Revisions to the Artificial Intelligence Module
Summary
With People, Ideas & Objects, our user community and their service provider organizations we have a powerful combination of proposed capacities and capabilities available for the dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil & gas industry and producers. Assuming our budget is financed at some point in the future. Which I can only conclude at this time will occur as long as the associated difficulties in oil & gas persist. And therefore I believe our funding is certain. When we add to this the incomprehensible list of capacities and capabilities of the products and services of Oracle Corporation. Add to these the models and markets that are built upon the use of the Joint Operating Committee and four other Organizational Construct’s of this Preliminary Specification. We will have a strong foundation in which to begin the resolution of industry issues and ensure that real profitability is earned everywhere and always throughout the North American oil & gas industry. I dare ask what the bureaucrats are offering? And will the cost of their option be any less than the trillions of dollars irretrievably lost so far?
People, Ideas & Objects have chosen our distinct competitive advantages to be our user community, Intellectual Property and research as the three areas of our domain to focus upon. These are how we earn our profits. We are a commercial operation and we will always be one as we’ve learned, just as everyone in oil & gas has, what the meaning and value of real profitability is. Without real profitability there is nothing but waste and atrophy. To do anything in business the first question should be where does the money come from? It must come from a steady stream of profitability to support, maintain and manage the operation. There is no other sustainable source of capital capable of doing so. To spend others' money on a continuous basis is child’s play in comparison to the challenge of developing and maintaining a profitable business. A culture of profitability has been lost through four decades of today’s methods of oil & gas management.
Introduction to the Artificial Intelligence Module
Within the Preliminary Specification there is the Security & Access Control module that sets out the necessary security and data access to those in the industry. Providing access to the right information at the right time to the right people with the right authority at the right location and on the right device. Two other modules are the Performance Evaluation for the Joint Operating Committee and the Analytics & Statistics module for the producer firm. These modules are tools that build upon the basic data within the greater Preliminary Specification and Oracle applications that will provide value to users. Organizing this data in an integrated manner and permitting two different perspectives of that same data, one from the point of view of the Joint Operating Committee, accessible by each of the authorized members of that property, and the other perspective from the producer firm providing their users with access to their proprietary accounting and administrative data for subsequent analysis.
Recently we announced that People, Ideas & Objects would be developing as part of the Preliminary Specification, our own data model as a core part of our Intellectual Property. Our data model will be unique to our user communities needs and accommodate the data models used within the Oracle ERP Cloud products. In addition, another aspect of People, Ideas & Objects is the Technological Vision we set out on August 26, 2006 of this blog. It has four components that are in place today, and we feel they provide us with significant differentiation of our product and service offering and will provide real value to the oil & gas industry and producers, enhancing their profitability once implemented. These four technologies consist of Java, Wireless Networks, IPv6 and the application of what we describe as Asynchronous Process Management. We are wirelessly capable today with both WiFi and Cellular networks. Soon we’ll have the addition of space based networks such as Elon Musk's SpaceX StarLink network. As background these four technologies enable the Internet of Things (IoT) in an industry that is based on the earth sciences and the applied science of engineering. Where the chemical components of oil & gas are measured and monitored in terms of pressure and temperature. The capacity and capability to monitor and control an unlimited means of devices throughout the producer's domain. Java and IPv6 enable the addressing capabilities to ensure that the device that is being sought to monitor and control, is the precise device that is being accessed. Java is a highly secure, typed language which doesn’t confuse itself as to which variable is which, etc. IPv6 networks may appear as if they’ve not been implemented, but that is not the case. They are available through Oracle’s ERP Cloud offering. And the most significant IPv6 implementation to date is the cellular phone networks since 4G or LTE. Cellular phones such as Apple and Android devices are IPv6 based devices accessing network voice and data over an IPv6 network.
Therefore it is here we will have the total data set of the historical and proprietary data for the producer firm in the Performance Evaluation and Analytics & Statistics modules. The historical data of each Joint Operating Committee. Analytical tools to enhance the meaning of that data and generate the necessary ad-hoc information that the producer may find of value for their unique competitive advantages of their land and asset base, earth science and engineering capabilities. Although these will be used in ways that are unique and value generating in each of the producer firms, and within each of the members of the Joint Operating Committee. These will be a base infrastructure that’ll be prepared and provided to each of the producers on a continuous basis through the People, Ideas & Objects et al infrastructure defined in this Preliminary Specification.
