Priority One in North American Oil and Gas
Is it possible the bureaucrats have taken the advice inherent in the Preliminary Specification to heart? Accepting oil and gas commodities are economic price makers and that North American producers' chronic overproduction has caused these prices to collapse over the past number of decades. Have they now determined that this may be the key to a new level of prosperity for them if they were to adopt their own price maker mechanism in some form as their strategy? What I stated in Tuesday’s blog post is valid and understandable by most people, “you can’t get blood from a rock.” Which is possibly the most common saying but there’s many others. No one’s interested, unless they occupy that obscure group known as auditors, in metaphorically kicking dead horses. With signs of life being evident in the price of oil and gas. I would have to say that it’s primarily driven by a renewed belief that clean energy is not going to carry the freight and we’ve all maybe misunderstood, as consumers, the real value of oil and gas. The Texas snow storm was the beginning of this realization. California is always a leader in such things and Europe, who has been one of the largest proponents of clean energy these past decades, are each experiencing their folly and consequences of their prior bad decisions. And it’s only September. I’ve quoted this specific quote of Winston Churchill’s a number of times before. It may be appropriate to review it again.
In Churchill’s speech we may be reminded of certain human characteristics which have not changed after all these years: “There is nothing new in the story….It falls into that long, dismal catalogue of the fruitlessness of experience and the confirmed unteachability of mankind. Want of foresight, unwillingness to act when action would be simple and effective, lack of clear thinking, confusion of counsel until the emergency comes, until self-preservation strikes its jarring gong—these are the features which constitute the endless repetition of history.”
The more important point to make is that instead of being the lost cause and everybody’s second cousin that you don’t necessarily have to talk to. Oil and gas is now everyone’s favorite son. There’s value being seen again and the potential for an alleged amount of free cash flow being generated. This has two detrimental effects for our good friends, the bureaucrats. The first, which they may not have foreseen, will have them reflecting positively on the times where oil sold for negative $40. This first effect is the new level of expectations the capital markets have already placed on producers. They’re going to have to perform now. Where is the upside in investing in the firm? If a stock offering were to be prepared, who would be interested in paying these higher share prices? And they’ll need to be accountable for that performance with the expectation that they’ll meet or exceed the capital market returns available from other industries. Unfortunately they’re now on record as of August 31, 2021, just one month ago, with their decision that proves they can’t, won’t and will not ever make the changes to commence the effort to begin to account for their actions. That leaves them relying on their legacy and historical record of performance as to how they’ll manage the future of their enterprises. And their shareholders can take that to their virtual bank accounts.
The second point is the money itself. And more importantly who outside the bureaucrats will ever see it. Will oil and gas continue to provide these persistent bureaucrats with the means to continue expanding their wealth. Knowing how to avoid disintermediation has turned out to be a far more valuable business for them. Or will producer firms begin to be rebuilt by the investors in the vision of a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable footing as offered in the Preliminary Specification? I have documented the specious nature of the oil and gas producers earnings that were reported. With this alleged money now on the table the fight will begin in earnest. The two combatants positions are well defined and could not be in further opposition with one another. On one side is the oil and gas investor, who on a wholesale basis suspended their support of the producers starting in 2015. Banks are of a similar mind. And the producer firms themselves who have done nothing to remediate any of their past actions, performance or accountability, they’d muddle through as their holistic strategy. Who are now on record to not be seeking heightened accountability as their response to the direct request from their investors. Producers who have turned their back on oil and gas when they were no longer able to provide a future vision that was viable and commercial under their management. And in unauthorized fashion shifted the focus of their firm's to the “clean energy” industry. These are the positions of these two adversaries and the acceptance or rejection of either will be sorted in the short term. And I would suggest the resolution of this point will be the industry's first order of business.
