Tuesday, March 02, 2010

McKinsey Internet of Things

We have another McKinsey document that provides a keen insight on how the Information & Communication Technology Revolution will affect everyone. This paper entitled "The Internet of Things" is very much on topic. I highly recommend reviewing it.

Of particular interest is the fact that this article dove tails with the People, Ideas & Objects Technical Vision. Recall this vision suggests that since the oil and gas industry is comprised of sciences around heat and pressure, the use of sensors to monitor and control elements of the production cycle is possible. This monitoring and control would help in making the industry more productive and enhance the business decisions made, if, firms were able to deal with the volumes of data.

The four cornerstones of the Technical Vision are as follows.

  • IPv6 - Providing unlimited addressing for those sensors to be accessed and controlled.
  • Java - Strong Static Typing providing assurance that the sensor your controlling is really the one that you want, and not a mistake.
  • Wireless - Ubiquitous networks anywhere, anytime.
  • Asynchronous Process Management - The ability to deal with data and information in a more controlled fashion.

A couple of interesting points that McKinsey suggest the "Internet of Things" could provide are as follows.
Automation and control
Making data the basis for automation and control means converting the data and analysis collected through the Internet of Things into instructions that feed back through the network to actuators that in turn modify processes. Closing the loop from data to automated applications can raise productivity, as systems that adjust automatically to complex situations make many human interventions unnecessary. Early adopters are ushering in relatively basic applications that provide a fairly immediate payoff. Advanced automated systems will be adopted by organizations as these technologies develop further.
The impact within oil and gas could be much higher productivity and greater value. The scenario that I have detailed on this blog is that of a pricing model that provides the producer with price-maker characteristics. The scenario has the Joint Operating Committee deciding that their production costs of $50 / barrel require that production begin to be scaled back 25% at $80, 50% at $70, 75% at $60 and shut-in at $50.00. The input being the market price would drive control systems to shut the well down to the correct level of production. Otherwise producers may find they continue to produce at a loss and the price drops to $25.00. This being a predetermined and agreed to threshold where the operational decision making authority resides - The Joint Operating Committee - and as a result can be operated in an automated fashion.
Software to aggregate and analyze data, as well as graphic display techniques, must improve to the point where huge volumes of data can be absorbed by human decision makers or synthesized to guide automated systems more appropriately.
McKinsey go on to suggest that these types of systems will require new organizational models be adopted by firms.
Within companies, big changes in information patterns will have implications for organizational structures, as well as for the way decisions are made, operations are managed, and processes are conceived. Product development, for example, will need to reflect far greater possibilities for capturing and analyzing information.
And a dedicated software development capability, like that which is discussed here at People, Ideas & Objects.
Companies can begin taking steps now to position themselves for these changes by using the new technologies to optimize business processes in which traditional approaches have not brought satisfactory returns. Energy consumption efficiency and process optimization are good early targets. Experiments with the emerging technologies should be conducted in development labs and in small-scale pilot trials, and established companies can seek partnerships with innovative technology suppliers creating Internet-of-Things capabilities for target industries.
March 31, 2010 is the deadline for raising our 2010 operating budget. After which a variety of consequences, such as financial penalties and a loss of one years time will occur. Our appeal should be based on the 21 compelling reasons of how better the oil and gas industry and its operations could be handled. They may not be the right way to go, but we are committed to working with the various communities to discover and ensure the right ones are.

If your an enlightened producer, an oil and gas director, investor or shareholder, who would be interested in funding these software developments and communities, please follow our Funding Policies & Procedures, and our Hardware Policies & Procedures. If your a government that collects royalties from oil and gas producers, and are concerned about the accuracy of your royalty income, please review our Royalty Policies & Procedures and email me. And if your a potential user of this software, and possibly as a member of the Community of Independent Service Providers, please join us here.

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Monday, March 01, 2010

Two Down, One To Go

Two months have now passed in our first quarter 2010 budget drive. The month of March is here and our deadline of the 31st is only weeks away. To date I have received no expression of interest, inquiry, commitment or cash. I get the sense that everyone is waiting for someone else to initiate the process.

The probability of a funding failure occurring March 31, 2010 is very real. As I have indicated, every attempt will be made to keep the project moving forward, however, without financial support this may become extremely difficult and in my opinion, unnecessary. What will be the cost of any funding failure? The users deserve the financial support of the industry.

The methods used to fund software development in the past have failed. Methods that have been successful for the SAP's and other large vendors. If software for oil and gas was a lucrative business. Where producers were presented with new and innovative software products, there would be no demand for this blog's research. Raising capital to fund software development in oil and gas ceased decades ago. There is a problem with the expectation that venture capitalists will fund the innovative software developer. The problem is the funding doesn't exist, particularly if the software developer doesn't have industry support of any bottom-up initiative.

The venture capital and bank funding avenues are closed. With the structure of this development, of providing a software development capability, with the source code being available for review, there are no assets in which to pledge to the capital markets for funding. This is a licensing model of Intellectual Property for revenue generation. Where the licensing of the Intellectual Property to the industry is how the software development revenues are generated. To suggest that the investment or banking community will be involved at any time during this project is incorrect.

