically with the commodity prices that are now range bound. The highs are defined by the actions of OPEC and their unwillingness to inflict pain on the international energy consumer. And the lower end is probably in the $40 region where OPEC will invoke their proven discipline to hold back production. Natural gas prices will continue to be defined by their chronic low prices for the foreseeable decades. These range bound prices put the North American oil and gas producer in a situation where they’ll never earn profits. Therefore the ability to raise capital will forever be a pipe dream. No one is going to see the oil and gas industry as a viable choice for their investment dollars.

Even at the relatively high prices of $64.94 for oil at the end of the first quarter of 2018. Cash in our sample of 23 producers that we follow had an apparent tendency to disappear. Contributing to the further erosion of the cash and working capital situation in the industry. No one is investing in the business and no bank is loaning any money. And now with the cash and working capital depleted as they are no one will touch them. Sophisticated investors and bankers don’t fund working capital deficiencies. To be clear, bottom feeders are no doubt circling about in the industry. Desperate producers should take a spin with those people if they feel the need to get out from their difficulties. That I’m sure will be the answer. To reiterate no investors, no bankers, no profits, no cash, no working capital and now with the commodity prices being range bound, no upside.

We heard this past weekend that Russia had joined Saudi Arabia in breaching their agreed production sharing agreement quota’s. They are the friends of the energy consumer. They are the ones that are fighting to keep the prices at the pump down. It is my suggestion that the only viable choice for the North American oil and gas producer is to implement People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specifications decentralized production model’s price maker strategy. This can be done by producing only profitable production and shutting in any unprofitable production. They can only do this with the Preliminary Specification in place for a variety of reasons. In summary these reasons are the accounting in the industry is incapable of identifying which properties are profitable. This is due to the overhead being corporate and most of it allocated to capital. In the Preliminary Specification overhead is charged directly to the Joint Operating Committee. Current organizational structures are incapable of making the changes to shut-in production. Shutting in production will only enhance the losses of the current producers. In the Preliminary Specification our reorganization ensures that only profitable production is produced and is never diluted by unprofitably production, reserves are saved for the time in which they’ll be produced profitably, and those reserves will not have to carry the years upon years of chronic losses as additional costs and finally by removing the unprofitable production from the commodity markets we enable those markets to find the marginal cost.

The added benefit of implementing the Preliminary Specification is the enhanced cash flow that the producer will realize. For the past four decades the industries producers have deferred the recognition of capital costs in this capital intensive industry for up to 27 years in some situations. This is the root of their current issues. By not recognizing their capital costs they have been able to bloat their balance sheets of property, plant and equipment beyond anything reasonable. And inflate their profitability by not recognizing the capital costs of exploration and production. Augmenting the cash deficiencies of this tactic with annual investor injections. What they need to do now is to ask themselves are their bloated balances sheets of property, plant and equipment an asset or a capital cost of prior periods production? If there answer is the right one, that it is a capital cost of prior periods of production, then they’ll soon find that this is also the source of their cash requirements.

By using the Preliminary Specifications decentralized production models price maker strategy the producer will be able to raise the commodities prices to the point necessary to cover the current costs and the past costs that their investors incurred to subsidize the consumers energy costs. Or the amount of property, plant and equipment that wasn’t appropriately recognized in prior periods. Then with our price maker strategy they’ll be able to raise the commodity prices by shutting in the unprofitable production and realize the higher prices to offset those capital costs they should have recognized decades ago. Generating, dare I say, the appropriate cash flow to fund their capital expenditures, pay down their debt and pay dividends. Doing all three at the same time is what a business does.

This was considered heresy when we first proposed this methodology. Now with the North American producers losing financial, operational and political control of the industry they will be seen as the only ones responsible for the higher prices. Inaction does have its costs. Producers face the end of their existence in the manner that they’re being managed today. A few more quarters, or maybe a full year from now they will lose control of the organizations themselves. Then what? The slow slide into oblivion has been consistent since I began writing this blog in late 2005. Almost a generation ago. Plenty of time to have done something to have saved the situation and carried on as a viable industry. Instead the producers have chosen to be seen as the greedy ones as far as the consumers are concerned and ran the industry into the ground. The societal costs have been tragic. The Alberta government has incurred $43 billion in debt in the last four years. Millions of people have been displaced in the industry and service industry. Taxes and royalties have been unpaid from the producers that should have been profitable. And lets not forget the investors and banks. Now that their money was used to subsidize the consumers for their energy needs, the consumers will no doubt have forgotten about those gifts they were sent and begin to identify and deal with the greedy and lazy North American producers themselves. They’ll know OPEC were the ones that moved to keep commodity prices low, and to add insult to injury, be thankful they’re at full production at all times, unlike their North American counterparts. Brilliant.

The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for profitable North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in our future Initial Coin Offering (ICO) that will fund these user defined software developments. It is through the process of issuing our ICO that we are leading the way in which creative destruction can be implemented within the oil and gas industry. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.