There is no production discipline in the oil & gas industry. Therefore it’s not a business and never will be a business without profitable business objectives as long as the bureaucrats remain in place. Production discipline could be imposed by forming a North American cartel, (illegal) or government production mandates where no one is ever satisfied with their allocation or implementing the Preliminary Specification. Only the Preliminary Specifications method of production allocation, based on “real” profitability, provides for a legal, fair and equitable means of production discipline. If the property continues to produce a profit then it continues to produce. Otherwise why would you continue to produce if a properties loss reduces the overall profitability of the producer firm, effectively destroying the value of the properties reserves, adding the cost of the ongoing incremental losses to the costs of the reserves, incurring the costs of production and storage of surplus production instead of holding it as reserves and keeping the marginal, or unprofitable, production off the commodities market to ensure they’ll find their marginal prices. Marginal prices not just for the unprofitable property but all the properties across the North American continent. Markets provide one thing and only one thing, their price and bureaucrats refuse to listen to prices even when they're negative $40. They claim our method of production allocation is collusion. If making independent business decisions based on detailed, actual, factual accounting that determines the state of the individual properties profitability is collusion, then bureaucrats belong back in the former Soviet Union.
It is our user communities service provider organizations that provide the means to instill the production discipline across the North American oil & gas producers. Service providers are a reallocation of the existing producers administrative and accounting resources into approximately 3,000 individual service provider companies. There the service provider will focus on one process and apply that process across the entire industry's data set. It will be at each of the service providers where the application of the individual process will be conducted on a standard, objective, actual and factual basis across the industry. This will be done as a result of each of these processes being highly engineered during the development of the Preliminary Specification and continuously improved by our user community members in order to meet the requirements of the industry, regulators and all other stakeholders. And of course the producers and Joint Operating Committees needs. Therefore when the time comes to review the Joint Operating Committees individual, complete and comprehensive financial statements for the month, a feature of the Preliminary Specification. And if they find that a property, for whatever reason, is no longer profitable they can confidently conclude the property needs to be shut-in. They’ll know that every other property in the industry has been assessed on the same objective, standard, detailed, actual and factual accounting basis and as a result each producer can accept that the accounting treatment they received on that property was no different in terms of being better, worse than any other property of theirs or other North American based producers. And therefore knowing that the focus of the producer is to maximize profits everywhere and always, any unprofitable properties only dilute their overall corporate profitability as well as collapse the commodity prices across their production profile, they will appreciate the value of this objective accounting information. They will be able to move the property to their inventory of shut-in properties where their earth science and engineering capabilities can be innovatively applied to rehabilitate the property in some manner to bring it back to profitability. All net positives for the producer and industry overall, but also the energy consumers who will be certain of an abundant supply at the lowest possible cost for their energy.
In summary, once again this infrastructure we’re building is to provide the North American oil & gas industry with the most profitable means of oil & gas production, everywhere and always. As mentioned, on top of this data we have two modules, the Performance Evaluation, and Analytics & Statistics modules that will provide enhanced tools to analyze this framework for their competitive advantage. Building off the detailed, actual, factual financial data of the operation. Not operational or engineering data that has been massaged or allocated and has no historical basis of financial performance. Each producer as a single entity has nowhere near the resources, capabilities or capacity in which they need to be able to begin developing the automation of their business processes, specialization and demands of this environment. An environment that will be a given from a technological architecture point of view. However, we do know bureaucrats are more than capable of muddling through these technical changes. Deliberately maintaining poor quality ERP systems that produce specious accounting with obscure transparency and no accountability have fulfilled their purpose in bureaucratic nirvana.
