Summary of our Budget Discussions

So ends our quick discussion on some of the points of our budget. Large in size though our budget may be, I think we can all agree that the scope and scale of the People, Ideas & Objects (PI&O) application, along with the need for that application in the marketplace, are needed today. Anyone proposing to build an application that begins to solve the problems that the industry faces will need to address the budget requirements that are of this scale.

People, Ideas & Objects have proposed a reasonable Revenue Model to raise the financial resources to meet these budget requirements. It is a fair and equitable model that provides benefits to those that participate early. After all early participation is where the real benefits lay.

We have shown how the copyright has the ability to ensure success of this project by ensuring that there will be no knock-off software developments siphoning financial resources off of this development. That the copyright enables the industry to focus all of its resources on this one software development and ensure that it is a highly engineered and focused on delivering a successful application.

How unique attributes of geographic regions, like Canadian royalty and oil sands requirements, can still be handled through the Preliminary Specification. That large software development costs for unique areas does not necessarily preclude producers from participating in the PI&O software development activities.

People, Ideas & Objects have benefited from the maturation in Information Technology and will continue to do so. The revolution in development tools and methodologies have brought our cost estimates in line with what is possible, our delivery times into the realm of truly surprising and the quality of our deliverables into the surreal. We stand at a very important point in time.

Lastly the time is now for the community to form and begin the Preliminary Specification. Our time-lines, start and finish dates depend on securing our budget for the Preliminary Specification. We have budgeted $100 million for this task and expect that the community will have significant influence in the determination of their time-lines. More patience is what is needed, but the time for everyone to act is now.

For the industry to successfully provide for the consumers energy demands, it’s necessary to build the systems that identify and support the Joint Operating Committee. Building the Preliminary Specification is the focus of People, Ideas & Objects. Producers are encouraged to contact me in order to support our Revenue Model and begin their participation in these communities. Those individuals that are interested in joining People, Ideas & Objects can join me here and begin building the software necessary for the successful and innovative oil and gas industry.

Please note what Google+ provides us is the opportunity to prove that People, Ideas & Objects are committed to developing this community. That this is user developed software, not change that is driven from the top down. Join me on the People, Ideas & Objects Google+ Circle and begin building the community for the development of the Preliminary Specification. Email me here if you need an invite.

Time-lines, Start and Finish Dates

Time-line's, start and finish dates are things that we can only dream about now, but are still something that should be discussed. None of these things can begin until the money has been secured. And as of today we have received no commitments from industry whatsoever. This software development project will not be funded on a pay as you go basis. Each of the next three phases of the development will need to have the commitments from industry secured before each phase of development begins.

It is at this time that I do not have the resources to even begin the campaigning to raise the money for the Preliminary Specification. So if there is a producer that wants to begin this process, please step up. Any support would be appreciated.

How long will the Preliminary Specification take. There is no time limit set at this time for the community to complete the Preliminary Specification. It is something that will need to take the input of the necessary parties to gather and codify the work of thousands of people. Removing duplications and ensuring complete coverage will require many eyeballs. And that is not something that can be completed based on a deadline that I can specify at this time. Nor will I be the one to specify the deadline.

One thing for certain is that the Preliminary Specification can’t be rushed. It will take the time for people to think what it is that they want and need in their applications. The Draft Specification provides an overall vision or beginning, but there is so much more that is possible when people get together.

For the industry to successfully provide for the consumers energy demands, it’s necessary to build the systems that identify and support the Joint Operating Committee. Building the Preliminary Specification is the focus of People, Ideas & Objects. Producers are encouraged to contact me in order to support our Revenue Model and begin their participation in these communities. Those individuals that are interested in joining People, Ideas & Objects can join me here and begin building the software necessary for the successful and innovative oil and gas industry.

Please note what Google+ provides us is the opportunity to prove that People, Ideas & Objects are committed to developing this community. That this is user developed software, not change that is driven from the top down. Join me on the People, Ideas & Objects Google+ Circle and begin building the community for the development of the Preliminary Specification. Email me here if you need an invite.

