OCI Financial Marketplace, Part V
What About the Cash?
Let’s get to the real issue within the Financial Marketplace. Producer cash consumption. With each Joint Operating Committee being funded and operated through its own bank the cash of the producers will be scattered through a variety of accounts held within the various Joint Operating Committees they have an interest in. Or will they? Through this discussion we will trace the cash generated through the properties and the various operations that occur in the day-to-day of an oil & gas operation. What we will find is that from a cash balance point of view, the balance that the producer holds will be fundamentally unchanged. This is between the People, Ideas & Objects method of conducting business and the way it is done in the majority of today.
What happens today is the net proceeds from the operation of the property are determined, each working interest share of those proceeds are calculated, and depending on whether the property is generating or consuming cash a check or an invoice is sent. The difference in the People, Ideas & Objects system is that where the property generates cash instead of issuing a check, the balance will be transferred to the individual producers. In the case where the property consumed cash it would still send an invoice. There would need to be some operating advance provided for the Joint Operating Committee to deal with any shortfalls while these invoices were being processed by the producer firms. In times when there are capital expenditures, cash calls which are the norm in the industry, will offset the demand for cash.
One of the other key differences in the People, Ideas & Objects application modules is that the Joint Operating Committee is open to contributions from all participants. Producers pool their resources to fulfill the property requirements and that requires that each producer participate in some form or fashion. This is the pooling concept developed in the Preliminary Specification to deal specifically with anticipated resource restrictions in the earth science and engineering disciplines. Each month the Joint Operating Committee contributions are equalized in the process of determining net cash payable or receivable. They will be included in the joint venture billing. These equalized amounts will affect the cash balance in terms of the size of the payment. A producer could be compensated for the two components, the net proceeds of the property and their contribution through pooling and joint venture billing process.
We have specified the Oracle Fusion Application Financial Management Suite as part of the Preliminary Specification. For purposes of these cash management activities we will use the Oracle Cloud ERP for these cash management purposes. I would caution readers that the manner in which these accounts are cleared have not been worked out. That is the purpose of the Preliminary Specification. These are still early days and problems such as these need to be resolved within the Preliminary Specifications budget. Today, the optimal method of clearing balances in the joint account is through clearing accounts in the general ledger. There is no reason that we can’t modify that concept to allow for the contributions of all producers within a Joint Operating Committee to contribute to the joint account. These contributions can cleared as they are today, and then add the additional step of equalizing the contributions.
From another perspective, the interfaces to the variety of banks and producers' accounts for deposits and withdrawals will need to be worked through. Although this is not a technical issue, as all of this is being done today, the volume of transactions will be high compared to today’s traffic. Banks are well prepared for this. Producers are not. Particularly in Compliance & Governance. Automation of this type and at this level will make many people wince. They can continue with paper-based systems if they choose. The practical solution is that we build these systems with the appropriate internal controls to ensure that the process is managed efficiently and effectively and without the risks associated with this type of activity. The end result at the end of the day is that in today’s systems the Joint Operating Committee is essentially cleared of any cash balance. This will be the case in the future under the Preliminary Specifications Financial Marketplace module.
Cash Drainage
Due to the accounting methods used in oil & gas over the past four decades. Where the majority of overhead costs are capitalized on an average of 85% of the total. And when interest rates were high, interest costs were capitalized at high rates too. Large amounts of the producers' overhead are stored on the firm's balance sheet under property, plant and equipment. When capital costs are recognized on a unit of production method and that unit of production is the petroleum reserve, small amounts of capital costs are passed on to the consumers at any point in time. Therefore the cash used in paying these overhead and interest costs is not returned to the producer on a timely basis to meet the needs of the organization. The producer is left with seeking alternative sources of cash to cover the chronic shortfall of what business traditionally called the "cash float." In the past investors were called upon to make up the shortfall. They then learned the validity of such specious producer profits and moved on.
