The AFE
As with any interface in the Preliminary Specification the user has the opportunity to right click on an item and pull up a menu item called “Create an AFE.” The system will have intelligence and be able to populate elements of an AFE template with the information that you right clicked from. For the purposes of this scenario, lets suggest that you clicked on a well description. The system will then populate the AFE with the information for that well and the partners that are in that Joint Operating Committee. The suggestion was made that another lateral and fracing job be done to increase the production from the shale gas zone. And you populate the AFE with the appropriate account codes that would be used to account for the costs. Note: due to the extensive work done in the Preliminary Specification it should be anticipated that the industry would have access to a global chart of accounts. Budgeted costs were worked out with a number of vendors that you were working with who have developed some enhancements to the re-entry and fracing of multi-lateral wells. You think these are significant innovations and the costs make it a potentially valuable enhancement to the wells production profile.
To present the AFE to the partners you have asked them to join you in the “Marketplace Interface” at the vendor's facility to view a presentation of their new tool. All having confirmed their attendance. At the end of the presentation you digitally sign the AFE which releases the document to the other partners. (All with the data elements that are consistent with their data naming conventions. Global AFE #’s, account #’s, etc.) You indicate the cost estimates and time frame that this can be done to the one well, the poorest performer in the facility. You also submit the engineering and geological analysis of why you think the formation will perform well to the work that is proposed.
Within the AFE document itself there is a collaborative interface for the partners to discuss issues and opportunities related to the document. During the month this discussion focused on how the existing lateral could be protected from any damage during the drilling and fracing of the second lateral. Several partners expressed concern that the program did not do enough to ensure that no damage occurred so a supplemental was raised. After the supplemental there seemed to be a consensus amongst the members of the Joint Operating Committee that the risk was certainly worth the effort and the AFE was digitally signed by all the participants.
During the collaboration it was determined who was available from the producer firms to work on the project and a team was set up to manage the engineering and geological aspects of the program. These peoples time, as well as the accounts for the vendors for that AFE were now able to accept the charges for them. Cost overruns were not expected as an arrangement with the vendor for a fixed price was agreed.
This is a simple scenario of how the firm will raise an AFE and have the members of a Joint Operating Committee approve / disapprove of it. In larger firms there would be an automated routing of the document to the various internal departments for approval. This could be done simultaneously as multiple people can be reading one electronic document at the same time. Therefore accounting, production and exploration could each be approving the AFE all on the same day with none of the paper shuffling that normally goes on. Even within each department the various people who need to see and sign off on the information can do so at any time.
This routing of the document will of course be conducted at each of the producers who are party to the Joint Operating Committees. Each also having access to the collaborative interface of the AFE document between the partners.
In this discussion I want to clarify some of the similarities and differences between the AFE and Work Order in the Partnership Accounting module of the Preliminary Specification. And to point out an important difference in the People, Ideas & Objects systems documents that is different than those that operate today.
Another aspect of how both the Work Order and AFE are different in the People, Ideas & Objects system in comparison to other systems that exist today is the manner in which documents are stored. Everyone is familiar with multiple copies of files that have been edited by different people. A disappointing and troubling problem when it comes to electronic files, a disaster when it comes to documents. No one can have different electronic versions of a document. Therefore there can only be one copy of the document that is used by everyone. (Exclusions for backup etc.) Since its electronic, multiple people can be using the same document at the same time.
The best example of a system that uses this exact manner of file management is Google Docs. Where users have access to a list of files in which they or others they grant access to can edit the same file. Any conflicts in the editing of those files are resolved by the users while editing and the file stays as one complete edited file at all times. There is no need for someone to take edits from many files and put them into one file as is the case with Microsoft Word or Excel.
Instead of files People, Ideas & Objects will present the user with documents like AFE’s and Accounting Vouchers that they have authorized access to. They and others will have the ability to view, edit and delete based on their authorization level and be assured that only those documents exist. No other more advanced copies, or copies that are less advanced, are being worked on. The amount of time and energy that will be saved in knowing that just one document exists is not only satisfying but highly productive.
We have discussed many times that the People, Ideas & Objects application modules are moving the compliance and governance frameworks of the hierarchy into alignment with the legal, financial, operational decision making, cultural, communication, innovation and strategic frameworks of the Joint Operating Committee. By doing so we are recognizing and adopting the culture of the industry in its many forms. The change that we are exercising is the removal of the bureaucracy. When it comes to the AFE process there is little in the current process used by companies that is not representative of the culture of the industry. It is optimal that People, Ideas & Objects and the user communities capture that culture in these software developments when developing the AFE process.
