One Implication of the Decentralized Production Model
What the decentralized production model does is turn the oil and gas industry into a price maker. This leaves their history as a price taker far behind. And it does it in a way that doesn't require them to collude or break the law in any way. All they have to do is focus on profitable production. If a property doesn’t produce a profit, shut it in and try to innovate ways to bring it back on production profitably.
People, Ideas & Objects decentralized production model works by stripping the innovative producer down to the C class executives, the earth science and engineering resources, land and legal and some support staff. Reallocating the remainder of the firms resources to service providers who are focused on a process or subprocess and are using the entire industry as their client base. The service providers are then able to provide their services based on a heightened level of specialization and division of labor. Providing their services, such as lease rental payments, production, revenue or royalty accounting etc. directly to the Joint Operating Committee that incurs the service. The fee for the administration and accounting services goes directly to the Joint Operating Committee that incurs the service.
As a result when the property is shut-in there are no activities that invoke the various processes for administrative or accounting service providers to incur any of their services. And hence none of their services are charged to the Joint Operating Committee. Therefore during times of shut-in production only the costs of capital are uncovered. There will be no operation, administration or accounting charges to the Joint Operating Committee. And the property will report a null operation. No profits but also no losses. The reserves will be held for a time when they can be produced profitably and the natural gas marketplace has a floor placed on the gas price.
The net result is that the pricing model of the industry is changed to higher values to enable the profitable production. The dynamic that exists in the marketplace today is that there is enough shale gas making up the production profile that it will be more than just the swing production. It will define what the level of profitable production will be, based on shale gas costs.
Therefore the conventional gas costs, which are substantially lower, will not factor in to what the pricing model requires. They will be profitable, highly profitable at all times. This assumes that the conventional gas properties can maintain reasonable production profiles and keep their operational costs low.
The decentralized production model is a business model for the innovative oil and gas producer. It is also a new economic model for the natural gas business. One that is based on the highest cost production. As it is only that high cost production that will come on to the market when a profitable price is received. And since shale is already approximately 40% of the North American production profile. Its costs will be the determining factor to its arrival on the marketplace.
Therefore CNRL’s acquisition of conventional assets at this time may be timely if the decentralized production model becomes the business model that operates within the industry. Maybe they know something that Devon and I don't know, a guy can always dream.
The Preliminary Specification provides the oil and gas producer with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don't forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.