Wednesday, February 15, 2006

Plurality Dr. Giovanni Dosi

Note to Reader. I am publishing the "Plurality" document I frequently refer to in this blog. This will enable searching based on the text within the entire document. The word count is approximately 35,000 words and is provided as background for the discussions.

A number of technology changes have occured since it was originally published in 2004. IBM has chosen not to support this effort, and as a result I am replacing the components of the technology architecture as the opportunities and needs require. We are moving to the Sun strictly for their support of Java, and the synergies of the visions. As I recently noted, Ingress would be the database that we will use. Other then that, I have chosen to host the entire development and operating environment on Sun's Grid and as funds become available we will secure those resources.

References are to the literature noted in the bibliography. So here it is, warts and all. I hope you enjoy it, any and all comments are welcomed and appreciated.

Thank you

Paul Cox



Summary and application to oil and gas firms of Dr. Giovanni Dosi’s article. “Sources, Procedures and Microeconomic Effects of Innovation.” September 1988, Journal of Economic Literature Volume XXVI pp. 1120 - 1171

Introduction

Dr. Giovanni Dosi’s article discusses the role of innovation in the market economy and assumes companies in a free market are willing to invest in science and technologies to advance the competitive nature of their product offering or internal processes. The key aspects of Dr. Dosi’s theories that make them directly applicable to oil and gas are the innovation theories application to earth science and engineering disciplines. These disciplines are key to the capability and success of oil and gas firm’s search, and production of, hydrocarbons. The investment in science and technologies is with the implicit expectation of a return on these investments, but also, to provide the firm with additional structural competitive advantages by moving their products costs and / or capabilities beyond that of the competition.

With the substantial upward revision in pricing of oil and gas commodities, new microeconomic models are developing based on these pricing realities. It is this research’s assumption that the search, discovery and production of hydrocarbons and the underlying earth sciences and engineering will develop faster than in the past, and at the same time, become more of a differentiation between the producer’s capability. Consistent with the revisions in the underlying sciences is the need for the development of alternative organizational structures and processes designed to support the acceleration of scientific and technical innovations. It is the understanding and application of the sciences that would be enhanced through collaboration through the joint operating committee, ultimately leading to an enhanced overall innovativeness for the producer. Mr. Matthew R. Simmons (http://www.simmonsco-intl.com/) states the science and technology of oil and gas is second only to the the space industry.

Petroleum companies’ business models have begun to undertake significant transformations in the form of higher risk profiles and different assumptions regarding the allocation of capital risks. These are accurately reflected in Encana’s Greater Sierra and Cutbank Ridge properties in Northern British Columbia, and the commercial development of the oil sands in Alberta.

Dr. Dosi’s paper discusses and asks what are “the sources of innovations opportunities, what are the roles of markets in allocating resources to the exploration of these opportunities”? (p. 1121).

This research in oil and gas attempts to focus the points of:

  • The main characteristics of the innovation process.
  • The factors that are conducive to or hinder the development of new processes of production and new products.
  • The processes that determine the selection of particular innovations and their effects on industrial structures.
  • There are two major issues identified by Dr. Dosi:
  • The first issue is the characterization in general of the innovative process.
  • And second, the interpretation of the factors that account for observed differences in the modes of innovative search and in the rates of innovation between different sectors and firms, and over time.
Dr. Dosi then makes the statements that,

“The search, development and adoption of new processes and products in market economies are the outcome of the interaction between:” (p. 1121)

  • “Capabilities and stimuli generated with each firm and within the industry of which they compete.”
For the purposes of this research in oil and gas the focus will fall primarily on the organizational capability of the firm. It should also be emphasized that innovations are based on both the firm and the industry. Co-ordination of the capabilities and stimuli of both the firm and the industry would therefore need to be advanced through changes in the organizational structure. (p. 1121)

  • “Broader causes external to the individual industries, such as the state of science in different branches, the facilities for the communication of knowledge, the supply of technical capabilities, skills, engineers etc.”
“Additional issues include the conditions controlling occupational and geo - graphical mobility and or consumer promptness / resistance to change, market conditions, financial facilities and capabilities and the criteria used to allocate funds. Microeconomic trends in the effects on changes in relative prices of inputs and outputs, including public policy. (regulations, tax codes, patent and trademark laws and public procurement.)” (p. 1121)

Based on the capabilities and stimuli of innovation present in the oil and gas sector, particularly the microeconomic effect of the commodity prices, it is reasonable to conclude that independent producers of oil and gas would be an area where significant innovation can and needs to occur. The primary reasons for the future enhanced innovation is due to the following analysis of the industry.

The capacity to enhance reserves is significantly more challenging than as little as five years ago. Exploitation is generally expected to continue, however, an enhanced role for various degrees and types of exploration is expected to commence. The energy frontier brings many new risks and complexity in the area of technical, political and the environment. These account for much of the changes in stimuli and capability that Dr. Dosi states are required to facilitate further innovation.

Secondly, the microeconomic trends associated with changes in the relative prices of outputs. Oil and gas prices are beginning to reflect the scarcity, importance and value of these commodities to society.
Although Dr. Dosi states that the majority of his paper is based on a products improvement and development. It is just as appropriate for internal and external business processes, and the organizational structure of an oil and gas firm to be redefined to enable, and facilitate innovation. This innovation would further the development of the scientific infrastructure of oil and gas exploration and production. That is the hypothesis and purpose of this research paper and Dr. Giovanni Dosi’s theory will be described in the following sections with its specific application to oil and gas.

Searching for innovation - The General Patterns

In his analysis Dr. Dosi asserts that the amounts of capital expended in the pursuit of research and development is augmented by a large indirect expenditure of “learning by doing” (p. 1124) and “learning by using” (p. 1125). These costs are tacitly incurred and difficult to identify and quantify, and that countries, industries, companies and individuals can and do innovate at different rates.

These costs are further quantified by classifying these into the following four categories:

  • “Formalized costs and processes of search whose costs are measured.” (p. 1125).
  • “Informal processes of diffusion of information and of technical capabilities.” (p. 1125)
  • Those particular processes of internalizing what is learned from externalized processes of learning by doing and learning by using.
  • The adoption of innovation, which is embodied in the capital equipment employed and intermediate inputs sourced from other industries.
Each of these four categories of the costs of innovation can be directly or indirectly applied to the organizational structure. And this research would restate a salient point of Giddens (1984) structuration theory; and ask how much of an oil and gas company’s innovativeness is attributable to the capabilities defined by the organizational structure?

Dosi then sets the stage with his research questions:

First the nature of the process of a firm in taking a promising technology, or economic opportunity and seeing it to its actual development. “That is, what do people actually do? How do they search? Why do sectors differ in their search procedures and effectiveness?”

“Second, one needs to determine the direction that technological change is taking society? Are there other factors in the patterns of technological change?” (p. 1125)

Thirdly, Dosi asserts there is a “propensity to innovate” that needs to be identified and asserted as to what a company is “capable of” which is not easily replicated, and different based on unique and mutually supporting internal (the organizational structure) and external components. Stating that these are the result of two identified phenomenon, which will be discussed in the next section. (p. 1125)

In oil and gas varying rates of capability can best be compared by analyzing revenues per employee as an indicator of innovation. For example, Canadian Natural Resources Ltd.’s (CNRL) 2002 annual report reports it has achieved almost $3 million in production revenue per employee whereas during 2001, a time of higher oil and gas prices, Vintage Petroleum Ltd attained approximately $950,000 in revenue per employee. These differences in performance are imputed to be the overall net result of the cumulative investments, in both organizational and science based capabilities, and innovativeness of the firms. In 1980 this factor was calculated for Aquitaine Company of Canada Ltd, which was one of the first to attain the level of slightly over $1 million revenue dollars per employee. This therefore does not reflect well on the performance of Vintage and reflects, that all things considered, CNRL has achieved three fold productivity increases in comparison to Vintage and of comparatively high performing firms in the industry during the early 1980’s.

These disparities in revenues are assumed by this research paper to be a result of the cumulative direct and indirect investments by these firms in innovative capability, again all things being equal. Questioning of this factor will be conducted to dispute the conclusions contained within this report, however, this paper asserts that production revenue per employee is an effective means of determining a company’s capability regarding the application and use of the appropriate sciences and innovativeness. With respect to Dr. Dosi’s work, what is it that CNRL does and Vintage doesn’t do that creates such disparity?

Innovation: The characteristics of the search process.

Much analysis has been undertaken to determine the actual outputs from innovation and compare those to the input costs and attempt, as one does in today’s technology environment, to determine a return on investment on technology, innovation, research and development.

Dosi reviews a number of studies that focus on quantifying the output part of the equation. These are comprehensive in their number, heterogeneous in their conclusions, yet, Dosi feels he has been able to find a number of threads that determine which factors or characteristics are influential and of crucial importance in the economics of technological change.

Problem solving of technical paradigms, the purpose of innovation.

Dosi states (1988) “In very general terms, technological innovation involves or is the solution to problems.” Dr. Dosi goes on to further define this as “In other words, an innovative solution to a certain problem involves “discovery” (of the problem) and “creation” since no general algorithm can be derived from the information about the problems. Solutions to technological problems involve the use of information derived from experience and formal knowledge. It is the specific and un-codified capabilities, or tacit-ness” as Dr. Dosi (1988) describes “on the part of the inventors who discover the creative solution.” (p. 1125). This statement accurately describes this authors opinion regarding the collaborations that should be undertaken by the SJOC.

It is therefore asked specifically, how can the knowledge, information and capability of oil and gas firms solve the technical and scientific problems of the future? How can a firm more effectively employ its capability to solve problems and facilitate the discovery of new problems and creation of their solutions? Clearly some companies are more effective at this process then others, but this research in oil and gas asks, is there a means for an organization to provide a quantum increase in its ability to innovate that leads to higher trajectories of performance based on production revenue per employee?

Genesys® has documented and identified the issue regarding the IBM Workplace / WebSphere toolset, and its effect on corporate ERP systems and has proposed a solution to industry based on a fundamental value proposition. These solutions are documented in this research and the February 2003 ERP proposal contained in this reports appendix. Oil and gas firms should seek to undertake these solutions as the beginning of their move towards a more innovatively capable organizational structure.

Dr. Dosi asserts a crucial point in that technology and sector specific variety of knowledge, based on innovative search, implies different degrees of tacit-ness of the underlying knowledge of the innovative success. This helps to explain the differences across sectors of the typical organization’s capabilities to conduct research and innovative activities. Whatever the knowledge base on which innovation draws, each problem solving activity implies the development and refinement of “models” and specific procedures.

Dr. Dosi believes there is an underlying strong tie-in between the natural sciences and the development of technologies. Using the Aristolian and Platonic “paradigms” of understanding of science, when these scientific paradigms are proven to be more complex or different, the underlying technology change can replicate that seen in the natural sciences.

This researcher asks, if the knowledge of the underlying oil and gas sciences increases in its understanding, what organizational structure can best facilitate innovation? Would “any” organizational structure have a requirement to parallel the changes and developments in the sciences? How are the scientific problems, the refinement of models, the discovery and success of innovative thinking communicated throughout a bureaucracy? Self-organizing teams, as represented by the joint operating committee, provide the most effective and efficient means of organizational structure.
Technological Paradigms and Patterns of Innovation: Technological trajectories.

