What Motivates You?

September would be a good time to start development of some software don’t you think? I certainly do. It would provide us with a point in time where everyone’s focus is on getting back to work and getting things done. Summer’s over, the kids are in school and it's a good time to take on those big projects. We certainly qualify there. People, Ideas & Objects are ready to go. That is to say we’ve been ready for a while. Just need the commitment of industry and their cash and we’re off. Implementing our plans for the development of our software will be done as quickly as we can harness the minds of our user community. We’ve been at this user community development for two and half years now and have achieved significant progress based on the facts that we are user community based software development and the structure of our user community.

I’ve been cold calling the CFO’s and CEO’s of the producers to let them know about our plan for profitable energy independence. The lines seem to be dead. I have also reached out to my press contacts and the Internet must be down as well. I’ve never experienced a shutout such as this. Nothing. Zip. I would usually consider, based on these cold calls, that nothing would be done in the month of September. However, my feeling is that something is going on. Producers can’t continue on in the manner that they have. Both commodity markets are destroyed. The capital markets are destroyed. They can’t raise any substantial amount of money to operate their firms. And their firms are hemorrhaging cash at record speed. Time is of the essence. They have no choice, in my opinion, then to act.

The status quo is no longer a viable option. To come up with an idea on how to solve this problem at this time is impossible. Trust me on that, it doesn’t take a lot of money, but it takes a lot of time. Decades. Therefore some new idea is not an option. And the alternative that I’m offering is that the industry could be developing software based on the Preliminary Specification next month. All they need to do is to commit to us and send cash.

Doing so would open a world of opportunities for the producers. Investors and bankers, seeing a viable going concern in the long run, with a plan for significant upside in terms of profitable energy independence on the continent. Would be interested in a profitable producer that’s in that situation. All the producer would have to do would be to commit to us and send cash. Of course they know that we would keep them from sliding back from their commitments and regressing to their old ways. We need them as much as they need us. That probably goes without saying, but I said it anyways.

I’ve been at this for a long time. The number of people that have read the Preliminary Specification are unknown to me at this time. I’m assuming some people must have dozed off along the way. Most people focus on the module that they’re most acquainted with. I think you need to read the entire Preliminary Specification. The number of people who have read this blog over the past ten years, with its monomaniacal discussion of the development of ERP systems for oil and gas producers based on the Joint Operating Committee, is significant. It’s not that I’m invisible. I know the effects of my efforts in terms of promotion in the pre-Internet days when I worked with Oracle and Price Waterhouse. Pushing paper out is wholly inefficient when you compare it to the power of the internet to spread your ideas.

I think potential user community participants should be spit polishing their applications for submission to People, Ideas & Objects. Now you can probably imagine the number of people who said I was crazy over these past few decades. So you need to judge for yourself in terms of our projects viability. But without people telling you you’re crazy, what motivation is there?

The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

This is About Leadership

Winston Churchill once said that you can always count on the Americans to do the right thing. After they’ve tried everything else.

There doesn’t seem to be much discussion coming from the producers regarding plans for the future. It is more of the same with some details of how the producer will survive the next few years. Selling properties seems to be the chosen method of raising cash. It may be the only way to raise any cash in this environment. With most of the proceeds dedicated to paying off the debt that will be coming due in the short term. A reasonable plan until one asks where the money for these asset purchases are going to come from? The old economic principle of supply and demand may create some disparity between prices of the buyer and the seller. This being what is classically called a buyer's market.

The other day I asked why is selling People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specification so difficult. After years of hearing about “market rebalancing” you would have thought resolution of the issue would have been achieved by now. How many trillions of dollars have been wasted by hoping that it’ll work soon. The capital structure of the industry is now destroyed in addition to both commodity markets. Investors and bankers looking at the industry are never going to invest in this place the way it is today. The people who work in oil and gas and the service industry, and those that have been forced out, are questioning their choice of industry to work for. If the industry thought it had resource constraints before, the future looks dismal. Is muddling through really the best way to run the operation?

