It's a Confidence Game
We also hop in the car for a cross country trip every once in a while. Expect to fly to wherever as soon as possible. And see the seasons change with little thought to how we’ll keep warm and dry during the winter. We are confident people. And it is this confidence that provides us with the ability to experience high levels of Gross Domestic Product on an individual basis. Our quality of life is very good. And unlike in the banking industry nothing could happen to shake that confidence and put in jeopardy our way of life. Maybe it's in our nature to realize the downfall of our ways and means before we begin to appreciate them. That to solve problems proactively is unnecessary and subject to the whims of the ridiculous. I could certainly agree with that.
If it takes at least seven years and $22 trillion to fix the confidence in the banking system. And it doesn't seem that we are that close to declaring victory there. How long would it take if people lost confidence in the ability to rely on the oil and gas industry if those capabilities were suddenly removed and put into question. Would people be able to just carry on? Reduce their demands and proceed as they were? In California in the 1970’s we saw the successful implementation of gas rationing throughout that state. In a novel implementation, those with even numbered license plates were allowed gas on alternate days to those with odd numbered license plates. And except for the lines that were very long at the gas pumps, and the fact that those pumps were emptied relatively quickly each day, the rationing was a screaming success!
We should give a thought to our friends the bureaucrats in this scenario as well. What will the likelihood of abundant marine fuel be at the cabin? We saw last Wednesday half of Cenovus’ leadership team announced their retirement. Now I ask you, who would have thought that that might happen? Wholesale losses of the leadership team! Bureaucrats don't abandon ship when the going gets tough! I think we should expect to see the rush to the doors begin in earnest now. Who really wants to stick around and clean this mess up? If you note in the Cenovus press release there really are no replacements. No one to replace the Executive VP and COO of the firm. A coveted prize of the energy bureaucrat.
And those bureaucrats that are not ready to retire will be seeking their fortunes in other industries. You really can't quantify the level of inertia that is needed to overcome the bureaucracy in these producers and make the necessary changes. It saps the energy out of even the most ambitious. And that is why we need to start with a blank slate. Something like the Preliminary Specification where people can begin building the future of the industry so that we can confidently move forward in society.
The Preliminary Specification and user community provides the oil and gas producer with the most dynamic, innovative, profitable and successful means of oil and gas operations. People, Ideas & Objects Revenue Model specifies the means in which investors can participate in these user defined software developments. Users are welcome to join me here. Together we can begin to meet the future demands for energy. And don't forget to join our network on Twitter @piobiz anyone can contact me at 403-200-2302 or email here.