The Bureaucracies New Plan

So that is the bureaucrats idea to fight People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specification, our user community and the service providers claim that we provide the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. To calculate profitability on a property basis. As we detailed here in the past few days they will spend the approximate equivalent of what it costs to develop the Preliminary Specification in order to complete their task of enabling themselves of this simple exercise. They were never structured to calculate net profits at the property level. Theirs is a corporate model focused on the compliance and governance of the corporate entity. Anything to do with the property or a Joint Operating Committee, you might as well talk about Mars.

And costly it will be. The first phase will be to have the industry agree to some changes in the way that overhead is dealt with. That is the elimination of the overhead allowances. Expect this to be the first kitten that enters the room. Next they'll have to agree amongst themselves that a change in the manner that overhead is handled will be adopted by the industry. Yet more kittens. The implication of which is that the operators will be offloading their working interest shares of the overhead that they have been carrying. By then the kittens have filled the room and grown to become cats. I’ve tried to herd cats before, particularly in the oil and gas industry. I swore I would never do it again. I’m sure that there will be more people that will swear that they've giving up herding cats, after trying to herd those cats.

What will be the purpose of the exercise? To better calculate profitability at the property level. And why are we doing that? We haven't done that in 60 years, why start now? At which time those that are doing this to counter the Preliminary Specifications claim that we provide the most profitable means of oil and gas operations have no response. Its political. An exercise of enormous effort. And when I say enormous, the cost and effort to do this is approximately equal to a ⅕ of the accounting effort that is currently done today. And its all to counter People, Ideas & Objects claims. It shows you how much of a threat to the installed base of the bureaucracy the Preliminary Specification is. They are wiped out. These people are fighting for their lives it's no wonder that they are making such desperate moves.

I forgot one important element of this whole conversation. It was what we discovered in our Preliminary Research Report of May 2004. That the changes that you make within your organization have to be made first and foremost in the software that you use. Otherwise the changes won't become the established process. So there’s that to consider as well. They'll need to develop the software for all of those systems that they use. That’ll take a lot of money. The problem is there isn’t just one system that a company uses that impacts the overhead. Usually they have several, essentially one for each process. And every time they want a change, the software vendor has their hand out. And they’ll no doubt ask why do they want these changes when some producers don’t?

Herding cats is such fun. But then again, it could be just politics as I said. None of these tasks will really be initiated. Its just a game of “bullshit baffles brains.” They could talk about this process, yet not do anything about it, and no one, that is no investor, the individual whose brains need to be baffled, will be able to discern whether it is truly ongoing in the industry or not. And there will be no shut-in gas to fix the price structure. And we'll continue on for another year of low, and maybe even lower natural gas prices and profitability in the North American oil and gas industry. But that’s one more year where the bureaucracy was firmly in control. And in a way, by saying they'll be calculating profits on properties, it’s almost like they have a plan.

The Preliminary Specification provides the oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don't forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

Accuracy, Precision a.k.a. How We Do It

Yesterday we critiqued the manner in which industry will have to go about calculating profits for each property that they have. This is in response to the Preliminary Specifications claim that we provide the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. You'll notice that in yesterday’s discussion there was no mention of how the producer would produce profitable operations, just calculate them. Thier idea here isn't to actually make the radical changes necessary to be profitable, just to confuse people long enough that the bureaucrats can stay at the helm for a little while longer. The term I believe is “bullshit baffles brains” and it is in use in this instance. Calculating profits on individual properties is the initiative. Not providing the industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations.

Nonetheless as we pointed out the bureaucracies exercise will be costly and the results will be questionable in their accuracy. How is it then, that the Preliminary Specification would handle the accounting for overhead at the property level. What a good question, and I'm glad you asked! First there would be none of the fudge regarding whose costs the General & Administrative expenses you were incurring and reporting. When a service provider was sending an invoice to the Joint Operating Committee it will be for the 100% cost of administering their process at that property. At that point the invoice will be paid and the actual costs will be distributed to the individual producers who are working interest owners in the property. Exactly the same treatment that is done today for capital and operating costs would be handled for overhead costs in the Preliminary Specification. Therefore no costs of other producers overhead would be borne by other producers. And there would be no need for the ambiguous overhead allowances that are used today.