The definition of a technological trajectory is the activity of technological process along the economic and technological trade offs defined by a paradigm. Dosi (1988) states “Trade-offs being defined as the compromise, and technical capabilities that define horsepower, gross takeoff weight, cruise speed, wing load and cruise range in civilian and military aircraft.” This research assumes the technical trade-off in oil and gas is accurately reflected in the commodity pricing. (p. 1128)

These trade-offs facilitate the ability for industries to innovate on the changing technical and scientific paradigms. Crucial to the facilitation of these trade-offs is a fundamental component that spurs the change and is usually abundant and available at low costs. For innovation to occur in oil and gas, this paper asserts that the ability to seek and find knowledge, and to collaborate are two “commodities” that are abundant today. With their inherent low direct costs, knowledge and collaboration are the triggers for a number of technical paradigms which will provide companies with fundamental innovations.

An excellent example of this would be the discovery of the north-south orientation of horizontal under-balanced drilling in the Jean Marie formation of British Columbia, where knowledge and collaboration lead to a fundamental low cost solution to a technical problem. This simple change, reflecting the effect of the thrust of the Rocky Mountains, has lead to significant findings and deliverability of gas.

Technology: Freely available information or specific knowledge.

Dr. Dosi notes that although the free movement of information has occurred in industries for many years, yet has never been easily transferable to other companies within those industries. The ability to replicate a competitive advantage from another company is not as easy, and may indeed not be worthwhile doing. Dosi (1988) goes one step further and states, “even with technology license agreements, they do not stand as an all or nothing substitute for in house search.” A firm needs to develop “substantial in-house capacity in order to recognize, evaluate, negotiate and finally adapt the technology potentially available from others.” Therefore why bother, and why not just focus on the need to increase the company’s own unique and specific competitive sources and directions. (p. 1132)

This also imputes that the free flow of information between producers through collaborations in the joint operating committee would increase the knowledge, yet not expose anyone of the specific organizations to any specific losses of key knowledge or proprietary information or capability.
Information’s shelf life expires faster each day. Knowledge and information need to be employed and deployed where and when they are required. This research’s collaborative method of employing the intellectual property might facilitate a greater value, to the participating producer, and would provide the groundwork for future innovations and expansion of the underlying engineering and earth sciences. And although no specific proof of this can be sourced at this time, today’s hierarchical organizational structure is the impediment to the speed of innovation developments, its adoption and application, and it is asserted through this paper that this is tacitly understood.

Dr. Dosi (1988) cites the dichotomy of Adam Smith in that organizations are comprised of those that “system learning effects on economic efficiency by way of the division of labor, and the degrading brutality of repetitive and mindless task simply for some workers. These support the “how to do things” and “how to improve them” (p.1133).

This dichotomy reflects the challenge of improving the processes and products through trial and error, with heavy emphasis on the error. The ability to accurately predict the success or failure of a new idea contains inherent high risks and hence high rewards. This is one of the constraining factors in implementing innovative thinking, in that no one wants to be proven wrong. Whereas, even if the idea fails the ability to test the theory, the failure may ultimately lead to and may be the key to discovery.
Society dictates certain norms employed by staff is, to do as they are told and in some cases not to think. Even if they do think of other ways, cultural influences may silence otherwise worthwhile suggestions and innovations. This is the area that needs to be fully comprehended and why Dr. Wanda Orlikowski’s model of technology structuration needs to be considered. It states that technology is a component of society and organizations, and therefore society and human resources have to move forward in concert, and that power needs to be asserted to affect change. An imbalance in the three components leads to failure. If all staff became innovative overnight, it would probably precipitate the rapid decline of a firm.

Dr. Dosi asserts that the structure of financing innovation is constrained by the budget process, rules and meta rules that companies will spend x% of sales on research and development, and that this style of thinking curtails these factors when interest rates are high or profits are low. These facts help to precipitate the need for a longer-term approach to innovation. Dr. Dosi asserts organizations need to move beyond the next quarter’s performance criteria and build sustainable competitive advantages for the future. With the current low interest rate environment, and the essentially free access to information are two key drivers for a major trend in innovation. Companies unprepared for the outcomes of their competitor’s innovative investments may discover problems earlier then they expected. Nonetheless the purpose in budget rules and regulations are how managers seek to control the future and reduce the uncertainty inherent in innovative search without eliminating it.

A strong balance needs to be achieved in dealing with the difficulties of managing an enterprise in the future. As described above, the day-to-day management must be handled properly, yet the future is highly dependent on innovations in the sciences of oil and gas. Can the hierarchical structure of today’s organization continue to serve these two disparate objectives? Does the firm need to employ alternate styles of organizational structure that serves both ends of this phenomenon?

Opportunities, incentives, and the inter-sectoral patterns of innovation.

Discussing the nature of the opportunities and knowledge on which innovations are drawn. And the manner that incentives lead profit motivated actors to innovate and or imitate. It is Dosi’s argument that the innovation process helped to explain why sectors differ in their modes and rates of innovation. Moreover, firms within each industry differ in their propensity to innovate. This research in oil and gas is extending this thinking to further define the industry as a “cluster” as Dr. Michael E. Porter has documented in his work on competition, and his definition of a cluster being a local area that has developed significant competitive abilities that competes on a global scale. Silicon Valley is an example of a cluster in high technology.

To facilitate the effective and efficient means of competition within a cluster requires collaboration amongst its participants. This is the key to extending the reach and understanding of the science within the cluster for the benefits of each organization. It is the cluster vs. cluster that is the basis of the competitive force in the near future, especially as many of the independent producers that this research is directed at are in pursuit of international opportunities.

It should also be questioned that in the search for oil and gas, how much of the scientific capability of a producer is dependent on a standard or historical basis of competitive understanding and capability, and how much is based on a future understanding of cooperation within a cluster and / or competition against unknown and unseen global participants?

Dosi (1988) states that profit motivated agents must involve both “the perception of some sort of opportunity and an effective set of incentives.” (p. 1135) Dr. Dosi introduces the theory of Schmookler (1966) and asked “are the observed inter-sectoral differences in innovative investment the outcome of different incentive structures, different opportunities or both”? (p. 1135) Schmookler believed in differing degrees of economic activity derived from the same innovative inputs. Using the factor of revenue per employee helps to define and clarify the value in assessing the observed inter-sectoral differences of an oil and gas company in investment outcome. This also reflects that “different incentive structures” and “different opportunities” are also the product of the organizational structure. This is made explicit in this research paper by invoking Giddens structuration theory. This paper is stating the ERP system that tacitly and explicitly supports the bureaucratic hierarchy is also a component of Dosi’s (1988) “different incentive structures” and “different opportunities” as they indirectly affect the capacity to innovate.

Technological opportunities: Exogenous Science and Specific Learning.

Technological paradigms have been directly linked with major scientific breakthroughs, from the discovery of the transistor to the development of modern computer technologies. Dr. Dosi is stating that these links between science and technology have been very evident since the days of Leonardo da Vinci and Galileo. What was unique to the 20th century was that the need to generate and utilize scientific knowledge, was internal to, and often a necessary condition of the development of new technology paradigms. Up until the end of the 19th century, most technological innovations were the developments of imaginative craftsmen. Many of the 20th century developments were the result of multiple disciplines, such as physics and microelectronics, whose scientists were awarded the Nobel Prize in 1962 for the semi-conductor.

Dr. Dosi then concludes that scientific input into the innovation process is evidence of the importance of factors exogenous to competitive forces among private economically motivated actors. This is subject to two important qualifications.

  • Science and technology are self-fulfilling in their developments.
  • Scientific advances play a major direct role, especially at an early phase of development of new technological paradigms.
These points support Dosi’s (1988) assertion that “general scientific knowledge yields a widening pool of potential technological paradigms,” where the greatest value is attained in the earlier stages. Dr. Dosi analyzes the specific mechanisms through which a few of these potential paradigms are actually developed economically, subsequently applied, and that often have become dominate in their industry.

The process of selection depends on the following factors (p. 1136):
  • “The nature and interests of the bridging institutions between pure research and economic applications.” (p. 1136)
  • “Institutional factors that drive the technology or science, such as (the military)”. (p. 1137)
  • The selection criteria of markets and or techno-economic requirements of early users. (p. 1137) (NASA, Pentagon the FDA and Nuclear Reactors for the Navy)
  • Trial and error associated with the Schumpeterian entrepreneurship.
Dr. Dosi (1988) continues on to assert that much of the innovativeness of a firm is dependent on technology more than science, and is based on several implications. The first implication being the net benefactor of the cumulativeness, tacit-ness and technological knowledge implies that “innovation and the capabilities for pursuing them are to an extent local and firm specific”. Secondly, the “opportunity for technological advances in any one economic activity can also be expected to, and constrained, by the characteristics of each technological paradigm and its degree of maturity”. This is further defined by the technological and scientific capabilities, and the advances made by suppliers and customers. (p. 1137)

How can the oil and gas sector sponsor or drive this capability, is this happenstance, or is there an invisible hand at work. If there were a more direct approach in innovation, what would the effect be?
Dr. Dosi (1988) references Scherer who states that this “inter-industry component must be attributed to upwards of a 42.5% variance in industry.” This research paper is imputing that innovation should now be considered an operating strategy that provides a significant means of competitive differentiation. The idea of technological paradigm bound industry and innovation is consistent with the findings of Simon Kuznets (1930) and Arthur Burns (1934) about a “secular retardation in the growth of output and productivity from the gradual exhaustion of technological opportunities along particular trajectories.” (p. 1138)

“New technology paradigms stimulate and reshape the patterns of opportunities of technical progress in terms of both the scope of potential innovations and ease with which they are achieved.” This is stated as the possible reason why we have not seen an approach to a “stationary state”. (p. 1138). Or has the theory of constraints now invoked the “Limits to Growth.”

Two separate phenomenon are observed as a result of this:

“First, new technological paradigms have continuously brought forward new opportunities for product development and productivity increases.” (p. 1138)

Secondly “A rather uniform, characteristic of the observed technological trajectories is their wide scope for mechanization, specialization and division of labor within and among plants and industries”. This paper extends this phenomenon to include the organizational structure and the method of parsing out tasks and roles based on the processes requirements. (Accountants, engineers, geologists etc.) (p. 1138)

How much of the current domestic capability of the oil and gas industry in Canada can be further exploited as the base of science and innovation? And can this “cluster” provide an international producer with greater competitive capabilities in the global marketplace? What is the plan to house this capability, and will the bureaucracy as represented in the structured hierarchy survive and prosper with global competitors? Is there an understanding and/or expectation that the constraints that bind the organization, such as the ERP system, will inhibit the transformation to a new global competitiveness?

Ronald Reagan said about implementing Reaganomics, “if not us, then whom, and if not know, then when.” This paper asks the same question regarding the proposed organizational structure and technical ERP developments of Genesys® in oil and gas.

Appropriability of technological innovations.

In light of the previous statements, what are the incentives to invest in the discovery of innovations and there development? Will these depend on the incentives that interested and motivated agents perceive in terms of expected economic returns? Dr. Dosi calls “appropriability” these properties of technological knowledge and technical artifacts, of markets and the legal environment that permit innovations as rent yielding assets against competitor’s imitation.

Dr. Dosi (1988) notes a study conducted by Levin et al 1984, in which they studied the varying empirical significance of appropriability devices of patents, secrecy, lead time, costs and time required for duplication, learning curve effects, superior sales and service efforts. Levin found that the “lead times, learning curve advantages combined with marketing efforts appear to be the principle mechanisms of appropriating returns from product innovations. The most appropriate for process innovations were learning curves, secrecy, and lead times”. Dosi (1988) also observed, “that lead times and learning curves are relatively more effective ways of protecting process innovations, and patents a more effective way to protect product innovations.” Levin concludes that there appears “to be quite significant inter-industrial variance in the importance of the various ways of protecting innovations and in the overall degrees of appropriability”. (p. 1139)

Levin states that the control of complementary technologies becomes a rent-earning firm-specific asset. Dr. Dosi (1988) states “in general, it must be noticed that the partly tacit nature of innovative knowledge and its characteristics of partial private appropriability makes imitation a creative process, which involves search, which is not wholly distinct from the search for new development, and which is economically expensive - sometimes even more expensive then the original innovation, and applies to both patented and non-patented innovations.“ (p. 1140)

The driving forces of technical change.