The Preliminary Specifications reorganization of the industry makes all producers' costs variable. Variable based on profitable production. If a property is unable to produce profitably, it can be shut-in without incurring an incremental loss. And therefore the producer increases their overall profitability when losses on properties no longer dilute profitable properties. Then producers can rely on consumers to replenish their funds to cover their overhead costs each month when they pass these costs directly on to them. While shut-in producers can determine what innovative methods of returning the property to profitable production.
We've accomplished this by restructuring administrative and accounting resources within the industry. By removing them from the producer firms and moving them to our user communities service provider organizations. Each service provider manages one process on behalf of the industry. If the property is shut-in, then no data will be generated, no service providers will perform work for that month, and no billings will be submitted to the Joint Operating Committee. This allows a producer to optimize profitability by moving up and down their production profiles.
Securitization
Securitization invokes the 2008 financial crisis with thoughts of mortgages purchased from banks, parsed based on their credit rating. These mortgages are repackaged as investments on Wall Street. Add in some sloppy accounting and poor legal work, some innovative ideas like synthetic credit derivative obligations, and then investors can see how such an idea can become the source of a banking crisis. Securitization, I think, has a role in the revised oil & gas industry. It could be a source of capital to develop the industry in the future. If working interest ownership positions within various Joint Operating Committees were repackaged as securitized investments and bought and sold on exchanges. Then some of the capital necessary to fund the next leg of the industry might be available.
Securitization is potentially enabled in the Preliminary Specification through service providers detailing their work at the Joint Operating Committee level. This is for administrative and accounting costs. Joint Operating Committees will have actual overhead resources to conduct these services, costs and revenues to administer the property. Add these detailed overhead costs to the detailed royalty and operating costs and all of the Joint Operating Committees actual costs in their entirety will be recognized. Actual detailed accounting each month! With the capital costs of the property known, under the Preliminary Specification the property can prepare auditable financial statements for any Joint Operating Committee and for any month of the year.
Therefore the net profits of the Joint Operating Committee can be calculated and determined accurately every month for every property. With the reserves data, working interests in these properties could be securitized and the producer could generate additional capital through the process. One other aspect of the Financial Marketplace module of the Preliminary Specification that is different is that due to the way the accounting is done, the operator and the working interest owners' overhead costs will be the same on a working interest basis. The operator will no longer carry the significant administrative and accounting resources and costs necessary to operate the properties on behalf of the Joint Operating Committees. And they will not be forced to capitalize these costs to hide them. The actual costs incurred by service providers will be distributed based on working interest distribution to all working interest owners. And this is why producers will use service providers for their administrative and accounting needs. Sharing the cost of a variable cost, industry-based capability offsets the need for each producer to develop their own in-house, fixed capacity and capability for administration and accounting.
The Who, What, Where, When and Why of Investment Decisions
The speed and performance of the innovative and profitable oil & gas producer come about due to demands from the capital markets. Investors want to deploy their capital at that critical moment when results are about to be achieved. Such is the way of their business. Having a faster capital turnover is a means of increasing its effectiveness. Innovative and profitable producers that replicate this turnover within their organization will gain market recognition for their speed and performance. Speed is good, but not at the expense of performance. Quickly drilling dry wells doesn’t impress anyone. It is a reasonable approach to this tradeoff.
There also needs to be a means to control what the firm is involved in in terms of investment criteria. This will be managed through the “Capital Allocation Interface” of the Financial Marketplace module. All investments are assessed based on their expected returns and risk profiles. It is imperative that the firm evaluates every opportunity and critically reviews the results. This is to ensure their investment selections are appropriate and within the framework of what the producer can do.
And let’s be clear, most if not all producers have these processes operating within their organizations. However not within the organization's financial domain. What is proposed here in the Financial Marketplace module is controversial because the administration of these processes will be within the organization's financial jurisdiction. One in which this falls under the responsibility of the Chief Financial Officer and is administered in the Financial Marketplace module. It is my opinion that the CFO will continue to move away from a financial to a more technical background. Having a geologist or engineer as CFO may become the norm in the future. The CFO will have technical accounting aspects provided to them by their accounting firm, service providers and staff. Their ability to discern which projects to proceed with will be due to collaborations conducted within the speed, performance and control decision processes. In addition, they will participate in senior management and executive meetings. However, having these decision processes managed by a CFO who is an accountant would be the same as giving the keys to the Ferrari to a teenager. What positive outcome would be expected?