McKinsey on Governing Joint Ventures

As I promised yesterday, this McKinsey article on governing joint ventures has to reside in any one's top ten list of favorites. The work that we are doing in People, Ideas & Objects (PI&O) is moving the compliance and governance frameworks of the hierarchy into alignment with the Joint Operating Committee’s legal, financial, operational decision making, cultural, communication, innovation and strategic frameworks. To do so provides us with greater speed and accountability from an organizational point of view. This has been difficult to tangibly quantify and qualify. That is until this McKinsey article.

Comparing the governance of both the standard corporate model and a generic joint venture. McKinsey provides a strong contrast of the opportunities and issues that we face in aligning the innovative oil and gas producers nine frameworks under the PI&O software. Noting in the paper that we not only attain greater speed and accountability but;

Despite the differences between wholly owned businesses and joint ventures, many of the basic tenets of good corporate governance can—and should—be applied to both. The principles discussed here might be seen as the minimum needed to promote accountability, speed, transparency, and, ultimately, performance.

The article recommends specific actions be taken to enhance the governance of joint ventures. These include;

• Appoint at least one outside director.
• Designate lead directors or a strong chairperson.
• Review and reward the performance of board members.
• Sponsor an external audit.
• Create a real challenge process. (Rigorous reporting and review process.)
• Let the ventures CEO run the business.

These are all excellent points of discussion on how the governance of the Joint Operating Committee could be handled in the Preliminary Specification. The community will need to take recommendations like these and determine what specific actions and processes need to be included in the specification. I could see the governance model being somewhat of a checklist of functionality and process management that the partners could agree upon. The PI&O software then providing that level of governance for the JOC. These are the decisions that the community has to make and why the producers are such a critical part of the discussion.

For the industry to successfully provide for the consumers energy demands, it’s necessary to build the systems that identify and support the Joint Operating Committee. Building the Preliminary Specification is the focus of People, Ideas & Objects. Producers are encouraged to contact me in order to support our Revenue Model and begin their participation in these communities. Those individuals that are interested in joining People, Ideas & Objects can join me here and begin building the software necessary for the successful and innovative oil and gas industry.

Please note what Google+ provides us is the opportunity to prove that People, Ideas & Objects are committed to developing this community. That this is user developed software, not change that is driven from the top down. Join me on the People, Ideas & Objects Google+ Circle and begin building the community for the development of the Preliminary Specification. Email me here if you need an invite.

Comments From Shell's CEO Peter Voser

The Financial Times were reporting on Shell’s quarterly earnings which were robust to say the least. They noted a comment from Shell’s CEO Peter Voser that I found resonates with the work that we are doing here at People, Ideas and Objects.

The time of low-cost oil and gas is at an end and the world is entering a stage where finding resources will be more “complex” and require more money and investment, according to the head of Europe’s biggest oil company. 

Peter Voser, chief executive of Royal Dutch Shell, said the longer-term trend was for higher costs. “In the longer-term, you will clearly need higher oil and gas prices, or energy prices.”

I believe the transition from the low cost era to this new “complex” era is a fundamental change in the oil and gas business. One that requires we reorganize to focus our efforts on the difficult aspects of finding and producing oil and gas. This change demands that we look at the business and determine the best way in which to organize it for this new challenge. To suggest that the ways and means that provided profitable operations during the low cost era will serve us during the complex era is incorrect.

People, Ideas & Objects suggests we build the systems that identify and support the industry standard Joint Operating Committee. By doing so we are able to align the hierarchies compliance and governance frameworks with the legal, financial, operational decision making, cultural, communication, innovation and strategic frameworks of the Joint Operating Committee. This alignment provides an enhanced speed, accountability and innovativeness that is necessary in this new “complex” oil and gas era.

Building the Preliminary Specification is the focus of People, Ideas & Objects. Producers are encouraged to contact me in order to support our Revenue Model and begin their participation in these communities. Those individuals that are interested in joining People, Ideas & Objects can join me here and begin building the software necessary for the successful and innovative oil and gas industry.

