Who'll be the HSBC of the oil and gas industry.

I was struck by the new logo and branding campaign that HSBC is revealing at their new location here in Calgary.

"The World's local bank."

I have to admit first off that HSBC is one of my favorite companies of all time. I was first introduced to the strategy and vision of its leadership in the second year of my MBA program. We were asked to review the company for one of many thousands of readings we reviewed. What was unique and struck me was that they had hired the head of information systems to be the new company president. This was the top president of the entire company, not a subsidiary or branch, the global operation. Gutsy move for a company to do, especially since this was well before the understanding of technology that should be present today in every board room.

Here are my edited notes of the reading.

Expectations and impacts of a Global Information System: The Case of a Global Bank from Hong Kong.

Introduction

The world's industries now must compete on a global scale. The opportunity and threats of the global marketplace provide industry with constant pressure to build world products, and tailor products to customers in diverse markets.

The banking industry has been particularly affected by the changes to globalization with the combination of competition, deregulation, the availability of cheap IT, and the shift towards a global outlook by large industrial organizations which have lead to dramatic changes in the strategy and structure of the banking industry.

HSBC's hexagon application is studied to determine how one bank has used IT to coordinate IT strategy, global assets and overall strategy to compete with IT as a cornerstone and on a global scale.

Expected impacts of global IS in the financial services industry.

The Hexagon system.

HSBC is an international bank with operations in 79 countries and 5500 offices. 120,000 employees, a size that only Citibank can match. IT has been an explicit part of HSBC's strategy, with 6000 worldwide IT staff heavily involved in product development. The Chairman and CEO, John Strickland is a computer programmer by training and began at HSBC in 1966. Hexagon began conceptually in 1982 headed by Strickland. A strategic threat was identified when Citibank and Chase were both able to provide corporate customers with terminals to access "in country" transactions and balance data on their accounts.

HSBC customers were well to do international travelers that may gravitate to the type of services being offered by Citibank and Chase. It was determined that HSBC would need to leapfrog the competition in terms of functionality, the concept was to provide the resources of a worldwide banking system right to the desktop manager. The ability to know real time information on the cash balances, receivables and securities balances worldwide would be the objective of Hexagon.

In 1985 the first operational version offering basic account information and payment instructions was installed at 5 Hong Kong banks. In 86 it was installed at locations in the US, UK, Singapore and Japan. The ability to send and receive email between branch manager and customer was added. In 1989 a functionally rich version of the application was distributed to 30 countries of the HSBC.

Currently the Hexagon system (circa 1997 I believe) is a global electronic banking service giving customers 7 x 24, 365 day service from the customers PC in multiple languages and operating systems. 500 other banks are using the Hexagon system and Hexagon is also tied into the international SWIFT and Automated Clearing House services of check clearing. JPMorgan uses the services for their private banking clients. Checks can be written online and sent in 40 different currencies.

These facilitate the international firm the ability to distribute money as required to any region within the world on their desktop.

Hexagon Performance Impacts.

To asses the impact of Hexagon on the HSBC we need to look first to their customers and secondly assess the performance of HSBC expected functional impacts of a global information system and finally examine HSBC's overall firm level service.

Customer Acceptance.

The growth of customers on the Hexagon system since its introduction to include 50% of all electronic international corporate banking transactions worldwide.

Impacts in terms of Hexagon's purpose.

Scale and Scope Economies.

The costs associated with incremental use of customers is marginal. Repositioning to other customers is a simple interface change to accommodate the needs of the new customer group.

Hexagon has helped HSBC to become the largest bank with assets of $452 billion vs. Citibank @ 310 billion and Bank of America @ 260 billion. It is also one of the largest in terms of its global reach with only Citibank operating in 98 countries as being larger. (Again 1997 I believe. )

Product Value

Hexagon offers customers opportunities to reduce costs by saving transactions processing steps. Many customers have their corporate financing departments tied into Hexagon and operating them as if they were part of the ERP systems. (i.e.; integrating payroll within the Hexagon systems)

If Hexagon provides value to its customers then they should be able to charge a higher fee for the service. Interest income plus other revenue were compared from 1990 to 1997 to HSBC and its competitors. A comparison of pretax profit also showed that HSBC margins grew from 21% to 42% during the seven year period and from third position to first.

Efficiency.

Operating costs usually associated with the staffing of operations are reduced due to the efficiency of the software.

In terms of the staff expense as a percentage of operating income, HSBC is in the middle of the pack. The conclusion is that Hexagon has not reduced average transaction expenses. When we examine premises and equipment expenses as a percentage of revenue, HSBC expenses are the lowest among the peer group of banks. This suggests that Hexagon has reduced the physical bank space required and as such does not show up when measuring Hexagon's transaction costs.

Organizational Effectiveness.

Hexagon integrates much of the back end operations of a bank. The securities and payments part of their operation.

Competitive advantage.

The full value of Hexagon depends on its geographical scope. The ability to provide service in each country a customer may operate in provides the value. Therefore someone wanting to compete on the basis of the same functionality as Hexagon needs to establish just as large a network of global reach as HSBC, which limits the competition to a very small amount of companies.

Success of HSBC

HSBC's explicit strategy includes a focus on the development of cutting edge IT applications to support its global operations. For 1997 HSBC pretax profits were $8 billion US. HSBC was the tenth largest in its peer group of 100 banks, and was number 1 in pretax profits for 1995 to 1997.

Discussion, Limitations and Implications for managers.

The results strongly suggest that Hexagon affects HSBC's performance by increasing economies of scale and scope, providing additional value to customers, increasing efficiency within HSBC and improving organizational effectiveness. In addition network externalities in the product provide disproportionately more value to the customer when every location at which the customers wants to do business is covered by the system.

These also create substantial barriers to entry for any competitor that may want or need to compete with HSBC. The configuration of the remaining aspects of the bank are different then most other banks around the world. The ability for HSBC to augment the value and advantages of the system by configuring their physical assets to compliment the Hexagon system are key in achieving many of the value propositions.