Dr. Dosi summarizes that businesses commit to innovation stemming from exogenous scientific factors and endogenously accumulated capabilities developed by their respective firms.
Dr. Dosi’s (1988) general point is that “the observed sectoral patterns of technical change are the result of the interplay between various sorts of market-inducements, on the one hand, and opportunity and appropriability combinations, on the other”. (p. 1141)

What opportunities are and will be constrained by not adopting a more innovative organizational structure? If the geological and engineering sciences progress in a substantial manner in the next 5 years, (and there is no evidence to support that it will or will not) how will oil and gas companies adopt, employ, test and prove these science’s development without an enhanced capacity to innovate.

How much of the drive towards innovation is the beginning of the understanding necessary to expand the science? How much of an inducement are the current commodity prices providing the global competition to innovate? Based on the proposed technical and organizational changes of this research, the ability to establish a forum where the science and technology is collaborated between the organization and sponsored research institutions would facilitate greater internal innovative capability based on its scientific and technological capability.

Dr. Dosi discusses the relative merits of these “appropriabilities” and defines them further by classifying them as either as “market pull” or “technology push”. The justification for this research to continue is based on the market pull categorization of appropriability of innovation in today’s oil and gas market. And it is reasonable to assume that innovation in oil and gas will occur on both the producers’ behalf as well as the energy consumer.

This paper is not asserting that efforts in the past were not innovative or moved the science substantially. The issue this paper is raising is that the pace and speed of the science’s development in the near to mid-term will accelerate based on the fact that, globally and in Canada, reserve replacement has become progressively more challenging, and the prices realized for the commodities has begun to reflect these challenges. Dr. Dosi (1988) concludes this section with “Finally, the evolution of the economic environment in the longer term, is instrumental in the selection of new technological paradigms, and, thus in the long term selection of the fundamental directions and procedures of innovative search.“ (p. 1142)

Inducement factors, patterns of technical change, and irreversibility.
Technology paradigms are almost immediately more effective than the previous technology. The only reason the paradigm may have been changed or created is due to a fundamental input price change. Dosi (1988) states that a fundamental implication of this view is “technical progress generally exhibits strong irreversibility features.” (p. 1144)

This paper has no other evidence than the previous statement that the proposed joint operating committee’s reorganization to include financial performance accountability would or would not provide a higher level of organizational performance, and as stated before, failure of this research’s hypothesis would ultimately lead to the appropriate solution. And that irreversibility of that performance would be evident if this research were funded further.

This research proposal and report has not been funded by industry, nor was there any information forthcoming that funding would occur. However, this paper asserts that the level of individual understanding and support within the industry that the initial research proposal attracted, is evidence of its viability and the probability of eventually proving its hypothesis valid. As stated before, failure to prove the science or innovation is at times the first step in determining success, and that the tacit-ness that the concepts put forward are sound and worthy of further study. And this initial funding failure reflects more the political structure of organizations, and not the failure of this research to prove its hypothesis. And it is stated unequivocally, that the manifestation of the political issues were as a result of the breadth and scope of organizational dynamics that is, are, or will be affected by the concepts put forward.

Genesys Software Corporation is grateful to IBM Corporation for their support in providing the toolset and licenses necessary to further pursue this research hypothesis.

The externalities of the innovation process.

There is and always has been certain elements of innovation that are developed outside of the current application of technology. Dr. Dosi cites the bicycle’s benefit from the manufacture of shotguns and the understanding of constant chemical processing that have allowed innovation to occur in food processing. Dr. Dosi refers to these as un-traded interdependencies and states they represent an important link between innovation studies and the regional economics of technical change.
Based on scientific data prepared and provided during 1945 to 1976 Pavitt, (1984) and Pave (1984) identified four major groups of manufacturing industries, namely:

  • Supplier Dominated Sectors.
Most innovations are process innovation embodied, as Dosi (1988) states “in capital equipment and intermediate inputs and originated by firms whose principle activity is outside the sectors proper.” Industries such as wood products, basic metal products, agriculture, textiles, clothing, leather, printing and publishing “where endogenously generated opportunities are rather limited and so are R and D expenditures.” These industries are innovative on the process mostly and heavily focused on best practices. (p. 1148)

  • Specialized suppliers.
Innovation is primarily product innovations that enter most other sectors as capital inputs. Opportunities for innovation are generally abundant but are often exploited through informal activities of design improvement. Idiosyncratic and cumulative skills make for a relatively high appropriability of innovation, such as German machine tool makers.

  • Scale intensive sectors.
Innovation occurs in both process and product where production involves mastering complex systems and the manufacture of complex products. Economies of scale are evident and abundant, firms are usually large, devote a large proportion of resources to innovation and tend to integrate vertically into manufacturing their own equipment. Industries include transport equipment, electric consumer durable, metal manufacturing, food products, glass and cement.

  • Science based sectors.
Innovation is directly linked to new technological paradigms made possible by scientific advances: technological opportunity is very high, innovative activities are formalized as R and D labs, investment in innovation is high, with a high proportion of the product innovation entering a wide number of sectors as capital or intermediate inputs. Firms tend to be big and include electronic industries, most of the organic chemical industries, drugs and bioengineering. Aerospace and military related activities share with science based sectors.

If science based sectors are not where the oil and gas industry currently resides it is certainly the classification that it belongs to. It is also questionable as to which category of industry oil and gas may have been considered belonging to previously, in fact many may have considered oil and gas to be a participant in supplier-dominated sectors. This research would assert that the analogy of a “bank”, where investment provides a proportional return has been the mindset for too long in the oil and gas industry. This researcher asserts that the market pull factors of appropriability have moved oil and gas definitively within the fourth category as a science based sector, and therefore oil and gas should base their organizations on the requirements of a firm within that category.

Inter-sectoral differences in innovativeness and economic performance.

Dr. Dosi discusses the phenomenon introduced in Part IV and considers the relationship between innovative activities and the dynamics of industrial structures and performances. Why do some companies attain greater value from innovations? It is this paper’s assumption that the cumulative investments made in oil and gas lead to variances between organizations as reflected in the cumulative production revenue per employee. Are there additional attributes beyond the investments that assist in making innovation in oil and gas more valuable?

Dr. Dosi’s (1988) reference to the Schumpeterian hypothesis, “that bigness is relatively more conducive to innovation, that concentration and market power affect the propensity to innovate” It is obvious that Dosi does not subscribe to this theory, and this research paper asserts that the bureaucracy of the large hierarchical structures have and may be one of the impediments for this, and if it is not an impediment to innovation, it must certainly be an impediment to the speed at which a firm can innovate.

First, although there are log linear volume of R & D expenditures and patents when compared with the size of the firm, upon closer investigation, estimates show roughly non-decreasing returns of innovative process to firm size. This is possibly attributable to the fact that very large and very small firms conduct most R&D.

Second, although the expenditures in R & D incurred by large firms are impressive from a total expenditure perspective, the aggregate expenditures of small firms on a global basis becomes far greater in aggregate than the large businesses. This is where the implementation of collaborative tools to the innovation process of large firms may be able to leverage the firm’s investment better for the producers’ own purposes.

Third, money is not necessarily a good indicator of innovativeness. Large variances within industries can clearly be identified irrespective of firm size.

Dosi (1988) provides three caveats to the three differences noted.
  • “Statistical proxies cannot capture aspects of technical change based on informal learning.” (p. 1152)
Collaboration is a fundamental component of informal learning, development, documentation and exploitation of knowledge. Apple Computer spends roughly $400 million per year in R & D. Hewlett Packard spends approximately $4 billion on R & D and is beginning to earn less returns on there investments. The scope of Apples innovation span operating systems and software, manufacturing and processors. This scope compares favorably, from an innovative standpoint to the efforts of Intel, Microsoft and Dell collectively.

  • Secondly, differences in businesses and business lines (and business or product life cycles) may provide discrepancies in comparison of “like” firms.
  • Thirdly, many firms are expending significant research dollars in keeping up with other firm’s innovations.
These other firms do not necessarily have an internally generated capability, and hence need to find out what other companies are doing and how to implement those capabilities internally.

Another aspect that this paper submits for consideration is the amount of success that the integrated international firms (the seven sisters) have earned as a result of their previous innovations vs. their discovery of the large and prolific fields many decades ago, and how much of the international independent’s success is attributable to past innovativeness? Will a third generation of producer arise to challenge these two prior generations?

Flexibility and economies of scale.

Most of the innovation occurring during the industrial revolution has been via the technical trajectories of increasing mechanization of production and increasing exploitation of economies of scale. However, these innovations have been on the basis of the trade-off between volume of production and flexibility of the production lines.

Robotics has had a tremendous impact on the makeup and mix of production runs and flexibility, the efficiency of small production runs, and the likely increase in the importance of plant related economies of scale.

Therefore it is concluded by Dosi that the increased flexibility afforded by robotics and automation, motivated primarily through the more speculative nature of demand prediction, has had the effect of decreasing the productivity effect of additional innovations. Ultimately, however, the expectation of the innovations effect is that it will move the costs lower over the smaller production volumes. We are now clearly seeing this in the innovation and diversity of offerings in the vehicle industry.

In oil and gas we see what might be considered a parallel situation. The business cycle is more dependent on the reserve life of new reserves. With rapid three-year declines, specifically in gas, the question becomes: is this a product of the cumulative innovativeness in exploiting the technologies that have developed? Or is the use and application of oil and gas technology yet to be tested against a more exploration style mindset consistent with the risk - reward of the current market pricing of the commodities.

Either way it appears that the exploration and exploitation of oil and gas reserves has and always will be a function of the technology based on the underlying sciences. This is undeniable, and may also be the cause of the shorter-term life cycle and diminished size of new reserves, which is agreed by most to be a trend that will continue. This reserve size and deliverability is paralleled in Dosi’s discussion of how innovations in industrial companies have been diluted by demand prediction and lower production volumes.

This researcher asks again how the structured hierarchy will facilitate the innovation necessary to exploit these smaller reserves? Are the predominately larger international independents now capable of meeting the demands of deploying their capital in progressively smaller reserve pools in an efficient and effective manner to maintain their production profiles?

Innovation, Variety, and Asymmetries among firms.

As technical paradigms are introduced companies accept and use these innovative capabilities at different rates. This rate of acceptance can be classified as early innovators, imitators and fence sitters. Thus a satisfactory understanding of the relationship between innovation and distribution of firms structural and performance characteristics also implies an analysis of the learning and competitive process through which an industry changes.

We have also seen over the past fifteen years an interesting trend that has created significant differences in the stratification of the oil and gas industry in terms of the size of the producer and their associated innovativeness. The small organization was able to purchase reserves and facilities from the open market, or their previous owners, only to substantially increase the inherent value through increased production and / or performance. We can conclude that the bureaucracy inherent in the hierarchy had stifled the innovativeness in the larger organizations and most disturbing is the lack of concern or identification of this as an issue over the past 15 years. This may also reflect most accurately Exxon’s current difficulties, and a similar trend that might occur in the large independents.

This lack of innovativeness is not a long-term sustainable situation for either the integrated international producer or the current large international independent producer. It was the smaller innovative companies over the past 15 years that have increased their size and capacity, and through mergers and other various modifications, affected the landscape of the oil and gas cluster.