Recall that one of the objectives of this budget drive is to prove the bureaucracy will not fund People, Ideas & Objects. Our appeal is to the directors, shareholders and investors of the oil and gas producers. Our research shows the use of the Joint Operating Committee is the direction in which the industry should move toward. That this transition is supported by strong, top level academic research. What alternatives have the bureaucracies proposed to deal with the issues of the industry? Within the transition to the Joint Operating Committee, the ownership class have an opportunity to increase their governance over their assets. That is the basis of this budget appeal.

I have also argued the bureaucracies are currently the beneficiaries of 100% of the proceeds of oil and gas sales. At today's prices, annual global oil and gas revenues are $3.4 trillion. Why is it expected that venture capital would be needed for these software developments, or for that matter, any oil and gas innovation? The parsing of financial resources to "appropriate" providers establishes the oil and gas bureaucracies control and influence over every aspect of the industry. The problem should be clear, they have done nothing in the area of software. When bureaucracies control the competition to themselves (the software) it is not in their best interests to sponsor People, Ideas & Objects.

March 31, 2010 is the deadline for raising our 2010 operating budget. After which a variety of consequences, such as financial penalties and a loss of one years time will occur. Our appeal should be based on the 21 compelling reasons of how better the oil and gas industry and its operations could be handled. They may not be the right way to go, but we are committed to working with the various communities to discover and ensure the right ones are.

If your an enlightened producer, an oil and gas director, investor or shareholder, who would be interested in funding these software developments and communities, please follow our Funding Policies & Procedures, and our Hardware Policies & Procedures. If your a government that collects royalties from oil and gas producers, and are concerned about the accuracy of your royalty income, please review our Royalty Policies & Procedures and email me. And if your a potential user of this software, and possibly as a member of the Community of Independent Service Providers, please join us here.

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Sunday, February 28, 2010

Pisano Science Based Businesses Part III

I have removed a large portion, Sections III and IV, of this paper. These sections discuss the "Science Based Business" in terms of its classifications and definitions. I recommend that everyone read the paper, however, I think it is strictly academic to classify the energy industry as a science based business. It is interesting reading, however preaching to the converted would be a waste of our readers time.

This last part of our review of Professor Pisano's paper "The Evolution of Science-Based Business: Innovating How We Innovate" concludes with some powerful application of the lessons from Professor Alfred D. Chandler.

VI. Applying the Lessons of Chandler

Why are we concerned about the performance of the oil and gas industry? And why does that concern center on the organizational structure of the oil and gas firm and it's associated markets? Professor Pisano answers these questions in a way that everyone could generally agree.
The fundamental lesson from Chandler is that while technological progress creates potential for economic growth, that potential can only be realized with complementary innovation in organizations, institutions, and management. This lesson has clear implications for science‐based sectors of the economy. Progress in the science bases of medicine, agriculture, advanced materials, and energy has enormous potential in coming decades. Yet, this potential will go unrealized without the design of appropriate organizational, institutional, and managerial models. One purpose of this essay was to show that, using the case of biotech as a reference point, we have not yet found an appropriate model for science‐based business. pp. 27 - 28
I agree with Professor Pisano, "we have not yet found an appropriate model for science-based business". Is the Joint Operating Committee the ideal organizational construct for the energy industry? We don't know, that is we won't know until such time as this research has been put to the test. In our research we found the science and innovation need to have certain characteristics that are inherent in the JOC. This is a direct result of the JOC being the cultural norm for global oil and gas operations. The problem is the JOC is not the ways and means of the industry from a compliance and governance point of view. Those frameworks, for whatever historical reason, have been handled by the hierarchy.

What this software development project does is move the compliance and governance of the hierarchy into alignment with the five frameworks of the JOC. To align all of these frameworks within the firm and market definitions of the Draft Specification will provide tangible benefits. And help the energy industry to better meet the markets demand for energy. But will it be the ideal organizational construct for this science based business? We don't know, and we won't know until such time that we can learn from the task at hand. I can assure you the bureaucracy is not keeping up to the demands of today, and that it is not going to in the future. But is the JOC the ideal science based business organizational construct for energy? This may be the better question we should ask ourselves in the long run. And ensure that the means to discover the ideal construct, if it isn't the JOC, will be discovered through the process of People, Ideas & Objects and the Community of Independent Service Providers.
Historical experience both before and after the emergence of biotech shows the limits of both ends of the organizational continuum: the visible hand of hierarchies and the invisible hand of markets. Hybrid organizational forms that mix elements of markets and hierarchies would therefore seem to be an attractive avenue for innovation. p. 28
The hybrid model is inherent in the People, Ideas & Objects Draft Specification. In September 24, 2007's blog post I detailed the optimal / logical boundaries of firms and markets. This was based on the review of Professor Carliss Baldwin's paper "Modularity, Transactions, and the Boundaries of Firms: A Synthesis" That table is reconstructed here.