The structure of our user community is the means in which the producer firms enhance their ERP software. If they want or need changes to their existing systems, who do they go to in today’s environment, who has authority at the producer, who has authority at the software vendor? In the Preliminary Specification people will only need to speak to the relevant user community member(s). Only our user community is licensed to make changes and prepare derivative works of the Intellectual Property of the Preliminary Specification and any additions. Our developers are licensed to take directions from only user community members in terms of what to develop. They are blind, deaf and dumb to all others. Our user community members population is approximately the same as the number of service provider organizations they own and lead. They are focused on their area of expertise and are applying their specialization, division of labor, quality, automation, innovation, integration, leadership, issue identification and resolution, creativity, collaboration, ideas, design, planning, thinking, negotiating, compromising and using conflict and contradictions to get to the source of the issues as their key competitive advantages throughout their organization. User community members are the principles of the service providers whose role it is to provide their tacit knowledge as a service, in addition to the explicit knowledge that is captured and delivered in the People, Ideas & Objects Preliminary Specifications software.
Artificial Intelligence
Our user community and their service provider organizations are the intellectual framework of the oil & gas industry in terms of accounting and administration. It would be my hope, my anticipation and expectation that one day our user community would provide the industry with the software and services that anticipated the business needs, issues and opportunities that oil & gas faced on a proactive basis. The Preliminary Specifications software would be dealing with what it is that’s concerning the industry. Taking a leadership role in the development of the administrative and accounting of the industry. Therefore leveraging this framework as I’ve described earlier as a natural extension of what it could, but most importantly should be doing. Ensuring that oil & gas remained dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable everywhere and always.
Artificial Intelligence always sounds ominous and a highly advanced Information Technology that will be the next solution to all the world's problems. I generally agree with this and believe we should employ it towards resolving the ominous Y2K issue. But seriously, Artificial Intelligence is really nothing more than advanced automation. Breaking a problem down to its simplest form that is definable and manageable in a reasonable scope can be determined through this tool to automate the decision making and other higher level processes. Which is a valuable tool in the right hands, and with the appropriate base of data from a historical accounting point of view. If you Google “baby formula” be prepared to be inundated with ads for baby formula from local and online stores. This is a preliminary application of AI and we see the benefits of such actions in the form of Google’s quarterly profitability. The use of AI is highly dependent on the quality of the data being used. As we’re aware the financial information of the producers isn’t worth the paper it’s written upon. The first priority therefore must be the implementation of the Preliminary Specification in order that the financial data is being captured appropriately and in a manner that will be usable. Providing the base level tools for analytical and statistical analysis as groundwork for the feeding of this Artificial Intelligence module. There is a need to expand this by stating the data, analytical and AI framework of the Preliminary Specification will be a necessity for implementation and use of the Internet of Things (IoT). Where they’ll be able to be working together as a future architecture.
Moving the Artificial Intelligence for ERP domain within the user community and service provider domain therefore is a natural and necessary fit. My thinking on this began as a result of the announcement by Mr. Thomas Siebel and his Artificial Intelligence firm C3.ai Inc. Thomas Siebel sold Siebel Systems to Oracle Corporation a number of years ago. The purpose behind C3.ai Inc is consistent with the theme that is present in the ERP marketplace. Individual companies can spend vast amounts of money and time internally on ERP systems or Artificial Intelligence with no benefit, wasting investment and unnecessary demand on critical AI and ERP resources. Mr. Siebel suggests that there is a 99% failure rate of internal corporate AI initiatives. I would suggest that the level of destruction we’re witnessing in oil & gas today is a result of the inability of bureaucrats to understand their business due to their deliberate atrophy of the ERP systems provider marketplace. If their ERP systems were operating as they conceptually should, would the industry be in the condition it’s in today?
Centralizing the resources of the industry into Artificial Intelligence based ERP developments which will be developed and deployed through the People, Ideas & Objects et al framework is an efficiency that is consistent with our theme of ERP developments. The demands of software development are no longer a capability that can be attained in-house in order to ensure the full scope of the organization's needs are covered. The same applies to AI. Therefore the Preliminary Specifications consolidation of the industries resources on one focused development in an objective, standard and compliant manner offers better functionality and capability at considerably less cost to each producer. Oracle has AI initiatives with their Oracle ERP Cloud, the base of our solution, and we will therefore be adopting those tools. I believe that the addition of this thirteenth module's AI capabilities is a natural extension of our user community and their service provider organizations and an efficient use of industry AI resources. Enabling producers to focus on their key competitive advantages of their land and asset base, earth science and engineering capabilities and to do so profitably. Incurring the time and energy to build the capacity and capability of ERP based AI once, and sharing the cost of development and this initiative's success across the industry.
