The Preliminary Specification Part LXI (FM Part VII)
I just want to take a moment to reiterate the Preliminary Specification series that I am publishing over these next few quarters is designed to initiate the process for the community. Earlier on it was thought that the community would be able to use the Draft Specification and the research that was contained within the blog. However, I think that by producing this series it is more organized and easier for the community to get a handle on the complexity of the processes and functionality of the modules. I think with this series, the Draft Specification and research the community will be able to get a solid start on the Preliminary Specification when it begins.
In today’s post I want to discuss one of the key differences that is occurring during the transition from the easy era of energy development to the current more difficult energy era. In the Preliminary Research Report I was critical of a what I called a banking mentality in the investment attitudes in oil and gas. Where, similar to a bank, one could invest your money in oil and gas and expect an annual 10% return on somewhat of a guaranteed basis. This banking mentality had arisen, I suggested, as a result of the poor energy prices in the 1980’s and other difficulties in the business in the early 1990’s.
Now some may think that I am contradicting myself from yesterday’s post by stating that this banking mentality is only the market dictating an expected return. I would suggest the two are different. Investing only to participate in the types of returns that a bank is able to compete with imputes that the industry has no risk profile. That everything is invested for the expected cash flow that will provide for the return on a proven basis. This is how the industry was run, with essentially no risks taken. Looking at the heads of successful oil and gas companies found financial people, lawyers and accountants as CEO’s. People who could relate to the commercial end of the business and deliver on the promised returns. Engineers and geologists toiled in obscurity.
Contrast this to the times of the 1960’s and some of the 1970’s when the industry was actively exploring for new fields. Investments were being made for the purposes of the long term prospects of the firm. The cash flows of the firm were worked on, however, the prospecting was the key to the future. I see today, in this difficult energy era, as being more similar in terms of investment attitude to the 1960’s and 1970’s time then the 1980’s and 1990’s. An era that is based on the earth science and engineering capabilities of the producer and what can be done in terms of discovery, and the production of reserves. A time when the engineering and geological minds were running the firm, and the accountants, finance and lawyers were in their designated support roles.
The bureaucracy that brought you the banking returns of the 1990’s are still running the show today. (Lawyers are a sticky bunch.) For them to become the team that will discover and produce the energy in this new earth science and engineering focused era can’t happen. There is no such metamorphosis. Until such time as the engineers and earth scientists move to control the firms and establish themselves in full control of the firms will this transition be complete. And we might only be at the beginning of this trend. Although I have seen a number of geologists as CFO’s, a trend that I think is very positive.
In terms of the Financial Marketplace module, as an investor, I want to know who has the best team and the best capability in terms of their earth science and engineering talents. In terms of how that potentially, as an investor, can make me money is significant. These geological and engineering teams potential to find large volumes of oil and gas reserves, and have those values realized overnight is of significant interest to me, as an investor. It is therefore necessary I think that the producers have some ability to promote their exploration and development team, prospects, capabilities and opportunities in the Financial Marketplace module, subject to regulatory compliance of course.
For the industry to successfully provide for the consumers energy demands, it’s necessary to build the systems that identify and support the Joint Operating Committee. Building the Preliminary Specification is the focus of People, Ideas & Objects. Producers are encouraged to contact me in order to support our Revenue Model and begin their participation in these communities. Those individuals that are interested in joining People, Ideas & Objects can join me here and begin building the software necessary for the successful and innovative oil and gas industry.
Please note what Google+ provides us is the opportunity to prove that People, Ideas & Objects are committed to developing this community. That this is user developed software, not change that is driven from the top down. Join me on the People, Ideas & Objects Google+ Circle and begin building the community for the development of the Preliminary Specification.