As background we have an industry that is operated on the basis of ERP systems that are designed, mostly through financial neglect that is deliberate on the producer bureaucrats behalf, to be part of their overall opaque accountability. Systems that are not provided by tier 1 ERP systems providers or developed within the past few decades of this century. It has been an expressed request by the investors that the producers adopt a tier 1 ERP system such as Oracle Cloud ERP, the base of the Preliminary Specification, to begin managing their operations and to make them accountable. Producers' choice to keep the existing ERP systems providers on a starvation diet since 2005 has been effective. Therefore never creating any competing capability or capacity to their franchise. Yet there has been a technological revolution that is leading to new, innovative and dynamic business models that are transforming primary and secondary industries throughout North America. Disintermediation is resisted by the status quo in all of these industries that are subject to its principles. Resistance to disintermediation can best be achieved through the budget process to solidify the ERP’s systems support of the bureaucracy. Organizational change therefore is otherwise impossible.
We have a record of performance in oil and gas that is well below sub par and wholly misrepresented in the financial statements of the producer firms. This misrepresentation continues with a cover up being obscured through the lack of appropriate systems development. My competitors have done remarkable work without even scraps being thrown their way. Now we have two well defined visions of the next generation of oil and gas. One involving continued unaccountably, poor performance and an abandonment of the primary business of oil and gas for the pursuit of a new industry in which producers have no capability or capacity. That being their commitment to clean energy. Where failure will somehow happen daily but never discourage those who are committed to saving the environment. Who will argue with that? The other being the Preliminary Specification which is designed for the commercialization of North American energy independence, which includes shale. Has a defined value proposition that deals with these issues and sets the industry on an appropriate course of action. Does anyone in the industry argue that profits are what are needed and the lack of profits are what have brought us to this disaster?
There’s going to be an ever growing stack of money being made by someone. If we expect those that have authored the damage and destruction of the industry to this point. Who have shifted their focus to clean energy in hopes of sealing a future of absolute unaccountability. Who have violently, from my perspective, resisted the opportunity to orchestrate the change voluntarily and set the industry on an appropriate trajectory. If you believe the producers, then there’s good news, you’ll no longer have to read anything that I write. If you believe the hype coming from the boom birds who’ve brought these claims to us before and then only invoked the excuse, blaming and viable scapegoats as to why it failed. That could be sooner than you think. This will be the 146th declared boom from these people in the time that I’m aware of. Theirs has worked before, I hope for everyone's sake that we don’t get fooled again.
On the other hand we have no shortage of work to do. Much needs to be done in the next few years. The Preliminary Specification needs to be built. The engineering and geological explicit knowledge needs to be captured as Intellectual Property and developed. New oil and gas firms need to be formed, capitalized and organized. Assets need to be transferred to these new producers in innovative, strategic and tactical ways. In this process we’ll all be helping the current producers to travel faster down their chosen journey to clean energy by disposing of dirty oil. This transition to the Preliminary Specification is something that must be done to deal with the financial difficulties the industry is plagued with from the current administration. This also needs to be done as preparation for the future. And to learn from the experience of this transition as we’ll be faced repeatedly with situations that share this same scope and scale of change in the near future of this business. We’ll therefore be somewhat prepared and experienced in challenges of this nature. Please review our Production Rights to see how everyone can participate in making this new oil and gas industry happen. An industry where it will be less important who you know, but what you know and what you're capable of delivering, what the value proposition is that you’re offering?
Those interested in joining our user community are People, Ideas & Objects priority and focus. The Preliminary Specification, our user community and their service provider organizations provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations, everywhere and always. Setting the foundation for profitable North American energy independence, everywhere and always. In addition, our software organizes the Intellectual Property of the exploration and production processes owned by the engineers and geologists. Enabling them to monetize their IP for a new oil & gas industry to begin with a means to be dynamic, innovative and performance oriented. Providing a new investment opportunity for those who see a bright future in the industry. A place where their administrative, accounting, exploration and production can be handled for the 21st century. People, Ideas & Objects have joined GETTR and can be reached there. Anyone can contact me at 713-965-6720 in Houston or 587-735-2302 in Calgary, or email me here.