What we will learn in this next quarter is the myth that is the “strong” and “protected” balance sheets. The ones that were so prized and cherished are really useless and redundant. What good were they then, and what good are they now? Bloated balance sheets are great when you want to take on loads of money from investors and bankers. That would be their primary purpose. The problem with them today is that they account for the legacy costs of spending that occurred over the past decades and now represent the people who want to see something for the money they put into the firm. How does that relate to “strong” and “protectable.”

This isn’t a crisis this is wholesale destruction of the business and the industry. Hoping for change is what politicians sell. Plans are what businesses need to deal with the issues of the day and provide guidance for the future. What is the plan of the producers and the industry today? I don’t see anything because there is nothing. I have the plan that is needed for the industry in the Preliminary Specification. It deals specifically with the overproduction and oversupply issues, and resource constraints in the earth science and engineering disciplines. Setting out the objective of energy independence on the continent. Producers who subscribe to our software development by paying 10% of their subscription fees by August 31, 2016 can state that they have a plan, the Preliminary Specification, to deal with these industry wide problems in their third quarter reports. I’m sure investors and bankers can get behind that.

I started these software developments in 1991. It was different back then, very different. I started in 1992 with a comprehensive joint development agreement with Oracle Corporation. We were to bring a solution to the market that addressed the needs of the oil and gas producers. For a variety of reasons that did not happen. We shifted our developments to Price Waterhouse's PW/SQL product offering in June of 1997. And in October of 1997 we were the odd man out in the Price Waterhouse, Coopers and Lybrand merger. Nonetheless I began these developments early this century and published the proposal for the Preliminary Research Report in August 2003. In May 2004 the Preliminary Research Report, with the conclusion that the Joint Operating Committee was the key organizational construct of the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer was published. I then undertook ten years of research to determine what the producer and industry would need to operate when using the Joint Operating Committee as the key organizational construct. There is a significant amount of history in my attempts to bring this solution to this market. At no time have I ever received any support from industry.

If you think as a producer that the Preliminary Specification isn’t for you then fine. Start with your own idea and plan and we’ll see you in 25 years. The reality is that you can execute within your organization at 100% and still fail due to the collective actions of other producers. This failed business model of muddling along has to be trashed before the industry is trashed.

The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

"This" Will Never End

A short history lesson will have us recall oil prices hitting $26 and the producers banking on “market rebalancing” to clear the situation. Their claim was that the cause of low commodity prices was self correcting and these low prices would quickly lead to higher prices. Then the surge in oil pricing allowed producers to claim that they were profitable at even $30 oil, but when it hit $52, there was no talking to them, all was well. People, Ideas & Objects suggested otherwise and stated that the prices would resume their downward trend in a short period of time. That no producer was profitable at $48. That the cash situation in the industry, with very low and sometimes negative gross margins on production, and the past debt and equity commitments totalling over $200 / barrel. The producers were in a state of denial to state that they were profitable and were in fact in a very desperate cash situation. Now with the second quarter reports we find that the cash situation in the industry is even worse than I thought it would be. Profitability doesn’t exist anywhere except in Exxon and Shell. And there isn’t a hint that “market rebalancing” will take effect soon as oil prices spiral down to $39.

What we have is a business model that is used in the industry that is flawed and broken. Just as in the late 1980’s and 1990’s production by the producers will continue no matter what the situation happens to be. This overproduction and oversupply, as a result of this broken business model, will never end. That was proven in the 1980’s and 1990’s with the depth and length of that downswing in oil prices. Commonly known as the muddling along strategy this business model is the standard operating procedure for all producers. When we add the age of abundance in terms of oil and gas from the shale reservoirs. We have the total destruction of the industry. This issue is resolved in the Preliminary Specification and is available to the industry.