Limitations.

This research shows that firm level performance is affected by many factors. While our analysis focused on one broad product line, the quantitative and qualitative analysis, nor all of it together, proves that Hexagon positively affected HSBC's performance. The researchers however believe that Hexagon's value proposition is quite persuasive.

Implications for Managers.

This is further evidence of the extreme importance of IT infrastructure to their business. Customers will begin to demand faster transaction speeds, lower transaction costs and geographic scope. Only highly integrated global systems can hope to compete on this level.

Technorati Tags: Genesys, HSBC, Technical Vision

Dr. Giovanni Dosi, Sources Part IV, E

The externalities of the innovation process.

Dosi has been clear in establishing the public and private components of technology and the innovation process. Specifically the appropriability of the innovation process is endogenously and exogenously influenced. That innovation and science are linked, and each contribute and inhibit the development of the other. Oil and gas firms are now tasked with not only the development of the science, but must understand the sciences development. The same attributes apply to the process of innovation as much as they do to their underlying sciences.

In this section Dosi takes the public component and divides it into two forms.

"First, there are certainly "free-good" elements, in technological progress, essentially stemming from the free flow of information, readily available publications, and so on." p.1146

Secondly, the "un-traded interdependencies among sectors, technologies and firms and takes the form of technological complementarities, synergies, flows of stimuli and constraints that do not entirely correspond to commodity flows." p.1146

Here Dosi asserts the "production of bicycles drew technological knowledge from the production of shotguns". This does not necessarily warrant much in terms of further study. What Dosi is attempting to do here is lay some further groundwork that will be added to in part F and in part "G Some Conclusions". Therefore I am only adding or stating these components now in order to fill in some value in the next Dosi entry.

Technorati Tags: Dosi, Energy, Exploration, Genesys

Another morning, another call to action.

Mr. Olivier Appert, Chairman and CEO of IFP has written a fine conclusion that leads me to comment at the end of this blog.

"In order to meet the world's needs and demands for energy, while simultaneously observing our current energy supply and protecting the environment, the oil and gas industry will have to solve many complex technological problems in the coming decades and continue to innovate as it has done since its inception.

Recent scientific and technical advances, the fruits of collaboration between the worlds of research and industry, have led to a profusion of promising emerging technologies and represent key assets for preparing for the future, particularly in terms of managing the energy transition from oil and gas to new energy sources.

In the face of increasingly fierce competition, it is imperative these new challenges become integral to our research and innovation strategies. Developments will play a crucial role in guaranteeing genuine sustainable development for the world."

I can assure Mr. Appert that he is 100% consistent with the Plurality thesis I wrote in 2004. It was at that time however that the recognition of the capability of the oil and gas industry as represented by the hierarchy would fail in this critical task. That new and more innovative organizational forms are required. The joint operating committee being the global cultural manner of the oil and gas industry, is the financial, legal and operational decision making frameworks as well. The joint operating committee is summarily ignored by the hierarchy, who's only claim to fame is the accountability framework. If you hear a manager in a company complaining about Sarbane's Oxley, then you not only have a hierarchy in full control, but a hypocrite of the highest order. It is Sarbanes Oxeley that defines the scope and value of bureaucrats justification, salary and pension benefits.

So as I noted here yesterday, SEC Chairman Christopher Cox understands that the way to redefine the accountability framework is through the Extensible Business Reporting Language, and the SEC's tag library. What we therefore need to do, is first and foremost, build the software to define and support the joint operating committee as the natural form of organizational structure. Until we do this, these calls to actions are just words that soon will fade in there meaning in the face of the angry energy consumer who wants to know why they can not drive their car or heat their home.

This is serious, if your expect the current organization of the oil and gas industry to solve this, you first better explain it to them fore I have not seen the recognition that Mr. Appert's report is generally accepted.

Albert Einstein said two pertinent things.

1. Today's problems will not be solved by today's thinking.
2. Doing the same thing, over and over, expecting different results is the sign of insanity.

Technorati Tags: Accountability, Bureaucracy, Call-to-action, Christopher-Cox, Genesys, Plurality, Technical Vision, Thesis

Calls to action, a summary.

Occasionally I will post a summary of the number and quality of the Calls to Action I am finding today. Each of these have been reflected on in this blog and can be searched by their technorati tags.

To date: (no particular order)

• Thomas L. Friedman in his book "The World is Flat".
• Oxford Analytica.
• Chrisotopher Cox, Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission using XBRL.
• Harvard University.
• McKinsey Consulting.
• The Oil and Gas Journal.
• MIT President.

One would think that the oil and gas companies, investors, users or developers might want to start hitting the PayPal button, make a donation and we can start building this system.

Technorati Tags: Abstract, Call-to-action

Another day, another call to action.

The Wall Street Journal continues on its tradition of producing some of the finest articles. This one about the relatively new Securities and Exchange Commissioner (SEC). Mr. Christopher Cox. Not only has the new commissioner have a great name, but he also has a good idea that dovetails well with what this blogs purpose is.

"Build software that manages the accountability framework, then alignment with the financial, legal, operational decision making and cultural frameworks is achieved. The recognition that these frameworks are defined and constrained by the Joint Operating Committee are how the producer achieves the speed, innovation, capability and adaptability to meet the markets demand for energy." (Quoting myself here.)

Mr. Christopher Cox is interested in doing the same for the entire world's financial trading markets, which as SEC commissioner is his responsibility.

By making the types of comments that Commissioner Cox states in the WSJ article. It is clear to me that he is not only on the right track but will resolve the largest administrative nightmare of the public company reporting process. To me how Sarbanes-Oxley gets resolved from here is difficult. To make any major amendment to it would make it appear as the framework has become unmanageable and invite the Ken Lay's, Jeffry Skilling and Petro Canada's back for more hollowing out of the investors wealth.

