What If?
The status quo isn’t working and it hasn’t displayed any hints that it will begin to work, ever. Recent drawdowns in the oil inventories in the United States appear to be more related to the high driving demand and increased gasoline inventories. Global overproduction appears to be continuing as tankers in Europe are continuing to be filled for temporary storage. Iran’s ability to increase their throughput has been somewhat impressive and they claim to be able to increase their productivity much further. It could be years before the end of the oil price difficulties clear based on the willful destruction of our deliverability. Or as they say in the industry, “market rebalancing.” On the natural gas side, the storage facilities continue to fill and are sitting at record levels. It’s summer so the injections are not that high but they continue to increase by at least 5 bcf per day. Expect to see the storage capacity breached in late September.
Our “plan” provides for the changes that are needed in the industry. Granted I have been particularly abusive to the bureaucrats. That didn’t seem to motivate them to remove me from their blacklist. A list I was put on in August of 2003 when I published the Preliminary Research report identifying the Joint Operating Committee as the key organizational construct of the producer. I admit I have put a few noses out of joint, however the time to work together to fix this situation is upon us. It is this dynamic “relationship” that I would point to and would ask the readers of this blog for some help. If you feel comfortable doing so, please call me and we can work together to have your firm included in the group of producers that are working on the Preliminary Specification.
I would assert that the industry needs People, Ideas & Objects et al in order to move forward. Having a plan is the necessary ingredient to putting some credibility back into the industry in terms of ensuring that the shareholders and debtors will be well taken care of. As it stands I don’t see them changing their minds and coming back into the industry in adequate volumes to make any difference to the current situation. That current situation being the massive drainage of cash that is systemic and unrelenting. Publication of the producers financial statements each quarter will continue to push the investors away if they don’t see any plan to deal with this situation. They won’t volunteer to put any additional money down this sinkhole. And as we have indicated here before the banks have changed the methodology on how they grant loans to oil and gas producers based on the revised guidelines that were issued by the U.S. Fed. They don’t recognize reserves anymore, they only evaluate the ability to pay the loan back. Which means most bankers will never look at an oil and gas producer again.
Time is of the essence. Producers do not have that much cash to continue with operations without having to seriously slash and burn to survive. I think a lifeline will be granted if the industry can show they have “a plan” to become energy independent on the continent. By first becoming profitable, dealing with the resource constraints in the industry and then expanding that deliverability that shale reserves enable. That is how we get out of this. Call me.
The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for North America’s energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.