Why do I have such difficulty making the sale with respect to this software development project? It just boggles my mind that I have such heated conversations about such obtuse things. I am not the one that caused this situation. I am the one with the solution, and we have a value proposition in the trillions of dollars. If we continue on in the fashion that we are at this time the investors and bankers will never come back and the industry will fall backwards in terms of its capabilities for decades. We are very close to this happening now. It won’t take too much more destruction to start harming the capabilities that we have come to rely on in the industry. If you haven’t grasped the seriousness of the situation yet. Then there is no use talking to you.

One source of cash that producers have leaned on heavily in these second quarter reports is the expectation that the service industry will fund any field activity. That, to me, in the situation that the oil and gas industry is in, is a despicable act. Another form of cash that is becoming evident in these second quarter reports is the ballooning volume of accounts receivable. Partners are not paying their working interest statements in a timely manner. How many times have we seen a producer start to do this for one or two months before they close the doors. Withholding the net proceeds of the property to the rightful owners of the property, or not paying their working interest distributions are also despicable acts.

But what should we expect. Cash is everything. If you analyze any of the cash generated from operations you will find that the producers did not generate any real cash from the operation itself. Operations, royalties and overheads took all of the money. That doesn’t include the costs of capital, that’s just some of the money that went out the door. Every producer that I have seen have drawn vast amounts of cash from their cash balances, bank lines of credit, or if they have any, asset sales or investors. The consumption of cash is epic. The healthy firms appear to have about a year left of this crisis in terms of cash. Many are at the end of their rope.

Has anyone else noted that the deliverability of oil and gas is down. Yet in both cases of oil and gas the inventories are up and at record levels. This issue of overproduction and oversupply is not going to be remedied in the near term if this is the sixth year in natural gas and the third year for oil. It will take a generation before the overproduction and oversupply is resolved by the existing producers. This is the information which has the investors chompin at the bit! Bankers are swarming the producers with offers on the basis of this knowledge!

We don’t have the time or resources to survive a generation! People, Ideas & Objects have a plan for the industry for the next 25 years that sees the investors and bankers potentially restarting their participation with the producers tomorrow. They will do this if they see a viable plan to achieve energy independence in Canada and the U.S. in oil and gas. First we have to make the existing production profitable. We then have to deal with the long term shortfall of earth science and engineering people. And then we can profitably increase the deliverability on the continent to achieve energy independence. That plan is the Preliminary Specification. Take a week or so to read it. It sure is better than reading these second quarter reports.

The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

The Integrated's Too

The difficulties being experienced in oil and gas are affecting even the large integrated producers. This is a bit of a surprise to most, including me, these firms have their downstream operations to balance out any difficulties that they may experience in the upstream end of the business. The scope of the cash crisis in the upstream end of the oil and gas sector is now dragging down these large integrated operations as well. BP and Chevron even reported multi billion dollar losses for the quarter. It was very interesting to hear what the CEO’s had to say about these reports. Most specifically Shell’s CEO Ben van Beurden stated he “wants to turn Shell into the best oil company for investor returns.” To me that sounds remarkably like our claim that we provide the oil and gas producers with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Which is what our Preliminary Specification does. But it also implies that he understands the impact of our claim in his organization.

Shell, BP, Chevron and Exxon have unquestionably the best assets in the oil and gas business. For that their is no doubt. They also have the best people. They have the scope and scale of operation that provide them with the secure base in which they can invest in their human resources for the long term. Few organizations can approach the situation that way. They also have access to the best forms of financing in the world. Whether that is debt or equity, they have the credit rating and depth of shareholder pool to do what it is they need to do for the next 30 years without much concern for financing. Few companies have achieved this level of success. Yet with all of this they are unable to earn a profit in BP and Chevron’s case and Shell and Exxon’s instances were some of the worst in their history. How could this be? Have they not executed their business plans and strategies effectively?

Simply you could have done all that you could have done in the best organizations in the industry and still been unable to make a go of it in oil and gas. In many ways Shell, BP, Chevron and Exxon have done nothing wrong and everything right. And that could be stated for every other producer in the business. It is the collective work of all of the producers in the industry that is working against each individual producer that is causing the problems. Overproduction as a result of the producers assumption that oil and gas is a scarce resource. Is the predominant thinking that was was necessary in the 20th century. In the 21st century there are new rules that need to be understood. One is that the age of resource abundance is upon us. And it's not enough to own the oil and gas asset, it's also necessary to have access to the software that makes the oil and gas asset profitable.