The trend of smaller producers purchasing properties appears to have come closer to its ultimate end, and I would think with the blessings of the management of the larger international producers such as Exxon. The end being that the market for properties does not provide the upside in terms of applying innovative thinking to the overall situation. However the two major problems that were unaddressed by the bureaucracies of the “Exxon’s” are now the impediments to any forward movements by the targeted audience of this report. These two impediments remain unidentified and unresolved by these larger organizations, and reflect the following two characteristics:

Firstly, the large class producers have generated little or no innovations in the past 15 years.
Secondly, the business cycle continues to shorten, with only a three-year life cycle on reserves from drilling in the western sedimentary basin.

These 2 issues make for interesting challenges in the years to come. The question will then become, how will much larger independent oil and gas companies learn to innovate in a bureaucracy? It also provides an understanding of how an organization that is able to innovate could compete more substantially, or are these capabilities and inherent positions static?

It should also be noted that few industries have the luxury of a three-year product life cycle. Companies such as Intel have been able to compete in industries with 18-month product life cycles that reflect product pricing and technical exploitation that at least parallels the scientific difficulties in oil and gas. Therefore the ability to compete on the world stage will only become exceedingly more difficult as the business cycle continues to shorten. The performance of the bureaucracy will undoubtedly be challenged soon.

Innovation and industrial change: Learning and Selection.

The Innovative Process and industrial structures

Dr. Dosi (1988) asserts that the makeup of industries and companies is attributable not only to the endogenous force of competition. Innovation and imitation also make up the fundamental structure of an industry, or in the case of this research, the local cluster. “Market structure and technological performance are endogenously generated by three underlying sets of determinants.”
Each of these components is evident in the marketplace of an oil and gas concern today as reflected in:
  • “The structure of demand,”
The insatiable demand of the American marketplace for energy is critical to the advancement of that society. American society faces real challenges in the form of the developing third world economies, which have new and sustainable competitive advantages.
  • “The nature and strength of opportunities for technological advancement.”
The nature and opportunities for technological advancement lead one to believe mankind has never faced the level of opportunity and acceleration possible today The mechanization of the past 100 years combined with the mechanization of intellectual pursuits combine to markedly appreciate the value of human life.
  • “The ability of firms to appropriate the returns from private investment in research and development.” (p. 1158)
This third item leaves much to be desired. Will investments in research and development become more commercial in nature? Will innovation be a critical component of the methods a company uses to compete in the very near future?

Characteristics of Innovation and Patterns of Industrial Change.

Dr. Dosi states that the rate of change and observed dynamics of industrial performance can be attributed to the following components:
  • Innovative learning by single firms augmented by universities and government agencies.
This research asks: what would be the effect of increasing the exposure from a single firm, to collaborating between several firms through the joint operating committee? Would this not facilitate a marked increase in “cluster” knowledge? And would this knowledge therefore facilitate an increased rate of collaborations leading to an increased level of understanding and pace of innovativeness and scientific knowledge?
  • The diffusion of innovation, the knowledge of innovative products and processes.
Extending the knowledge from one firm to a “cluster” of similar producers.
  • Selection amongst firms.
This point is critical, because a firm may call themselves innovative and participate within an innovative cluster, but that does not make the firm innovative. The internal capability leads to an advanced selection among firms, with laggard firms selecting other laggard's.

Dr. Dosi (1988) states that his general interpretative conjectures are: (And these are important considerations in determining the capability and capacity to innovate.)

Firstly “The empirical variety in the patterns of industrial change is explained by different combinations of selection, learning, and diffusion and different learning mechanisms.” (p. 1159)

Secondly “The nature of each technological paradigm, with its innovative opportunities, appropriability conditions and so on help to explain the observed inter-sectoral differences in the importance of the above three processes.” (p. 1159)

Each successful innovation creates an asymmetry effect, or an overall increase in competitive position of the entire industry. However, that does not necessarily increase the competitiveness of all the participants of the entire industry. (Here Dosi invokes the structuration theory that society is a benefactor of the organization’s efforts.) The ability of laggard companies to improve their competitive position helps to form new positions within their industries. These laggard companies generally are able to move further and quicker through their imitation of leading companies. However, the primary differentiating component of competition based on innovation in process and product is attributable to the innovative capability of the firm.

Dr. Dosi finds these points difficult to quantify and prove, but may be tacitly understood. This research asserts that that was the case in 1988 at the time this article was written, however, the laggard’s ability to “keep up” or even “catch up” progressively diminished through the application of information technology during the 1990’s. This may best be reflected in the expectation that a “laggard” such as Vintage might challenge CNRL in production revenue per employee performance.

There is a determining paradox for the ability to innovate based on imitation or strict Research and Development. Companies can copy other’s innovations in industries with minimal asymmetry, (where they are all the same). Whereas industries that are asymmetric or have large variances in their capabilities are best served by differentiating themselves by pursuit of Research and Development. As reflected in the earlier analysis, Vintage and CNRL are demonstrating large variances in the capabilities as participants in the industry. This reflecting that investments in the capability to innovate would be valuable and critical for the industries’ competitive performance.

Some Conclusions

The conclusion from this is clear; innovation is a competitive strategy, particularly to the local cluster of large independent producers. If this innovation is valid and employed in any industry, it will seek to further the values attained by the adopting company by increasing that company’s competitive capacities. This point forms much of the management recommendations contained within this paper.

A “best practice” provides little in terms of sustainable competitive advantage, whereas innovation places management’s focus on the organization. The best practices focus on process does not affect the issue, or invoke any change. Organizational structure mapped carefully to the most efficient process should be the objective, and the attainment of such should be the goal and realization of an increased organizational trajectory. What do organizational best practices have to do with the capability of a company or its products?

Dr. Dosi also asserts another interesting point in the application to oil and gas. The performance of innovation within an industry and its appropriability is dependent on
  • The pace of innovation in the supplier sectors
  • The variant conditions governing adoption.
The capability of the supporting sectors in innovating and developing new technologies, procedures, and methods to extract oil and gas have been remarkable. This is probably attributable to two things, the entrepreneurial nature of the province of Alberta, and the huge volumes of capital expenditures employed by the oil and gas sector. Yet, this has occurred in somewhat of an ad-hoc fashion, similar to what had happened during the 1800’s in developing North America. And as Dosi noted, this ad-hoc method ceased to be a means of further innovation in the 1800’s. We can then ask will the adhoc method cease to be a means of innovation for oil and gas? Companies must begin to directly fund the development of further innovations in the service sector. This can no longer be done in a non-Schumpeterian fashion, e.g. if a small supplier has an innovative idea it should be exploited by that company (such as Genesys® research). This will also have the tendency to limit the exposure of the innovation to the local cluster as opposed to the global industry. Expectations that the small service provider will be able to prove the theory and application are foolhardy in the context of the earlier discussion of success and failure. If the success or failure of the innovation by the small service provider is proven at their own costs, generally their ability to commercialize and monetize their investment is limited. This has lead to the eventual withdrawal of capital from the service sector for the purposes of further innovation, research and development.

If the innovativeness as displayed by the capabilities of the oil and gas sector in western Canada are a basis of comparison, the opportunity to leverage this technical capability and move the technical paradigm from Western Canada to a dominant global position exists. The alternative is a further extension of the current trend of the Houston based independents to the 1970’s era “branch plant management” style of operation.

An interesting outcome occurs from this. Dr. Dosi states that not all efforts are successful, many fail, and from the failure sometimes the most important lessons are learned, and all inherently understand this. The ability of an industry to learn through their collective efforts will mitigate the subsequent similar failures and their costs, and enhance the success over a larger population of companies. This “cluster” of western Canadian based international independents as Porter would call it, competes against other clusters of oil and gas producers based in Houston, Aberdeen, Moscow, Beijing, and Riyadh. This is collaboration’s benefit well described.

Returning to the comparison of Vintage and CNRL, and in reviewing the material that Dr. Dosi has established in this literature review, the acceptance of the production revenue per employee as a factor of comparison should be established. Production revenue per employee will begin to help establish, both the measure of innovativeness of a producer, and a means of direct comparison between producers. The value of this measurement tool has validity currently through;
  • Application between producers.
  • As a means of measuring future objectives.
  • In determining competitiveness over time.
One of the more controversial aspects of this research may be the suggestion to establish the production revenue per employee factor as a means of comparison, and particularly, the manner of comparison to determine the financial viability of the producer and a pre-curser to future earnings capability.

Conclusions on the review of Dr. Giovanni Dosi.

The innovativeness of an oil and gas producer will be based on its capacity to find and produce the resources around the world more effectively than its competitors. Further expansion of earth sciences and applied engineering are required in order to maximize the producers’ opportunities and returns.

Based on Dr. Dosi’s theories as described above, innovativeness and technology will expand the use and capability of a producer by expanding their understanding of the underlying sciences.
The stimuli and microeconomic conditions necessary to facilitate innovation, being the commodity pricing and the potential as a result of the reconfiguration of the organization around the SJOC, are prevalent.

Further expansion of the sciences would be carried out in a collaborative environment to leverage the tacit knowledge of the firm’s workers in collaboration with its partners and suppliers. This needs to be carried out in a commercial context within the structure of an organization capable of facilitating the collaborations and innovativeness. This is why it is this paper’s assertion that collaborations, through the SJOC, provides the greatest hope for the company to realize the future potential increase in value from the advance in science.

Self-organizing groups have proven to be effective when common interests motivate them. The joint operating committee participants have the financial interest in the property and hence consistent motivations. Enhanced collaborations through the IBM Lotus Workplace facilities described in this research, backed up by an enterprise resource planning capable software development team, such as that proposed by Genesys Software Corporation is expected to affect the performance trajectory of the producer subscribing to this research.

If this is not the situation, what organizational structure in oil and gas could facilitate the greatest innovations? At this point no other alternative has been suggested that would be able to potentially match the structure discussed above. To suggest that the hierarchical bureaucracy could lead to substantial differentiation in the appropriability of a firm’s capacity to innovate is not valid on the surface. As described in the Orlikowski section of this literature review, it is proffered that the organizational structure is the impediment to the advancement of society and people, and if we invoke Dosi’s theory, the hierarchy’s bureaucracy is the impediment limiting the further advancement of the associated sciences of oil and gas and producers innovativeness.

Recall at the beginning of this paper it was noted that Dosi asks “what are the sources of innovation’s opportunities, what are the roles of markets in allocating resources to the exploration of these opportunities?” It should be made explicit that the revised commodity pricing of the past few years provides a significant reallocation of resources towards the further development and exploration of the underlying oil and gas sciences. This is the opportunity that exists and to a large extent is an entire new way of operating oil and gas companies in an integrated network clustered environment. These commodity-pricing effects also point out the scope and magnitude of the changes facing an oil and gas organization. The strategy and operations will be affected in ways that cannot be predicted. This is also the reason that the CEO needs to be approached, as only s/he can champion this level of change within the organization.

Therefore this research’s recommendation is that key to the endogenous capability that is a cornerstone of the innovative process, a reorganization of the hierarchical bureaucracy to self-organizing teams be undertaken. This recommendation is with the express purpose of combining the operational control of the joint operating committee, with direct accountability for the decisions the committee makes.

Quality of Dr. Giovanni Dosi’s work.

Dr. Dosi was 35 at the time this documents writing, and to have produced such a significant work at such a young age is a substantial accomplishment. Review of his Curriculum Vitae reflects that since the writing of this paper he has been recognized as possibly one of the premier thinkers in the area of innovation. In terms of the quality of this work, few papers are produced of this quality and it was a great pleasure to learn and apply this thinking to the oil and gas industry.

Dr. Dosi’s subsequent works have been more specific and detailed in certain areas that may have direct application today. The opportunity to review these documents will be one of the first tasks to complete should this research and software development be funded and continued.