Therefore if the property requires an inordinate amount of effort to administer. Or if you carry a large percentage of the working interest share. Your overhead costs are going to be higher. The fact of the matter is under the Preliminary Specifications decentralized production model you will have the precise amount of your share of overhead recorded in the accounts that the property took to administer. The service providers are focused on the processes that they administer. The process of how the costs of the service providers administration is billed will be fully automated. So for example in the instance of the Production Accounting service provider, when a gas chart is read, that is noted in the task and transfer network, when production is captured in the field data capture network it is noted in the task and transfer network. And each unique task in the task and transfer network carries its own unique billing amount. So at the end of the month, the tasks and transfers are aggregated by the service provider to determine what the individual bills will be for the various Joint Operating Committees that produced that month. Then the individual invoices are sent out to each of the Joint Operating Committees.

This precision is being used throughout the service provider network. Again if there is no production from the Joint Operating Committee then there are no activities in the service providers task and transfer networks to create any billings to incur overheads for the month. It is in this way that a producer can shut-in 20% of their production and immediately see a commensurate 20% reduction in their overhead by using the decentralized production model of the Preliminary Specification. And actually improve their overall profitability. In yesterday’s example of a current system, if a producer reduced their production by 20% they would still incur 100% of their overhead for the foreseeable future. Only layoffs would make any changes to those values. If gas prices took six months to a year to respond to the removal of production from the market, the producer would be faced with the same problems that they are faced with today. Angry shareholders and the motivation to produce more.

It comes down to the breakthrough that we made in August of 2003 of using the Joint Operating Committee as the key organization construct of the innovative and profitable oil and gas producer. To not recognize it in your systems is to avoid the legal, financial, operational decision making, cultural, communication, innovation, and strategic framework of the industry. And as a result of not using the Joint Operating Committee you are forced into compromises that in the end make no sense, and do not provide any value to the oil and gas producer. Compromises that were made to accommodate situations that don't exist today. The Internet enables us to overcome these compromises, now we just have to overcome the bureaucracy.

The Preliminary Specification provides the oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don't forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

Industry Catches the Religion

Running around as I have on this blog promoting the fact that we provide the oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Quantifying that profitability at $705 billion in additional revenues for the North American marketplace for the decade beginning in 2009. The time when shale gas volumes created the collapse in natural gas prices. Accusing the bureaucracy of not have a plan to deal with these issues of the industry. And now with the decline in natural gas prices since the cold winter of 2013 - 2014, the bureaucracy not having a hope or a prayer either. You would expect a response from the bureaucrats to the claims that we are making. And now we have.

Going back to the breakthrough that I had in August of 2003. That being the use of the Joint Operating Committee as the key organizational construct of the innovative and profitable oil and gas producer. The Joint Operating Committee is the legal, financial, operational decision making, cultural, communication, innovation and strategic framework of the industry. When we move the compliance and governance framework of the hierarchy into alignment with the seven frameworks of the Joint Operating Committee we achieve a speed, innovativeness, accountability and profitability in our organizations not otherwise attainable.

The power of this idea is understated and unrealized by the bureaucracy. They use the corporate model and focus on the compliance and governance of the corporate entities requirements to the SEC, tax, royalty and regulatory bodies. Partners and Joint Operating Committees are things that don't exist in their systems. Those are responsibilities of other people.

Now the bureaucrats say they want to determine the profitability of their properties in order to determine which ones are the most profitable. Sounds to me like they want to copy our ideas again. Well why don't we just look it up in the general ledger? There is no information on the properties net profitability there. So now we have the admission that the industry doesn’t know if a property is profitable or not. What a ridiculous thing to say! Do they not employ accountants? It is at this point that I advise the oil and gas producers to cease and desist their pursuit of this path to counter my claims. Calculating net profits at the property level will only reveal your current systems inefficiencies and defects, be at great cost and with little accuracy. It will only get worse for them, much worse.