Third Friday Off

Our 12th Module, Part XVII

The Research & Capabilities module documents the capabilities that the producer is able to conduct. Those procedures that they’re able to replicate on a consistent basis. Capabilities that are made commercially available to the various Joint Operating Committees they have an interest in. There is a second business model and hence revenue stream of the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer. That is the sale of these capabilities to the Joint Operating Committees under the pooling concept discussed earlier in this module. There is also the opportunity that these capabilities will be sold to other producers on a direct sale basis. The documentation of these capabilities forms a foundation of the Intellectual Property of the producer firm. Having these capabilities documented and subsequently published across the larger population of producers represented in their Joint Operating Committees through the Knowledge & Learning module secures their copyright. Having these captured within the blockchain will provide documentation of the time and place that these capabilities were developed and ensure that the producer would be able to defend them against claims that they violated other producers ideas.

Knowledge & Learning

Access to the various capabilities of the participating producers in the Joint Operating Committee is made through the Knowledge & Learnings Planning & Deployment Interface. Blockchain makes this access secure. Using the private / public key encryption of the blockchain only those producers who are members of the specific Joint Operating Committee will have access to those details. It will be necessary that each Joint Operating Committee has a unique key that is also shared by the users who have an interest. Then the data and information can be encrypted by the public key and reviewed by the shared private keys held by each of the producers. What we see with these two modules of the Preliminary Specification is the development, deployment and controlled access to the research and capabilities of the producers involved in the Joint Operating Committee. The implementation of the blockchain technologies provides us with an enhanced ability to deliver this solution to the producers for their needs in this area.

There are many other elements of these two modules that will benefit as a result of the blockchain. The need to include a discussion at this point would be moot and understanding these two features that we’ve highlighted here will help in determining how the blockchain is ultimately implemented. It is these two modules that provide a distinct advantage by the use of blockchain technologies. The one advantage that I’m particularly pleased with is the clear vision of how these features can now be developed. Before, without the blockchain these processes and functionality were not necessarily the easiest parts of the Preliminary Specification to build.

I would like to take a moment to highlight the reason that the Research & Capabilities and Knowledge & Learning modules are structured this way. It’s an important point that needs to be understood why we’re doing so and the reason for this is captured in the Research & Capabilities module. The quotation below is from Professor Richard Langlois, then I discussed how it is I’ve interpreted this understanding and applied it in oil and gas.

The question then becomes: why are capabilities sometimes organized within firms, sometimes decentralized in markets, and sometimes coordinated by a myriad contractual and ownership arrangements like joint ventures, franchisees, and networks? Explicitly echoing Hayek, Jensen and Meckling (1992, p.251) who point out that economic organization must solve two different kinds of problems: "the rights assignment problem (determining who should exercise a decision right) and the control or agency problem (how to ensure that self-interested decision agents exercise their rights in a way that contributes to the organizational objective)." There are basically two ways to ensure such a "collocation" of knowledge and decision making: "One is by moving the knowledge to those with the decision rights; the other is by moving the decision rights to those with the knowledge." (Jensen and Meckling 1992 p. 253). p. 9

To be specific, what we’re doing in the Research & Capabilities module is “moving the knowledge to those with the decision rights.” And this is where the alignment under People, Ideas & Objects begins. What the bureaucracy is trying to do is to “move the decision rights to those with the knowledge.” And that is where the conflict is being created. The Joint Operating Committee has the operational decision making framework and there is little that can be done to change that. The knowledge is held within the participating producer firms. It is therefore necessary to create a process that sees the knowledge flow from the producer firms to the Joint Operating Committee and that is what the Research & Capabilities modules Dynamic Capabilities Interface does. 

Analytics & Statistics and Performance Evaluation

Another dual use set of modules as the Analytics & Statistics module deals with the producer firm and the Performance Evaluation is concerned with the Joint Operating Committee. Due to the fact that these are modules that are designed to contain algorithms of analysis that will determine specific performance criteria. And then also provide the user with the ability to prepare ad-hoc analytical reporting there is not much that I am aware of in terms of what the blockchain technologies can provide here. Blockchain is concerned with the recording, securing and reporting of data in distributed ledgers. The Analytics & Statistics and Performance Evaluation modules are not involved in the generation of data only the manipulation of data that has been acquired through other modules and outside of industry.

The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for profitable North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in our future Initial Coin Offering (ICO) that will fund these user defined software developments. It is through the process of issuing our ICO that we are leading the way in which creative destruction can be implemented within the oil and gas industry. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.

Our 12th Module, Part XVI

Just a quick note to mention the progress that is occurring in the Initial Coin Offering (ICO) marketplace. People, Ideas & Objects have a budget that is about the size of the issues that the oil and gas producers face. If someone can solve the producers problems with the $5 in resources that the producers are willing to pay to solve them then they’re welcome to try. We’ll be sticking with our budget. And the producers are sticking to their plan of going out of business as quickly as they possibly can. The ICO market is where we’ll be raising our budget from. We are deferring our entrance into this market as our budget demands are in excess of the capabilities of the ICO market. However, Block.one’s ICO has closed effective June 1, 2018 and they raised $4.2 billion. In 2017 total ICO’s placed a little under $4 billion. To date in 2018 ICO’s have raised more than $13 billion. Clearly the plans of People, Ideas & Objects to raise our $6 billion budget from this marketplace are looking less and less “ridiculous” each and every day.