ConstructMarketFirm
Joint Operating CommitteePs
Military Styled Command and Control (Governance)sP
Transaction CostssP
Production CostsPs
InnovationPs
Routine, compliance and accountabilitysP
ResearchsP
Development (the D in R&D)Ps
Financial FrameworkPs
Legal FrameworkPs
Cultural FrameworkPs
Operational Decision Making FrameworkPs



P = Primary
s = secondary


The inclusion of the invisible hand and the visible hand are also present in the Draft Specification. I included Professor Richard N. Langlois work in the Vanishing Hand in a June 24, 2007 blog post. Professor Langlois' vanishing hand hypothesis is directly pertinent to the discussion of finding the optimal organizational construct for the science based business of oil and gas.
"The basic argument - the vanishing hand hypothesis - is as follows. Driven by increases in population and income and by the reduction of technological and legal barriers to trade, the Smithian process of the division of labor always tends to lead to finer specialization of function and increased coordination through markets, much as Allyn Young (1928) claimed long ago. But the components of that process - technology, organization, and institutions - change at different rates." p. 3
Clearly the research to determine if the JOC is the appropriate organizational construct takes into consideration the research that has been conducted to date. This research is incomplete from the point of view of determining if there could be more attributes, definitions or characteristics in which to add to the software. However, my homework has been done, and it is necessary that the industry fund these software developments before we conclude if the JOC is the right organization, and if we need to conduct any additional research. Back to Professor Pisano who discusses "Organizational Networks" a term that resonates with me.
Organizational networks offer another avenue for innovation. Chandler argued that the firm, not the transaction, was the most important unit of analysis (Chandler 1992) for understanding the boundaries of organizations and structure. Alternatively, it could be argued that in contexts that mix markets and hierarchies, the network of organizations becomes the most interesting unit of analysis (see e.g. Miles and Snow, 1986, Stuart 1998). p. 29
and
Once we move to organizations that are connected in durable networks, this notion becomes much more complicated. The value of the network and the value of individual “firms” in that network become harder to disentangle. p. 29
Call it what you will, what this post clearly reflects is this is the direction that industries must travel. To suggest that the hierarchy will survive the next 10 years is difficult to conceive. Here Pisano asks a pointed question at management itself.
In an essay in honor of Alfred Chandler, an author would be remiss not to mention “management technology” as a critical component of innovation. Chandler documented the emergence of the professional manager and the innovations in managerial techniques needed to run the organizations he studied. This raises the question of whether current “management technology’ is suited to the needs of science‐based businesses. Indeed, the very notion of “professional manager”, while seemingly quaint, indeed characterizes much of the division of labor between scientists and manager today. Consider that today, scientists receive no formal training in management and MBAs receive no training in science. This is a striking gap. The professions of management and the professions of science are still largely separate. p. 30
For what its worth, I agree that the science based business is poorly served by the current "management technology". This is an area that requires as much research as determining if the JOC is the optimal organizational construct for the science based business of oil and gas. Professor Pisano puts the value of these avenues of research in context with this closing comment.
Like railroads and large scale manufacturing enterprises 100 years ago, science based businesses will be a potent source of economic growth in the 21st century. And now, as then, these new businesses demand new organizational forms and new institutional arrangements. In short, we are once again confronted by a serious need to invent new organizational forms and new institutional arrangements to deal with a new set of economic problems. When it comes to the topic of innovation in business organization, there is no better teacher than Alfred Chandler. p. 30
March 31, 2010 is the deadline for raising our 2010 operating budget. After which a variety of consequences, such as financial penalties and a loss of one years time will occur. Our appeal should be based on the 21 compelling reasons of how better the oil and gas industry and its operations could be handled. They may not be the right way to go, but we are committed to working with the various communities to discover and ensure the right ones are.


If your an enlightened producer, an oil and gas director, investor or shareholder, who would be interested in funding these software developments and communities, please follow our Funding Policies & Procedures, and our Hardware Policies & Procedures. If your a government that collects royalties from oil and gas producers, and are concerned about the accuracy of your royalty income, please review our Royalty Policies & Procedures and email me. And if your a potential user of this software, and possibly as a member of the Community of Independent Service Providers, please join us here.

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Saturday, February 27, 2010

Pisano Science Based Businesses Part II

In our first post on this paper we introduced the scope of Professor Pisano's research in Science Based Businesses. It is reasonable to assume that everyone that is familiar with the processes of exploration and production would agree that it qualifies as a science based business. In this second post we will focus on the influence of Professor Alfred D. Chandler in Professor Pisano's work.

II. Chandler’s Core Propositions

Professor Pisano reintroduces us to Professor Alfred D. Chandler and his work on organizational capabilities and what Pisano calls "Chandler's core proposition". People, Ideas & Objects needs to build the software necessary to support and identify the industry standard Joint Operating Committee. This is in order for the earth science and engineering disciplines to be the driving force in what happens in oil and gas. Innovation on these sciences will be the source of value generation in the industry. Up until recently, innovation was focused on the management discipline and the desire to conduct "best practices" and balance some score-cards. Thankfully those days are over.