Well they could certainly determine the operational profits of the property couldn’t they? Yes, and that detail would be down to the well level in some cases. Certainly down to the property level in most. But that doesn't give the producer anywhere close to a reasonable picture of what the property produced in terms of profit. There is the issue of overhead. And there is a lot of overhead. And lets look at what happens to most of the overhead. Large portions of the overhead are capitalized and pooled along with the capital assets, such as wells and facilities. These are held on the balance sheets as assets and will be expensed as depletion or during a write down of the assets. The rest of the overhead sits in the General & Administrative category and is expensed in the current period.

Within the General & Administrative category is the costs associated with running the company during the year. These costs were the costs that were incurred in operating the properties on behalf of the Joint Operating Committees. Production, Revenue and Royalty Accounting etc. Therefore these overhead costs are the 100% costs necessary to administer the properties. They are offset by the token overhead allowances that the operator is able to charge the Joint Operating Committee in lieu of actual overhead costs. However the overhead allowances are rarely able to make a dent in the actual costs of the overhead incurred. The issue therefore is the ability to allocate the actual overhead costs to the properties in order to determine the profitability of the property. This is not done and is unknown. Some properties take more effort to administer than others. And others have smaller working interest shares imputing that you are carrying a larger portion of the partners share of these costs. That’s correct you are carrying the share of your partners General & Administrative costs. Overhead costs are grouped under General & Administrative and that’s it. No allocations or further accounting treatment at all.

The bureaucrats will find a way by hiring an army of accounting analysts complete with three levels of management to allocate the overhead. That will solve the problem. And then they will know, approximately, what the property produced in terms of profits. If this feels a bit wobbly in terms of the precise nature of the accounting that you were expecting from your producer firm. I would say talk to your auditor. On second thought they don’t understand the need to stay out of the fudge.

So yes the Emperor has no clothes. And the bureaucracy will spend, in aggregate, approximately what is necessary to build the Preliminary Specification to fix this. So from their point of view I may have just done them a big favor, especially with those three layers of management!

The Preliminary Specification provides the oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don't forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

Specialization and the Division of Labor

We noted recently the ability of specialization and the division of labor to enhance the producers profitability. What we want to discuss in this post is how these tools will be applied during different phases of software development to enhance the profitability of the oil and gas industry. Access to the tools of specialization and the division of labor are provided through the use and application of the decentralized production model. By changing the prototypical footprint of the producer to the C class executives, the earth science and engineering resources, some land and legal, and support services. The remainder of the firms resources are permanently moved to service providers who are focused on a process or subprocess that uses the entire oil and gas industry as its client base.

Then as a result of having the process managed for the entire industry under one roof, the scope and scale of the service providers operation can deal with application of specialization and the division of labor in its optimal application. It will be the movement of the people from the producers to the service providers in the first phase of the developments of the Preliminary Specification that provides initial value to the producers. However there will be a secondary phase of equal or greater value that will be attainable in the second phase of development that will be undertaken once the Preliminary Specification is fully developed.

By this time the service providers, the user community and the People, Ideas & Objects developers will have become familiar with the manner in which the industry operates with their new software. And the service providers will have an understanding of the process they manage as to where the efficiencies and difficulties are. They will then be able to determine what is the optimal way in which to execute the process on behalf of industry, both in terms of costs and in terms of quality of service. Further iterations on the process can then be conducted from there.

This process of specialization and the division of labor has been limited in its value to the industry over the past number of decades. What a producer has had to achieve in terms of their administrative and accounting capabilities has been fixed and determined based on regulations and professional requirements. The scale of their data set in terms of preparing royalty calculations, for example, has been determined based on the number of properties the producer has, designating the number of accountants it needs. Each accountant conducting the same tasks for each property. There being no benefits that can be obtained from specialization and the division of labor due to the fact that these tools were not and could not be used. No matter the size of the producer firm.