Please note what Google+ provides us is the opportunity to prove that People, Ideas & Objects are committed to developing this community. That this is user developed software, not change that is driven from the top down. Join me on the People, Ideas & Objects Google+ Circle and begin building the community for the development of the Preliminary Specification. Email me here if you need an invite.

Budgets, Technology and Leverage

In businesses such as People, Ideas & Objects we have three main risk categories to deal with. We have financial, market and technical risks that must be addressed in order to succeed. This post is going to briefly address some of the technical risk that we face and how that risk impacts our budget needs. Embarking on a multi-billion dollar project without addressing these technical risks would be like bungee-jumping without the rope.

Firstly we should point out a decision that we made a few years ago that mitigates much of our technical risk. That is, the use of Oracle Fusion as the base ERP application at the core of People, Ideas & Objects (PI&O) applications. Our products will be built on Oracle's RDBMS, Java and Fusion Middleware which provide us with further ability to mitigate our technical risk by using best of breed in those product categories. The costs of these Oracle products are incremental to the software development budget we have been discussing in this and recent posts.

People, Ideas & Objects is based on a Technical Vision that uses existing technologies in ways that the oil and gas industry will need to implement them. One that sees technology being ubiquitous, always on, secure, asynchronous and dynamic. An environment where the oil and gas industry is supported by a software development capability in addition to the People, Ideas & Objects applications that will be provided. This environment has to be purpose built and that is what PI&O is setting out to do. The technical risks of bringing this environment to the producers that subscribe to this community are mitigated through the ability of controlling the various technical, financial and market risks through the Intellectual Property that holds these disparate parts together.

At the same time we are not pushing the technical envelope. All of the technologies and their proposed deployment are proven time and again capable of the job that we are asking of them. There is a maturation of the technologies in the past ten years that provides an assurance that they are up to the task. I also expect that in the next ten years they will continue to provide greater levels of confidence and assurance of their capabilities.

What can only be described as a revolution in development tools and methodologies has occurred in the past decade. These tools and methodologies have reduced the time and budget requirements of software development projects, while at the same time increased the quality of the deliverables. People, Ideas & Objects have adopted these tools and methodologies and will implement them to reduce the time required for developments, the budget for developments and increase the quality of our developments. Ten years ago when compilers had to be purchased for several thousands of dollars per developer; have now been replaced by free IDE’s that exponentially accelerate the developers productivity. Methodologies who’s user focus is a religion. And build on frameworks and middleware (like Oracle Fusion Middleware) that provide an architecture and building block of work already done. Developers today are far more productive which reduces our risk.

Our approach to developments also mitigates much of the technical risks associated with a project of this size and type. The Draft Specifications use of the Joint Operating Committee imputes a scope of operations that involves the entire producer firm. Little of the unique characteristics of the applications Marketplaces and MCCM exist in current legacy systems. Therefore we are limiting the involvement of legacy system requirements to data only. As such we are unconstrained by existing requirements of systems limitations based on prior technologies. Ours is more of an engineering approach of identifying and resolving problems.

Transitions, accounting integrations, training, and the variety of tasks related to software’s use are not part of People, Ideas & Objects business model. We are focused on software development. We defer the remaining businesses and opportunities to the Community of Independent Service Providers to fulfill the needs of the producers in these areas. This is the only reasonable means in which to approach the hands-on and large scale necessary to complete these activities.

It is these opportunities that I see mitigating the technical risks that we face in this software development project. Although our budget is large, it would have been impossible only a few short years ago. The technologies are sound and capable, ready to carry the load. We have only our imaginations holding us back in terms of how this industry could be managed more efficiently.

For the industry to successfully provide for the consumers energy demands, it’s necessary to build the systems that identify and support the Joint Operating Committee. Building the Preliminary Specification is the focus of People, Ideas & Objects. Producers are encouraged to contact me in order to support our Revenue Model and begin their participation in these communities. Those individuals that are interested in joining People, Ideas & Objects can join me here and begin building the software necessary for the successful and innovative oil and gas industry.

Please note what Google+ provides us is the opportunity to prove that People, Ideas & Objects are committed to developing this community. That this is user developed software, not change that is driven from the top down. Join me on the People, Ideas & Objects Google+ Circle and begin building the community for the development of the Preliminary Specification. Email me here if you need an invite.