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Plurality Abstract

Note to Reader. I am publishing the "Plurality" document I frequently refer to in this blog. This will enable searching based on the text within the entire document. The word count is approximately 35,000 words and is provided as background for the discussions.

A number of technology changes have occured since it was originally published in 2004. IBM has chosen not to support this effort, and as a result I am replacing the components of the technology architecture as the opportunities and needs require. We are moving to the Sun strictly for their support of Java, and the synergies of the visions. As I recently noted, Ingress would be the database that we will use. Other then that, I have chosen to host the entire development and operating environment on Sun's Grid and as funds become available we will secure those resources.

References are to the literature noted in the bibliography. So here it is, warts and all. I hope you enjoy it, any and all comments are welcomed and appreciated.

Thank you

Paul Cox



Plurality should not be assumed without necessity.

“Plurality should not be assumed without necessity.” This title does not appear to mean much until it is explained further. This statement was written by Ernst & Young in a 1997 report to the World Bank, and was described as: “It’s not what you know that you do not know that hurts you. It’s what you do not know, that you do not know that will. It must be considered that there is nothing more difficult to carry out, nor more doubtful of success, nor more dangerous to handle, than to bring about a new order of things.” Knoop & Valor (1997)

This statement clearly reflects the times we live in today. The difficulties in business appear to be expanding exponentially and inversely to the capacity to deal with them. Change within organizations is difficult when the constraints of a hierarchy are imposed on the employees within that organization. Additional issues that effect the organization are accurately reflected in the following statement:

  • “What information consumes is rather obvious. It consumes the attention of its recipients. Hence a wealth of information creates a poverty of attention.”
- Herbert Simon, Economist and Nobel Prize recipient.

Research purpose

To test the hypothesis of:
  • The corporate hierarchical organizational structure is an impediment to progress and most particularly, innovation.
  • Determine if the Industry Standard Joint Operating Committee, modified with today’s information technologies, provides an oil and gas concern with the opportunity for advanced innovativeness.
Research questions (In summary)
  • Has the hierarchy’s value expired?
  • Can the scope and understanding of the process of innovation; be reduced to a quantifiable and replicable process?
  • Will the Standard Joint Operating Committee (SJOC) facilitate the means to innovate?
  • Does the industry need to change from a “banking” to a “science and engineering” based mindset?
Genesys® perspective.

Several of the fundamental factors underlying the oil and gas business have changed.
  • Commodity prices are providing a reallocation of financial resources to facilitate innovation.
  • Earth sciences and engineering disciplines will expand substantially in the 5 - 10 year time frame.
  • Oil and gas is entering a phase of complexity, risk, and reward particularly in:
  • The mature Western Sedimentary Basin.
  • The Arctic, a harsh and remote area.
  • Heavy oil.
  • Offshore operations, Pacific and Atlantic.
The scope of operations of an oil and gas concern is geographically, politically and scientifically diverse. The hierarchy limits the detail and focus to deal with the political and technical difficulties of each facility. Expecting an organization with these constraints to innovate is foolhardy.

The hierarchy has created “Information overload”, which in turn has created a paralysis in decision-making, directly affecting the capacity to change and or innovate. The hierarchy’s bureaucratic, complex and conflicting lines of authority have muddled accountability. The ability to identify success / failure, to share those experiences, and to learn from them has diminished and is not progressing.

Calgary, as a collective group of independent producers, is discovering constraints to its ability to drill wells in the prairies. How can an industry with these constraints consider the complexities of the geopolitical, technical and operational concerns in the frontier areas of oil and gas.
Genesys® research results.

What’s the problem, the SJOC is operating as usual? However, the:
  • SJOC is not directly accountable for its operating decisions in terms of financial performance.
  • Smaller reserve opportunities require greater effort, innovation, consensus and focus.
Advantages of the SJOC.
  • All participants are motivated equally. Financial opportunity drives consensus.
  • The SJOC is the legal, financial, operational and cultural foundation of the oil and gas industry. All the internal processes tacitly support this fact.
  • The participants in SJOC hold significant technical and managerial capabilities.
The scope of operational authority of the committee is constrained by the participants financial interest in the property. The committee’s formation is traditionally formed around a geographical area, is traditionally limited in its geological and areal extent. This naturally limits the focus of the committee to that facility. The SJOC is therefore motivated, and has the appropriate level of focus for the needs of an innovative organization.

The disadvantages of the conflict between the SJOC and the traditional hierarchy.
  • Introduces political and bureaucratic conflict.
  • Compromises and muddles internal decisions.
  • Lacks the direct support from the hierarchy.
  • Eliminates initiative and innovation. No tolerance for risk taking or experimentation that is required for innovation.
  • Successes and / or failures are not identified, shared or learned explicitly by any of the participating organizations. Knowledge is held tacitly, limited amounts of knowledge is codified or made explicit.
  • Conflicting processes between the hierarchy and SJOC impede not only innovation, but the speed and capabilities of the organization.
  • The SJOC is not directly accountable.
  • No consensus on performance related goals or objectives.
  • No regulatory or internal financial reporting requirements.
  • The hierarchically based organization is an impediment to future progress.
  • Capacity to replace reserves has become logistically, operationally and organizationally constrained.
  • Capacity to meet the market demand is diminishing.
Research conclusion.

The classic hierarchy’s useful life expired and its existence conflicts with the efforts and capabilities of the SJOC.

The Industry SJOC is the “natural” form of organization for oil and gas where the participants of the committee are supported and augmented through the diversity and availability of the remaining organizations team members. A greater alignment to this conceptual model would facilitate the desired innovation.

Qbyte, SAP and their competitors tacitly support the hierarchy and bureaucracy that obstruct alignment to the SJOC. And without explicit support for the SJOC, these ERP systems are inappropriate for an oil and gas organization. Genesys® research and software developments are the only opportunity for producers to acquire ERP styled systems based on the SJOC.

Technologies dark side.

One significant and serious threat exists for the independent producer.
  • IBM has developed the product.
  • IBM has developed and implemented the products strategy.
  • Genesys® research has discovered this threat.
  • Exposing technologies darker side.
  • The overall implication of the technology is the integrity of internal data will come into question. This research asserts the further implications of data integrity are significant with two possible outcomes:
  • Calgary based producers will be at risk to regress in their management, technical and political influences and capabilities?
  • Would this permit Houston to expand on its “branch plant” management theory?
  • Or,
  • Subscribe to Genesys®, and facilitate the internal organizational innovation the market is demanding.
It has been noted in this report, that after World War 1, the French were active in preparing for their future defense with enhanced thinking and infrastructure based on trench warfare. The Maginot line is famous for its failure, and reflects that companies need to consider different strategies for today’s issues. And just as Albert Einstein once said, that today’s problems will not be solved by today’s thinking, producers need to consider this report in a manner that considers the changing structure and methods of success in their industry.

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Plurality Dr. Anthony Giddens

Note to Reader. I am publishing the "Plurality" document I frequently refer to in this blog. This will enable searching based on the text within the entire document. The word count is approximately 35,000 words and is provided as background for the discussions.

A number of technology changes have occured since it was originally published in 2004. IBM has chosen not to support this effort, and as a result I am replacing the components of the technology architecture as the opportunities and needs require. We are moving to the Sun strictly for their support of Java, and the synergies of the visions. As I recently noted, Ingress would be the database that we will use. Other then that, I have chosen to host the entire development and operating environment on Sun's Grid and as funds become available we will secure those resources.

References are to the literature noted in the bibliography. So here it is, warts and all. I hope you enjoy it, any and all comments are welcomed and appreciated.


Thank you



Paul Cox


Dr. Anthony Giddens theory of structuration.


Dr. Giddens initially published in 1984 “The Constitution of Society: Outline of the Theory of Structure”, Berkeley, University of California Press and his theory is well articulated through the following excerpt from “Using the Structurational Model of Technology to Analyze an ERP Implementation” by Olga Volkoff, of the Richard Ivey School of Business.

“From the perspective of structuration theory, adaptation is the joint effect of the actions of individuals and the institutional structures within which those actions take place. Structures such as business strategies, organizational culture, reward and control systems, patterns of communication, and professional norms both enable and constrain the daily activities of people, but do not wholly determine them. At the same time, while individuals can choose to act in ways that will either reinforce or alter those structures, their choices are not independent of the structures within which they take action. This “duality of structure” - the recursive (re)production of institutional structures through the ongoing daily social practices of individuals - allows change to emerge in ways that are not wholly predictable.” (p. 235)
Volkoff also states “The three basic elements of this duality are the production of meaning, the exercise of power, and the invocation of social norms. Individuals act and interact on the basis of a shared understanding of their situation; through action that understanding evolves. Similarly, action depends on capability, and mobilizing the resources that deliver capability requires the exercise of power. Actions are also more or less likely to occur, or to be effective, depending on whether they are judged as legitimate or illegitimate according to the social norms of the organization.” (p. 235)

Giddens’ theory of structuration is further defined by Orlikowski’s (1992) comments:“the duality of structure refers to the structure of social systems: human actions create a social system’s institutional properties and these properties then serve to shape future human actions.” The notion of structuration has three aspects. (p. 402)
  • It refers to a social process that involves the reciprocal interaction of humans with the structural features of an organization.
  • Human actions are enabled and constrained by structures, yet these same structures are the result of previous actions.
  • Structural properties (e.g., rules and resources) mediate human action and, at the same time, are reaffirmed through human use. In other words, institutional properties are both the medium and the outcome of interaction.”
Applying Giddens’ theory to this research is done from two perspectives. Firstly, from the perspective of how the current oil and gas organizational structure is defined through the social, legal and environmental influences that provide that structure, and of how the organization in turn provides structure to the social and human elements.

The second application of Giddens’ theory in this research is from the context of what the IBM Workplace toolset (described elsewhere) will have on an oil and gas firm. As this research points out in its literature review of Dr. Giovanni Dosi, collaboration is a required element for firms and industries to enhance innovation. Focused on the dynamics of the SJOC, the proposed alternative organizational structure consists of internal (private) and external (public) self-organizing teams. This is proffered as necessary to facilitate the enhanced innovativeness of cluster-based producers.

The joint operating committee has explicit legal, ownership, financial and procedural authority and control of the field operations as the standard of operations and conduct in oil and gas internationally. Financial investment in an oil and gas property qualifies for participation on the committee where the operational control is agreed to and implemented. This research asserts that this operational control has significant implications on the internal operations of the participating organization. The facility design, capital budget, legal agreements and the decision making processes are constrained, Giddens’ theory would state, by a variety of forms and structures that comprise the basis of operation for the entire industry. This process is collaborative, yet at a pace that is too slow for today’s business environment and certainly too slow for competition or innovation.

At the same time the committee is not accountable financially. No performance reporting or criteria as to production targets or financial returns are required of the participants of the SJOC. It is the extension of the accountability of the committee beyond cost control that this paper recommends be undertaken in the collaborative environment created by the IBM toolset and implemented through an effective software development capability as proposed by Genesys®.

As Davenport (2002) states in The attention economy, “Strategy and Structure are mental constructs, important not in themselves, but for their impact on the people in the organization. Strategy and structure are also the vehicles for focusing attention.” (p. 51)

Studying or analyzing the contrast between the above two perspectives reflects the severity of the change in oil and gas that could and should be orchestrated today. This paper states the impediment to progress is the hierarchical organizational structure. It is therefore explicit in Giddens’ theory, that in this instance, the advancement of society would be dependent on the removal of those organizational constraints that are inhibiting further progress.