In the future with the Preliminary Specification in place. The service provider will look at the process in a different manner. Understanding the same regulations and professional requirements are in place. They will have the computer power, the software development capabilities and software of People, Ideas & Objects, application of advanced scientific methods and the ideas, innovations, collaborations, creativity, research and resolution of issues of the people at that service provider to process the industries royalties each month. And the same will be the case at each of the service providers for the individual processes that they manage on behalf of the industry.

It will be in the second phase of development, after we have completed the Preliminary Specification. That we will be able to concentrate on developing software that focuses the service provider on the most efficient processes that the producer will see another bump up in their profitability. The first coming from the fact that the decentralized production model is in place, the second from the full use of specialization and the division of labor.

The Preliminary Specification provides the oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don't forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here. 

Why Focus on Profits

We have been focusing on profits here at People, Ideas & Objects and making them the key focus of the user community and our service providers. Why is it that we are providing the oil and gas producers with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. It is certainly a position that is counter to the culture of the industry. In that the industry operates on cash flow. Net earning do not hold much appeal to those that operate within the industry. Yet, as an investor, I am interested in investing my money in businesses that are proven to produce profitable operations. I have a broad choice of industries and businesses to choose from and oil and gas is but one of many that I assess on the same basis as the others.

Its a competitive investment marketplace for any oil and gas company to compete in. If a producer goes to an investor with performance showing the lack of profits for the last five years, they will receive a cool response. And the argument would be that you have to talk to someone who is familiar with the nuances of the oil and gas business. And in a cottage industry that is true. But when you compare the opportunity to invest in Apple, which is wildly profitable, oil and gas is a poor second cousin who can’t compete for the top tier investor.

The argument that would then be put up in defence of the producer would be that Apple will be subject to declines as a result of their innovative technologies running their course. And that is true, one day that will happen, just as the iPod is not what it once was. But for today they are very profitable with iPhones and iPads and they are earning money that they can then invest in their business to develop the next iteration, and the next innovation. This can be done without having to go to the investment community, or a bank to make those investments. They have the cash in hand, and a profitable business that drives those investments in future innovations and that keeps them in the marketplace that they choose to be in. Investors win by earning profits, upside on future innovations. All without the costs of having their investments diluted by adding new shareholders to finance basic investments.

What the oil and gas producers do in the current environment where they rely on cash flow is make themselves wholly dependent on others investment or banking practices to do the next deal. They have no discretionary capabilities in terms of how they will grow the business other than to go hat-in-hand to their benefactors or banks. This may have seemed like a reasonable business model when the business was in a development stage. However, as a primary industry with $3.5 trillion in revenues, to continue to operate it as a cottage industry is, I think, beneath the industries stature. Investors lose by not participating in a profitable industry, continually supporting their investments with more capital or watch their investments get diluted by further investments by others.

The focus on profits will provide the independence for the producer to pursue their optimal course, whatever that is. It might very well be a stand still strategy of not growing but maximize the profits from the assets that they have. The fact of the matter is that they will generate the resources necessary to open opportunities for the future, and also have the profitable operations as a secondary resource to depend on to keep that engine running. They won't have to go to the investors to ask for money or the banks, they will be able to operate with a certain level of independence. If you don't like shareholder activism, give them what they want, profits and earn a high level of independence from them. They'll be happy with the profits and the fact that they're interests are not being diluted by each years stock offering.

This is the reason the industry needs to adopt a model that focuses on profits. And only the Preliminary Specification with the decentralized production model can provide the industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. First by making the industry a price maker, instead of a price taker. And then secondly through the expansion of the industries capabilities through specialization and the division of labor. I suggest we develop the People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specification and user community and provide the oil and gas industry with an alternative means of organization. Then we can begin generating some real profits.

The Preliminary Specification provides the oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don't forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.