Through his studies of the rise of the modern corporation and managerial capitalism in the United States, Chandler advanced three core propositions: 1) technological innovation and organizational innovation are interdependent; 2) new forms of business organization and institutional arrangements are invented to solve specific economic problems; and 3) organizational and institutional innovation is an evolutionary process—nothing guarantees “we get it right” every time. Together, these propositions constitute what might be called a “Chandlerian perspective” on the structure and organization of economic activity. p. 5
1) The Interdependence of Technological and Organizational Innovation

It has been argued that moving the compliance and governance of the hierarchy into alignment with the JOC's cultural, legal, financial, operational decision making and communication frameworks will provide enhanced performance. When we identify and support these changes within the People, Ideas & Objects application modules. Innovation on the earth science and engineering disciplines will be facilitated and advanced. Chandler teaches us that technological innovation does not occur without organizational innovation.
A sub‐set of the innovation community, starting with the work of Nelson and Winter (1982), has long recognized that the “right” institutional arrangements play a critical role in facilitating technical advance and the diffusion of innovations. p. 5
These concepts were reinforced on this blog with recent posts from MIT Professor Wanda Orlikowski and Harvard Professor Carliss Baldwin. Orlikowski's Structurational Model of Technology was used in the Preliminary Research Report to identify technologies influence in organizations. Summarizing her work in the statement that SAP is the bureaucracy. Professor Baldwin's Mirror Hypothesis also identified similar points.

2) Organizational and Institutional Innovation as the Product of Human Invention

The Draft Specification deals with a variety of problems that exist in the industry. One of these problems is the redundant building and rebuilding of capabilities within each producer firm. The ability to resolve any and all possible issues needs to be handled by the firm, and therefore, these capabilities are created within each producer. In the integrated producers we see the same technical capabilities being built within Exxon, Shell, BP, Chevron and others. These are duplications and have reached a size and scope that they can no longer be independently developed and maintained. The underlying sciences are advancing too quickly, and the population of human resources are reaching their limits. What the Draft Specification does is pool these capabilities within the Resource Marketplace Module to enable each and every Joint Operating Committee the ability to dynamically generate the capabilities that they need.
Today, it is easy to take for granted such things as separation of ownership from management, hierarchical organizations, multi‐business corporations, capital markets, accounting and control systems, and other scaffolding of modern economies, as if they were somehow “natural.” Chandler teaches us that there is nothing natural about them. They were inventions. Indeed, virtually every aspect of the business world around us—every organizational form, every management technique, every formal and informal institutional arrangement, every principle of management, and every management function—is the product of human invention. Chandler also helps us understand that often‐but not always‐‐these inventions were made in response to very specific economic problems. pp. 6 - 7
To have this dynamic capability available to those within the industry requires the new organizational models, the JOC, and the People, Ideas & Objects software necessary to identify and support the JOC and the Resource Marketplace. Spontaneous order will not work when we are standing on the shoulders of so many generations of giants. We need to act!

3) Organizational and Institutional Innovation As an Evolutionary Process

We have many significant trends converging at the same time. The Information & Communication Technological Revolution, the transformation of the oil and gas industry to a more complex scientific footing, the boardroom power shifts, and the economic forces that are creating issues and opportunities for all concerned. The last thing we need to do is to sit back and wait for the eventual day when all these forces are correctly aligned and the world breaks out in peace. It doesn't happen that way. We have to act!
The first two points above provide a false impression that economic need and organizational / institutional innovation mesh tightly. But Chandler teaches us that such a strict functionalist interpretation is flawed. Economic needs arise, but the response of organizations is slow, uneven, and not always perfect. p. 7
I would assert that the slow industry response to People, Ideas & Objects is attributable to the fact that it is the bureaucracies that are dictating the pace of change. They know that if they don't sponsor these software developments, they won't get built. I know they know this because I told them in the Preliminary Research Report. Their interpretation is wrong, however, they don't see it that way. That is why the appeal of these software developments are focused on the ownership class of the oil and gas industry. The bureaucracy has it pretty good right now, why change.
The notion that novel institutions and organizations always arise to enhance economic efficiency does not stand the test of historical analysis. p. 8
We must act. This muddling along is heading the oil and gas industry into a situation where the energy consumer will not be able to source their energy. Energy is oxygen to advanced economies. To restrict the volume of available energy limits the potential of man kind.
There are many potential transformative forces shaping business organization in the 21st century. The one I would like to focus on in the remainder of this essay concerns science, and in particular, the way in which business participates in and shapes science. Recent decades have witnessed intensive organizational experimentation in the way science is generated, diffused, and commercialized. Advances in the sciences of life, energy, and materials offer huge promise both to drive economic growth and improve welfare. Yet, to believe that promise will be realized without organizational and institutional innovation would be to ignore the lessons of Chandler. pp. 8 - 9
March 31, 2010 is the deadline for raising our 2010 operating budget. After which a variety of consequences, such as financial penalties and a loss of one years time will occur. Our appeal should be based on the 21 compelling reasons of how better the oil and gas industry and its operations could be handled. They may not be the right way to go, but we are committed to working with the various communities to discover and ensure the right ones are.