And based on what Volkoff had mentioned at the beginning of this structuration literature review. In expressing the duality of technology, that one key element regarding duality was the need for the exercise of power. This power is reflected in the form of a revised capability in order for the power to be exercised. It therefore needs to be asked in what form will the exercise of power necessary to trigger this change manifest itself? This research has determined that the existing power structure and change agent is the IBM Workplace toolset documented elsewhere in this research. The capability of both the tool and the strategy employed by IBM provide for the exercise of this power, and that irrespective of management’s planning and control, this toolset will be introduced into the organization and is therefore necessary to prepare and plan for this eventuality to ensure its constructive use.

Another key component of Giddens’ theory is that there is an inherent risk of failure if the progress of one element is out of step with the other two. Society, organizations and people need to move in lock step to avoid failure. This has been explicitly interpreted for the purpose of this research that the progress of society and people is either inhibited or facilitated through the actions that form the organizations. Currently individuals and society are dictating larger volumes of energy be sourced and provided to the market.

Therefore in summary, this research has applied Giddens’ structuration theory and concluded that for the limited purposes of this research the current hierarchical organizational structure is out of step with society and people. For the purpose of this research, structuration has been interpreted, as changes need to be made on the organization to match the further potential changes in society and people. This research asserts that Volkoff’s point of a change in capability be introduced through some exercise of power. IBM has introduced this change agent in the Lotus Workplace toolset. And therefore, structuration asserts that organizational change will occur or failure will be the result. It is assumed that the failure of the organization would be the outcome of this scenario, however that may be incorrect.

In terms of the structure of oil and gas, the joint operating committee is a key aspect of the manner and method of industry’s operations. It has structure and therefore based on Giddens’ Structuration theory, defines and provides form and function, which has an impact on the remainder of the organization. Continuing to ignore the joint operating committee from an accountability point of view is, in this researchers opinion, what might cause the organizational performance to degrade. A viable alternative to using the joint operating committee has not been determined at this point, and even if there was a viable alternative, the ability to use any alternative organization would require the legal and cultural framework to be amended This has not been recommended nor even determined at this point in time. And on the basis that an alternative organizational opportunity has not been determined at this point and therefore would require substantial financial resources and time just to consider, the joint operating committee, with its minimum 50 year history and international use, is truly the only viable alternative available to oil and gas companies today.

The lack of explicit recognition of the joint operating committee from an accountability point of view, and the tacit support of the traditional hierarchical bureaucracy are two of the primary reasons for the impediment of the classic ERP systems, such as SAP. These reasons are also the fundamental reason why those ERP systems are inadequate for the purposes of oil and gas, and it is asserted here that “SAP is the bureaucracy”.

Dr. Wanda Orlikowski’s structurational model of technology.

Dr. Wanda Orlikowski’s structurational model of technology draws upon Giddens’ structuration theory and presents a comprehensive framework for understanding the relationship between technology and an adopting organization. To highlight the difference between Dr. Orlikowski’s and others models Orlikowski briefly reviews three prior models of technology:

  • The technological imperative considers technology as objective and external with deterministic impacts on organizations.
  • The strategic choice model has three variations. This model emphasizes technology as a product of ongoing human action that is driven by different design intentions, shared interpretation, or the political and economic interests of the powerful.
  • In the last model, technology is considered to act as a trigger of structural change, but its influence is determined by the organizational history and context in which the technology is rooted.
Dr. Orlikowski’s structurational model of technology proposes two key aspects: the duality of technology and the interpretative flexibility of technology.

"The duality of technology means that technology is the product of human action and assumes structural properties: it is physically constructed in a given context and socially constructed through different meanings."

"The interpretative flexibility of technology suggests that technology is continuously constructed in social and physical ways, that there is a time space discontinuity (development is separated from use in both context and time) in traditional models, and that individual and social factors influence users working with and shaping technology."
Orlikowski’s model of structuration has four specific components.
  • “There is ongoing maintenance and adaptation of technology, and “human action constitutes technology through using it.”
  • “Technology is the medium of human action and it conditions social practice by both facilitating and constraining it.”
  • “Institutional properties influence humans in their interaction with technology.”
  • “Interaction with technology influences the institutional property of an organization, and this influence is more likely to be reinforcing rather than a transforming one.” (p. 235)
This last point is key in the context of this research; management is not responsible for tearing down organizational structures. Change agents need to be introduced to provide a path for management to move towards. Transformation of the oil and gas organizational structure will occur due to the significance of the Web Services toolset. Will the industries response be proactive or reactive in its adoption? Structuration suggests that the outcome and implications of technology is not happenstance and that development of technology falls within the domain of management’s influence.

This research attempts to document the issues and opportunities of today’s technology marketplace and provide management of oil and gas companies with the means to pro-actively manage the opportunities presented and mitigate the threats of technologies dark side and are contained within.

For the purposes of this research, what will be referred to as the “management push back” has manifested itself in the non - participation in this research. It is this author’s opinion that as a result of this situation, there is a higher risk and propensity the web services technology will enter the organization via the back door. In essence structuration will be defining the organizational environment.

Major obstacles create major problems in the implementation of technology. In addition to the management push back, other obstacles need to be addressed in the effective and efficient implementation of technologies changes. Many of the issues are more global in nature, and are beyond the scope of this research, but are addressed in the Genesys® February 2003 proposals study period.
Conclusion regarding Dr. Giddens’ and Dr. Orlikowski’s literature.

The important component of this literature review is the Orlikowski (1992) understanding of the “duality of technology” and the “interpretive flexibility of technology”. The need to control and develop the technology within an organization is critical to this technology’s use and ultimate value. The technologies influence in the future behavior of the organization is in turn defined by the technologies use by the users. There is a symbiotic relationship between the use and development of technology, and that these “are separated in both time and context” (p. 235). How does SAP deal with this point?

It may be controversial to assert that the strategic management of the oil and gas industry has muddled along over the past few decades. The viability of the industry has always been at issue and the need to “survive” appears to have driven organizational developments. The National Energy Program, the decline in oil prices, deregulation and take away capacity issues took significant time and effort to overcome. Much of the industry today is still constrained in its thinking regarding their strategies and needs that are not optimal for this high commodity price environment. It is this high commodity price environment that is the “change” agent that will facilitate the decline of some producers.

The time for the independent producers within the Calgary based cluster to think in this context is today. To expect that the innovations that are required for the industry to move forward will be developed in the “cottage industry” approach is wrong. The constraints of software development, as detailed in Genesys® February 2003 proposal accurately reflect the issues of the cottage industry approach. With a collective $70 billion dollar revenue stream, the producers expectations in this regard extend well beyond the surreal.

Just as the French began a comprehensive study of trench warfare after WW1, the methods and means of competition today are not dependent on the methods and means that have brought this industry to where it is today. And just as the strategic thinking that provided the French with the ultimate defense of its borders, or the Maginot line, companies today continue on with the thinking that has brought this industry to where it is, and not to where it needs to be to face the future.

As structuration theory describes and reflects, we are constrained by what we are and what we do. Elimination of those constraints requires a “clean slate” and new methods in order to overcome many of the legacy related issues that currently permeate management’s thinking. These constraints are just as much internal to an organization as they are external through management’s selection and deployment of their associated vendors. Does any producer truly believe that the constraints of code and customers, as detailed in Genesys®, February 2003 development proposal, will be overcome by any of today’s software providers?

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Plurality Dr. Noel Tichy

Note to Reader. I am publishing the "Plurality" document I frequently refer to in this blog. This will enable searching based on the text within the entire document. The word count is approximately 35,000 words and is provided as background for the discussions.

A number of technology changes have occured since it was originally published in 2004. IBM has chosen not to support this effort, and as a result I am replacing the components of the technology architecture as the opportunities and needs require. We are moving to the Sun strictly for their support of Java, and the synergies of the visions. As I recently noted, Ingress would be the database that we will use. Other then that, I have chosen to host the entire development and operating environment on Sun's Grid and as funds become available we will secure those resources.

References are to the literature noted in the bibliography. So here it is, warts and all. I hope you enjoy it, any and all comments are welcomed and appreciated.

Thank you

Paul Cox



Dr. Tichy states that the level of change (circa 1983) is accelerating and companies need to look towards strategic change. He describes this change as more fundamental in its nature then the incremental changes that management introduces through their traditional experience-based management philosophies. Stating the need for change should be strategic in nature and more involved than limiting changes to re-organizations. Dr. Tichy feels that changes need to be more fundamental and include the technical, political and cultural components of an organization to ensure that these changes are adopted as they are designed to do.

Summary of and application to oil and gas firms of Dr. Noel Tichy’s book;

“Managing Strategic Change Technical, Political and Cultural Dynamics.” 1983, John Wiley & Sons.

Chapter 1, Strategic Change Management: Organizational Development Redefined.

The three major change initiatives of this proposal are:

  • Innovation focused around the science and engineering of exploration and production of oil and gas.
  • Adding direct accountability and operational control to the SJOC.
  • ERP Software development based on the web services paradigm.
These three proposed changes are analyzed based on the technical, political and cultural criteria Dr. Tichy introduces in his book.

Dr. Tichy (1983) states that there are nine change levers that management can use to make strategic changes effective. These levers form the basis and structure of his book and are summarized as follows:
  • “The external interface”.
The complications and complexity of the environmental elements becomes more difficult to identify and manage. This requires changes to the means of evaluating the environment and may include the development of new information systems.
  • “Mission”.
Clear mission statements of how the changes are affecting the overall purpose of the firm can help to align the organization to meet the new requirements.
  • “Strategy”.
Revising the overall and operational strategies of a firm to meet the new organizational objectives.
  • “Managing Organizational Mission / Strategy Processes”.
The ability and capability of an organization must be constantly developed to meet the needs of the organization’s future requirements. This is particularly relevant when it is considered in the context of the strategic change initiative.
  • “Task”.
New technologies such as web services, and the organizational changes introduced in this proposal require the training and development of staff and management.
  • “Prescribed Networks”.
As this proposal suggests, the ability of the organization’s communication networks continue to be constrained by its overuse. Email and phone mail communications have saturated the user’s capacity to communicate and needs to be augmented through different channels.

This is one of the major issues that this proposal foresees as a result of the Workplace and WebSphere technologies. These technologies will replace and circumvent the traditional forms of communication due to their efficiency and effectiveness. The training and management of these and other new networks has / will become an area of concern as a result of the issues regarding the saturation of users and their capacity.
  • “Organizational Process: Communication, problem solving, and decision-making”. (p. 6)
The processes of the organization’s communication and hence problem solving capacity are intimated in the previous point regarding prescribed networks. These points are also an issue for the independent petroleum producer, which needs to consider how to augment its decision-making processes.

The joint operating committee has the operational decision making power. To more directly associate the operational decisions of the committee with the implications and accountability of those decisions, there needs to be a realization by the committee participants of the impact of these decisions, and therefore, be accountable for the implications of the decisions. Dr. Tichy suggests that the blurring of the decision-making only increases as the complexity and lines of authority increase.
  • “People”.
The motivation of the staff and management to undertake the required work needs to be considered in any change management initiative. Motivation based on financial incentives does not sustain the organization in the long term and only leads to additional future costs. The need to augment the traditional organizational forms of compensation suggests other incentives should be introduced.

The method of motivating staff that this proposal suggests is through enhanced and extensive employee training and education. As documented elsewhere the need to have training and education as rewards for work is effective both for the organization and the employee. Making explicit these forms of motivation will increase employee performance.
  • “Emergent Networks”. (p. 7)
As can be tacitly understood, the need to recognize and deal with the various cultural influences within an organization needs to be addressed for the change management initiative to succeed. The ability to address the needs of these groups and have them sponsor and support the change initiative is required. Of particular difficulty is the fact that the members of the joint operating committee are populated by other independent organizations.