Research & Capabilities

A brief introduction of the Research & Capabilities would be to quote directly from the introduction of that module.

We have also discussed the current producers capacity to deal with issues are constrained by the systems that are in use today. That we see a repetitive inability, or lack of capacity to deal with the existing issues of the industry. Highlighting just the takeaway capacity and commodity pricing as the two premier issues that we seem to be reliving from the 1990’s. There is also an inability to approach new issues that industry is faced with; such as planning for the shale based reserves development and the relationship with the service industry. I have suggested that the industry seems to be in a never ending cycle in which it is unable to exit. The systems that exist today have us operating from a day to day basis and they are unable to deal with the long term perspective.

This cycle of day to day existence is hurting the industry. The ability to deal with this issue is by adopting the Preliminary Specification and acquiring the software development capability proposed by People, Ideas & Objects. Then the innovative and profitable oil and gas producer will be able to break the cycle of systems dependence and effectively plan and execute the business of the business. Until we do this, its best to become familiar with the various elements of the scenery that we’re in. And that primarily involves the losses on operations in North America. 

The Research & Capabilities module provides the exit from this endless cycle. How the firm breaks away from what it has done before and develop its capabilities to enhance its business in the long term is detailed here. There are a number of things we do in this module that make that happen in the Research & Capabilities module.

Within this quote I believe that I’ve captured the essence of the issue that has plagued the industry since 1986. Does anyone believe that proceeding along this same course that we’ve traveled for the past number of decades, and with the passage of even more time, provide any change to the profitability of the industry? The scenery is the same as it was in 1986 and only the bureaucrats have benefited.

The Research & Capabilities is a producer based module whereas the Knowledge & Learning module is a Joint Operating Committee based module. Based on the research that was conducted prior to writing the Preliminary Specification we were able to determine many things that are detailed specifically in those two modules specification. Items such as the producer should be the ones that are developing the innovations for their deployment in the Joint Operating Committee. Then they’ll be making the inevitable mistakes made during the development of the innovations once and only once. Then when the innovation is developed and is successful it can be released from the Research & Capabilities to the Knowledge & Learning modules where it can be deployed to the Joint Operating Committees as a capability available for its use. Making any process development mistakes once in the producer firm, not repetitively in each of the Joint Operating Committees is a key to the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer. Reading of these two modules are keys to the development of the innovative oil and gas industry. Much of the research of Professors Giovanni Dosi and Richard Langlois were implemented within them. Enabling the innovations and capabilities of the firm and Joint Operating Committee, which are unquestionably the key competitive advantages of the producer firm, their focus and priority.

How this is implemented in the Research & Capabilities module is with a collaborative textual interface called the Dynamic Capabilities Interface that captures the research or capability. The key attribute of the blockchain implementation in the Research & Capabilities module will be within this Dynamic Capabilities Interface documenting all of the processes of the producer. As time passes elements of each of the processes are amended and improved upon. Our Dynamic Capabilities Interface will highlight the changes that have occurred since the reader last read that “page” of the interface. By using the blockchain, changes to the individual processes are written to subsequent blocks of the blockchain. Therefore each of the blocks concerning that capability will provide the reader with the a history of the processes development with the latest block representing the most recent version. A comparison will be made to the previous version number that was read by the user, and any of the changes that have occurred since then will be highlighted in different colors. Enabling them to become familiar with only the changes quickly and easily. A similar interface in the Knowledge & Learning module called the Planning & Deployment Interface will operate in the same manner.

The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for profitable North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in our future Initial Coin Offering (ICO) that will fund these user defined software developments. It is through the process of issuing our ICO that we are leading the way in which creative destruction can be implemented within the oil and gas industry. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.

Commodity Prices

It appears that the trend on oil prices is downward. Speculation that OPEC will resume full production is becoming the common thought throughout the industry. From World Oil we read

Weighing on OPEC’s decision is mounting global outcry against steep fuel prices on the back of higher crude futures. While U.S. President Donald Trump has said crude prices are “artificially Very High” and India faces calls for price caps on gasoline and diesel, a truckers strike over surging fuel costs in Brazil culminated with the resignation of the state oil company’s CEO on Friday.

It also appears that there’s been a ceiling established for the height that oil prices can climb. That being around $70 U.S. for WTI. Based on our calculations for our sample of 23 producers, they need prices in the region of $141 U.S. for WTI. These prices being what are required for profitable oil and gas production. Today oil and gas investors are disenchanted with the performance of the producers. They’ve withheld investment from the industry for over two years in an attempt to shut off the excessive drilling that causes the chronic overproduction. This hasn’t worked. The issue for the oil and gas investor today is that the market never seems to be adequate for them to earn a legitimate profit. One that recognizes the costs of capital in a capital intensive industry. Now that a ceiling is being placed on the limit that oil prices can achieve, not only will producers never be able to attract oil and gas investors again, they’ll never be able to charge the appropriate amount to cover all of the costs for the oil and gas that they produce. The appropriate amount being based on a full and accurate accounting of what it costs to explore and produce oil and gas in North America. A paradox of proportions not seen in the industry before.