The understanding that I think Shell’s CEO has of our claim of being the most profitable means of oil and gas operations is that his assets are the best, his people are the best, and his access to capital is the best and therefore he is going to be able to provide investors with a better return than anyone else. And that is the right interpretation of our claim of the most profitability. Just because we provide the most profitable means of oil and gas operations does not guarantee that every producer is going to profitable. They may have profitable production, however it maybe just profitable in comparison to what Shell or some upstart may be able to provide. They may be a poor competitor in terms of the earth science and engineering capabilities or their land and asset base. Their competitive cost structures may be so costly and unproductive it takes their profitable production outside of a profitable commercial enterprise. The point is that profitability is a relative thing. And there will be producers who will not make it in the industry even with the Preliminary Specification operational. However, what we will know when the Preliminary Specification is operational is that all of the industries production was produced profitably and any properties that did not meet their marginal costs were shut-in as a result. Keeping the industry's profits as high as could be by not diluting them with any unprofitable properties producing. That those unprofitable properties shut-in reserves are being saved for a time when they can be produced profitably. And the commodity marketplace is priced at the marginal cost and the investors, producers and consumers are receiving a fair and equitable price in terms of energy.

The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

Civic Holiday

.No posting today

Culture Trumps Strategy

We will never attain energy independence until all production is profitable. Profits must drive the investment that brings about the increase in the continents deliverability. Investors and bankers don’t have enough cash to achieve that goal of energy independence with today's producers. They have run out of money and patience and are on the sidelines. They see the culture of the industry has been to use other people’s money to subsidize the consumers of oil and gas and they are tired of being the other people. A healthy industry, generating real profits will provide a good return for its investors. It will enable the industry to pay back its bankers. And it will generate the funds necessary to expand the industry based on the opportunities that are put before it. That is how healthy industries operate. The way that the oil and gas industry has been managed for these past four decades has not been healthy. It has been unable to do any of these things. And now finds itself with a culture of managing the business with no respect for the business elements.

Put that down as another bold statement stated here for the first time. Add it to my long list of such statements. The war between accountants and engineers has been a classic battle raging on in oil and gas for these past four decades. Engineers, and to a lesser extent geologists, run the show. Those that are good at what they do rise to the top as they should. The business of the oil and gas business is an applied science and there can only be a scientist running the show. I’ve been in the business for 39 years and I can guarantee you that I would run an oil and gas producer into the ground in very short order. I don’t understand engineering. I’d like to understand engineering. It’s a discipline like no other, you either understand it or you don’t.

Which makes the engineer omnipotent in oil and gas. When an accountant raises a point about the inappropriate methods of capitalization policies in the industry. And the engineer knows that the SEC dictates the use of the ones the accountant is criticizing, the accountant only loses more credibility in the eyes of the engineer. Over four decades accountants have lost a lot of credibility in the eyes of the engineers in oil and gas. Mark this up as another disaster brought to us by the inappropriate policies of the SEC.

Profitability can only be achieved when the costs of production are recognized in a timely and appropriate manner. By deferring the costs of capital to the balance sheet for the life of the firm, which is what the SEC model does, you never recognize the real cost of production. Therefore your profits are overstated. In a capital intensive industry they are severely overstated. Making things in the industry appear much healthier than they are. The proof that this was happening was the evidence that the industry never generated any cash. The only cash that the industry ever had was the new money that came in from the investors and the bankers. The culture was that you would always have another share issuance each and every year. You had to in order to keep the doors open. Now the money doesn’t come in and the game is exposed for what it is and the credibility of the industry is shot.

The only way that I can see us moving forward is to adopt the plan that is inherent in the Preliminary Specification. Turn the industry into a profit generator. Real profits, not the funny accounting profits of the SEC. Fix the long term supply issues of the resource base of geologists and engineers and then use that enhanced capability to approach energy independence. In that way we can get out of this situation quickly and effectively. Move to a new basis of operation in the industry. And build for tomorrow.