One area that we will provide an enhancement to the AFE process is through the elimination of the “operator” designation. People, Ideas & Objects operates on the concept of a pooling of the resources of the partnership represented in the Joint Operating Committee. This is done to help mitigate the technical resource shortfalls, particularly in the earth science and engineering areas. As a result of this pooling an AFE will be open to any one of the participants in a Joint Operating Committee to post charges to. Those charges could be for their staff who are working on the project or for costs they incurred on behalf of the project.
With each producer potentially contributing unequal shares to the joint account or AFE during a month, or over the course of an AFE’s term. The possibility that an over or under contribution of their participation might occur. Therefore monthly equalization's will need to be a necessary part of the reconciliation of the accounts of the AFE. For example, if one of the partners was to pay for the drilling day rate, and their working interest share was only fifteen percent, then they would have paid in excess of fifteen percent of the budgeted AFE. In a case such as this, the producer should be compensated to the point where their contribution does not exceed the approved budgeted amount.
All of this is consistent with the culture of the industry as it operates today. What we are proposing is aligning this culture within the Joint Operating Committee with the other eight frameworks. We are not resisting this well ingrained highly functioning “inertia” as Professor Langlois would call it.
Inertia is the focus of this paper. As is explained in more detail below, inertia has two major functions in the cycle of punctuated equilibrium. Inertia result from, and in a sense embodies, the best feature of the stable phase of the cycle because it is based on the learning process in which producers determine which procedures are most efficient and effective. Once people are satisfied that the know how to do things well, they have very little incentive to look for or adopt new methods. In the words of Tushman and Romanelli (1985, pp. 197, 205), "those same social and structural factors which are associated with effective performance are also the foundations of organizational inertia..., success sows the seeds of extraordinary resistance to fundamental change." Inertia also provides the tension, however, that leads to the (relatively) short, sharp shock of the revolutionary period (Gould, 1983, p. 153) because the pressure required to displace a successful but inert system is considerable and takes time to accumulate. When there is little inertia, change can be assimilated in a gradual and orderly fashion, but an entrenched system may need to be vigorously displaced. p. 3
I began with a discussion of the culture of the industry and how the inertia of the industries routines and capabilities made for formidable obstacles to change. Thankfully we are not focusing on changing any of the cultural inertia in the oil and gas industry. We are trying to change the bureaucracies and the systems to recognize the routines, capabilities and inertia of the Joint Operating Committee. This does however require the retirement or fading of the bureaucracy in its current form.
And institutional change, we argue, can often take place through the more or less slow dying out of obsolete institutions in a population and their replacement by better-adapted institutions - rather than by the conscious adaptation of existing institutions in the face of change. p. 6
Thankfully the bureaucracy does not sustain its own inertia. It is a forced or contrived existence that serves the purposes of a few within the organization, and these needs can be replaced by the Joint Operating Committee. I’m thinking of the command and control, budget and finance functions. What we have said we are doing with the Preliminary Specification is moving to the natural form of organization of the oil and gas industry, the Joint Operating Committee. I don’t foresee difficulties in making the transition from the bureaucracies forced ways to the more natural way of doing things with the Joint Operating Committee.
Another aspect of capabilities that has recently received a great deal of attention is organizational culture. In practice, not all organizations may be equally able to cope with change, as existing patterns of behavior involving both executives and subordinates may be resistant to change. Organizations develop collective habits or ways of thinking that can be altered only gradually. To the extent that a given culture is either flexible or consistent with a proposed change in product or process technology, the transition to the new regime will be relatively easy. If, however, the culture is incompatible with the needs posed by the change and is inflexible, the viability of the change will be threatened (Robertson, 1990; Langlois 1991; Camerer and Vepsalainen, 1988). p. 9
And the proposition that this transition will occur has been threatened by the bureaucracy. They hold the budget and have exercised it in not providing any funding towards People, Ideas & Objects. In this fashion the bureaucracy has been self-serving and looking after its own interests and has abandoned the future of the industry. What will the situation be like in five or ten years. Will their ways still be the methods in which the industry functions? What if they fail?
Teece... fails to note that the inflexibility, or inertia, induced by routines and the capabilities that they generate can raise to prohibitive levels the cost of adopting a new technology or entering new fields. Such inertia can develop to the extent that existing rules are both hard to discard and inconsistent with types of change that might otherwise be profitable. p. 10
McKinsey Consulting suggest that large populations will be joining the middle class in the next 20 years. This will have a dramatic effect on the levels of demand for energy. If the oil and gas industry fails to respond to these demands due to the bureaucracies lethargic ways, will anyone note that there were alternatives proposed?
Whereas major competence enhancing innovations may, in time, be assimilated, the creation of entirely new organizations may be needed to deal with innovations that undermine the capabilities or competencies of existing firms. p. 11
The Preliminary Specification provides the oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy.