Our Oil and Gas White Paper, Part IX
Consolidation within the industry is a symptom of creative destruction. Startup oil and gas producers have been extinct for many years now. Another symptom. We see Anadarko throwing in the towel and many of their fellow intermediates believing, hoping, and anticipating, that they may be the next intermediate to be poached. Shell, BP, Exxon and Chevron will survive because that is what they do. That doesn’t make them efficient. If Exxon undertook the development of a system to provide the industry with ERP applications would Shell, BP or Chevron be interested? Of course not and the same would go for any of them. It is the independence of this sub-industry that People, Ideas & Objects are creating and their independent approach to the technical aspects of the accounting and administration of oil and gas that makes it useable by each and every producer no matter what their size or configuration. Startups won’t care that Exxon uses it and has, as a result of their production profile, paid the majority of the software development costs through our coin holders levy. The independent nature of our “sub-industry” is an attribute that all producers, that is the ones that will still be around, will appreciate when our coin holders have funded the Preliminary Specification.
The giddy nature of the producers during AGM’s is something we’ve seen each year. We’ve also seen strong stock performances, particularly in 2019 due to the high price of oil and what I suggest is the previously dedicated allocation of stock buybacks. We’ll know which one of these attributes is responsible for this bullish activity when the second quarter of 2019 is reported. The global oil price may be high but natural gas prices are not. In fact differentials in North America are creating continental oil and gas prices that are truly shocking. For the producers shares to rise on the basis of oil and gas prices would assume that the producers are realizing global prices and we know that is a false assumption. Differential are also not a short term trend as it is implied when the producers do nothing about them or to even recognize them. A few weeks ago in the Permian natural gas prices dropped to their all time low of $5.95. That’s correct negative $5.95. Paying people that much to take your gas is a viable solution to what ails the industry. It is also understood that within the Permian and North Dakota there are 1.5 bcf of gas that is being flared on a daily basis. That’s enough gas to fuel all of Texas’ residential requirements. So yes, your producer firms are on the job and yes, it is almost 100% certain that any bullish share activity is attributable to the one buyer authorized to purchase their own shares.
Chevron purchased Anadarko in order to increase its footprint in the Permian. They expect to increase their production profile there to 900,000 boe / day. So yes we now know that the lessons of the oil and gas investors have been fully heard, understood, comprehended and implemented. Nothing of the sort, the purchase of Anadarko disproves that in a myriad of ways. First Anadarko has lifetime earnings of $910 million based on the specious reporting conducted throughout the industry. If you took our recommendation of the pro forma adjustment of what the real earnings situation would be, our adjustment is to correct for the unrecognized capital costs of past production by moving 65% from property, plant and equipment to depletion, we believe these are the unrecognized capital costs of past production and are not assets, Anadarko would then have a pro forma, cumulative, lifetime adjustment in the amount of $17.7 billion. An amount that is twice as much as their current shareholders equity of $8.5 billion. Therefore they have a lifetime retained loss of $9.2 billion, after all the investors money was destroyed. This is what you paid $33 billion for? The fact is the industry is valued based on reserves. The purpose of the industries activity is to create reserves. Profitability is unknown, unheard of and irrelevant to the producers. Its all about cash flow of which Anadarko had $6 billion in 2018. Earnings will come after all the reserves are built out and the properties are all engineering marvels that make it on to the cover of Scientific American. No these losses are culturally ingrained and are the results of the methods the industry operates on and have been in place since the late 1970’s. No one in power today understands the situation is in crisis, otherwise why would they spend $33 billion? In order for bureaucrats to make the necessary changes to deal with the losses they don’t see or realize are happening, these necessary changes will never come about as a result of the culture and organizational stagnation that exists. They just don’t understand and for the industry to make the transition is counter to the bureaucrats best interest. Creative destruction is therefore the only solution. What we are experiencing in Chevron’s acquisition of Anadarko is an understanding between the bureaucrats who manage these producers, that the value will be based on reserves. That way the ponzi schemes can continue to report that they’re generating value. Why else would you spend $33 billion?
The Preliminary Specification, our user community and service providers provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil and gas industry with the most profitable means of oil and gas operations. Setting the foundation for profitable North American energy independence. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in our future Initial Coin Offering (ICO) that will fund these user defined software developments. It is through the process of issuing our ICO that we are leading the way in which creative destruction can be implemented within the oil and gas industry. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don’t forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.