Financial, operational and political control? Dreams from the past that once were. Now producers can’t raise any money in the financial marketplace. Can’t borrow any money from banks. Can’t make any money. Have no money or working capital. Bureaucrats always said they were wildly profitable at these and even lower prices and the consumers and politicians believed what they said. Consumers are therefore unwilling to pay and that’s now the rule producers will have to live by. Producers never had a plan. The plan has always been to seek greener pastures in other industries when employment in oil and gas became untenable. The plans were therefore personal. Wait until the time to jump ship was obvious and make sure your not the first or the last to do so. The oil and gas industry be damned. To me it looks like were awfully close to that point in time. Just a few more pay checks will do and that’s all that the bureaucrats will need. On to technology or the space industry.

Commentary on Canada’s Prime Minister’s deft move in nationalizing the Trans Mountain Pipeline has been pretty much unanimous. No one likes it and no one thinks it’s the right thing to do. Many believe the oil and gas industry will find it hard to convince investors that Canada is the place to put their money. The inability of the producers to get the job done being the issue. It’s not just the oil and gas industry though. Many think this will have repercussions for all industries and for all foreign direct investments into Canada.

Oil price are down over 10% since the Saudis and Russians started talking about increasing their production. You can feel the energy taken out of everyone in the industry. The prospect of higher commodity prices were the only hope of any future and now only vivid memories of the dozens of times that commodity prices have fallen in the past decade. You could see that no one was jumping on the bandwagon as the prices reached the mid $50’s, then the high $60’s and onto the low $70 ranges. The only thing it provided was the hope that given time producers might be able to heal financially, investors may find them attractive and the show would go on. This hope is gone and the number of times that we’ve been at this exact same point over the past decade shows the ridiculous nature of the bureaucrats approach to the oil and gas business. “Do nothing” the standard operating procedure and the “muddle along” strategy. I can tell you that this is as good as it gets. There is no more. This is the trend that I’ve watched in this industry since 1986 when prices collapsed to $10. Then producers moaned “oh whoa is me.” And the fact that I’m writing this today shows that absolutely nothing has happened in these past thirty two years.

The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for profitable North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in our future Initial Coin Offering (ICO) that will fund these user defined software developments. It is through the process of issuing our ICO that we are leading the way in which creative destruction can be implemented within the oil and gas industry. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.

Our 12th Module, Part XV

Accounting Voucher

The Accounting Voucher and Partnership Accounting modules are the two pure accounting modules within the Preliminary Specification. They work hand in hand to provide the full scope of accounting requirements of the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer and Joint Operating Committees. Each of these organizations will be provided with full financial statements that reflect the state of true profitability of each organization. The scope and scale of the Preliminary Specification accounting and process management include everything the upstream producer needs and can be defined as high levels of automation from field data capture to financial statements. Only this basis of accounting can be considered to be the base level of what is necessary and required for the next generation of oil and gas producers. Effectively changing the role of accounting in the industry from a statutory compliance and governance requirement to a dynamic decision making capability.

The unique feature of the Accounting Voucher is the capability to manage the pooling concept introduced in the Preliminary Specification. Pooling sees all of the participants in a Joint Operating Committee being capable of being actively involved in the properties day to day operation. Through the expansion of the earth science and engineering capabilities of the producer due to specialization and the division of labor. It will be few, and possibly no producer that will be able to fully staff their organization with the resources to cover off the global scope of the sciences demands. Producers will need to specialize on specific capabilities to ensure their cost structures remain within what a commercial operation can tolerate. In addition, the perceived future shortfalls of the earth science and engineering resources need to be addressed. The Preliminary Specifications pooling concept allows the producers within the Joint Operating Committee to each contribute their unique capability. Eliminating what People, Ideas & Objects have called an industry wide unshared and unshareable nature of the surplus capacity present in today’s earth science and engineering capability.

In essence what will be possible is for a participant within a Joint Operating Committee to raise an Accounting Voucher for either their producer firm or a specific Joint Operating Committee. That Accounting Voucher would allow them to process what is traditionally understood to be an accounting voucher for whatever purpose. The Accounting Voucher itself is an electronic representation of the document. Therefore it is shareable between the producers who are participants in the Joint Operating Committee. It is here that the blockchain comes into play. Although the shareable concept at first seems inconsistent with the blockchains incapability to duplicate the specific block. The Accounting Voucher is sharing the blocks information not duplicating the block for each of the participant producers.

