The Preliminary Specification Part CLVIII (C&G Part XV)
In today’s post we want to continue with our discussion of the corporate governance over the uncertainty of the innovation process. And how good governance will seek to moderate the investments in innovation and attempt to make it a routine aspect of the firms activities. We have noted that innovation is a quantifiable and replicable process, it is however, anything but routine. At the same time I want to reiterate that innovation and good governance are not mutually exclusive. And with that jumble of contradictions lets begin.
Writing the Preliminary Specification is an innovation that People, Ideas & Objects is undertaking. It is something that is significant and will happen only once. It is not something that will happen every day and is unusual for it to be undertaken. These are the characteristics of innovation. When a firm undertakes to do something innovative it is usually something that is new and significant to their firm. It involves some risk and imputes a high level of uncertainty. Professor Giovanni Dosi notes.
However, even in the case of “normal” technical search (as opposed to the “extraordinary” exploration associated with the quest for new paradigms) strong uncertainty is present. Even when the fundamental knowledge base and the expected directions of advance are fairly well known, it is still often the case that one must first engage in exploratory research, development, and design before knowing what the outcome will be (what the properties of a new chemical compound will be, what an effective design will look like, etc.) and what some manageable results will cost, or, indeed, whether very useful results will emerge. p. 1135
Unfortunately this is the state of the oil and gas business as it stands today. That every well drilled is literally the result of someones theory as to what the existence of oil and gas is. Certainly anything classified as exploratory, and much of the development work, would meet this criteria of being innovative.
As a result, firms tend to work with relatively general and event-independent routines (with rules of the kind “... spend x% of sales on R & D,” ... distribute your research activity between basic research, risky projects, incremental innovations according to some routine shares ...” and sometimes meta-rules of the kind “with high interest rates or low profits cut basic research,” etc.). This finding is corroborated by ample managerial evidence and also by recent more rigorous econometric tests; see Griliches and Ariel Pakes (1986) who find that “the pattern of R & D investment within a firm is essentially a random walk with a relatively low error variance” (pp. 10 - 11).
Going back to the example of People, Ideas & Objects. Writing the Preliminary Specification is not routine, however, it is in a long line of routine research and development projects that have been undertaken to explore the development of user driven software for the innovative oil and gas producers, based on using the Joint Operating Committee.
In this sense, Schumpeter’s hypothesis about the routinization of innovation (Joseph Schumpeter 1942) and the persistence of innovation-related uncertainty must not be in conflict but may well complement each other. As suggested by the “late” Schumpeter, one may conjecture that large-scale corporate research has become the prevailing form of organization of innovation because it is most effective in exploiting and internalizing the tacit and cumulative feature of technological knowledge (Mowery 1980; Pavitt 1986). Moreover, companies tend to adopt steady policies (rules), because they face complex and unpredictable environments where they cannot forecast future states of the world, or even “map” notional events into actions, and outcomes (Dosi and Orsenigo 1986; Heiner 1983, 1988). Internalized corporate search exploits the cumulativeness and complexity of technological knowledge. Together with steady rules, firms try to reduce the uncertainty of innovative search, without however, eliminating it. pp. 1134 - 1135
This is where corporate governance does not necessarily conflict with innovation. Priorities and budgets need to be set and established. A corporate focus has to be imposed. That is what a good corporate governance model will provide the innovative oil and gas producer. Otherwise the firms pursuit would be an out of control science experiment. I think with the governance mechanisms that have been mentioned to date, the “Research Budget Allocation Interface” and the Military Command & Control Metaphor provide the beginnings of good governance. We’ll continue on with our discussion here, however, I want to stress again that the user communities input into the Preliminary Specification will be able to provide substantial value in this area.
For the industry to successfully provide for the consumers energy demands, it’s necessary to build the systems that identify and support the Joint Operating Committee. Building the Preliminary Specification is the focus of People, Ideas & Objects. Producers are encouraged to contact me in order to support our Revenue Model and begin their participation in these communities. Those individuals that are interested in joining People, Ideas & Objects can join me here and begin building the software necessary for the successful and innovative oil and gas industry.
Please note what Google+ provides us is the opportunity to prove that People, Ideas & Objects are committed to developing this community. That this is user developed software, not change that is driven from the top down. Join me on the People, Ideas & Objects Google+ Circle and begin building the community for the development of the Preliminary Specification.