If your an enlightened producer, an oil and gas director, investor or shareholder, who would be interested in funding these software developments and communities, please follow our Funding Policies & Procedures, and our Hardware Policies & Procedures. If your a government that collects royalties from oil and gas producers, and are concerned about the accuracy of your royalty income, please review our Royalty Policies & Procedures and email me. And if your a potential user of this software, and possibly as a member of the Community of Independent Service Providers, please join us here.

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Friday, February 26, 2010

Pisano, Science Based Businesses Part I

Based on the weight of this new paper. We are including Harvard Professor Gary P. Pisano to our list of closely watched researchers. We haven't had the opportunity to add anyone to our list for many years. That's not as a result of a lack of quality content, it's that we are playing catch-up in terms of the work that has been done in the past 20 years. Look for the Pisano label to aggregate the posts that highlight his content. This first Part will highlight some of the assumptions that Professor Pisano is using, the extent of his research and reviews the Introduction of his new paper. The Evolution of Science-Based Business: Innovating How We Innovate.

For the work that we are doing here at People, Ideas & Objects, and particularly the oil and gas producers, this paper has substantial value. The Preliminary Research Report hypothesized the oil and gas industries underlying earth science and engineering disciplines were escalating. Each barrel of oil would require exponential volumes of these sciences as time passed. This underlying demand change in the sciences would lead to higher prices to offset the higher costs of exploration and production, hence rewarding the innovative oil and gas producer. This is the situation in the oil and gas marketplace today.

Professor Pisano's interests are in science based businesses. But more importantly, in the context of organizational and technological innovation.

Alfred Chandler taught us that organizational innovation and technological innovation are equal partners in the process of economic growth. Indeed, one often requires the other. In the late 19th and early 20th century, the large‐scale modern corporation both shaped and was shaped by advances in electrification, mass production, and transportation. Today, the specific technologies driving growth are, of course, quite different than they were a century ago. But, the fundamental lesson—that these technologies may require new organizational forms—is as relevant today now as it was then. p. 2
I would argue that technologies enable new organizational forms. Through our review of Harvard Professor Carliss Baldwin's research. People, Ideas & Objects have detailed a modular specification and a division between markets and firms in the Draft Specification. Information Technology (IT) defines and supports organizational constructs. And the People, Ideas & Objects software development capability provides the organizational flexibility that the producer will soon demand as necessary.

It is inherent in the Draft Specification that the market take a larger role in the science and innovation of the industry. The question is therefore asked, is the Draft Specification correct in it's assumption that research and innovation can be conducted within "markets" as opposed to in "firms"?
I argue that science‐based businesses face unique challenges as they straddle two worlds with very different time horizons, risks, expectations, and norms. Whereas once these challenges were managed inside the boundaries of corporate R&D labs—under the auspices of Chandler’s visible hand—today the invisible hand of markets increasingly governs them. An assessment of this form of governance against the requirements of science‐based businesses suggests a gap and a need for organizational innovation. The essay concludes with a discussion of what Chandler can teach us about science‐based business, and the organizational and institutional implications of science‐based business. p. 4
Elements of scientific risk are everywhere in the oil and gas industry. Outcomes are not necessarily predictable, and the lead times from idea to commercial success is substantial. The oil and gas industry qualifies as a science based business in Professor Pisano's strict interpretation.

In this paper Professor Pisano speaks about the different business models of how these science based businesses fund their research. Noting that the IBM, AT&T, 3M and Xerox research parks are reflective of an older era. If we accept Exxon's estimate that $20 trillion over 20 years is the required capital expenditure. We can ask is this demand for capital beyond the "normal" allocation mechanisms available in the marketplace? Are the capital and debt markets sophisticated enough to be able to determine which producers will be the winners and losers? I have argued throughout the Preliminary Research Report and this blog that the innovative producer will have the price mechanism reward innovative and scientific success.

If your an enlightened producer, an oil and gas investor or shareholder, who would be interested in funding these software developments and communities, please follow our Funding Policies & Procedures, and our Hardware Policies & Procedures. If your a government that collects royalties from oil and gas producers, and are concerned about the accuracy of your royalty income, please review our Royalty Policies & Procedures and email me. And if your a potential user of this software, and possibly as a member of the Community of Independent Service Providers, please join us here.

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Thursday, February 25, 2010

19, 20, 21...

Adding to the long list of compelling reasons that Directors, Shareholders and Investors should support these software developments. We add three more to total 21 compelling reasons.

We stand on the shoulders of several generations of giants.

As much criticism that we toss toward the bureaucracy, we must be careful to understand that the level of specialization and division of labor that is employed is significant. That to tear things down in a reckless manner would be irresponsible, and doesn't recognize the speed and altitude that our advanced societies and organizations are traveling at.