How Sarbanes-Oxley legislation is eliminated from the process is by eliminating the need for the 800 plus forms to a handful of standard tags in the Extensible Business Reporting Language. I can only thank that the Commisionner understands the technological capabilities and can apply it to the SEC. I have spoken of meta tags and meta data before, however, I'll leave it to the inventor of the Internet, Sir Tim Berners-Lee to describe why Mr. Christopher Cox's and Mr. Paul Cox's (me again) ideas are workable.

When I speak about the demise of the bureaucracy I am saying the same thing that the Commissioner is saying here. He is laying the groundwork and infrastructure of how investors will be able to manage their assets in the future. Note that I did not state the Investors can manage their companies, but the Investors Assets.

That an investor could purchase an interest in a well, and as such have the entire accountability framework in alignment with the financial, legal, cultural and operational decision making frameworks as captured and defined by the regulation and the software that defines the Joint Operating Committee, and that working interest then is a tradable asset on the worlds exchanges, then we are talking about the new society.

If I have not made it clear at this I point, I'll state it explicitly. Genesys and this blog have adopted the SEC's XBRL tag library. Wow, so now we'll be compliant with the SEC, that was easy.

Technorati Tags: Accountability, Bureaucracy, Call-to-action, Christopher-Cox, Compensation, Energy, Genesys, Java, Petro-Canada, Plurality, Thesis

Another week, and another call to action.

This one from Oxford Analytica. And as there website reflects;

"Oxford Analytica is an international, independent consulting firm drawing on a network of over 1,000 senior faculty members at Oxford, and other major universities and research institutions around the world. Founded in 1975 by Dr. David R. Young, Oxford Analytica has built an international reputation for seasoned judgement on and analysis of the implications of national and international developments facing corporations, banks, governments and international institutions."

Seeing how they're derived from academia, and assert their independence as a key component of their offering. Oxford Analytica's conclusions and analysis would lead me to believe and trust in them more so then a Cambridge Energy Research Associates (CERA) report. CERA reports which are funded and directed by the energy industry itself, tend to have a self defining and self promoting style of research and conclusions.

It is fair to assume Oxford Analytica's report entitled "Cash rich oil majors focus on frontiers" has little direct financial support or influence by the oil and gas producers. A bias that is evident in many of the alleged research reports from CERA. Research reports that tend to be more focused on the next quarterly outcome, and Dr. Daniel Yergin's strong opinions of how much oil there is, or isn't.

Oxford Analyticas explicit conclusion is stated as;

"Technological lead will prove critical in the efficient exploitation of frontier oil provinces. Upgrading portfolios means majors will divest assets that provide material opportunities for small and medium-sized independents."

Kind of resonates with the fact that the large producers are unable to keep up to the marketplace demands for energy. Or perform in an environment of speed, innovation, capability and adaptability. But then I am just as biased as CERA is in that the hypothesis that I developed in September 2003, and attempted to have funded by Petro Canada et al, that the Joint Operating Committee was the natural form of organization for the oil and gas industry, and that organizations were defined by their software capabilities, was handed to CERA to research as I was hustled to the street by Petro Canada's management. It's just too bad that CERA is not only biased, but also very slow in reaching the research conclusion that I did in May 2004, and, Oxford Analytica have been able to agree upon currently.

If you can sense a bitterness at the attempted theft of my intellectual property by the criminal minds of Petro Canada and CERA you would be incorrect for two reasons. One I ended up with the copyright by publishing the research conclusions to my hypothesis first (the underlying foundation of this blog) . Secondly, I have a right to be sued, as stated here before and documented by Dr. Thomas C. Schelling, a right that I cherish more each day and pray will happen soon.

Technorati Tags: Bureaucracy, Call-to-action, CERA, Conflict, Exploration, Oxford, Petro-Canada

Adaptability, Sun may have something there.

I pirated the Sun CEO's comment that "adaptability" is a key component in business. I noted in an earlier entry that Petro Canada would be unable to adapt to an explorationist mindset due to the bureaucracy. Adaptabililty vs bureaucracy. That will be a major part of the new frontier. In pirating this new definition of the term "adaptability" I now realize that there is some underlying significant meaning.

When added to today's other critical business components of Speed, Innovation and Capability; adaptability establishes new performance criteria for individuals, societies and organizations.

One of the major discoveries in my research was based on Dr. Anthony Giddens Theory of Structuration. That society, people and organizations need to move and progress together, or there will be failure. It doesn't take a lot to realize the troika that Giddens defined is currently out of synch. With the bureaucracies of the organizations impeding the progress of people and society. That a failure will occur due to this non-synchronous state is a given, and I am betting that the bureaucracies will be dispatched to the trash heap sooner then most can imagine.

Dr. Wanda Orlikowski built upon the Theory of Structuration when she defined her Model of Structuration for Technology. Dr. Orlikowski's model asserts that a fundamental component of society is technology, that technology provides a duality and therefore is a constraint or inhibitor to successful advancement of society people and organizations.

I asserted in the development of my hypothesis that;

"hierarchical organizational structure(s) is(are) an impediment to advancement of the oil and gas company and society in general".

My research built upon the Theory of Structuration, Model of Technology Structuration and hypothesis to determine that "SAP is the bureaucracy". That organizations are defined and constrained by the software that supports the organization.

The purpose of this blog and the developments at https://genesys.dev.java.net/ are to define an organizational structure of Speed, Innovation, Capability and Adaptability in the global oil and gas industry.

Technorati Tags: Adaptability, Bureaucracy, Exploration, Genesys, Java, Petro-Canada, Structuration, Schwartz, Sun

Why does Petro Canada get all the attention?

To prove that the blogosphere is more powerful then the bureaucracies. The ability for these bureaucracies to survive does not exist. In an environment where innovation, adaptability, speed and capability are required, who needs bureaucrats.

The need to prove that Petro Canada is run for the betterment of the managers "stock" options. Or as I like to refer to them as "entitlement" options. The management can not expect that anyone is going to overlook their use of the treasury for their own purposes. Do they not recall Enron or Worldcom?