It is also the immutable nature of the data contained in the block of the blockchain. These data elements would include everything regarding the Accounting Voucher. Be accessible only through the public / private keys of the participating producer in the Joint Operating Committee, or the individual producer depending on the nature of the Accounting Voucher. The data would be encrypted and unable to be viewed by anyone else. Changing any of the data within a block that is representing an Accounting Voucher would cause the hash code to be rewritten. Once the hash code is rewritten then it can’t be verified through its distributed ledger. It would be recommended by People, Ideas & Objects that the distribution of the blockchain ledgers that are used within the Preliminary Specification be distributed to each and every oil and gas producer within the industry. This is the security feature of the blockchain with respect to the immutable nature of the data. If all copies of the blockchain are in agreement as to each blocks hash codes, then no tampering has taken place. If someone attempts to tamper with the data they would have to replace the revised hash codes on each copy of the distributed ledger the instant they made the change. This is not considered reasonable or possible in terms of how the blockchain operates.

Blockchain enables the Accounting Voucher in a more simple and secure implementation. We are unaware of Oracle’s integration of blockchain within their technologies and how they will ultimately be implemented. What we can assume and assure ourselves with is that Larry Ellison, the Founder of Oracle and its current Chief Technology Officer will be implementing the blockchain technology in an advanced and integrated way with their database. Our choice of Oracle as the technological provider for the Preliminary Specification provides us with distinct competitive advantages from the point of view of our ability to implement the innovations and developments of People, Ideas & Objects.

The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for profitable North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in our future Initial Coin Offering (ICO) that will fund these user defined software developments. It is through the process of issuing our ICO that we are leading the way in which creative destruction can be implemented within the oil and gas industry. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.

Our 12th Module, Part XIV

We have a responsibility to our future to at least produce today’s oil and gas profitably. The calculation of the cost of oil and gas exploration and production are determined in the Partnership Accounting module. These calculations will include the profitability of the Joint Operating Committee, the producer and the price calculations needed for profitable oil and gas production. These will be the actual revenues and costs incurred by the producers and individual Joint Operating Committees. Today in almost all instances quotes from producers about their profitability do not consider any accounting information. These quotations are based on the reserve estimates provided from the consulting reservoir engineers. This practice needs to shift to base any quotations, and most particularly the decisions made by producers, to use the actual accounting costs and profitability. Then we can be assured that we’re producing today’s oil and gas profitably.

Earlier in this Blockchain module specification we spoke about the Material Balance Report and how the blockchain technologies were to be used to secure the production and associated data for the processes and automation within that report. Within the Partnership Accounting module there are other features that benefit as a result of implementing blockchain technologies. These include the pooling concept where members of the Joint Operating Committee, due to the potential future shortages of engineers and geologists, and further specialization and division of labor of these, need to pool these technical resources in order to cover off all of the technical requirements of the property. We also have the Work Order which has two components that introduce the second business model of the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer. The Work Order also is a key to moving the producer and industry forward in terms of its innovativeness on a producers key competitive advantages.

Within the pooling concept we introduce the capability of each participant within the Joint Operating Committee to be actively participating in the operations of the property. Therefore each producer will be charging costs to the Joint Operating Committee in the same manner that the Operator does on behalf of its working interest partners today. Blockchain ensures that only authorized producers will have the capability to make any payments and charge the Joint Operating Committee on behalf of the property. Each producer writing to the blocks of the blockchain the transactions that make up the operations and capital that are the agreed and approved costs. These will be controlled through the traditional means of AFE’s and annual operating budgets. In order for the pooling concept to succeed each producer must be able to spend and recover the funds directly to the Joint Operating Committee on behalf of the partnership. The blockchain, as will other software within People, Ideas & Objects and Oracle Fusion Applications, will ensure no unauthorized transactions are posted.

The first element of our Work Order is the ability for producers, that is any group or configuration of producers, to work together in a research project or study. These producers potentially having no relationship with one another before, the ad-hoc and multitude of different ways of participating in these studies creates administrative nightmares that preclude the use of the appropriate level of studies and research within the industry. Innovation within the oil and gas industry demands an exponential level of these studies in comparison to today’s activity and in order to stimulate that producers need to enhance their capabilities in these areas. Once again the blockchain will be used to manage the disparate nature of the producers individual contributions and costs of the research project or study and the distribution of these costs and results. By securing these transactions within the blockchain they are made accessible by the participants, and only authorized participants will be capable of making any payments or processing any costs through the study. Again this will also be through the aid of the People, Ideas & Objects and Oracle software. By eliminating the bureaucratic disaster that these research projects become in today’s environment we expect that they’ll expand significantly.

The second element of the Work Order has to do with the ability of the producer firm to generate the revenues necessary to offset the costs of their earth science and engineering capabilities. These competitive advantages costs will be offset by the charging of these resources directly to the Joint Operating Committee. Without the COPAS overhead allowances these costs are not covered off under the Preliminary Specification. Therefore charging the property directly for the work that is done by these resources is how this is remedied. Each resource of the producer firm will be required to charge their time to a Joint Operating Committee or to an overhead account of the producer. Their time and a standard charge out rate will apply and be billed each month. It is expected that these “consulting” revenues would at all times cover or be higher than the costs to maintain the earth science and engineering capabilities of the producer. With so many data elements of the Preliminary Specification being captured in the blockchain. The Work Orders time, charge out rate and various other data regarding that billing to the Joint Operating Committee will be captured and available for the partnerships viewing.