We also need to recognize that the bureaucracy can fail on their own. The need to have the alternative software and organizational constructs in place before they're necessary is something that we should be concerned about. Drawing an analogy to the banking industry, we can see that failure has its consequences.

Tacit knowledge drives software definition.

Tacit knowledge can not be captured in software. Tacit knowledge is how things are accomplished in oil and gas. And most importantly, how things are accomplished successfully. People, Ideas & Objects software development capability will provide users with the ability to develop the tools to use their tacit knowledge.

In an industry that is based on the earth sciences and engineering disciplines. Where each barrel of oil escalates the demands for ever more knowledge. The more effective deployment of human resources is challenged by these demands for more knowledge. Continuing to build individual scientific capabilities into each oil and gas company. To attain capabilities that are just-in-time for any anomaly, will bring about failure. Whereas through the Joint Operating Committee and the Draft Specification individual silo's are replaced by an overall industry capability that is pooled in each Joint Operating Committee.

The effective management of human resources in this fashion is inherent in the People, Ideas & Objects software application modules. Enabling the users of this software to build the tools to exercise their tacit knowledge is a necessary element of the future needs of the industry.

Enhanced Ownership Compliance & Governance.

This compelling reason consolidates the logic discussed in a number of recent blog posts. Our discussion of the role of government in funding the software development costs of their compliance requirements, particularly royalty compliance. Issuing legislation, regulations and assuming compliance does not consider the enhanced role of software in today's society. Professor Perez has challenged us to re-think the role of government. Government's direct involvement in developing the software for industry compliance is an area that we will continue to push for.

The directors, shareholders and investors want compliance to all governing legislation and regulations. These compliance requirements will be built-in with the transaction processing being built in People, Ideas & Objects Draft Specification. Compliance is a fall out of the transactions and actions being taken by the firms and their agents. Compliance should never be a driving criteria in decisions. One of the key value added processes in the Draft Specification is the Accounting Voucher Modules process for designing transactions.

With recent and prospective changes in the corporate board room. The role of directors, shareholders and investors is enhanced. Their direct involvement with the producers ERP system provider [or more specifically People, Ideas & Objects] enhances and enables greater compliance and governance for the owners and their direct representatives.

March 31, 2010 is the deadline for raising our 2010 operating budget. After which a variety of consequences, such as financial penalties and a loss of one years time will occur. Our appeal should be based on these 21 compelling reasons of how better the oil and gas industry and its operations could be handled. They may not be the right way to go, but we are committed to working with the various communities to discover and ensure the right ones are.

If your an enlightened producer, an oil and gas director, investor or shareholder, who would be interested in funding these software developments and communities, please follow our Funding Policies & Procedures, and our Hardware Policies & Procedures. If your a government that collects royalties from oil and gas producers, and are concerned about the accuracy of your royalty income, please review our Royalty Policies & Procedures and email me. And if your a potential user of this software, and possibly as a member of the Community of Independent Service Providers, please join us here.

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Wednesday, February 24, 2010

Barbara Franklin on Nightly Business ...

Last nights Nightly Business Report has some interesting closing comments from Barbara Franklin. Ms. Franklin is a Director of Dow Chemical and Aetna Inc., and since 1980 has served on twelve other boards. She was also Commerce Secretary in the George H. W. Bush administration. Her comments were provocative and if correct show that shareholders, directors and investors are better able to deal with the governance of their firms.

Around 22:00 minutes into the show Mr. Franklin is introduced to discuss the "increasing role of shareholders in corporate governance" and "the rise of the shareholder is a blow to old school CEO's". Suggesting that our appeal to the shareholders and investors in oil and gas may not end in vain. In reviewing these comments it becomes obvious that I should include the Directors of the producer firms as I feel they too are interested in better corporate governance. A small oversight on my behalf.

The comments that resonate with the work that we are doing at People, Ideas & Objects are as follows:

The demise of the imperial CEO is at hand. They are more participatory and actively work with their boards.
After Enron and WorldCom scandals, the passage of Sarbane's Oxely act, a board room power shift emerged. Today boards are much more engaged with CEO's in a variety of ways.
  • CEO Succession
  • Strategy
  • Ethics
  • Executive Compensation
  • Risk Oversight
And now a new board room power shift is in the wings. Some shareholders want to add their own candidates to a companies slate for election. Eliminating the need for proxy fights. The result could be a more collaborative governance structure in publicly traded companies. We'll see.
These are all positive initiatives. Since Ms. Franklin was speaking as if the first power shift, the boards being more engaged with CEO's, has occurred. The topics of Strategy, Ethics and Risk Oversight are areas where People, Ideas & Objects can add value to the producer firm. If as Ms Franklin suggests the second "power shift is in the wings" where shareholders are able to "add their own candidates to a companies slate" then corporate America could have the tools necessary to deal with many of the problems in today's business.

How could participation in People, Ideas & Objects budget funding help to make these "power shifts" more effective? For the shareholders, directors and investors having a direct say in the development of the software that their firm operates under, they will have the tools to deal with the firms issues and opportunities.