Its not personal, but Petro Canada's staff took the time and effort to make sure that I understood that any of the efforts I made in developing this software would be minimal and unsuccessful. That my time in the oil and gas industry was over and that I should find work in other industries. So its just so much easier to pick my targets after this treatment at the hands of their so called "senior" management. Since they have had the luxury of using their power to make my life miserable, all is fair in love and war.

That these organizations as represented by Petro Canada have failed. In every metric of financial, production and particularly earnings, they will begin to show signs of being severely strained. I believe a company that was successful in the exploitation era, is an abject failure in the exploration era. They can not change their stripes.

These failures are beginning to be evident in some of the companies already. Failure is the most advanced in Petro Canada, and therefore picking targets is easiest when they pretend to continue on for the betterment of their shareholders.

Technorati Tags: Exploration, Genesys, Java, Petro-Canada

Point taken, Chief Java Evangelist

Jonathon Schwartz is the Chief Java Evangelist, President and CEO of Sun Microsystems and in preparation for the Java One conference, he prepared a blog entry to discuss the comparison of the shipping container to Java.

Now I like to joke that Schwartz, McNealy and Gosling are second rate Java evangelists behind myself. Maybe what I should of stated in my comparison of the container and Google is that Google's favorite language is Java.

I am highly recommending that everyone and anyone register for a free web based introductory course on the Java Programming Language. Hosted by Sun employee, Sang Shin, register for the course and learn why most people believe the Java revolution is about to really begin. I'll be registering as well because I understand Mr. Shin so well that I am going to learn much from him.

[Learning] [Container] [Java]

Before Google, the container.

Sarah Murray wrote an interesting article in last weekend's National Post that was brilliant. Entitled "Birthday of the Box" it chronicled the birth, issues, development and effects of the shipping container. Celebrating it's 50th year, the ubiquitous shipping container has lead to many of the innovations and benefits of globalization up to this point. Noting the particular points of interest are as follows.

• 90% of global trade now travels inside them.
• It was the brain child of Mr. Malcom McLean, a North Carolina truck driver.
• Port operators and ship owners were reluctant to put their money into equipment, vessels and port infrastructure, and most importantly the longshoreman and dockworker unions dug their heels in. (Something that I can appreciate from the oil and gas industry.)
• Longshoreman in New York dropped from 30,000 in 1960 to 8,500 in 1986.
• Intermodalism impacted shipping to such an extent that OOCL Shenzhen is the largest vessel. Capable of the following capacity
• Christened on April 30, 2003 in Korea.
• Can travel at 25.2 knots at full load.
• Capacity is more then 8,000 containers.
• 8 million crates of bananas, or
  
• 200 million blouses in a single journey.
• Delivering choice to the global consumer.
  
• Making production of goods to flow to the lowest cost producer. An efficiency that benefits every human on the planet.
  
• Used containers are now converted to housing, schools and such in the developing world.
  

I agree with the author that all aspects of our lives have been impacted and improved as a result of the thinking of this North Carolina truck driver. The author notes that science is also benefiting in many odd ways. In 1992 a container of 29,000 plastic ducks crashed in the middle of the North Pacific. These ducks are helping scientists map and gain a better understanding of ocean currents as these ducks are noted and documented in their travels.

Sarah Murray is the author of an upcoming book called Moveable Feasts: the Incredible Journeys of the Things We Eat, ISBN. Although she mentions that the impact of information technologies on these innovations have also made the container fulfill the promise of its full value, I think she is missing a phenomenal parallel in terms of its impact. And that is Google.

That the container was able to revolutionize the "physical" world is credited to its roots and birth fifty years ago. Google to me provides the same value and impact from the "intellectual" world. As we have automated and "roboticized" much of our production, logistics, shipping and marketing, Google is the same revolutionary thinking. What could be thought today in this world could be implemented and acted upon by Google immediately.

As we pass from the physical to the intellectual worlds, 50 years from now, people will know and say the same things about Google, that we now know and say of the container.

[Google] [Container] [Revolution]

Petro Canada is...

Fill in your own words here, my word is ridiculous. This is the only way that I can describe what the National Post reported in Saturday's edition. Petro Canada was considering partnering with Marathon Petroleum in a Syrian concession that Marathon was granted last week.

So, it's now Monday, the strategy of the 2005 annual report. In which the justification for selling Syrian assets at fire sale prices was.

"The sale of the mature Syrian producing assets aligns with the Company's strategy to increase the proportion of long-life and operated assets in its portfolio."

Is no longer valid.

I can only hope and pray that Petro Canada takes my recommendation to heart. My recommendation noted here was based on Dr. Thomas C. Schelling's "Strategy of Conflict" that I have the right to be sued.

So please I beg of you, sue me, because if you think it's been bad for the last couple of months, you haven't seen anything yet. So do it, and as they say "Lets get ready to rumble".

Technorati Tags: Bureaucracy, Exploration, Genesys, Petro-Canada, Conflict

Petro Canada vs. Talisman and Devon.

I'll let readers determine if Petro Canada made a wise (attempted) purchase in Canada Southern Petroleum Ltd.

The May 13th Calgary Herald reported that Talisman and Devon Energy secured four of six parcels in a bid to secure rights in 1,300 square miles of the North West Territories.

Although the Talisman et al rights were for land, the $53.9 million is for work commitments. So to develop the land in the North West Territories, Talisman et al offer $53.9 million to develop 1,300 square miles. (an average cost of $41,461 per square mile.)

Recall the $113 million Petro Canada is offering to secure land in 52 square miles in the Arctic. The Arctic being somewhat North of the North West Territories. (an average cost of $2,173,076 per square mile.) I don't know, but base on these criteria it looks as though Talisman et al made the right decision here?

The key attribute of management is not to spend to much for an asset. Over time the value of the asset, and the future profitability of the company are directly related to these transactions. A good example is, a few years ago Ms. Carly Fiorina of Hewlett Packard offered $19 billion for PriceWaterhouse Coopers. For some reason the transaction didn't close and not even one year later IBM bought PriceWaterhouse Coopers for just $3 billion. A $16 billion difference.