It’s at this point I would suggest what I see for the future. Blockchain is a distributed ledger technology. It is open source. Oracle is committed to the technology. It would be relatively simple, in my opinion, for Oracle to capture the features of the blockchain technologies and embed them within their Oracle Database. Having blockchain as a feature of the Oracle Database seems to be a natural progression of their technologies. With the cloud providing the “distributed” and secure features or immutable nature of the data. I think this is where we’re heading and will be the situation when we release the Preliminary Specification as commercial software.

The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for profitable North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in our future Initial Coin Offering (ICO) that will fund these user defined software developments. It is through the process of issuing our ICO that we are leading the way in which creative destruction can be implemented within the oil and gas industry. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.

Our 12th Module, Part XIII

Throughout the Preliminary Specification people can see a separation between the administrative and accounting conducted by the service providers. This separation is present as a result of each service provider focusing on one process and applying it to their customers, which are the entirety of the oil and gas industry. Each Joint Operating Committee that is producing will be charged directly from each of the service providers each month. In this there is a highly objective nature of the work being done by the service providers. An objectivity that has been clearly lost in the oil and gas producers and industry today. When CEO’s consider their bloated asset balances to be the value that is representative of their efforts, we see the current distortions in the oil and gas industry manifest themselves over the past four decades. Are the capital costs of the oil and gas producer an asset or cost? That question should be the first question in the mind of the CEO. If they were to recognize the capital cost then they would replace that with the cash they would receive from the price of their product sold. This assumes the producer was pricing their product appropriately with the cost of operations, overhead and capital. This last cost being the most critical of all in a capital intensive industry.

The objectivity that is provided by the service providers is facilitated by the organizational specialization and division of labor within the Preliminary Specification. The ability for this is enabled through the implementation of the Blockchain module in our software. The process management conducted by the people within the service provider have no appreciation or understanding of the client the data they’ll be working on is attributable to. It will mostly be in large batches that are homogeneous in nature and will be treated from an accounting perspective in the same manner as all other data. What will be applied will be the appropriate regulations and requirements that are inherent in the software that they, as the user community representative in the development of the software were and will continue to be defining. The service providers accounting process will become more scientific and associated with the pure accounting of the needs of the industry. As well as the data sciences that they’ll be able to apply to the large volumes of data they use. To manage the transactional nature of all of this data the blockchain has the private / public keys, the hash codes and transaction management necessary to ensure not only the automation and objectivity is attained by the service provider but also the timeliness, accuracy, security and objectivity that is needed by the producer in the marketplace today.

People, Ideas & Objects recommends a different policy be adopted by the industry in terms of recording assets. The SEC requires that essentially the producers capital assets never exceed the present value of the reserves base times the current price. Therefore anything below that number is an acceptable accounting policy with respect to recording property, plant and equipment. We believe that much of the producers activities in the year are focused on maintaining their production profile. And therefore the costs in order to maintain the production profile are not capital assets. Secondly any of the intangible costs of drilling, casing, cementing and completion are unrecoverable. These are therefore not assets either. What we are suggesting here is that anything with a serial number is the only cost that is an asset and part of property, plant and equipment. What this policy does is it shifts the burden of the costs of oil and gas exploration and production away from the investors and onto the consumers. That is how businesses operate. Ensuring that the consumer pays the costs of oil and gas exploration and production ensures that the oil and gas industry can sustain a viable going concern where their cash is fully returned to them within a few short years of their investment. The second question that someone should ask a CEO, that is after our first question of what is a capital cost, an asset or a cost, is do they want to have billions of capital assets in property, plant or equipment or do they want to have an equivalent amount of cash and short term investments. That is the difference between the current situation and People, Ideas & Objects policies.

To apply this policy across the industry objectively is one of the benefits of the configuration of the Preliminary Specification and service providers. The assurance of the integrity and validity of the process and charges being created by the service providers to either the producer or Joint Operating Committee is a result of integrating blockchain technologies within the Preliminary Specification and most particularly here within the Partnership Accounting module. We’re talking about objective, generic and standardized accounting across the oil and gas industry. Processes that consider the needs and requirements of the industry and the rules and regulations that govern it. I fail to see the argument here in terms of how or why objective, generic and standardized accounting applied across any industry would be considered in anyway a negative attribute. This has always been an element of the vision I had for the Preliminary Specification when I was writing it. That the blockchain is the method that enables the technologies within the Preliminary Specification to much more easily integrate the objective, generic and standardized accounting we’re discussing here, is one of its features that we’re implementing in this the Blockchain module.

The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for profitable North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in our future Initial Coin Offering (ICO) that will fund these user defined software developments. It is through the process of issuing our ICO that we are leading the way in which creative destruction can be implemented within the oil and gas industry. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.