I have suggested many times in this blog that SAP is the bureaucracy. That management have used the SAP application to entrench their positions. As much as the management affect the change in the ERP software is the amount of change that can be exercised. Since SAP is static, the organizations do not change and management have SAP as their straw man excuse at hand.

If the ownership class had the ability to influence the software design, then they have the ability to influence much of the make up of their firm. People, Ideas & Objects is user based developments. The user community is comprised of all stakeholders. Since it is requested that the budget be funded by the shareholders, directors and investors of the firm, then they would have direct influence.

One of the breakthroughs of the Preliminary Research Report was the finding that software defines and supports the organization. To change the organization requires that the software be changed first. Therefore the investor, shareholders and directors need to acquire influence in a defined software development capability. In oil and gas that is People, Ideas & Objects.

If your an enlightened producer, an oil and gas director, investor or shareholder, who would be interested in funding these software developments and communities, please follow our Funding Policies & Procedures, and our Hardware Policies & Procedures. If your a government that collects royalties from oil and gas producers, and are concerned about the accuracy of your royalty income, please review our Royalty Policies & Procedures and email me. And if your a potential user of this software, and possibly as a member of the Community of Independent Service Providers, please join us here.

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Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Why would producers pay?

It is argued that oil and gas producers do not have the requisite motivation to fund the budget of People, Ideas & Objects. My concern in pushing this budget cycle is that the motivation to make the necessary changes has receded from the mindset of people in the industry. When the financial crisis was at its height, all seemed to be in desperate need of bringing about change. Now that the pressure brought on by the crisis doesn't exist, the sense of urgency to address these problems has passed. We have survived to live another day. To approach the manner in which business is conducted is off the radar of the majority of people within the industry.

It is far better that this has happened now then having it happen in the middle of our developments. I don't expect that "all is well" will be the call even as early as later this year. We have solved none of the problems that brought the system close to collapse. Stuffing the economy with up to $17 trillion in stimulus and cash has had a strong effect. The performance of the bureaucracy remains questionable and the opportunity for them to continue on, I'll agree, is well entrenched. What this imputes is that the only time something like People, Ideas & Objects can be developed is during a complete collapse of the industry.

So here is to living happily ever after. This last ditch attempt to acquire some funding to keep moving forward looks less probable each day. We'll certainly continue on until March 31, 2010 and see what might come about, after that we will have to evaluate everything in light of the funding failure.

In answer to the question that is being asked, why would the producers pay? The People, Ideas & Objects value proposition shares the one-time software development costs across the production profile of the industry. Simply the producer, like the user, will attain greater value by contributing then it's costs. As evidenced in yesterday's example of the start-up oil and gas producer. The engineer does not have to incur the overhead necessary to maintain compliance with the various regulatory agencies.

The People, Ideas & Objects software and the Community of Independent Service Providers (CISP) is a critical aspect of how the producers compliance is achieved. The tacit knowledge of the industry is held by the people that work in the business. The software can not capture this knowledge, but what can happen with People, Ideas & Objects is the CISP define, build and use the software tools needed to do their jobs.

Where we'll stand on March 31, 2010 in terms of our future is quite exhilarating. Nothing focuses the mind quite like this type of situation. What we need to be doing is getting to the business of the business of oil and gas. We face a questionable future, and the complexity and difficulty is only accelerating.

On a related note, I find the "elite" economists oddly sharing my frustration at the pace of these changes. Simon Johnson and this Reason Magazine piece are good examples of opportunities potentially being lost.

Needless to say we still have not received any expression of support, commitments or funding. [Maybe I should be the one to get the message.] If your an enlightened producer, an oil and gas investor or shareholder, who would be interested in funding these software developments and communities, please follow our Funding Policies & Procedures, and our Hardware Policies & Procedures. If your a government that collects royalties from oil and gas producers, and are concerned about the accuracy of your royalty income, please review our Royalty Policies & Procedures and email me. And if your a potential user of this software, and possibly as a member of the Community of Independent Service Providers, please join us here.

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Monday, February 22, 2010

Perez The Role of Government Part II

In this second part of answering Professor Carlota Perez' question "What role does the Government play in this?" we discuss the more general nature of the economy. In the first part we noted the expanded role that software plays in ensuring compliance to regulations. And how the software vendor has ultimately had to bear these software development costs alone with no financial support from the government agency issuing the regulations. In this second part I want to expand on the concept of this expanded role of software in our daily economic lives.

Lets assume that we have an engineer that recently saw the opportunity of a lifetime pass in front of her eyes. To realize this opportunity she needs to establish herself as an oil and gas producer and acquire land within a certain geographic location. The land and the money to purchase it are available, as are the drilling and other service industry technologies necessary to exploit the idea. The one problem this engineer has is that she has no access to systems that are capable of meeting the necessary compliance requirements of the jurisdictions she operates in. And no ability to interface with the various economic actors necessary to make the idea real.