Fortunately, Hewlett Packard dispatched Carly out of the CEO's office. Given an unlimited amount of money for asset acquisition, a fool, such as Carly or Petro Canada, will over pay for assets every time.

[Petro-Canada] [Talisman] [Devon]

Energy, the one common denominator of life.

Discussions regarding energy and its value are being actively debated around the world. Since the shortages are placing the commodities of energy into the political arena, these discussion are taking on a heightened value.

I thought I would add my two cents in to the discussion, so here goes.

Two things are finite energy and life. No other commodity, or value of anything fits that definition of "finite". There is only so much of it and there is nothing that can be done once either is gone. As time passes, energy and life are irretrievably lost. Nothing can be done to recapture it.

Kind of puts the hole energy discussion into context for me.

[Energy] [Innovation] [Java]

The Petro Canada definition of value and maturity.

Today's papers are full of the hostile bid that our favorite company, Petro Canada, is launching against oil and gas producer Canada Southern Petroleum Ltd. Paying $113 million for approximately 1,000 barrels of oil equivalent and 52 square miles in the Arctic may seem high, because it is. Asigning a value of $113 million per 1,000 bbls /day (raw land is always included in deals). Petro Canada wants to be known as an explorer, and that's all there is to it.

Or are these people even acting rationally? Petro Canada recently sold producing assets in Syria. These assets were deemed as "mature" by the company and therefore were no longer appealing to management. Is it therefore fair to assume that Petro Canada's "hostile" bid for Canada Southern is for immature assets? Lets do a comparison.

Syrian assets were sold for $676 million in late 2005 (including rights acquired in 2003). Syrian properties were producing 70,000 boe / day, or, approximately $10 million / 1,000 bbls per day. Petro Canada disposed of this for the following reason.

"The sale of the mature Syrian producing assets aligns with the Company's strategy to increase the proportion of long-life and operated assets in its portfolio."

So to use the vocabulary of Petro Canada the following values can be determined.

Arctic assets are "good" because they are strategic. (ie. long life and operated.) Syrian assets are "bad" because they are not strategic (ie. short life(?) and non-operated.)

Now I see the theme of this management. Again as with the Syrian sale, the Arctic assets seem to be done from the point of view of pure "panic."

I am going to make a clear recommendation that I hope the management of Petro Canada can understand. Revise your strategy to include the word "producing". You'll feel better for it.

[Petro-Canada] [Strategy] [Java]

Partnership Accounting Part IV, currency and volumes.

In previous entries about partnership accounting, I have discussed the unique nature of accounting for partners in this proposed new networked application environment. In Part I, and Part II, I included how the membership of a producer within the joint operating committee might contribute capital, lands or leases, capability or intellectual property to the table. That these values would need to be identified, quantified and equalized before the partnership accounting was completed. The role of chairman would be somewhat diminished and be more equal to the other participants active participation .

In Part III I raised the issue regarding changes in the working interest shares of a property based on certain criteria or events. Imposing a cutoff in which these changes take place within the month. I also discussed the need to account for both accounting months and production months.

Today in Part IV I want to raise the issue of currencies. The operation of a facility may be in a remote area of the globe and be owned by two or more producers located in other countries. This may be a likely scenario considering today's makeup of producers.

I also want to reiterate how this system is built and its impact on the producer. Genesys software will be the core of the application that does the majority of the processing. Developers that build the core will also have plug-ins of their own that will deal with the unique data, information and regulations of a certain jurisdiction. These interfaces will need to handle the presentation of data in the appropriate accounts at the appropriate values. The core algorithm will calculate the nuances of the data elements and the presentation of these will be done by the partner providing the plugin.

Therefore, a producer in Texas may have partners from Canada and Great Britain involved in a large facility in the capital of Turkey. To represent the involvement of each partner in the currency they are regulated to report in, is up to the Genesys core with data representation in each of the four countries mentioned. A difficult task in this era of large currency fluctuations.

Currency translations can take on two distinct characteristics depending on the type of account. The asset's need to be reported at the lower of cost or market value. How is this impacted on each producer if the currency in use by the partner is the U.S. and the Turkish dollar declines precipitously. What happens to some debt or obligation if your home currency declines and your debt is denominated in U.S. dollars?

The second type of currency translation are those that would be associated with the revenue and expense type of accounts. These could also disrupt the makeup of the partnership accounting particularly if the U.S. dollar were to decline to record levels. Does this make the property represent a disproportionate value to each one of the partners?

Another issue respecting these accounts, what if the firm had paid a cash call at the beginning of the work and their was a large currency adjustment between the time the cash call was paid and the monthly statement of operations or expenditures was issued. How are these going to be handled.

The purpose in raising these points in partnership accounting should be clear. The number and types of transactions are taking on a multitude of exceptions that need to be addressed. To make this system functional and useful in this environment will be a test of the technologies. Difficult at this point, but I am confident that given the right amount of time the Java developers will have made the system able to accommodate all these various data elements. I therefore assign the technical risk as low.

In Partnership Accounting Part V, I will be discussing the difficulties in dealing with production volumes. How they are recorded, balancing, custom fees, custom products etc.

[Partnership-Accounting][Genesys][Java]

The "anti"-Petro Canada.

I have been very quick to point out the failures of our favorite company, Petro Canada (PCZ on the NYSE). I can assure you that the fun will continue, and as I suspect, only get better. Today I want to contrast the failures of Petro Canada with what I think the large international producer should be doing. And here in Canada we have somewhat the prototypical explorationist, Talisman Energy Inc (TLM on the NYSE). So from now on, not only will we be highlighting the systemic failures of Petro Canada, but highlighting the success of Talisman.

