The Origins of two Different Perspectives
The strategy of curtailing capital expenditures is an engineering inspired strategy. By reducing the number of wells that are drilled during subsequent years the surplus capacity in the marketplace will be absorbed and prices will rebound to the point where profits will return. This has worked in the past. However, it has taken many years before the changes in prices have been seen. Participation by the producers is not always equal either. Some producers feel it is an opportune time to expand their market share, and as such expand their capital expenditure programs. I have described this strategy as a blunt instrument due its inability to achieve the desired result within a reasonable period of time. In theory we have seen the natural gas producers operating under this scenario for the past six years. The time in which natural gas prices have collapsed from their traditional 6 to 1 pricing to the current 20 to 1 in comparison to oil. If the strategy was valid it would have worked by now.
The origins of the Preliminary Specifications decentralized production model are more from the business side. In that profits are what dictate production. And profits are what drive the investment in producers. If producers are not profitable, in theory, why would an investor continue to participate in the producer. Therefore the producer would cease to operate in the marketplace. Production discipline is therefore imputed through the market mechanism that only production that is profitable is produced. Producers that adhere to that principle will receive a welcome response from the investment capital markets.
Engineers and geologists have been the operational and executive members at the helm of the oil and gas industry for the better part of its history. The business is a science and that is the way that it should be operated. However, in terms of the production output of the industry it needs to be profitable. Its not a science experiment, its a business. And the business needs to generate economic value. Something that has been lost in the day to day mindset of the industry. This is evident in the activities of the current “must have” asset. Today its shale. Yesterday it was heavy oil. Before that it was SAGD. And before that it was… whatever. Today producers have to employ production discipline in order to bring this science experiment into the commercial realm.
The accounting I think has been at fault. I think People, Ideas & Objects developed out of the need to address the shortfall in the accounting and systems in the industry. My hypothesis is that in the 1960’s when computers were introduced, accountants asked themselves what they’d be used for. The accounting, tax, royalties and compliance requirements were the natural needs. This continued for a few decades and the isolation of working on those topics created a separation between the compliance and governance of the firm, which has become the exclusive domain of the current accounting function, and the business of the business. By reintroducing the Joint Operating Committee as we are in the Preliminary Specification. We are moving the compliance and governance frameworks of the hierarchy into alignment with the legal, financial, operational decision making, cultural, communication, innovation and strategic frameworks of the Joint Operating Committee. Once we complete this alignment then we achieve the speed, innovativeness, accountability and profitability that we desire in our organizations. This clarity in accounting will provide the engineering and geological resources with the ability to better understand the business that they operate. Allowing them to compete in the profitable oil and gas industry.
The Preliminary Specification and user community provides the oil and gas producer with the most dynamic, innovative and profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don't forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.