Budgets and Canadians

I’ve titled this post “Budget and Canadians” because it is the best example of this unique budget situation that I can highlight. The situation may occur in other jurisdictions, I an not aware of any other specific cases, and those cases will be a determination of the community through the development of the Preliminary Specification. This specific Canadian situation is something that I am intimately aware of and generally am able to predict the outcome of what will happen. Therefore I am writing about what I know and am reasonably sure what the community will decide in developing the Preliminary Specification.

There are two unique development requirements that are required for the Canadian marketplace. The first is a unique royalty regime and the second is the oil-sands developments. If we assume these two unique software developments cost in the area of ~ $100 million. And the Canadian marketplace produces approximately ~ 3.5 million barrels of oil per day. As a result of these facts, when the time comes for the community to decide the geographic scope of the People, Ideas & Objects application (a deliverable of the Preliminary Specification) Canada’s unique development needs will be an issue that needs to be resolved.

Looking at the issue critically from the communities point of view. $100 million in development costs divided by 3.5 million barrels per day is $28.57 / boe of a subsidy that Canadian producers would receive from the general development “pool” in order to meet these unique Canadian software development needs.

What I think needs to happen is the Canadian producers need to pay the basic fees that all producers are assessed in order to participate in the community. Then in order to ensure that the decision is made to include Canada as part of the geographical scope of the People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specification. Pay the additional $100 million in additional software development costs allocated over the base of subscribing Canadian producers. That is the Canadian producers, assuming you could achieve 100% subscription rates, would provide an additional $28.57 per barrel of oil equivalent in additional fees to offset these unique Canadian development costs.

Another alternative would be for Canadian producers to discuss with the Alberta and other governments to fund the costs of their unique royalty requirements. I have had discussions with the Alberta government on this point and I wish the industry luck in this endeavour.

It may be considered unreasonable for the community to undertake the unique development costs of any jurisdiction during the Preliminary Specification. As we can see these costs skew the total development costs materially, and as such will need to be addressed separately. I believe jurisdictions like Canada need to address this point prior to subscribing to the Preliminary Specification and have the commitments in hand to fund the unique development costs before they begin their participation. Otherwise they may be surprised at the decisions regarding the geographic scope of the application by the community.

For the industry to successfully provide for the consumers energy demands, it’s necessary to build the systems that identify and support the Joint Operating Committee. Building the Preliminary Specification is the focus of People, Ideas & Objects. Producers are encouraged to contact me in order to support our Revenue Model and begin their participation in these communities. Those individuals that are interested in joining People, Ideas & Objects can join me here and begin building the software necessary for the successful and innovative oil and gas industry.

Please note what Google+ provides us is the opportunity to prove that People, Ideas & Objects are committed to developing this community. That this is user developed software, not change that is driven from the top down. Join me on the People, Ideas & Objects Google+ Circle and begin building the community for the development of the Preliminary Specification. Email me here if you need an invite.

Budgets, Fees and Penalties

Part of our fee structure may not be obvious to most producers on first glance. People, Ideas & Objects Draft Specification was completed in 2008 and the majority of the discussion around its use was conducted in 2009 and the first half of 2010. It was at that point in 2010 that we determined the developments off the Draft Specification were ready to commence. And therefore, started the “clock ticking” at that time, January 1, 2010.

One of the fundamental aspects of our revenue model is that we don’t become “blind sleep walking agents of whom ever will feed us”. Systems development can be easily controlled by closing off the budget during critical points in the development. With an application such as People, Ideas & Objects we need a Revenue Model that deals with this reality and provides us with a means to control the development by controlling the means of production, or budget. Review of the discussion of the Revenue Model will help to provide a better understanding of our point of view.

By starting the clock ticking on January 1, 2010 we have begun “controlling the means of production” by raising the budget for developments. Although the point in time when we have generated revenues has not yet happened. We have pending revenues from the industry when the time comes that the overall proposed solution becomes compelling enough for industry to act. Another aspect of this “controlling the means of production” is the 300% late penalties that we assess for any late payments past March 31, of the assessment year. Producers that take issue with the penalty scheme have two alternatives, to not participate in the community, or pay their fees in a timely manner.