The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

Timing

We have been discussing the situation in the oil and gas industry and how the Preliminary Specification is able to assist producers at this time. Giving producers the opportunity to address the issues of over production and poor performance. Action by producers to deal with these difficulties may provide the opportunity for the producer to participate once again in the investment and banking communities. Having a plan such as what the Preliminary Specification enables, may provide a foundation for the future in which the investment community can build upon.

It is at this point that People, Ideas & Objects can commence developments of the Preliminary Specification effective September 1, 2016. This will focus on the completion of the development of our user community. Producers who subscribe to these developments by paying their subscription fees before then will be able to state that they are part of this plan to move the industry towards the objective of continental energy independence. The first phase of this plan being the reorganization of the industry towards profitability. By paying 10% of the People, Ideas & Objects subscription fee producers would be able to state they are part of this plan for their third quarter reports. Providing their investors and bankers with the assurance that things are being done to correct the issues in the industry. And potentially opening the market for new investments and loans.

This strategy is being discussed with CEO’s and CFO’s at this time. Cold calling is highly ineffective and producers that find this strategy appealing should call me directly. Time is of the essence and we have much to do. A unique characteristic of the Preliminary Specification is that in order to gain many of the key value attributes is that your working interest partners will need to be on the system as well.

I’m sure we’ll run into everybody's favourite tool in the technical industry, that being the Service Level Agreement. It is important at this point to reiterate that People, Ideas & Objects and our user community do not use Service Level Agreements. Producers who have specific needs in terms of what they want and need in the applications that we are providing them will need to work directly with our user community. People, Ideas & Objects are deaf, dumb and blind to everyone and everything other than our user community. We only build the applications that are as a result of their efforts. Talking to us, or raising your concerns through a Service Level Agreement will not be the method for dealing with your needs. With that in mind it will be my privilege to invoice those producers who do subscribe to our development and participate with our user community.

There is substantial interest in our user community. Those people who are interested are encouraged to complete their applications in a timely fashion. Time is of the essence here as well. In terms of our ability to deliver our systems to our subscribing producers, the user communities development is the impediment in terms of the time that we deliver our product. This is why we have been working for the past two and one half years on the user communities development. It is our priority and the key to the quality of our systems. We are user focused software developments and we are never going to compromise on this priority.

We're here now. Here being the end of the beginning of People, Ideas & Objects. I'm pleased to have been able to bring this opportunity to the industry, the user community, our service providers and anyone else. We can make a big difference in the quality of life of everyone in Canada and the U.S. for many years to come. Energy is critical to our standard of living. And I don't think there’s any more important place to be.

The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

OMG!!!

As they say in texts. My use of the term is in reference to what I'm seeing in these second quarter reports. I thought they would be bad, as I suggested last Friday. However, I think I’m shocked at how bad the situation is. Even well managed companies are being put in jeopardy as a result of this crisis. My analysis of the situation is as follows. And although I could be accused of selling my book, I have been arguing these points for years and the issues are specifically addressed in the Preliminary Specification. This argument has gone on too long and the situation has gone too far.

The source of the issue is the results of inappropriate accounting dictated by the SEC for the past four decades. Specifically Full Cost and Successful Efforts. This accounting has created the appearance of a profitable, well capitalized industry when in reality it never was. This accounting fuelled over investment that has lead to the overproduction that we now have. The industry operated on other people's money and was never sustainable on its own. After four decades it is culturally ingrained within the industry, and these issues were therefore unseen by most. Now that the investors and bankers have ceased their investment activities, and due to the inevitable poor performance, this crisis is now clearly evident.