These nine points are considered in the context of the political, technical and cultural frameworks of an independent producer. The ability, capability and success of any major strategic change initiative require that these three strategic change management tools be considered and implemented. Additional consideration should be applied to the implications that change in one-area impacts on the other two.

Dr. Tichy (1983) observes that there are times when strategic change becomes necessary. These times are identified by the following categories and are applied to the environment of the independent petroleum producer.
  • “Environment”.
Key to the oil and gas industry is the environmental variables that make up the competitive environment. The change in commodity prices over the past five years is asserted as the key structural and strategic change affecting the independent producer. These product-pricing changes are predicated on the scarcity of the underlying resource and reflect the compensation and costs associated with a new competitive environment.

This level of fundamental change reflects, and this proposal asserts, that the entire basis of oil and gas production and exploration has changed in fundamental ways. The levels of change being introduced by the commodity price changes are unparalleled in this industry’s history.
  • “Diversification”. (p. 18)
The capability of an oil and gas organization requires diversification to include an enhanced basis of innovation. Reliance on exploitation has or will be augmented by an anticipated increased reliance on exploration. These changes in a producer’s capability will therefore create a need to better understand and match the anticipated change, and pace of change, of the underlying sciences and engineering disciplines.
  • “Technology”.
Technology is a key component of the Structuration theory of Giddens and explicitly noted in the model of Structuration of Orlikowski. Are the management of North American based companies underestimating the technological changes that are occurring in the software and hardware area? This proposal argues that the level of change that all businesses will experience in the next five to ten years will be the most dramatic and may accurately reflect the level of change that has occurred over the past 50 years or more.
  • “People”. (p. 19)
People are another key component of the Structuration theories this proposal discusses. The need to address the changing motivations and needs of a technically capable staff in an oil and gas company will continue to accelerate. The demands of time will continue to be an issue due to the technologies’ capability of virtually always being at “work”. The reality of depreciated loyalty of the past few years will not be resolved as a result and may begin to be a substantial issue.

As described above, the application of the theory and writings of Dr. Noel Tichy has direct application in the context of the oil and gas producer. Tichy’s theories provide significant support to the recommendations within this proposal. Each of the four bases that Tichy suggests as individual justification for implementing major strategic change are supported in this analysis.
Will the “branch plant” mentality that many of the American based subsidiaries proliferate? And hence will Calgary lose the ability to compete as a “cluster” within the global oil and gas industry.

Chapter 2, Organizational Models.

Dr. Tichy asserts a variety of myths that perpetuate the reasons for the management behavior seen in organizations. Dr. Tichy (1983) uses many of the myths that were identified in Dr. Henry Mintzberg’s in 1973. The three particular myths, and their actual effect are as follows.
  • “Managers are systemic planners”.
Tichy asserts that it is reasonable to assume that managers will not do much systemic planning prior to launching of any major strategic change initiative.
  • “Managers rely on formal computerized management systems”.
Actual data employed in the support and analysis of change initiatives is considered to be minimal. The decisions and actions of management are based on the small and frequent interactions that managers employ in implementing the day-to-day activities of the organization. These interactions and data are not recorded by the organization and are therefore not readily available for analysis or comparison.
  • “Management is fast becoming a science.” (p. 38)
This myth is eliminated when the interactions of managers as noted in item 2, are based on “the intuitive and implicit models of organization and change”. And management’s understanding of those models is based on their perspective of the organization.

Dr. Tichy (1983) states that basing the major change initiative on “the intuitive and implicit models are 1) consonant with the problems that need resolving and 2) consonant with the models of the other people with whom he or she must collaborate.” Until the management is aligned around the specific organizational model difficulties in implementing the change initiative, unnecessary conflict will occur. (p. 39).

This research is basing its suggested organizational model and development on a variety of existing structures and models as defined by Dr. Tichy (1983). These models include:
  • “Classical mechanistic model.”
The traditional hierarchy with its defined chain of command and span of control are augmented by its highly defined job description for each participant within the structure. This is the premier method of organization in oil and gas primarily because of its generic nature and intuitive understanding by those within non-management positions. The advantage of this model is its consonance between the participants within the structure.

Over the past few decades the only revisions made to this style of organizational structure has been its optimization through the flattening of the hierarchy. To suggest further optimization of this model as a means to enable enhanced innovation and change management is considered for the purposes of this research as foolhardy.

The advantages of this structure are to be salvaged and used in the Genesys® model of organizational optimization that this research details. It would be just as foolhardy to suggest the standard hierarchy be eliminated before an acceptable model has been developed, tested, optimized and accepted as the standard, and the role of many of the existing functions of a firm may best be managed in the long term by a traditional hierarchical organizational structure.
  • “Human resource organic model.”
Is best defined by the bureaucratic vs. organic style of organizational structures. These have best been defined by Theory X and Theory Y management systems. The bureaucratic or Theory X method of management assumes people need to be disciplined and monitored to ensure that the work is done, vs. the organic or Theory Y understanding. Theory Y assumes production is best facilitated through the acceptance that people are motivated internally to work and produce.

Dr. Tichy asserts that the downfall of this thinking is the movement to the “optimal” system is through pursuit of the most well defined theory Y or organic model, which has proven not to be the case. Nonetheless the need to maintain theory Y based strategies is stated explicitly to ensure that no incorrect assumptions are made.
  • “The political model”.
Dr. Tichy (1983) states that there are a variety of political forces that influence and define the organizational model. The six types are as follows.
  • “Commander power configuration.”
Reflects the influence of the founding entrepreneur in the organization. Since this research is focused on the international independent producers, this political force is limited in its application.
  • “Continuous chain power configuration.”
Where the major political influence is a group of closely held shareholders, or the organization is a subsidiary of a larger organization. This is a political influence that is identified as being an impediment to this research. The “branch plant” method of management has become the standard for many of the subsidiaries of larger American independent producers. It is well known that this “branch plant” method of management is not the optimal method, and this research proposal would suggest, that until subsidiaries can exhibit the more advanced capability of effectively and efficiently managing their assets, their ability to optimize their assets will continue to wane irrespective of the local management talent.

The preferred method of management by a larger group is that which Shell Canada Ltd has traditionally employed. In which the Royal Dutch Shell group relies heavily on the securities and regulatory environment of Canada to ensure their investments are optimized and managed effectively.
  • “Closed system power configuration.”
The closed system is the traditional organizational method of influence and power used within Government organizations.
  • “Missionary power configuration.”
Where the leaders personality defines the organization and is the center of power within the organization. This method of organizational influence may have peaked as a result of the securities irregularities in the United States in the past few years. The super star CEO is less acceptable as a result.
  • “Professional power configuration.”
Where disparate groups, such as medical Doctors and administrators in a hospital, provide the overall management drive of an organization. This again does not have any direct application to the oil and gas industry.
  • “Conflictive power configuration.”
This type of political influence reflects the situation in the joint operating committee. Where internal and external power coalitions are divided and politicized. As detailed in this research, conflict as a tool needs to be better understood and implemented by industry. The ability for conflict to clearly identify the “right and wrong” in a situation can help to mitigate the muddling style of decision making that compromise invokes. (p. 48)

Dr. Tichy asserts the political, technical and cultural influences need to be addressed in the context of the whole organization. Focusing on one factor should be in the context of the other two.
Development of The Genesys® Model of Strategic Innovation.

The appendix to chapter 2 of Dr. Tichy’s book provides a template or model to use for the development of the appropriate model for an organization. This research proposes the “The Genesys® Model of Strategic Innovation.” (Appendix “A”) as a discussion point and beginning of the development of a usable model to be used during the actual research that this proposal recommends. This model is academic in its nature and should not be implemented without the appropriate groundwork and necessary supporting research.

In the four-step process that is summarized as follows, each step is premised by Dr. Tichy (1983) as a “Helps” to…, and “develop” … These variables and categorization's for the purpose of this research proposal are limited to the scope of the areas of direct impact of the technology and organizational changes proposed. The other important consideration is the reiteration that this should be considered as a preliminary draft and that the Genesys® model will be developed further through the research and study period proposals.
  • Step one.
“Determine a set of key variables that identifies the new organizational perspective.” Please see “The Genesys® Model of Strategic Innovation.”
  • Step two.
Helps to establish “a higher-order-concepts components” of the model. “These are variables that cluster together to form broader categories, the basic building blocks of the model”.
  • Step three.
“Helps to develop a framework for a dynamic model, including the causal connections between model components.”
  • Step four.
“Helps develop a graphic representation of the dynamic model.” (p.56)
Please see Appendix “A” to this thesis, “The Genesys® Model of Strategic Innovation.”

Chapter 7. Change strategy.


Dr. Tichy (1983) introduces the change strategy implementation as consisting of three components.
  • “The overall development of the strategic change plan.”
  • “The selection of appropriate change technologies for implementing the strategy.”
  • “The development of a transition or implementation process.” (p. 185)
It should be reiterated that these are developed around the three change system dynamics of political, technical and cultural components. Another aspect of these theories is the need to have them developed and operating in concert with one another. Alignment of each dynamic system to the overall change strategy is important for the success of the change initiative.

Key to the understanding of the alignment of the three systems is the fact that they are not tightly integrated, but loosely woven. The systems interact but not in wholly predictable or definitive manners. In order to achieve the strategic change initiative, the need to un-bundle the loose coupling is required. It is also necessary to develop a vision or image of the prospective organization in order to have the re-coupling of the loosely woven dynamic systems, the political, technical and cultural, operate in the desired fashion.
  • The strategic change objective.
The purpose and goal of change should be well defined and understood. The aim of this thesis and its model is stated as follows:
“The Genesys® Model of Strategic Innovation.” is designed to augment the independent oil and gas producers’ existing strategies to accommodate the need for greater innovation. This assumption is based on the revised market conditions that now require that speed and capability of innovativeness demand organizational and technical changes that are complex and interrelated.
Guidelines for developing a change strategy.

The objective here is to map the needs and capabilities of the current organization and its definition to the future organization proposed in this research report. Once the two definitions are analyzed and determined there will be the need to define the technical, political and cultural changes, and their implications and structure . Key to these is to ensure the following components and guidelines are in place Tichy (1983).
  • “Empower the change managers and set the stage for vigilant decision-making”. (p. 193)
  • “Summarize the diagnosis.” Including the diagnostic findings, turbulence and expectations. (p.194)
  • “Move from diagnosis to strategy”.(p.197)
Chapter 8, Technical change strategy.

Critical to the success of “The Genesys® Model of Strategic Innovation” is the development of technologies that will support the underlying strategic and organizational changes required. Structuration theory notes that constraints are defined through the development of past technologies and market forces. The need to support a new strategy based on the needs of the future requires a minimum of the technical constraints of what is, can and should be possible. These points accurately reflect why Genesys®, February 2003 development proposal provides such value.

Dr. Tichy (1983) begins with an excellent summary of the technical aspects of strategic change with the following quote. “Technical change strategies alter the information-processing capacity of the organization. The strategies involve adjusting components of the organizational model. These adjustments are made either to increase or decrease the organizations capacity to deal with uncertainty brought on by changing environmental condition, new technological developments, or complexities in the tasks.” (p. 203)

The information processing capability of an oil and gas concern needs to be increased to enable:
  • The organization to deal with uncertainty.
As the industry continues to be affected by increasing commodity prices and scarcity and difficulty in reserve replacement, the capacity of staff and organizational methodology to change is being challenged.
  • New technological developments.
Technologies offer greater levels of automation, collaboration and interaction. The capacity to operate beyond the firms own internal systems and interact with suppliers and partners is a definitive requirement for the future. These developments require new technologies be developed to achieve those means in an effective manner that matches specifically the requirements of the business.
  • Increased complexity of tasks.
As detailed in the innovation review of Dr. Dosi’s theory the need to innovate has become a basic requirement of an oil and gas firm to deal with the increasing pace of the underlying earth sciences and engineering disciplines. The capacity to keep pace and understand the implications of the scientific changes is asserted in this research as a fundamental competitive requirement.