Firstly, Petro Canada has failed again in developing its Terra Nova field. What was supposed to be a highlight of their international capabilities is turning out to be a financial and operational disaster. Even the provincial government is recalculating their budgets to accommodate the Petro Canada failures. This time there was a failure in their production platform that will cause their facility to be down for four months. There goes that revenue, up goes those costs, down go our profits. Oops I forgot they were losing money before these failures.

I have to ask of the Petro Canada management, all this for a billion dollars in stock options?

Enough about Petro Canada, for now. Talisman announced their quarterly results and I am pleased to announce that they have discovered another significant gas find in British Columbia, Canada. Talisman is headed by it's CEO, Dr. James Buckee, a geologist, and consider themselves explorers. It is on that basis that they were able to report that oil production was up 27% to 300,000 bbls / day and gas production was the same at 1.338 BCF / day. All in all, a stellar performance in comparison to Petro Canada's diminishing production profile.

Talisman is reporting that in addition to last years find of 55 mcf / day in the Monkman area, an additional 33 mcf / day in the same area went on production last month. Attributing an exploration mindset to the company is explicitly stated by the CEO.

Dr. Buckee also noted an interesting point that Dr. Giovanni Dosi states about innovation. (Click on the title of Dr Dosi's name for that blog entry.) I stated the following based on Dosi's research.

"as any industry continues in a high priced environment the technological changes that are brought about (from innovations discovered) provide "irreversible" advantages to the innovator "at any price level".

Dr. Buckee notes his target is to find gas that is economic around $5.50. By doing so he finds the discoveries from his target of $5.50 are usually profitable at around $2.50 - $3.00! This is exactly what Dosi suggests happens. That when innovations are developed by the innovative firm, it usually has the effect of being profitable throughout the pricing structure.

All in all an interesting day, and one day closer to the Petro Canada second quarter results. I wonder how many stock options it will take them to figure out this latest disaster, I sure hope the management takes it easy from now on.

[Talisman] [Petro-Canada] [Java]

The revolution grows.

The title of this entry will take you to an eloquent revolutionary that accurately captures the opinion of this blog, and the systems that are needed to be developed.

As I stated in my thesis,

"the only requirement for the technical revolution to continue is for the coup to trigger the signal. Metaphorically speaking of course"

Pamela Slim, a business consultant is starting the call to the CEO's and other officer's within the corporate hierarchy. Calling out the staff to give up on the corporate environment and make a difference in the world.

All I have to say is welcome, there's a role for everyone...

The competition.

The ERP systems that are in use today by oil and gas producers are Oracle, SAP and IBM's Qbyte. These systems all directly support the hierarchy and ignore the joint operating committee's existence and authority. These are the class of application that are targeted to be replaced by Genesys.

Firstly these systems are old. In many cases up to 20 years old. Are designed to conform to the vision of the developers that started them such as SAP, and cater to manufacturing or other industries. Conceivably, Qbyte was designed for oil and gas, but that was back in the mid 1980's and since IBM inherited it from Price Waterhouse Coopers little development has taken place.

None of these systems were developed for oil and gas, and possibly more telling is that none are being developed today. Genesys is the only proposed oil and gas development that I am aware of. In a time of significant conflict within the oil and gas industry, only one system is being proposed?

As I have indicated here before, I am the rightful copyright owner of the concept of using the joint operating committee as the organizational focus of these developments. Soon after the publication of the thesis / proposal to industry, I put these competitor companies on notice that they were not authorized under this copyright to use the joint operating committee as the organizational focus of any of their ERP software.

Understanding that the competitive software companies are also based on intellectual property it serves no purpose for them to abridge, or in anyway attempt to diminish, this copyright. Recognizing this I am pleased to say they have not, and most importantly will not.

In reviewing the competitive offerings of SAP, Oracle and IBM, there appears to be no overriding issue or vision being prepared for this industry.

[Oracle] [Competition] [Java]

John Hagel III and John Seely Brown

McKinsey Consulting is providing free access to a recent publication of John Seely Brown and John Hagel regarding innovation. Entitled "Creation Nets: Getting the Most from Open Innovation" and it's available by clicking on this title.

A little background, much of what Hagel and Brown have been writing about over the past 5 or 6 years is web services. Call them what you like, Web 2.0, Service Oriented Architectures, Software as a Service, Hagel and Brown have been on topic for many years. Of all the business consultants and bloggers, these two individuals have best defined the needs and effects of these developing and critical technologies. Much of their work is available for free at their respective websites and I highly recommend a thorough review.

• John Hagel's Edge Perspectives.
• John Hagel's website and blog.
• John Seely Brown.

I was fortunate enough to find their discussions early enough to make them a solid part of my thesis. I am grateful for their efforts and see that they have continued on with their theme and have released another "free" paper of significance. So lets dive in.

"Creation Nets: Getting the most from open innovation."

"When companies look outside their own boundaries they can gain better access to ideas, knowledge, and technology than they would have if they relied solely on their own resources."

Defining what they are calling Creation Nets with this excellent quote, Hagel and Brown go on to define the two extremes of "distributed innovation" which is

"difficult to manage / control"

or

"may seem to be mostly about narrowly defined joint ventures or transactions to acquire IP created by others."

Hagel and Brown admit the business models proposed are not mainstream and answer the question

"why companies must visit the patterns that emerge across very diverse domains". Why do creation nets matter? "The case for creation nets has its foundation in the speed of change in today's global economy."

Today speed is the critical component that is needed in oil and gas. The decline of reserves from exploitation requires a speedy solution to what MIT presidents Susan Hockfield's calls "Energies Perfect Storm".

Joint ventures are what the Joint Operating Committee (JOC) represents in its organizational form. The "Genesys Software creation Nets" are global populations of oil and gas workers available to provide information and knowledge to the JOC. The JOC being virtual in the Genesys system, these workers availability and value are readily available to be deployed to apply their knowledge, understanding and most of all their imaginations for innovation.

Creation Nets, or open innovation's virtual nature, permit and facilitate greater exposure to larger bodies of knowledge tacitly held by engineers and geologists as sub populations of all oil and gas workers. Exposing issues and opportunities to larger groups of scientists to achieve a speed and quality the hierarchy can not, and never will attain.