Cash is truly king. General field operations, in all instances that I saw, consumed cash. In some cases producers relied heavily on the service industry to fund this cash shortfall. Negative working capital has always been the status quo in oil and gas. It therefore wasn't long for it to degrade to disaster proportions when the regular capital injections ended. Another contributing factor to this problem was the diminished role that hedging played in helping the producer through these times. Those hedges at handsome prices have all but expired and now producers are fully exposed to the commodity price declines. In many of the company's, revenues can only be described as evaporating. Losing up to 50% from the first quarter of 2016!

The market for acquisitions and divestitures was very quiet through the quarter. With the lack of cash and available investment that might be understood. It could also be a pricing issue with a purchaser unwilling to pay high prices for an asset that subsequently consumes cash.

Generally field operations were cash neutral at best across the industry. When everything was considered, reported losses were in excess of those reported for the same period in 2015. Which was unquestionably the worst year ever in the industry. Layoff notices, which started with Conoco, may hit fever pitch once there are enough announcements that a producer can hide their announcement in a crowd of layoff notices.

There has been a lot of discussion regarding “protecting” or “strengthening” the balance sheet. These discussions are disingenuous and push the envelope of what is acceptable. My argument, as I stated above, is that accounting for capital assets has caused this problem. Capitalizing every penny you spend and keeping it on the balance sheet for decades is only permitted by the SEC in oil and gas. In other industries the inverse situation, of the firm rarely being able to capitalize any of its costs, is the SEC’s prescribed methodology.

I therefore look at the producer from the point of view that the assets have been bloated over time and are stratospherically overstated. I would also argue that with none of the field operations generating any cash, with all of the producers losing money and with no plans to deal with the situation. We should correct for these by writing off the remaining net balance of property, plant and equipment. Doing so puts the producer in the right context to the situation that the industry is in. This is an accurate reflection of the difficulties that we are faced with, and is acceptable in my opinion. The entire North American continents asset base appears to be unsustainable. Therefore what value other than $0.00 can you assign to it.

“Market rebalancing” has failed as the commodity prices begin to fade from systemic overproduction once again. If producers don't address these issues immediately they will seriously damage their organization. Acting as if all is well is putting lipstick on a pig. Investors and bankers can see what's going on and would be unwilling to front any money to a delusional industry with no plan to solve its real problems. People, Ideas & Objects our user community and the service providers have a plan that deals with these difficulties. Producers need to call me in order that they can subscribe.

The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

What If?

Our “plans” first step toward energy independence on the continent is to turn the current deliverability of oil and gas profitable. That involves producers subscribing to the Preliminary Specification, our user community and the service providers. A somewhat difficult task in that it involves separating people from their money. Money that is in tight supply in the industry. I wonder however, if the industry had “a plan” on how to deal with the industry's difficulties, would that shake the investors and bankers cash free? Would they then begin to invest in the producers seeing that there was some upside possibilities in terms of profitability and increased throughput? People, Ideas & Objects, our user community and service providers “plan” poses an interesting dilemma to the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer.

The status quo isn’t working and it hasn’t displayed any hints that it will begin to work, ever. Recent drawdowns in the oil inventories in the United States appear to be more related to the high driving demand and increased gasoline inventories. Global overproduction appears to be continuing as tankers in Europe are continuing to be filled for temporary storage. Iran’s ability to increase their throughput has been somewhat impressive and they claim to be able to increase their productivity much further. It could be years before the end of the oil price difficulties clear based on the willful destruction of our deliverability. Or as they say in the industry, “market rebalancing.” On the natural gas side, the storage facilities continue to fill and are sitting at record levels. It’s summer so the injections are not that high but they continue to increase by at least 5 bcf per day. Expect to see the storage capacity breached in late September.

Our “plan” provides for the changes that are needed in the industry. Granted I have been particularly abusive to the bureaucrats. That didn’t seem to motivate them to remove me from their blacklist. A list I was put on in August of 2003 when I published the Preliminary Research report identifying the Joint Operating Committee as the key organizational construct of the producer. I admit I have put a few noses out of joint, however the time to work together to fix this situation is upon us. It is this dynamic “relationship” that I would point to and would ask the readers of this blog for some help. If you feel comfortable doing so, please call me and we can work together to have your firm included in the group of producers that are working on the Preliminary Specification.