But there's more, the demand on AI resources in terms of the practitioners would be too high to ensure that any individual producer was able to attain any level of AI competency or competitive advantage in the industry for ERP based AI. It would duplicate the capability of our user community in this area and therefore answer the question, why is there that 99% failure rate? In a highly risk oriented Information Technological environment, the ability to share that risk and mitigate the failure rate should appeal.
Yet producers would be realizing AI’s value based on their intuition and creative application of these business capabilities towards their asset base. This ERP based AI module is not distributing the AI to each producer. We are providing the organization and implementation of successful data integration with statistical and analytical tools and standard, packaged Artificial Intelligence frameworks that will have been proven to be valuable in the ERP domain of an oil & gas producer. It will therefore be incumbent upon the producers to take these tools and use them in their interpretation and application against their own proprietary data and business makeup.
One of the aspects of the Preliminary Specification is that the administrative and accounting burden of each individual producer is substantially reduced as a result of the changes we’ll be instituting. These changes are a result of the burden of the producers' fixed, unshared and unshareable, administrative and accounting capabilities being reallocated to the variable and shared administrative and accounting capabilities of the industry. Variable based on production. Another key attribute that we’re using to reduce the costs of administrative and accounting, yet increase the performance and quality of our offering is by using specialization and the division of labor to be distributed across our service providers. These two elements of the Preliminary Specification will work to enhance the cost performance of the producers as we believe that overhead costs are substantial, and are one of the secondary reasons responsible for producers’ chronic unprofitability. Specialization increases the performance trajectory of the service providers' administrative and accounting resources by increasing their capacity with the same or even fewer resources. We also apply this principle in the area of software development. More importantly is the unshared nature of the current, bureaucratic and redundant spending of the same overhead costs within each siloed producer organization, in areas that are not distinct competitive advantages of producer firms. It is People, Ideas & Objects that are using Professor Paul Romer's “Endogenous Technical Change” and the treatment of non-rival goods. As represented in our application of the Cloud Computing paradigm in offering our Cloud Administration and Accounting for Oil & Gas service.
A key difference between what People, Ideas & Objects have proposed is that the Artificial Intelligence module is properly constructed after the business models, markets, architecture, infrastructure, functionality, organization and data are assembled. Bureaucrats have been using Artificial Intelligence to enhance their thinking for the past number of years. It has provided no results that we can see or are aware of. In fact it seems to People, Ideas & Objects that AI may have been another viable scapegoat at the time to ensure their investors knew the bureaucrats were on the job. Except they have no usable data. Without that data being organized and managed appropriately what purpose is AI? Oracle has recently stated that IoT may increase a firm's volume of data five fold by the year 2025. It may be a good time for the industry to start concerning themselves with such issues as data and profits. Secondly, each producer spending money on a new initiative that is the “next great thing” is a consistent criticism of ours with respect to the behavior we’ve seen of bureaucrats.
Those interested in joining our user community are People, Ideas & Objects priority and focus. The Preliminary Specification, our user community and their service provider organizations provide for a dynamic, innovative, accountable and profitable oil & gas industry with the most profitable means of oil & gas operations, everywhere and always. Setting the foundation for profitable North American energy independence, everywhere and always. An industry where it will be less important who you know, but what you know and what you're capable of delivering, what the value proposition is that you’re offering? We know we can, and we know how to make money in this business. In addition, our software organizes the Intellectual Property of the exploration and production processes owned by the engineers and geologists. Enabling them to monetize their IP for a new oil & gas industry to begin with a means to be dynamic, innovative and performance oriented. Providing a new investment opportunity for those who see a bright future in the industry. A place where their administrative, accounting, exploration and production can be handled for the 21st century. People, Ideas & Objects. Please join our community on Twitter @piobiz. Anyone can contact me at 713-965-6720 in Houston or 587-735-2302 in Calgary, or email me here.