Suddenly, she realizes that she is eliminated from pursuing this opportunity due to the fact that she has no software in which to operate this firm on an ongoing basis. Is the Governor of Texas willing to accept that the barriers to entry into the oil and gas industry becomes access to the necessary administrative software? Certainly the ability to build this capability exists, at approximately $2 million / year in additional administrative overhead.

The question is what is the governments role in the new economy. A new economy that is driven by the Information & Communication Technology Revolution. Where the access and ability to function in the marketplace assumes the ability to be in compliance with 400 pounds of paper regulations. An economy where engineers pursue new ideas or an economy of accountants and lawyers.

And how is it that People, Ideas & Objects is able to offer this engineer with a good idea with no costs associated with using the software? That is to say until she has established production, her costs for 2010 have been set at $1.00 / barrel of oil per day per year. Certainly there will be representatives from the Community of Independent Service Providers (CISP) assisting her in these compliance requirements. But the question of whether to "hire people or run software to be compliant" has been solved through People, Ideas & Objects. This overhead associated with the CISP is on an as needed basis and is a small fraction of the $2 million otherwise needed.

Many within the governments got ahead of this discussion by establishing the rules and regulations are self assessing. Self-assessing systems include most royalty regulations and of course many tax systems. If you make a mistake in filing your returns, you go to jail. It is necessary that negligence is not an excuse for mistakes. And I see no reason to abandon the self assessing style of system, if the software exists in the marketplace to ensure compliance. Governments have a fiduciary responsibility to their tax payers to ensure that equality and fairness are achieved, and that all revenues are collected. One side note is that Royalties are not taxes, but for the purposes of discussing self assessing systems, there are minimal differences.

Back to the question of the governments role in the new economy. Is it to facilitate high levels of access to all who want to compete in the oil and gas industry? Economic access or the lack of it has become a barrier to entry for all but those who have adequate size to maintain the administrative overhead. Will the engineer in this scenario, knowing that she could go to jail for not filing the right form, really be bothered to pursue that opportunity? And lets be clear, Bernie Madoff had no aversion to filing any forms.

Today I received notice from the Alberta Government that they do not share in the concerns that I expressed in Part I of this discussion. I indicated that our policies were to not build any software to meet Alberta's royalty requirements. And they indicated that Mr. Peter Watson, Deputy Minister of the Energy department has received that message. This point was probably moot as I do not see the user community including any Canadian jurisdiction in the Preliminary Specifications scope. Regrettable, but true.

Join me here and lets work together in finding the right answers. If your an enlightened producer, an oil and gas investor or shareholder, who would be interested in funding these software developments and communities, please follow our Funding Policies & Procedures, and our Hardware Policies & Procedures. If your a government that collects royalties from oil and gas producers, and are concerned about the accuracy of your royalty income, please review our Royalty Policies & Procedures and email me. And if your a potential user of this software, and possibly as a member of the Community of Independent Service Providers, please join us here.

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Sunday, February 21, 2010

Budget Conversation Part II

The question as to what happens after March 31, 2010 and we don't have our budget for 2010 funded. Do we pack up and go home? There is nothing worse for a project like People, Ideas & Objects to have been turned down for its funding request. It puts the entire project at greater risk of ever being funded. So what is the plan, what do we transition to if the funding for 2010 is not secured?

The cut and run mentality is something that I have great difficulty with. I don't start something to have it left unfinished. The fact that the budget possibilities are more limited do not deter me from proceeding with this project. The May 2004 Preliminary Research Report was named "Plurality should not be assumed without necessity" or Occam's Razor for a reason. I knew that this level of change would be difficult. The quotation that I used for describing this difficulty was from the 1997 Report to the World Bank.

This statement was written by Ernst & Young in a 1997 report to the World Bank, and was described as: “It’s not what you know that you do not know that hurts you. It’s what you do not know, that you do not know that will. It must be considered that there is nothing more difficult to carry out, nor more doubtful of success, nor more dangerous to handle, than to bring about a new order of things.” Knoop & Valor (1997)
What I do know is we have not attained success. On the other side of the coin, I know what dangerous means. We will continue on in some fashion irrespective of the outcome of this budget drive. In the event that we do not receive any support, what frustrates me the most is that we are effectively losing another year. One change that might be considered is that we immediately commence a budget drive for the entire design and planning stage. These have been costed at $150 - 200 million.

In terms of the context of energy, failure has consequences. If I have to live the consequences of this project for a while longer that is fine. I'm not dragging anyone or anything down in the manner that this project is being proposed. I want to establish an environment where the motivation is to succeed. And if that success is not attainable with the current configuration, we'll work with the communities [investor, shareholder, user and Community of Independent Service Providers] to get it right.

Join me here and lets work together in finding the right answers. If your an enlightened producer, an oil and gas investor or shareholder, who would be interested in funding these software developments and communities, please follow our Funding Policies & Procedures, and our Hardware Policies & Procedures. If your a government that collects royalties from oil and gas producers, and are concerned about the accuracy of your royalty income, please review our Royalty Policies & Procedures and email me. And if your a potential user of this software, and possibly as a member of the Community of Independent Service Providers, please join us here.

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