Pipelines, Producers and Pacifiers

Contrary to what my readers would think, I did hold off writing this post for 10 minutes in an attempt to cool my rabid frustration with the Canadian oil and gas producers. The news that the Canadian government is taking over Kinder Morgan’s Trans Mountain Pipeline and will build it happened yesterday. Some may consider this good news for the Canadian producers as they will now be able to deliver their heavy oil production to a secondary Asian market. That being the stated purpose all along. I think from my point of view this is maybe the worst development that could have happened at this time. What we know for certain is that the Canadian oil and gas producers bureaucrats dogged pursuit of this pipeline. Their late nights of suffering and sacrificing to get this done. Their outstanding leadership in showing the way in which they are the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producers in the Canadian economy. My sarcasm is ripe today, what we know is that they did absolutely nothing and now they’ve accomplished nothing. Big bonuses all around to the bureaucrats.

From what I can tell Kinder Morgan was never supported in their fight to get this pipeline built. Producers were nowhere to be seen. This might open the argument to the criticism that I’m not aware of what’s happening behind the scenes. The fact is this inability of producers to do anything is typical of the argument made in the Preliminary Specification that they’re not considering the broader scope of their operation. The service industry and pipelines need to be supported by the producers as those companies revenues are dependent on the primary industry revenues of the oil and gas industry. To leave the service industry and pipeline companies to fend for themselves is what the oil and gas producers do. The one thing the producers do however is call these service industry companies lazy and greedy so there is a high level of cheerleading that has and does go on. We also see throughout the oil and gas industry the issues with takeaway capacity, field operations are having difficulty sourcing the field resources that are necessary, items like water and hauling, and of course the Canadian natural gas producers pay their customers to take their gas. Yes it’s these points that are indicative that I am fully unaware of what’s going on behind the scenes.

The issue for Kinder Morgan was the government in British Columbia was denying them the right to build the fully approved pipeline. This was contrary to all the laws that are in the Canadian Constitution and would not hold up in court. Interprovincial trade can not be held up at the border by other provinces. Imagine if someone needed to negotiate with each state government in order to get shale oil production from the Dakota’s down to the Gulf Coast. Canada is a country where one does not interrupt the other part of the countries operations or economic livelihood. We have a Prime Minister who is a former snowboard instructor and bar bouncer. A decided step down from a community organizer. His capacity to understand things has severely diminished, I think, as a result of the drugs he admittedly consumes. However legal drug consumption begins next month in Canada as a result of his efforts. Taking the easy route to solve this problem is probably the way it was going to end anyway, dude. This fight that Kinder Morgan needed to undertake was after full approval and an already unnecessary and long protracted battle with the environmentalists and native rights issues. Kinder Morgan had had enough and cancelled the project.

What this shows investors is all that they need to know. The oil and gas producers bureaucrats are lazy, incompetent, uncaring and only riding the train as long as they’re compensated. Allowing things to become so difficult for the service and pipeline industries who are battling it out for the producers on their own. Trying to open secondary markets for them that they now determine the best business decision is to walk away. I’m sure when investors see that producers allow the government to take the lead in the industry, there’s not much to be gained. What is the next step for the Canadian oil and gas producers? Full government ownership? Government subsidies? Or government authorized pacifiers for the bureaucrats. What they have shown is that they are incapable of managing the business profitably for the past four decades. They must have a constant flow of new capital from shareholders to keep the doors open. New capital based on specious profitability that doesn’t consider the capital costs of the products produced, in a capital intensive industry. They are incapable of building pipelines on their own. It’s just too hard for them to do. Supporting the pipeline companies who have such a broad and diverse group of industries in which to generate revenue from, just as the service industry does, doesn’t seem to be a thought in the bureaucrats mind. They are selfish and uncaring, I therefore vote for the pacifiers as the first stage of the remedy for the oil and gas industry.

This is a fundamental failure of the Canadian oil and gas producers. What is the next step in this never ending destruction? The slow insidious acceptance of things that would have never been considered before, happens daily. There are no plans, no understanding that there is an issue and no one cares who could begin to correct the issues. Shareholders were fundamentally rebuked during the proxy fights at the annual general meetings last month. Is the next shoe to drop the investors join Kinder Morgan on the sidelines? Meaning they dump the shares they own and get out of town for good. What is the argument against the use of the Preliminary Specification in oil and gas? Are profits such a bad word that they dare not be spoken. The $1.6 trillion in property, plant and equipment that sits on the producers “stellar” balance sheets and represent the amount of the subsidy that investors were forced to provide energy consumers. This amount of money is probably also the equivalent amount of societal costs incurred by others in this downturn. That is any other group other than the bureaucrats. The Preliminary Specification addresses these issues specifically in the Resource Marketplace and Research & Capabilities modules. It’s been available and could have been built years ago. Why wasn’t it?

The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for profitable North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in our future Initial Coin Offering (ICO) that will fund these user defined software developments. It is through the process of issuing our ICO that we are leading the way in which creative destruction can be implemented within the oil and gas industry. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.

