A Contrast in Value
I did not take in consideration dividends and other matters as I find those points to be irrelevant to the argument that I am trying to make here. These producer firms are not performing and have never performed. They have diverted the recognition of their capital costs, which include the costs of the Post-It Notes and telephone service of the receptionist, to make them appear to perform better than they are. As we noted last Friday the SEC has charged Obsidian and three of its accounting people with civil accounting fraud for the extension of this logic to include royalties as property, plant and equipment. That being the final step in the process of including everything in property, plant and equipment. What I guess the SEC sees in the Obsidian case is that the royalties are much more material than Post-It Notes. I am asserting here the materiality of the $459 billion in capital assets that our sample producers continue to hold in contrast to their lifetime earnings of only $61.9 billion. That is a lot of Post-It Notes.
Those in the industry will say that this is all just accounting and numbers, who cares other than the accountants? If we employed a reasonable test to the property, plant and equipment of these producers I would suggest they would probably be in the range of $100 billion as more representative of what “normal” would look like. That would mean that $359 billion would have flowed to the income statement and these 22 producers would have collectively been responsible for $297 billion in cumulative losses. Which is what I feel is a better representation of the bureaucrats performance in this industry. A dismal performance that would have been remediated well before now. Instead what you have is an industry of spendthrift, unaccountable bureaucrats who overproduce in unhinged fashion and think they rule the world.
The destruction of $300 billion by 22 producers is an achievement. Well the world is coming to see that maybe it's not. First there was me, I knew it wasn’t working. Then the investors and bankers caught on. We also have what I can proudly say is the beginnings of a very large user community being generated here at People, Ideas & Objects. Maybe the SEC has caught on as I suggested last Friday. This loss of $300 billion is just accounting when you consider the damage that has been done to the commodity markets. How much pain and suffering, and unnecessarily so, has been incurred by the people who work, and used to work, in the oil and gas, and service industries. Add it all up and these bureaucrats really should recieve my respect and more civil tone.
The sad part of this assessment is that this is the destruction that we can account for today. As the bureaucrats strike up the band to motivate the machinery to kick into gear again. There is an emptiness in these actions. Everyone knows all is not well and saying and doing otherwise is not going to fix the problems that are pretty much obvious to everyone. As bad as it is today I think everyone can see things spinning out of control pretty soon. That is certainly what I’m seeing. The oil price can’t hold up with continued overproduction and oversupply. It took a few years for the natural gas price to precipitously fall and break down but once it did, well we know the story. Then the “cash flow” that this capital intensive industry generates, and the bureaucrats currently count on to compensate themselves, will diminish into thin air. Then the bureaucrats who have a long history of cutting and running in other industries will do as much here. What we’re left with is an industry that has experienced this level of destruction, turning steeply downwards, where management has left, and the only thing I can recommend is that we build the Preliminary Specification starting September 25, 2017.
The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.