Dr. Tichy writes that as the operating environment becomes more complex and difficult the need to organize towards a more “organic” form, and away from the more mechanistic forms of organization structure is required. Complexity requires a closer and tighter alignment of the organization towards the overall strategy of the firm. These should be considered as two of the key justifications to move towards a business unit structure, such as this research’s recommendation to use the joint operating committee as such. Use of the joint operating committee supports the legal, investment, operation, decision-making and cultural environment of oil and gas firms, providing strong alignment of the organization.

Without the ability to develop systems around the joint operating committee the alternative would be to continue with the development of SAP like hierarchical organizational structures of accounting, land and production, which are inappropriate for oil and gas from an alignment point of view.
Dr. Tichy offers many tools and techniques in aiding the organizations transition from the current to future organizational structure. These tools and techniques are beyond the current scope of this research proposal and will be used to implement the appropriate changes when companies subscribe to Genesys®, research and development proposal. These tools involve the altering of the processes of control, reward, communications and conflict.

It is important to identify the conflict process as a key to the future success of this research, and the ability of successful oil and gas firms. Conflict has been anathema as the cultural operative in Canadian oil and gas. The “do as your told” mindset has been the key to the long-term survival of the individual employee, and the “muddling along” in terms of strategy development has traditionally been the means of the industry over the past 20 years, and as detailed elsewhere in this thesis, inappropriate for the future of this industry. Conflict is a powerful tool and an effective method for management to deal with issues. The compromise of an organization’s strategy is usually the outcome of conflict avoidance. The ability to align the organization will require that conflict be identified and resolved as it occurs, as opposed to the traditional conflict avoidance methods. This will be of particular value as the conflict between suppliers, and particularly between partners, becomes more dependent and critical to the ability of the firm.

Chapter 9, Political Change Strategies.

The various political influences that affect the change strategies of an organization are many and dynamic. According to Dr. Tichy (1983), the following are generic in nature and are therefore discussed in this research proposal. The need to identify and integrate other political influences will be required on a go forward basis, once Genesys®, research and development proposals are undertaken by industry.
  • “Succession concerns.” (p. 227)
These are beyond the scope of concern of this research and are therefore not discussed.
  • “Goal concerns.” (p. 228)
The effect of overall strategic and goal changes can have significant impact on the internal politics of a concern. The winners and losers of groups and individuals as a result of the movement from a cost containment strategy to that of a innovative leader should not be underestimated or unplanned for.
  • “Means of doing the work concerns.” (p. 229)
These political concerns are affected through this research proposal’s changing of the organizational structure to include the joint operating committee as the means of financial performance accountability. These work methods are through the relatively new means of collaboration, conflict management, and beyond the scope of the current organizations direct influence, command and control.
  • “Environmental concerns.” (p. 230)
As noted elsewhere, the environment that oil and gas concerns find themselves is increasingly changing. The commodity pricing and reduced reserve life are two of the major changing components that are part of the political landscape changes. Various individuals and groups may or may not benefit as a result of the internal changes and emphasis. The winners and losers of these changes may also be more perceived then actual. Moving from a “banking” basis, where the motives are to provide a stable return, to a “scientific” basis is a dramatic change for the industry. Who will survive and who will prosper as a result of these environmental changes?
  • “Reward reallocation concerns.” (p. 230)
The effect of changes in employee compensation and reward can have effects on the performance of the organization. These political influences have a tendency to affect the employee’s personal motivations directly and therefore planning for the effective and efficient implementation of these changes needs to be done. Of particular concern is this research proposals recommendation that the enhanced benefits of these changes be education and knowledge enhancement as opposed to the traditional financial compensation. It is also important to understand the implications and effects of these changes on the makeup and capability of the human resources.
  • Developing political strategies.
Dr. Tichy (1983) defines political uncertainty as “the degree of stability and predictability with regard to the bargaining and exchange relationships among interest groups over the allocation of resources, power, prestige, etc.” And “Organizations must either minimize political uncertainty or else develop mechanisms for managing it.” (p. 231).

It is clear to this author that the scope of change that is being considered in this research is significant and accurately reflected in management’s actions to date in tacitly, but not explicitly, supporting this proposal. The political influences of these strategic changes should not be underestimated. The additional aggravating factor is that the traditional political influences that have operated in a classical hierarchy are rendered less effective in a more business unit or politically democratic structure that includes direct influence by outside interests through a more dynamic joint operating committee.

It is asserted throughout this research that the capacity for an oil and gas concern to continue with the status quo is of limited value due to the environmental issues of commodity pricing and reserve replacement. Acceptance of the move from a “banking” to a “scientific” structure and the associated political issues requires a more direct management approach to reducing the risks identified.
  • Politically organic strategies.
Faced with the complexity of the political issues that arise from the change strategies, organic strategies would enhance the capacity of the firm to “enable the organization to manage major disruptions triggered by the environment which alter strategic contingencies within the organization.

Tichy states
“The politically organic organization is able to manage goal conflicts, conflicts over the means for goal accomplishment and succession issues through democratic procedures.” (p. 241)
Dr. Tichy reflects on the irony of democratization of the workplace being a radical thought in western-based economies. The democratization and freedom that has occurred over the time period since Dr. Tichy’s book was written is by far the greatest the world has ever seen. Taken in the limited context of “economic” freedom China alone would support that claim.

As Giddens structuration theory notes the need for the organization, society and people to retain a balance is required to avoid failure. Therefore there is a need to parallel the societal changes with organizational changes. And in using Giddens theory it would be predictable that these un-reconciled changes might manifest in the collapse of the organization or the regression to a less democratic society, with only one of these alternatives being viable or probable.
  • Development of political change strategies.
Dr. Tichy (1983) suggests the following guidelines in determining the development of the political change strategy.
  • “Determine the level of political uncertainty.”
  • Clearly the political uncertainty is stratospherically high.
  • “Link political uncertainty to the internal and external culture of the organization.”
  • There is a diversity of management structures that extend from pure independents to the branch plant methods. However, each employs similar systems and structures and is therefore limited in their competitive and structural capabilities as the future leaders move to a more scientific basis.
  • “Link the political to the technical strategy.” (p. 251)
  • It should be asked how the political environment could be linked to a hierarchical based, bureaucratic, SAP style of ERP system.
  • “Develop an image of good political alignment.” (p. 252)
  • The image that this proposal asserts is that of a globally competitive independent producer whose capability is effective and efficient:
  • Over the scope of international operations and competition.
  • Aligned with the development in society and people.
  • Aligned to the technology and its future developments.
  • Based on innovation in the development and understanding of the underlying earth sciences and engineering disciplines.
Summary of the political change strategy.

We have seen a regression in the management of several of the oil and gas firms in Calgary, to that of what might be described as a “branch plant management” style. These changes have significant implications for all of the companies in this industry by way of the ability to extend the “cluster” that has been developed to a more “global cluster”. The “branch plant management” style that has been established at some of the oil and gas companies is as a result of the parent firm’s perception regarding this industry’s ability to manage itself. This has lead to a variety of firms now being operated from distant head offices that reduce the effectiveness of the local organization, and would now have a greater effect on the capability within all companies within the Calgary “cluster”.

The political situation as detailed above lends credence to the technical changes proposed through this research and provides further justification of the proposed Genesys® development. The outcome and direction of the “cluster” needs to be determined and developed based on innovation based competitive advantages. The need to assert a capability that is global in its scope and application is within the domain of the current management, and this research asserts is the primary political issue to be addressed over the next few years. Waiting for these decisions to be made is an inappropriate stance for this industry leadership.

Chapter ten, Cultural Change Strategies.

The cultural influences within an organization need to be reviewed from a variety of perspectives. This review is required in order for the organization to attain an alignment with the political and technical influences of the strategic change initiative. The current overall culture of oil and gas is predominately focused on the competitiveness of the individual. The ability of the firm to now focus on the team oriented nature of new technologies needs to be addressed and dealt with through the change management initiatives introduced in this research.

The “culture” also needs to reconsider the nature of co-opetition amongst producers as represented in active participation and sharing through the various joint-operating committees. This culture of sharing will be a difficult and necessary component of the ability of the producer to enhance its competitiveness through innovation and cooperation within the “cluster.” These points accurately reflect the need to incorporate the knowledge, education and training motivations of the people involved.

Dr. Tichy (1983) writes “The cultural system glues the organization together because it provides members with cognitive maps with which to understand and influence behavior in the organization and provides a social justification for what people are doing.” (p. 253)

Of particular concern since the time that Dr. Tichy wrote this book is the “message of the month” style of management that many employees have been subjected to. These have culminated in a variety of initiatives that have flattened the hierarchy with little of the promised changes from these initiatives materializing. The commitment to cultural strategic change is necessary for management to overcome employee’s preconceived notion of the “message of the month”. Although this is beyond the scope of this research, it reflects the level of planning required ensuring these changes materialize.

To a great extent the culture of the company is a significant issue from a change management point of view. The innovations and sharing of ideas, although part of the past and current culture, are moving into the area of being a primary competitive advantage and capability. Culture therefore becomes a key component of making the political and technical changes, and therefore their alignment to the cultural components
  • Cultural alignment.
Dr. Tichy (1983) states tasks are the results of strategies, as he states “strategies imply tasks” (p. 260). This point reflects that innovation and the culture of the organization are key to creating greater innovation. This is implicit and therefore requires policies be supportive of the sharing of information, the development of ideas, both within the organization, partnerships and suppliers.

A controversial component of this research is that conflict would need to be fostered to enable the more rapid innovativeness desired. Conflict, and its good partner controversy, appears in contrast to the harmony that most individuals seek to attain in organizations. Conflict as a tool, and conflict resolution are two additional components that need to be developed in concert within the culture of an innovative oil and gas producer. Conflict provides a means of identifying issues and determining the appropriate solutions. The compromise methodology maintains the status quo, whereas conflict provides the means to move organizations in different directions. In other words alignment will not be a smooth road.

Dr. Tichy (1983) writes “The culture of the existing organization is generally driven by operating concerns which are short term, certain, predictable, and control oriented, whereas, the culture to support innovation must be supportive of uncertainty, risk, long-term plans, and assume failure is good in the early stages.” And “Organizations that are very good at doing something for the millionth time are not very good at doing something for the first time”. (p. 263)

How the organization enhances their capability to innovate is of concern. The existing culture may conflict with the desired culture to support the political and technical changes needed for innovation. The need to identify and create the appropriate culture is a key component of the strategic change management initiative.

Comments regarding Dr. Tichy’s writings.

Considering the time frame that Dr. Tichy wrote his book (1983), and the dearth of writings that support these theories, suggest that his writings are either comprehensive enough in their initial release, or did not receive the necessary support to achieve a more “commercial” level of acceptance.
In reviewing his book it is clear that the majority of the work is substantially beyond the time frame when it was written. I would assert that the level of change that has occurred since 1983 has been significant enough for management’s time and effort being consumed by the changes itself. This will continue as we move into what I suspect will be an increased level of change. Management needs to adopt these strategic change management initiatives in order to ensure that the difficulties that were present in the past do not carry on in the future.

In other words, Dr. Tichy’s ideas are becoming more prevalent currently and need to achieve a greater acceptance and distribution. It would be appropriate for this text to be updated to the current time frame and re-release his writings so that management can include these theories in their tool kit.

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