Non-payment of the fees carries the additional penalties of non-use of the software and non-participation in the communities. If in 2015 a producer decides to begin using the software they will face the same fees and penalty structure from 2010 onward. However, the probable steeper penalty will be the inability to have had their organization represented in the community during development. This participation is not a one way participation where the producer tells the developers what their needs are. It is a creative and collaborative process that will involve many decisions and developments that will create solutions that might look foreign to an outsider looking in. I think these points eliminate the motivation for a producer to become a “Free Rider” on the People, Ideas & Objects software developments.

But there’s more. Those producers that are willing to participate early are able to earn what we call the “Participation Bonus”. This bonus is earned when other producers who may have been free riders subsequently decide to join, and pay the fees and penalties back to 2010, offsetting the current years budget, relieving the earlier subscribing producers some of their costs of development.

We have tried to motivate and establish a fair and reasonable Revenue Model that deals with the issues we face in this software development. For the industry to successfully provide for the consumers energy demands, it’s necessary to build the systems that identify and support the Joint Operating Committee. Building the Preliminary Specification is the focus of People, Ideas & Objects. Producers are encouraged to contact me in order to support our Revenue Model and begin their participation in these communities. Those individuals that are interested in joining People, Ideas & Objects can join me here and begin building the software necessary for the successful and innovative oil and gas industry.

Please note what Google+ provides us is the opportunity to prove that People, Ideas & Objects are committed to developing this community. That this is user developed software, not change that is driven from the top down. Join me on the People, Ideas & Objects Google+ Circle and begin building the community for the development of the Preliminary Specification. Email me here if you need an invite.

Budget, Copyright and Success

Adding to last weeks discussion of how the copyright is used to support the assessments to the producers and enables the users to innovate freely within the community. Today I want to talk about the benefits of the copyright with respect to the budget. With a $1 - 2 billion budget for software development. Producers should seek comfort in the fact that only one software development will be licensed. People, Ideas & Objects will not have look-alike software development projects springing up and diluting our effort. Multiplying the industries software development costs with multiple instances of the same developments. This post explains how the copyright ensures the resources of the industry remain focused on one solution.

The basis of competition in the software development business, as I have stated here before, has to be on Intellectual Property (IP). To provide a solution that initially provides unique functionality lasts only minutes in terms of a competitive offering. This limited form of competitiveness ends up diluting the original investors financial investment, their innovative-ness in bringing a solution to the market, and has become the sole basis of how most of the software developers try to compete in the oil and gas marketplace today. This may seem like a benefit to the oil and gas producer, however, I would suggest they have a good look around.

Nothing substantial in terms of scope or investment has been undertaken in the ERP software development for oil and gas for almost 30 years. To approach the oil and gas market on the basis of an enduring competitive advantage would be the only reasonable approach to the market. That is why I have taken the strong position, in terms of Intellectual Property, that I have. However, as we can see, there are advantages to taking this strong position on IP for the producers themselves. That advantage is the focused software developments on one solution producing highly engineered solutions that meet the needs of the marketplace, and are not diluted by multiple demands for the types of resources that a software development project of this scope and scale demands.

I am not suggesting that there won’t be solutions that compete with People, Ideas & Objects in the marketplace. What I am asserting is that there won’t be any based on using the Joint Operating Committee as the key organizational construct. To compete, what someone would have to do is to generate their own research, outside the areas of where I have conducted my research, and develop their own solution. This process took me 8 years and if someone where to start today they could probably finish this research by 2020.

The fact of the matter is that the oil and gas producers have fewer choices in the future as to who provides their ERP software systems. One thing is for certain, software providers will have to ensure that the copyright and IP that is provided is as sound and secure as that which is provided by People, Ideas & Objects. To successfully compete in the marketplace today demands this level of commitment to the marketplace, and eliminates the fly-by-night providers who ultimately only siphon off the energy industries focus and financial resources on software development.