I would assert that the industry needs People, Ideas & Objects et al in order to move forward. Having a plan is the necessary ingredient to putting some credibility back into the industry in terms of ensuring that the shareholders and debtors will be well taken care of. As it stands I don’t see them changing their minds and coming back into the industry in adequate volumes to make any difference to the current situation. That current situation being the massive drainage of cash that is systemic and unrelenting. Publication of the producers financial statements each quarter will continue to push the investors away if they don’t see any plan to deal with this situation. They won’t volunteer to put any additional money down this sinkhole. And as we have indicated here before the banks have changed the methodology on how they grant loans to oil and gas producers based on the revised guidelines that were issued by the U.S. Fed. They don’t recognize reserves anymore, they only evaluate the ability to pay the loan back. Which means most bankers will never look at an oil and gas producer again.

Time is of the essence. Producers do not have that much cash to continue with operations without having to seriously slash and burn to survive. I think a lifeline will be granted if the industry can show they have “a plan” to become energy independent on the continent. By first becoming profitable, dealing with the resource constraints in the industry and then expanding that deliverability that shale reserves enable. That is how we get out of this. Call me.

The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

What Does Energy Independence Involve

We now have a plan on how to deal with the industry's difficulties. Return the industry to profitability based on the Preliminary Specifications price maker strategy. Deal with the resource constraints of the earth sciences and engineering’s supply in the mid to long run. And then expand the throughput of the industry to achieve the objective of energy independence in both oil and gas in Canada and the U.S. This would involve increasing the oil output of these countries by about 5 million barrels of oil per day. Not an incidental opportunity from the point of view of the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer. The fact that this increased throughput would also need to be profitable makes this a substantial business opportunity for the producer. All of this is achievable through the adoption of the Preliminary Specification by the industry.

The achievement of energy independence on the continent would be an interesting dynamic in terms of the pricing of oil. With our price maker strategy, all of the output of natural gas and oil would be profitable. However, to increase the world supply by 5 million barrels would have an impact, and how that would fit in the marketplace is undetermined, and I think undeterminable at this point in time. The point of achieving energy independence should be to ensure that each and every barrel of oil equivalent is profitable. If a property is not profitable then it should be shut-in and those reserves held for a time when they can be produced profitably. That producer would therefore increase their overall profitability by not diluting their earnings from losses on unprofitable properties. And imports would be used to fulfill the demand as required.

This will be the focus of People, Ideas & Objects, our user community and the service providers. Shale makes this reasonable, attainable and the responsible thing to do. There is however no way we will get to that objective on the basis of how we are operating the industry today. The financial infrastructure has been destroyed and both the investors and bankers are concerned about the health and viability of the industry. And rightly so. There is little to any concern about the situation being discussed in the industry about any solutions to the current dilemma. People within the industry think that it is beyond the scope of the bank's capabilities to begin the management of the industry. The banks will therefore leave it as is.

Is this the acceptable posture of the oil and gas industry. Is it that we are unfocused and unaware of where it is that we are headed? Are we lacking the leadership that is necessary to show us the way? Or is it as I have stated here on many occasions that the bureaucrats don’t care. I’ve been quite harsh on the industries bureaucrats. The things that I have had to do in order to get to this point in time with the Preliminary Specification was very difficult and costly for me. Unnecessarily so. My travels were made as miserable as they could have possibly been, or even than you could imagine, as a result of their actions. But that is in the past and we have an opportunity here and now to move to the higher performance that is necessary in order to achieve the long term objective of energy independence. To do that we need to adopt the Preliminary Specification and I’m not going to let my bitterness stand in the way anymore. My war with the bureaucrats ends here at this point. I really am a nice person. Trust me.

So that is the situation at People, Ideas & Objects. It's a new day with a different outlook. We still provide oil and gas producers with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. But we also have the plan on how to deal with the industry’s difficulties and provide a comprehensive vision leading to energy independence.

The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.