More Updates

Maybe the producers have the oil and gas price difficulties behind them. As I’ve stated before I’ve been at this for a while. As soon as things become somewhat reasonable in terms of the price of oil or natural gas the excessive drilling and chronic overproduction begins. These cycles of destruction seem to be getting shorter as time passes. Last week we learned that OPEC exceeded their production limits by a substantial percentage. Over 2.5 million barrels of oil were removed from the marketplace each day. On this side of the Atlantic we saw a 5.8 million barrel build in oil inventories. Drilling activity is also up to 1044 active rigs. It’s the nature of the bureaucrats business model that it’s culturally ingrained in the oil and gas industry to continue in their ways of overdrilling and overproduction, because that’s where the cash is. What’s to stop the producers from overproducing to the point where oil and gas prices fall into the territory that is lower than their recent history. Nothing. I’ll give it a 75% probability that’ll happen in the next couple of years, and a 25% probability that we’ll continue with at least what we have now. That leaves 0% of any upside from here. Either way this is clearly unacceptable to everyone other than the oil and gas bureaucrats. They’re fine by the way. Organizations in every industry are moving away from the manner in which they’ve functioned for the past number of decades. Now is the time for action in terms of developing the Preliminary Specification.

This is the way the world ends, not with a bang, but a whimper. - T. S. Eliot. 

Action is necessary to defy the slow, steady and inevitable destruction of the oil and gas industry as a result of the issues that we see present here today. Creative destruction is the method of industrial renewal which is how People, Ideas & Objects seeks to change oil and gas.

OPEC and Russia to the rescue! Highlighting their concerns for the consumers pocketbook, particularly in China and India, Saudi Arabia and Russia are openly discussing curtailing much of their production cutbacks in their upcoming June meeting. They feel that they’re currently highly prosperous and can sit on these prices. We see trends in the industry reverse this quickly. If North American producers had been recognizing their capital costs in a more appropriate manner for the past number of decades. And had reduced their property, plant and equipment balances down to the appropriate sizes for viable producers then they too would be satisfied with today’s prices and be truly profitable. But they haven’t done that. Their balance sheets are stuffed full of the unrecognized capital costs of past production and therefore need the $141 we’ve calculated as necessary to capture these past costs and return the firms to “healthy” and “profitable” operations.

The decision is therefore necessary to be made by the investors. Are the unrecognized capital cost of past production a sunk cost that should be ignored in any future decision? If so the current producers can be written off as failed and defunct organizations. People, Ideas & Objects provide the alternative means in which to rebuild the industry in the vision of the Preliminary Specification. If the investors want to recapture that $1.6 trillion investment that sits on these producers “stellar” balance sheets, then the development of the Preliminary Specifications decentralized production models price maker strategy is required. The current producers only value rests in their unrecognized capital costs of past production. The rest of the organization is trash as it builds no value and incinerates cash. These past capital costs can be used to defer the reporting of future profits and justify the higher commodity prices needed from the consumers to recapture the amount that investors have had to subsidize consumers energy costs these past number of years.

People, Ideas & Objects maintain that the North American oil and gas producers have lost control of the financial, operational and political foundations of the industry. We see the political foundation being expertly handled by OPEC et al in their noted expression of concern for the consumer. They’re able to read the North American producers financial statements and have seen that their foundations have so eroded that they are not repairable at $60.00 or $70.00 or even $80.00. North American producers love to suggest that Saudi’s costs include the cost of their society and the Kingdom. However, Saudi’s oil and gas costs are as low as $10 / barrel and if we’re including the societal costs then the North American producers costs are far more significant than the $141.00 we’ve calculated them to be.

A few years ago it seemed that North American producers were catching on to the fact they were becoming the global swing producer. However with anything business related their attention span is counted in days and not years. The role of the high cost producer in business is appropriately the swing producer. Swing producers would entail the capacity flexibility to meet the market demands in terms of its surplus and deficit. Pulling production off and putting production on as required to maintain the prices necessary to support their profitable operations. With all the other global producers cost structures being lower they will always be profitable. This requires the North American producers to maintain a business perspective with respect to their operations and only produce what’s profitable. This is obtainable through People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specifications decentralized production models price maker strategy. We hear a variety of excuses as to why this can’t be done. “It’s operationally too difficult to do.” Recently we saw Ford shut down the production of all F-150’s. Which unquestionably must be easier than determining which wells are unprofitable and shutting the valves and pump jacks off.

Another great excuse is that the nature of the price maker strategy is illegal. It’s not illegal. We call it our price maker strategy based on the fact that oil and gas commodities are defined as “price makers” in terms of the economic terminology of price maker characteristics. The proof of which is in the OPEC production sharing agreement which saw 1.5% of the production removed from the marketplace that led to exactly 50% of Friday’s 11:00 am oil price in terms of increases. Price makers! If you took 1.5% of a price takers product off the market, such as bottled water, it would have exactly 0% difference on the price. What is needed is for the North American producer to get their head out of the sand frac and learn a few business principles. And do so before their investors make the decision that they’re sunk costs.

The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for profitable North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in our future Initial Coin Offering (ICO) that will fund these user defined software developments. It is through the process of issuing our ICO that we are leading the way in which creative destruction can be implemented within the oil and gas industry. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.