For the industry to successfully provide for the consumers energy demands, it’s necessary to build the systems that identify and support the Joint Operating Committee. Building the Preliminary Specification is the focus of People, Ideas & Objects. Producers are encouraged to contact me in order to support our Revenue Model and begin their participation in these communities. Those individuals that are interested in joining People, Ideas & Objects can join me here and begin building the software necessary for the successful and innovative oil and gas industry.

Please note what Google+ provides us is the opportunity to prove that People, Ideas & Objects are committed to developing this community. That this is user developed software, not change that is driven from the top down. Join me on the People, Ideas & Objects Google+ Circle and begin building the community for the development of the Preliminary Specification. Email me here if you need an invite.

Software Development Budget

Last week we had the opportunity to briefly discuss some of the budget issues around People, Ideas & Objects. The budget for the Preliminary Specification has been set at $100 million which represents 5 - 10% of the total initial commercial releases costs. Suggesting that the costs of People, Ideas & Objects software development costs, in its first commercial release would be in the area of $1 to 2 billion. The next few weeks we will have the opportunity to more fully engage in these budget discussions and learn why these costs are necessary.

First of all I don't want to get into a detailed line by line discussion of the budget, but discuss the overall scope and the type of application that is needed in the marketplace and how that type of application could not be developed in any other manner other then through a budget of this substantial size. These budget discussions also assume that I have not underestimated the scope of the undertaking, a very real possibility.

Having an oil and gas application that meets the needs of the users and producers, that is based on the Draft Specification will provide efficiencies if it is built properly. That assumes that it is built with the appropriate budget in place. A $1 - 2 billion software development budget for an application that is on top of the costs for Oracle Fusion applications is larger then anything the industry has attempted before. Add in the producers unique costs of integration, our hybrid cloud computing investment requirements; the producers costs of funding this project, all in, are substantial. This is the reason that we have turned to industry for our funding. Expectations that investment capital would fulfill these capital requirements are misguided.

The integrated nature of using the Joint Operating Committee, and the level of change that is introduced requires that we approach this project with this scope of application and budget in mind. What makes this possible today is the People, Ideas & Objects Value Proposition. Where we allocate the costs of these developments over a large subscription base of producers. Costs of developments are disbursed through to the producer base mitigating these costs as incidentals to each producer. On the other hand, with our potential ability to aggregate a large budget, our capacity to highly engineer software development solutions will provide real value in terms of software development costs per barrel of oil equivalent.

For the industry to successfully provide for the consumers energy demands, it’s necessary to build the systems that identify and support the Joint Operating Committee. Building the Preliminary Specification is the focus of People, Ideas & Objects. Producers are encouraged to contact me in order to support our Revenue Model and begin their participation in these communities. Those individuals that are interested in joining People, Ideas & Objects can join me here and begin building the software necessary for the successful and innovative oil and gas industry.

Please note what Google+ provides us is the opportunity to prove that People, Ideas & Objects are committed to developing this community. That this is user developed software, not change that is driven from the top down. Join me on the People, Ideas & Objects Google+ Circle and begin building the community for the development of the Preliminary Specification. Email me here if you need an invite.

McKinsey, Dan Ariely on Irrationality

Another short McKinsey article to fill out our first week back. This article provides a different perspective on some every day points of view in business. Its a little light hearted but I think you’ll enjoy it.

http://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/Dan_Ariely_on_irrationality_in_the_workplace_2742?pagenum=1#daninteractive


For the industry to successfully provide for the consumers energy demands, it’s necessary to build the systems that identify and support the Joint Operating Committee. Building the Preliminary Specification is the focus of People, Ideas & Objects. Producers are encouraged to contact me in order to support our Revenue Model and begin their participation in these communities. Those individuals that are interested in joining People, Ideas & Objects can join me here and begin building the software necessary for the successful and innovative oil and gas industry.

Please note what Google+ provides us is the opportunity to prove that People, Ideas & Objects are committed to developing this community. That this is user developed software, not change that is driven from the top down. Join me on the People, Ideas & Objects Google+ Circle and begin building the community for the development of the Preliminary Specification. Email me here if you need an invite.