To manage these processes we turn to the Oracle Middleware layer and specifically the Oracle Business Process Management Suite. We need to take these from the spreadsheet and ad hoc nature they're currently managed under. We need to put them through a defined and rigorous process that meets the organization's needs. From the C-class executives to the people who grind out the calculations. The decision process has to be defined and managed by software within the organization. It also needs to be highly collaborative with the decision-making process and well documented. It will be in this way that a firm can learn from what it is doing wrong, perhaps most importantly. Moreover, it can learn from what it does right. Right down to the details of who came up with the idea and who pushed it through. And then everyone will be able to answer who is responsible for that last big success in the firm.
Conclusion
I have criticized the officers and directors of the oil & gas producers. They have resisted the changes proposed in the Preliminary Specification and governed as if all was well. It needs to be asked if the oil & gas industry is the same industry when it receives $100.00 for its products when only a few years ago it received $25.00? I’m not sure it is the same. There has been a fundamental change from a low cost energy era, to an era that will see the rise of the innovation focused dynamic producer. The type of producer in these two domains is fundamentally different. The Preliminary Specification is designed for innovative producers. To make the transition from the low cost energy era to the era of innovation focused dynamic producers will require that we build the Preliminary Specification first. The Financial Marketplace module is a critical aspect of the Preliminary Specification. By aligning the industry's financial framework with the legal, operational decision making, cultural, communication, innovation, strategic, compliance and governance frameworks we will achieve the speed, accountability, innovativeness and profitability we desire. In his book “The Dynamics of Industrial Capitalism,” Professor Langlois notes.
As soon as we go into details and inquire into the individual items in which progress was most conspicuous, the trail leads not to the doors of those firms that work under conditions of comparatively free competition but precisely to the doors of the large concerns – which, as in the case of agricultural machinery, also account for much of the progress in the competitive sector – and a shocking suspicion dawns upon us that big business may have had more to do with creating [the modern] standard of life than with keeping it down. (Schumpeter 1950 [1976, p. 82].) p. 2
My two criticisms are that the officers and directors operate too slowly, and innovativeness is non-existent. In the financial marketplace the pace of activity will need to accelerate and mirror the changes in the producers. I think we have addressed these with the changes documented here in the Preliminary Specification.
Schumpeter’s account of progressive rationalization takes the form of a contrast between two modes of economic organization, modes roughly cognate to the difference between the small owner-managed firm and the large multi-unit enterprise. Characteristically, however, the issue in Schumpeter is a dynamic one: he is concerned with the respective merits of these two modes of organization not in the static allocation of existing resources but in generation of economic change and growth. The paradox of Schumpeter is that he famously defended, and has come to be associated with, both of these modes as drivers of economic growth. Schumpeter has returned to prominence today as champion of the role of bold entrepreneurs in creating new combinations and redirecting the means of production into new channels, to such an extent that he is revered as an inspiration to the present-day field of entrepreneurship studies (Shane and Venkataraman, 2000). In this (Schumpeterian) literature, the force behind economic growth comes from individuals or small groups of individuals who work mostly outside the established structure of organization rather than from within it. pp. 17 - 18
It doesn't matter what configuration the producer firm is in, big or small, lean or bloated with bureaucracy. The future requires that we can provide for the market's energy needs. The financial crisis is providing relief in terms of a reduction in global economic growth and reduced energy demand. Eventually the increase in energy demand will resume and that is not something we can currently contemplate. What we have proven here in the Financial Marketplace module is that innovative and profitable oil & gas producers will demand more efficient capital structures. Those structures lead to the overall performance of the producer and the Joint Operating Committees they participate in. We need to get our heads around this energy demand situation and start dealing with a solution. Muddling through just seems too risky.