Hagel and Brown note this "broader set of participants brings with it a number of practical difficulties: Trust can be difficult to establish" noting that "in fact the more diverse the participation the thornier the issues."

Hagel and Brown state "the institutional mechanisms of creation nets help overcome these very real difficulties and provide for the diverse kind of collaboration needed to support sustained innovation in a world of far flung knowledge and talent".

How creation nets work.

"Creation nets work by mobilizing hundreds or thousands of independent entities in the pursuit of distributive, collaborative and cumulative innovation."

Mobilizing such a range of participants requires a precise set of institutional mechanisms to make clear who assembles the network, who can participate in it, "how disputes will be resolved and how performance will be measured."

Genesys fills this role for the developments, this blog is the starting point. On one side are the producers who need the software, the users who seek to provide the work for the producers and explain their needs to the developers. Motivated by long term incentives creation nets align the resources for innovation.

Building and Participating in Creation Nets.

Consider the diversity of skills and experiences their networks requires and tailor the approaches accordingly. Balance local innovation with global integration. Three primary challenges are

• Accessing and developing highly distributed talent.
• Provide the proper contexts for the participants to come together and engage in collaborative experimentation, tinkering and innovation.
• Effectively integrating the creations of diverse participants into shared releases.

Innovation is not the point or the focus of this. Creating the innovative oil and gas producer by defining and building the software to support the innovative users and producers.

Finally Hagel and Brown state three necessary components need to be in play for creation nets to be effective.

• Uncertain demand for goods and services.
• A need for the participation of many different specialists if creation and innovation are to occur.
• Rapidly changing performance requirements in the marketplace.

In summary Hagel and Brown note that creation nets "Provide the ability to mobilize dispersed and diverse talent for innovation in flexible ways, whatever the scale."

I will be writing more about Creation nets in the months to come. The important take away from this discussion is that the long term investments made by many participants needs to get started, and therefore, I will prepare the final attributes necessary to make this so.

[Creation-Net] [Innovation] [Java]

IPv6, the third component in the Genesys technical vision.

The previous entry regarding the Genesys technical vision was wireless. IPv6 is the third component of the four elements of the vision and works in combination with wireless. IPv6 is not a new technology, just a modification of the old. IPv6 will replace IPv4 which is in use and provides the client server model of computing. The key difference is that IPv4 is 2 to the power of 32 vs. IPv6 being 2 to the power of 128.

IPv6 will enable anything of importance or value to be monitored and controlled, anything and everything. The ability to have unlimited static IP addressing eliminates the client server model of computing. In oil and gas, I foresee a variety of devices that will be installed at production facilities to monitor and control activities at the finest of levels. Considering the oil and gas industry is primarily chemically driven, heat and pressure are two aspects of what engineers and earth scientists concern themselves with. In other words application of IPv6 opens up the entire spectrum of the sciences for exploitation.

Currently Korea and China have implemented IPv6 as their network infrastructure. Most cellular phones use IPv6 addressing. Computers from Apple and Sun have been IPv6 capable for many years. It is therefore only a matter of time before the world can and will switch.

In Formula One the cars have 1,000's of sensors actively collecting data at all times. This data was then able to make modifications to the vehicle while racing. Although the ability to change settings was eventually banned the information collection was able to eliminate engine failures through remote remapping and altering the pneumatic valves.

The ability to function in this environment is going to require some unique technology skills on behalf of the average users. The point I want to make today is that the tidal wave of information is going to saturate workers, exponentially more so then today. Therefore each user needs to better understand the information technologies and how best to manage them. The challenge for users is to realize the unlimited application of their imaginations.

The combination of the two technologies are quickly providing firms with the ability to monitor and control their assets and resource's. Nothing in the client server model that we currently experience on the web today comes even close to the impact of these technologies.

In many ways the roll out of IPv6 networks is the culmination of all the technologies to date. Releasing the inherent capabilities of the past 45 years of building the hardware and software infrastructure.

[Genesys] [IPv6] [Java]

Three calls to action.

MIT Video has its president Susan Hockfield calling for MIT to lead the charge to solve the global energy problems. Framing MIT's role as not that dissimilar to what their role was during World War II. I can not agree with her more. At 53 minutes run time, another must see video. Click on the title to be taken to the video website.

The second call to action is from The Oil and Gas Journal. They have identified the demands of quarterly performance as the reason that the energy industry has not resumed its role in addressing these issues. Nonetheless they are stating that the demands for more energy are great and the producers need to innovate is critical. A must read article.

The third call to action is of course this blog. Organizations are defined by the ERP software the firm uses. To use the joint operating committee as the method of organization will mitigate many of the administrative issues in oil and gas. It will also facilitate the innovation that is being called for. No one would argue that the hierarchy or bureaucracy in these organizations will be able to solve these energy issues.

Three calls to action in one day is a record at this point. However, they are more of the same in dealing with this significant issue. All that is needed is for the donations to support the development of this software. Clicking on the PayPal button to make a donation is all that is required to start the 50 year process of supplying the global energy demands. I don't think that anyone would argue that the organization of the resources not be the first step.

[Call-to-action] [Energy] [Java]

Dr. Giovanni Dosi, Sources Part IV, (D)

D. Inducement Factors, Patterns of Technical Change and Irreversibility.

Dosi tears into these aspects of his theory with some valuable research. First he differentiates his focus away from

"the economic incentives to reduce costs always exist in business operations" p. 1143.

And defines

"specific incentives coupled with the paradigm-bound cumulative, and local nature of technological learning can explain particular rates and directions of technological advance."

When technological change is triggered by price changes, the overall trajectory of the

"new is likely to be superior to the old ones irrespective of relative prices" p. 1144.

Dosi then notes that technical progress provides values that reflect irreversible features.
Mapping the changes of technical progress provides an increase in the trajectory of those firms that used the innovations over those that choose not to implement them.

Here Dosi makes the case that the time in which the old methods are replaced by the new may be longer then anticipated. That the innovativeness of the methods that replace the old are disruptive and lag the decline of the old. Essentially determining what Clayton Christianson has been writing about recently. Innovation is difficult and disruptive.

In oil and gas we have witnessed tremendous pricing pressures since the turn of the century. Why these pressures exist, I believe, is the world is globalized and the Chinese and Indian nations are advancing their economies and consumption. The oil and gas firms are sticking to the tried and true belief that they operate at the $25 - 30 level, not the current $75 prices.

What Dosi does provide is tangible evidence that innovations are directly attributable to the changes in pricing. And this logic is easily understood. However, as any industry continues in a high priced environment the technological changes that are brought about provide "irreversible" advantages to the innovator "at any price level".

And this is the point, the oil and gas company assumes that the need to provide profitable operations at $25 to 30. Making this assumption eliminates the innovative mindset and cripples the solutions to the problems. Adopting a mindset that exists only in their minds that will never, ever be valid again, and is as fictitious as a cartoon. That is the reason for the high energy prices and left to the devices of the hierarchy this will become a self fulfilling prophecy.

If on the other hand the oil and gas company used the current prices to fuel engineering and geological innovation, it would ultimately lead to lower costs across the entire spectrum of potential energy prices.

So these companies have fooled themselves into believing that they know best and have given up trying because they don't see the demand side of the equation. This is a fundamental failure in the most pure manner of speaking. A failure that I have attributed to the hierarchy and its self promoting and self rewarding self.

As I have said many times before, those who believe the hierarchy will lead us out of this spiraling mess of an energy market is deluded. The bureaucracy is redundant and exists for itself and itself alone. No one could stand up to argue otherwise. The systems that are employed in the oil and gas firms, the SAP's and Oracle's explicitly define and support the bureaucracy.

The only manner to stop this foolhardiness is to build the systems discussed in this blog. Systems that move the accountability framework into alignment with the legal, financial, cultural and operational decision making frameworks that reside with the joint operating committee.

[Dosi] [Innovation] [Java]

When it comes to oil, gas and innovation,

This is your one stop blog. I have increased the number of del.ico.us bookmarks and Google Reader "starred" items. I decided this was more valuable then the traditional blog roll. As a friend pointed out to me, I am the filter in terms of quality oil and gas information.

If there is any thing more you may want me to add to the blog, just ask.

Innovation Genesys Java

Wireless, another component of the Genesys technical vision.

Based on the discussion of Asyncronous Process Management (APM) noted here. Looking forward it is fair to assume the volumes of data that an individual will be exposed to on a daily basis has begun its relentless increase in volume and importance. The manner of dealing with data overload by safely ignoring it may soon be over. Whether it is your competitor, litigation or a failure that is a direct result of "missing" some data. The ability to "miss" data and proceed safely is a luxury that is expiring as we speak. This blog entry deals mostly with how the work will be done through the Genesys system.

In the asynchronous environment. The speed and ability to deal with all the processes of one individual will require significant automation. Automation that is necessary in order to fulfill the requirements of their jobs. Those that expect to respond on a one to one basis will have difficulty in co-ordination of the resources necessary to complete their responsibilities. Having employees that were productive generating $4 million per year in revenue will lose their competitive advantages to employees that are capable at $20 - 30 million per year.

For example how much time is wasted in preparing for, arranging and attending meetings? In addition to the waste, there is the "lag time". A period of time that is consumed in order that everyone schedules the something "urgent" meeting for next week. It is the "lag time" that provides the asynchronous worker with their time frame for completion. The ability to discuss things asynchronously is augmented by video to mitigate the time losses and lags.

Wireless (WiFi) is a fairly straight forward technology that exists today. A broader scope of the reception (WiMax) will bring wireless into being more of a common and necessary tool for the people who work in oil and gas. It is my assumption here that wireless will enable working from anywhere at anytime. Increasing the time requirements of the average worker in oil and gas to 24 hours of being on call. Some of the personal benefits include reducing the demands for time and fuel by the average commuter who only needs to go to the office occasionally. This enables the employee to more effectively manage their day to meet their needs.

The primary advantage, however, of having an always on work environment is the ability to do the work when the individual can. Although the user will be available 24 hours a day, the "other" activities in their life can take priority in terms of being addressed. Work is more a natural outflow of the day to day activities. The work being predominately asynchronous in nature, enables the work to be addressed after careful thought and interaction that is dependent on the user's time and availability.

As I indicated at the start of this entry. The "how" this system will operate in a wireless environment is discussed. The "what" that the user accesses wirelessly is all manner of reports, accounting information, journal entries, ledgers and financial statements. These reports are prepared for the monthly accounting of the joint operating committees that the employees are affiliated with. The overall scope of information would also include the engineering and geological data that the producers staff would need.

Vision Technology Java

Emery Lovins on MIT video.

MIT is hosting a variety of lectures and talks regarding energy. First up is Emery Lovins who is the founder and CEO of the Rocky Mountain Institute. Mr. Lovins has far too many awards to list here and I highly recommend clicking on the title of this entry to watch the video. Run time is 1 hour and 36 minutes.

Mr Lovins and some of his staff have written a book "Winning the Oil Endgame" which is available for free. Of note and interest much of what President Bush's recently announced energy policy is derived from these materials, and the forward is written by Mr. George Schultz.

Both the Rocky Mountain Institute and Winning the oil Endgame are excellent resources that should be bookmarked and reviewed frequently.

Dr. Lovins speech focuses on two distinct areas. First the costs of innovations regarding reducing the weight of vehicles mass are far less costly then the fuel they save. Making them economic. The second area of focus is on reducing the demand for oil with alternative sources of energy. The switch grass comments by President Bush seem to have originated with Dr. Lovins and his group.

A third point that I will be spending some time thinking about is that the hydrogen molecules in oil and gas are more valuable then the carbon molecules.

Energy Research Java